Bad beat/Moaning/Venting thread - BabyforV

[BobSloane]

Rory in beast mode.

If he doesn't break the course record I blame this post ^^

[Tar.Aldarion]

Love when people do things like this, just on my way to tesco, car pulls in at the traffic lights and starts talking to me. i take out my earphones and he is like, "you are awesome, and don't let anybody ever make you think different", then he shook my hand. Then to the girl driving, "now drive!" and off they went. His hand was warm like the feeling conveyed.


Maybe they thought I was gay and were campaigning for equality

[Lazare]

This one for you Riggs, everybody's havin crumble....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24zX0bjSHSE

[hotspur]

I see Paddy Power have priced up each constituency in the referendum.

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/politics/other-politics/irish-politics?ev_oc_grp_ids=2041388

[Lazare]

Great tribute to BB King.

[Flushdraw]

Is there a copy of ex machina floating about? Cant find one

It's taken a while, but the 720/1080p versions have appeared in the usual places today.

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[oleras]

Great tribute to BB King.

haven't seen it myself yet but am looking forward to watching it.

B.B. King: The Life of Riley

[Lord Sir Banter]

Love when people do things like this, just on my way to tesco, car pulls in at the traffic lights and starts talking to me. i take out my earphones and he is like, "you are awesome, and don't let anybody ever make you think different", then he shook my hand. Then to the girl driving, "now drive!" and off they went. His hand was warm like the feeling conveyed.


Maybe they thought I was gay and were campaigning for equality

Soon we will have the equal opportunity to ask the gays 'When are ye gunna give us a day out?'

[TheJiggaman]

I see Paddy Power have priced up each constituency in the referendum.

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/politi...rp_ids=2041388

The impression I get in my place (Tipp South) is that it'll be a no vote here, especially with Matty McGrath coming on Séamus Martin's morning show on Tipp FM saying he'll be voting no and encouraging others to do so too.

The oul biddy's will follow suit I'm sure. Low student population too.

[Pat Mustard]

I see Paddy Power have priced up each constituency in the referendum.

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/politi...rp_ids=2041388

Ah that's a laugh. 2 novelty bets for me.
Laois / Offaly no vote is value Shirley @5/4 & Sligo/ North Leitrim yes vote @ 6/4 and hope there's a low turnout of Leitrim people.

[ComradeCollie]

The plan is a quick beer in Flannerys followed by Panti Bar. Couriers only previous Panti experience was his Eurovision tragedy last year #prayforpanticourier

This will not end well.

[hotspur]

I currently am working on a table with all the relevant constituencies, their odds, and their votes in relevant referendums. The fact that this is precisely how the bloody thing was priced up in the first place probably makes it a boring and silly exercise.

Especially boring because the data set I'm working off requires manual calculation of %. Ugh.

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[Lazare]

Some lols on this.

[oleras]

Me and courier are trying to work out who is most drunk: difficulty level trannies

A blowjob is a blowjob dude...just sayin.

[hotspur]

The impression I get in my place (Tipp South) is that it'll be a no vote here, especially with Matty McGrath coming on Séamus Martin's morning show on Tipp FM saying he'll be voting no and encouraging others to do so too.

The oul biddy's will follow suit I'm sure. Low student population too.

Ah that's a laugh. 2 novelty bets for me.
Laois / Offaly no vote is value Shirley @5/4 & Sligo/ North Leitrim yes vote @ 6/4 and hope there's a low turnout of Leitrim people.

Well I computed a bit of a conservative % difference between relevant constituencies and the national average. Very lazy, I started with 10 columns for referendums, but it was way too much work so I used only 2 (the last abortion related one and divorce one). Some constituencies are new but I could compute them if they were additive, but some could not be done as they split existing ones. I ended up rounding all figures to whole numbers.

I'm not sure what the national average will be, I have always thought 52-58% range. Let's choose Paddy Power's current 59.5% line. This means looking at constituencies over 9.5% difference in conservatism in the table below.

It may not look like you are getting much bang for your buck with these odds, but we are dealing with the law of large numbers here as well. The likes of 8/15 for Donegal NE with 14.5% difference, 8/11 Cavan-Mon with 14%, Tipp N 4/7 with 13% are probably decent bets.

Laois-Offaly offering 5/4 with a 10.5% difference on my table is value, and Mayo at 4/6 with 11.5%.

Now PP have the number of No constituencies line at 10.5. According to my table 8 particular constituencies should vote no, 1 bang on the 50%, 3 are close enough, and then there are 3 unknown but 2 of which are good odds on with them. So their line seems good.

[Guest]

Pray for Hitch and CC

[ComradeCollie]

Me and courier are trying to work out who is most drunk: difficulty level trannies

Pray for Hitch and CC

Ah, bollix. We shouldn't be let out without supervision. Last memory was of falling over several times,while trying to lift Hitch off the ground... asking people to call an ambulance...

