Originally posted by Raoul Duke III
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IPB Hero Our Conor Memorial Thread - (Horses Betting Obv)
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Impressive stuff by Vroum Vroum.
A Toi Phil is a very good price w/o @ 7/4 ImoLast edited by TheImprover; 29-04-16, 16:52.
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Left after the 4th race at Punchestown on comped tickets as it was too shit. 3g a problem, taking a piss a queue, getting a drink a queue, every place a crush. The only place not a crush was around the tote hatches. Pulled over twice on the way home to watch the following 2 races.
Wouldn't go again of a Friday even with free tickets.
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Originally posted by Fullof..It View PostPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21
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I dunno why I asked. I backed them anywayPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21
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Jamie Spencer. Sigh.
Out of curiosity would any trainer/owner give instructions to plonk the best horse in the race stone last all the way around and tell the jockey to navigate through 12 horse traffic with some coming back at you while giving your rivals first run & a 6-10l lead.Last edited by Dice75; 30-04-16, 13:25.
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Originally posted by luckforsome View Post...Out of curiosity, roughly how many bets do you reckon this would be?...Profit before people.
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Originally posted by Dice75 View PostJamie Spencer. Sigh.
Out of curiosity would any trainer/owner give instructions to plonk the best horse in the race stone last all the way around and tell the jockey to navigate through 12 horse traffic with some coming back at you while giving your rivals first run & a 6-10l lead.
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Originally posted by rounders123 View PostLeft after the 4th race at Punchestown on comped tickets as it was too shit. 3g a problem, taking a piss a queue, getting a drink a queue, every place a crush. The only place not a crush was around the tote hatches. Pulled over twice on the way home to watch the following 2 races.
Wouldn't go again of a Friday even with free tickets.
They could do with more toilets... Friday gets an special crowd but it pays a lot of the wages.
I was thrilled to hear that Punchestown have bought the land across from the stands that is worked out as a quarry and is a horrible eyesore . They have a 12 year plan to rehabilitate the 180 acres.Turning millions into thousands
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Tank fully emptied on air force blue.
Could be the makings of a good day
I've a few pending in leopardstown as wellPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21
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Originally posted by DeadParrot View PostTank fully emptied on air force blue.
Could be the makings of a good day
I've a few pending in leopardstown as well
They don't get you to confirm cash outs on PP when you misclick the cunts.
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FmlPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21
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Need stretching the truth to save the dayPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21
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Or jaairh at 5.40 Thirsk.
5ilbs off for the ride.People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21
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NinaPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21
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From a mate of mine.
1000 guineas analysis
The O' Brien Angle
Horses with a run record is 035120400
The winner was a 25/1 shot. The second was a 33/1 shot just touched off. The 3rd was a 9/1 poke while the 4th and 5th were big double figures. When he runs only one horse they generally don’t do well. Nearly all horses that have had runs outperform the shorter priced stable mates who didn’t have a run.
Another interesting point is the two best placers had the following profile. Plenty of runs as a 2 yo. Went to the US with them. Ran them over 6 furlong
What does this mean? They are well forward. They are not going to be improvers so no long-term prospects so get the most out of them. They’re not stayer’s and so not going to be aimed at the oaks etc.
Bracelet for instance had a run but only had two runs as a 2yo and didn’t go to the states. Same with Devoted to You. Heart Shaped finished a nose off third. Guess what – ran over sprints, went to the states, and had 6 runs as a 2yo!
Horses without a run record is 0030000
This included 3 favs – tapesty , misty for me and rumplestiltskin
In the last five years it seems O’brien uses this as a prep race for bigger targets for fillies that will stay as evidenced by the record of horses winning G1’s after a no show here.
Alice Springs 20/1 e/w
Has had a run
Has had a busy 2yo campaign
Has ran over 6 furlongs
Has been to the US
Form wise she doesn’t have a lot to find with the fav and second fav only beaten a lt by them. She has placed in two G1’s and should have won the juvenile fillies turf. She has been to the track (like Together, same jock up too) where she won a very valuable race with ease.
The data
2015
1. Qualify 12/1
No run. Finishes last. Wins Oaks
2014
2. Bracelet 11/1
Run (Wins). Finishes 14/17 wins Irish oaks
3. Tapestry 4/1 fav
No run. Finishes last. Wins oaks
2013
4. Moth 9/1
Run. Finishes 3rd
Does nothing again
5. Snow Queen 20/1
Run Finishes 5th
Does nothing again
2012
6. Homecoming Queen 25/1
Run. Wins. Does nothing again
7. Maybe 13/8 fav
No run. Finishes 3rd
5th in the oaks
2011
8. Together 33/1
Run. 2nd .
Wins Fillies turf breeders cup
9. Misty for me 9/1
No run. 11th .
