Football-betting thread

[A_CitizenErased]

Very little chance at all Ba is not starting.

He is fit and should be no problem to start.

[Opr]

He starts as does Vuckic who I really looking forward to watching.

StanCollymore Stan Collymore
#nufc Krul/Simpson Williamson Collocini Taylor/Guttierez Cabaye Tiote Obertan/Vuckic Demba Ba #talksport LIVE from 7pm.

Opr

[Opr]

James_Carroll84 James Carroll
Liverpool: Reina, Johnson, Enrique, Skrtel, Agger, Adam, Henderson, Spearing, Downing, Carroll, Bellamy.

Opr

[KevIRL]

Newcastle 11/2 on PP is too big to pass up.

[eagle eye]

Demba Ba has scored in 4 of his last 6 games, 6 goals in total in that run, and is far too big a price for anytime scorer. Currently 13/5 on PP, 3.55 on Betfair.

[A_CitizenErased]

Ba not given that goal.

Fucking disgrace.

Edit: never mind... came off aggers shoulder haha

[FeetMagic]

I'd say it will be given to Cabaye. Was on the unders there

[eagle eye]

After I seen the United lineup which is,

De Gea, Rafael, Carrick, Evra, Jones, Park, Nani, Valencia, Welbeck, Berbatov, Hernandez

I decided to back Blackburn -2 at 9/5 and straight for the game at 22/1. I've a much larger bet on Blackburn to just score at 11/8 from before the lineups were released, thats now gone to even money which is still incredible value imo. Blackburn have found the net at least once in their last 7 league games.

[Emmet]

11/8 such a good price. Wp eagle eye

blackburn 1-0 up and still only 13/2 to win the game.

Great day for you lad!

[eagle eye]

Get the fck in!!!!

[Thefonze]

These threads are very quiet these days, all of you BROKE?

Anyhow you will be glad to see me back on posting winning tips. Over 3.5 goals at Newcastle/United @15/8 is the bet for me. United will run them ragged.

Also think Leighton Baines is worth some cash as the first goalscorer at everton. No vale in that game however with everton being 1/2

Welcome back me after a nice Christmas holiday and looking fwd to many pints over the coming weeks in pubs that are thankfully now quiet!

[Pistol Peter]

These threads are very quiet these days, all of you BROKE?

Anyhow you will be glad to see me back on posting winning tips. Over 3.5 goals at Newcastle/United @15/8 is the bet for me. United will run them ragged.

Also think Leighton Baines is worth some cash as the first goalscorer at everton. No vale in that game however with everton being 1/2

Welcome back me after a nice Christmas holiday and looking fwd to many pints over the coming weeks in pubs that are thankfully now quiet!

Big yourself up much?
Also wouldnt be a great idea backing it at one of the worst prices available.

[CheckRaise]

Thefonze,

Would you be interested in a bet?

The next premier league game week you pick one bet from each of the 10 premierleague games and wager '1u' on each bet. We use Paddy Power odds.

For each 'u' you are are in profit I pay you X.

For each 'u' you lose you pay me X.

We each escrow 5X before the start of the gameweek.

I get to see your picks before finalising the wager as I'm not going to bet blind either.



If your interested let me know how much you want X to be.

[Thefonze]

Thefonze,

Would you be interested in a bet?

The next premier league game week you pick one bet from each of the 10 premierleague games and wager '1u' on each bet. We use Paddy Power odds.

For each 'u' you are are in profit I pay you X.

For each 'u' you lose you pay me X.

We each escrow 5X before the start of the gameweek.

I get to see your picks before finalising the wager as I'm not going to bet blind either.



If your interested let me know how much you want X to be.

I am happy to do this. I don't mind what x is , what do you have in mind.?

[Thefonze]

Big yourself up much?
Also wouldnt be a great idea backing it at one of the worst prices available.

Take a look back at what I post and then tell me its not the right approach to have. I hate to lose and put a lot of effort into football and racing. I was in PP and took the price i saw, its only 100. I do shop around when i see that Powers were 33/1 and Boyles 20/1 on a Carrol hat-trick last week against Newcastle.....hindsight says he will be lucky to get 3 goals all season!

[CheckRaise]

X = €100?

Cap on win/loss = 5X?

[Thefonze]

X = €100?

Cap on win/loss = 5X?

Ok but if i get all 10 bets up you could potentially lose 2k and likewise myself , you ok with this?
Are you also required to accept all 10 of my bets once submitted?

[CheckRaise]

Ok but if i get all 10 bets up you could potentially lose 2k and likewise myself , you ok with this?

without a cap your max liability would be €1k. For my liability to hit €2k would require you to have a 200% ROI which is a bit on the optimistic side.

The handiest way to escrow would be through pokerstars. I think my daily transfer limit is $250 so it will take 3 daily transfers to complete.

Due to this we should escrow €500 and also cap any wins/losses to €500.