It's just beyond funny, waking up with hair matted with my own blood, and a pain in my arse from falling over.

[Lazare]

Ah, bollix. We shouldn't be let out without supervision. Last memory was of falling over several times,while trying to lift Hitch off the ground... asking people to call an ambulance...

It's just beyond funny, waking up with hair matted with my own blood, and a pain in my arse from falling over.

Again?

Holy shit man, you go hell for leather. Was Hitch with you the last time? Bad influence that lad.

[Wesley Harms]

and a pain in my arse from falling over.

You sure that's just from falling over :-/

I'll get my coat

[ComradeCollie]

Again?

Holy shit man, you go hell for leather. Was Hitch with you the last time? Bad influence that lad.

Ah no. Last year was on my own. Suppose it's a slight improvement, in that I didn't end up in a&e getting xrays, and a ct scan

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ikssfUhAlgg

[Denny Crane]

Getting a sense for the first time that this referendum might actually fail, must look into the polling data properly when this hangover abates.

[Teddie]

Getting a sense for the first time that this referendum might actually fail, must look into the polling data properly when this hangover abates.

I'm firmly in the "I'll be a bit surprised if this referendum does pass" and I have been for a while.

[Lazare]

Are colleges closed next Fri?

[Denny Crane]

Are colleges closed next Fri?

DCU has postponed exams for the day, think everyone else is finished?

[Denny Crane]

Divorce map is amazing

[Teddie]

The pre-polls in the divorce referendum were pretty amazing too.

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[ComradeCollie]

Eek. Don't remember that bit. Do have a lot of pain though. Think it was when we started ordering actual bottles of wine as you would order beers that it all went wrong

mmm

[ArmaniJeans]

Getting a sense for the first time that this referendum might actually fail, must look into the polling data properly when this hangover abates.

Yep, I think the Yes vote is very shaky now. Talking to people last night who a month ago were definite yes and are now wavering, and Dont Knows who are now in the No camp. Usually for the most pathetic or obscure of reasons and often dressing it up as someone elses fault ("I'd really like to vote Yes but I can't because they haven't clarified what happens in totally implausible scenario of bullshit")

[DMMurray]

Getting a sense for the first time that this referendum might actually fail, must look into the polling data properly when this hangover abates.

Impossible to fail on the current numbers. But a little bit of general anxiety in the Yes camp might be a good thing, to ensure there is a good turn-out (particularly younger voters).

[hotspur]

Where's Eamonhonda? We have spin up business to attend to.

[mdoug]

Had a nice bit bet on some chick in the auld tennis, 1 set up and 5-5 but bossing in the 2nd and the other beour just retires and my bet becomes void :'(.
Shit start to a hungover Sunday, that is all.

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[mdoug]

Had a nice bit bet on some chick in the auld tennis, 1 set up and 5-5 but bossing in the 2nd and the other beour just retires and my bet becomes void :'(.
Shit start to a hungover Sunday, that is all.

On this, any of ye gamblers know sites that pay out regardless of retirement? I wanna gamble on who goes through, not have some bets voided

[hotspur]

On this, any of ye gamblers know sites that pay out regardless of retirement? I wanna gamble on who goes through, not have some bets voided

Seems that many sites pay out if the first set has been completed. Quick search seems that Ladbrokes and Coral for example are like that.

[NewApproach]

http://www.tennisform.com/default.asp?action=rules&tournament=none

[White Knight]

Impossible to fail on the current numbers. But a little bit of general anxiety in the Yes camp might be a good thing, to ensure there is a good turn-out (particularly younger voters).

Did you not see the polls before the British election? And the differing result on the day.

[Strewelpeter]

Shouldn't have let the homophobia argument be defined by fucking Waters and O'Brien at the start.
The simple fact is that there is no reason for anyone to vote no other than they are a homophobic cunt.

[elbows]

Shouldn't have let the homophobia argument be defined by fucking Waters and O'Brien at the start.
The simple fact is that there is no reason for anyone to vote no other than they are a homophobic cunt.

That's your yes poster right there

[Dice75]

Who's on pens for Arsenal these days?

[Silver-Tiger]

Who's on pens for Arsenal these days?

Santi

[DMMurray]

Did you not see the polls before the British election? And the differing result on the day.

Sure, but Irish referendums are a different story. The trends in polls are always a good indicator if the result will be close or not. I posted something similar a while back. Lisbon 1 polls started at 70-30 'Yes' three months out, finished about 50-50, and 'No' vote carried (for a while at least!). Lisbon 2 was always about 65%+ 'Yes', and never trended back. 'Yes' carried easily (67%). Nice 1 and 2 had similar trends and final results.

Divorce is probably the most similar case to Marriage referendum though (in terms of the typical Yes/No voter - apologies for stereotyping). It started about 70-30, went to 50-50 and 'Yes' barely carried. The polls in the current referendum are always 70%+ and have never trended back to 50-50, where 'No' would have a chance. I'll be amazed if 'No' vote carries. I will give up my faith in numbers and abandon my atheist/secular views on life and immediately subscribe to Iona/Coir/random Irish nut-job group if that happens.