Wins pretty polly G1
2010
10. Devoted to you 11/1
Run. 15/17.
Does nothing
2009
11. Heart Shaped 14/1
Run. 4th
Does nothing
2008
12. Kitty Macham 8/1
No run. 9/15. Does nothing
13. Savethisdanceforme 12/1
Run. 10/15. Does nothing
2007
14. Theann 20/1
Run. 10/21. Does nothing
2006
15. Rumplestiltskin 3/1 fav
No run. 7th
Does nothing
16. Race for the stars 12/1
No run 8th
Does nothingLast edited by elbows; 30-04-16, 19:52.His rival it seems, had broken his dreams,By stealing the girl of his fancy.Her name was Magill, and she called herself Lil,But everyone knew her as Nancy.
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Originally posted by Strewelpeter View PostI was pleasantly surprised by the broadband, I was getting 4g full blast on 3.
They could do with more toilets... Friday gets an special crowd but it pays a lot of the wages.
I was thrilled to hear that Punchestown have bought the land across from the stands that is worked out as a quarry and is a horrible eyesore . They have a 12 year plan to rehabilitate the 180 acres.
Its really striking how pleasant staff are in restaurants/retail in Kildare. Went to Naas beforehand and staff are all smiles and chat asking how much of the festival your here for an re-reminders to bring an umbrella. Im not used to this good treatment at all.
I did experience a Gee bag manager in a PP shop in Newbridge this morning scolding a younger male colleague about something trivial in front of punters. I gave her a dose of her own medicine in an equal manner about something else she erred on. She didnt like it.
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Originally posted by DeadParrot View PostSource?
Ill hold off posting in here till it turns. In saying that below has popped up and considering the fact Im struggling to get the lads out for a pint for the football....
15:20: HenpeckedLast edited by Fullof..It; 01-05-16, 10:27.
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Originally posted by Fullof..It View PostCombo of sources (posting the duplicates). Reliability in the last 2 weeks has been brutal. Tail of hunt season and starting of flat is being compounded by the weather.
Ill hold off posting in here till it turns. In saying that below has popped up and considering the fact Im struggling to get the lads out for a pint for the football....
15:20: HenpeckedHis rival it seems, had broken his dreams,By stealing the girl of his fancy.Her name was Magill, and she called herself Lil,But everyone knew her as Nancy.
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John peel 20/1 ew Chester cup
Has a great draw for a front runner in five. A lb lower than last year where he had to tack across from a wide draw and only gave his best in final 100 yards finishing 5th to the ascot gold cup winner. Same prep as last year. This is a much weaker race on paper.
There's no one to take him on up front so should set the fractions. While the fav is decent he's not chucked in and plenty of better horses went off fav for this without winning. Quick Jack is drawn in the car park and stable not in the same form as last year and our lad has a 7lb swing . If JP breaks well , shows early speed he should be hard to pass
Not my work just passing it on.His rival it seems, had broken his dreams,By stealing the girl of his fancy.Her name was Magill, and she called herself Lil,But everyone knew her as Nancy.
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Originally posted by horatio1 View PostTwo little ew nibbles at the Curragh deeds not words and creggs pipes.
Looking forward to seeing how Blue de Vega has wintered.
A couple. Of winners after it wp again.location green and yellow stretford end
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Hard to justify backing anything after Cheltenham & Punchestown. But one that came up in the tracker I thought was interesting is Pride ofthe castle @330 Fakenham. Form reads well ...worth a go for me IMO. Last bet for me before Royal Ascot and the likes. GL meJayzus, Sheila! I forgot me feckin' trousers
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Originally posted by Pat Mustard View PostHard to justify backing anything after Cheltenham & Punchestown. But one that came up in the tracker I thought was interesting is Pride ofthe castle @330 Fakenham. Form reads well ...worth a go for me IMO. Last bet for me before Royal Ascot and the likes. GL me
Crash course anyone?
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Originally posted by Donk Magnet View PostGo to Irish racing click on the horse tracker option set up an account and you can add horses and it emails you when they are running.Jayzus, Sheila! I forgot me feckin' trousers
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Usually when a price is so head scratchingly big there's something amiss, but still can't help but leave the 40's about Venue unbacked in Chester Cup. Coming from the plum draw in 1, and he's carrying the joint lightest weight in the race, in a race that hugely favours lightweights, nothing carrying more than 9'4 has won in the last decade. Trained by Donald McCain whose shown on a couple of occasions he knows how to win this race. Hasn't ran on flat in some time but was a classy enough performer before heading down the hurdles route. The price suggests he bombs, but think there's at least potential there to outrun that.
Like Henderson's No Heretic too in the race. Ew's on both.Profit before people.
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