[bohsman]

The simple fact is that there is no reason for anyone to vote no other than they are a homophobic cunt.

Actually someone on boards made the first decent point for a no vote I have seen - yet more wedding invites.

[Lplated]

The simple fact is that there is no reason for anyone to vote no other than they are a homophobic cunt.

Remember reading research on an exit poll done after a previous referendum - at least half of the reasons given for voting against had nothing to do with the referendum itself, but rather things like 'against the government', 'if all the parties are for it i'm suspicious', 'govt still haven't delivered promise during election', 'i dont like changes to the constitution', 'courts will decide differently no matter how we vote' etc etc etc

Assuming anything over than half of the electorate who actually vote next will week will actually be voting on the questions on the paper is a mistake imo.

[Guest]

The simple fact is that there is no reason for anyone to vote no other than they are a homophobic cunt.

Phrases like this are why Yes side are losing support. they needed more dignified interventions like Ursula Halligan during the week and less of the shrill sanctimonious sloganeering from platitude queens that we have been bashed over the head with.
i think a good few of the government politicians who have been weighing in should have laid low and I don't know what the fuck companies like Google were thinking throwing their 2 cents in,that was only ever going to be counter productive
Many of the no voters will be homophobic cunts no doubt but I don't think all of them are.

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[ghostface]

Do you have to be a bit of a prick to play inter county in Ulster? Just seems like giving each other stick all the time. Prob applied to all counties good come back from Tyrone

[CHDad]

Do you have to be a bit of a prick to play inter county in Ulster? Just seems like giving each other stick all the time. Prob applied to all counties good come back from Tyrone

They are all very angry people. Old lads fighting with young lads who are playing. Embarrassing.

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[Denny Crane]

Took 5/1 on a "No" vote, just looks to big, presuming most don't knows are going to vote no, and yes voters are over represented.

[CHDad]

I've met more No voters in Wicklow than Yes voters. The young people don't really go out and vote and I live in the civilised part of the county. All the rednecks will vote No too. 8/1 for No, might have to stick a £1 on.

[TheJiggaman]

Remember reading research on an exit poll done after a previous referendum - at least half of the reasons given for voting against had nothing to do with the referendum itself, but rather things like 'against the government', 'if all the parties are for it i'm suspicious', 'govt still haven't delivered promise during election', 'i dont like changes to the constitution', 'courts will decide differently no matter how we vote' etc etc etc

lol. That's code for "I am homophobic but don't want to say it"

[Lazare]

Phrases like this are why Yes side are losing support. they needed more dignified interventions like Ursula Halligan during the week and less of the shrill sanctimonious sloganeering from platitude queens that we have been bashed over the head with.
i think a good few of the government politicians who have been weighing in should have laid low and I don't know what the fuck companies like Google were thinking throwing their 2 cents in,that was only ever going to be counter productive
Many of the no voters will be homophobic cunts no doubt but I don't think all of them are.

I posted this elsewhere in a debate about labeling no voters homophobic and how counter productive it is.

Any no vote imo has homophobia as it’s foundation, but there are varying degrees of homophobia. Some people are open to shedding it through reasoned argument, some never will.

Ramming the homophobe label down the former group’s throat will only cement their no vote, the latter should just be ignored.

[Lazare]

Remember reading research on an exit poll done after a previous referendum - at least half of the reasons given for voting against had nothing to do with the referendum itself, but rather things like 'against the government', 'if all the parties are for it i'm suspicious', 'govt still haven't delivered promise during election', 'i dont like changes to the constitution', 'courts will decide differently no matter how we vote' etc etc etc

Assuming anything over than half of the electorate who actually vote next will week will actually be voting on the questions on the paper is a mistake imo.

Hopefully the support of Sinn Fein and AAA of a yes will help nullify a lot of that sentiment.

[Lplated]

lol. That's code for "I am homophobic but don't want to say it"

Think you misunderstood. Those were phrases used in a previous referendum, nothing to do with Hetro/homosexuality.

The point was that people who vote don't necessarily vote Yes/No on the basis of the topic of the election.

[Lplated]

Hopefully the support of Sinn Fein and AAA of a yes will help nullify a lot of that sentiment.

When your particular niche is based on opposition to everything it might be quite difficult to get solid Sf/AAA supporters to tick a positive box.

[Pat Mustard]

I've met more No voters in Wicklow than Yes voters. The young people don't really go out and vote and I live in the civilised part of the county. All the rednecks will vote No too. 8/1 for No, might have to stick a £1 on.

I'm from the hick side. I'll give ya 10' s max bet 20 euro..

[CHDad]

I'm from the hick side. I'll give ya 10' s max bet 20 euro..

I deal in sterling m8. I will win my IPO seat then be back to you.