Are you also required to accept all 10 of my bets once submitted?

No. I won't agree to make a bet without knowing what I am betting on.

Due to the 3 daily transfers required and that I will need time to price up your bets to see if I will lay them can you have your selections posted up by 6PM Thursday 12th?

Paddy Power will have their full range of markets available by that time.

[The Situation]

Has to be the vaguest prop bet I've ever seen.

[CheckRaise]

He picks 10 bets and I might lay them.

Whats complicated about that?

[Thefonze]

Its a bit too much hassle for me as I don't have an online poker account. ( Could not make money on it), plus I dont even know who you are.

Reason I post here is for others to share in my wins.As you can see historically I do very well. Football/Rugby and Horse Racing is where I specialise.

I am happy to pick those ten games and post individual bets I make as I know PP will take them all. Want to do that and tell me which ones you would have taken?

Failing that we could find a person on here to hold the money in trust, maybe Dice as he seems to manage the gambling fund for all.?

Its been a long week but thankfully its Friday tomorrow and i fancy Fine Resolve at Lingfield tomorrow.

[CheckRaise]

Thats sound. We will leave it. I though it would be a bit of craic to lay bets I wouldn't have looked at otherwise and have the sweat.

I am happy to pick those ten games and post individual bets I make as I know PP will take them all. Want to do that and tell me which ones you would have taken?

we will do that. between us we might pick a couple of profitable bets.

[mdoug]

been looking at qpr at 2.63 tomorrow and still think it's huge but during research I noticed - haven't won a fa cup game in 10 years!!! YIKES!!!

[Semibluff]

Its a bit too much hassle for me as I don't have an online poker account. ( Could not make money on it), plus I dont even know who you are.

Reason I post here is for others to share in my wins.As you can see historically I do very well. Football/Rugby and Horse Racing is where I specialise.

I am happy to pick those ten games and post individual bets I make as I know PP will take them all. Want to do that and tell me which ones you would have taken?

Failing that we could find a person on here to hold the money in trust, maybe Dice as he seems to manage the gambling fund for all.?

Its been a long week but thankfully its Friday tomorrow and i fancy Fine Resolve at Lingfield tomorrow.

Some people on the net have like a private mailing system. People pay a small premium to you and receive your bets for the year

Just a thought!

[Thefonze]

Some people on the net have like a private mailing system. People pay a small premium to you and receive your bets for the year

Just a thought!

Thanks for that,might look into it in the future. Fine Resolve was well beaten yesterday, results at Lingfield were very odd, i think the place to be was on the pace or you had no chance.

[Mickey Rosa]

Two bets for tomorrow-
Sunderland at 1.95
Man City game, exactly 2 or 3 goals at 2

[A_CitizenErased]

Sevilla
Man City
Sunderland

Treble Pays 8.2/1

My bet for 2mro.. 20 on it

[CheckRaise]

Sunderland at 1.95

Peterborough are a difficult team at home in the cup.

They have the highest total average goals in the championship and a +3 goal difference to give you an idea.

I'm not aware of any injuries for Peterborough. You may want to hold off until team lineups are confirmed, last game I looked at Sunderland they were missing 3 first team defenders among others.

[The Situation]

Have Milan lay at 5/6. Atalanta far better than league table suggest due to points reduction at the start of season. They're unbeaten at home this season. Milan are without Abate, Cassano, Gattuso, Aquilani, Antonini, Nesta, Ambrosini.

Unders in Udinese v cesena should pay too.

[Jaysoose]

Both teams to score in city v utd game @ 4/6 is stealing money on boyles.


SHIP IT THATS THE WEEKEND COVERED

[CheckRaise]

8 from 9 this weekend. nice to get back on track after the christmas madness.

[mdoug]

Milan plus overs in the Udinese Cesena games both come in, sweet. Just relying on Sunderland now

[The Situation]

Milan plus overs in the Udinese Cesena games both come in, sweet. Just relying on Sunderland now

One time. You may be able to afford a Luas ticket in the morning now!

[mdoug]

I only bet after reading that post if I'm honest


11 minutes added in West Ham game, never ever seen that before

[Thefonze]

I only bet after reading that post if I'm honest


11 minutes added in West Ham game, never ever seen that before

Do you still blog? I used to enjoy what you had to say.

Well done on Sunderland, spend it wisely

[Mickey Rosa]

Like Arsenal -1.25 tomorrow night at 1.73. I know Arsenal are missing a good few through injuries and African nations Cup, but Leeds are missing the spine of their team through injuries, haven't performed well away from home of late, and Arsenal haven't lost in the third round in something like 35 years, throw in the Henry factor too and I think it's a great bet.

[CheckRaise]

Will be avoiding this game personally. I don't see much value in any of my usual markets.

Wenger will be missing Van Persie, who is on holiday in Dubai, as well as Gervinho at the African Cup of nations leaving Walcott, Henry and Ramsey as the possible front 3 which doesn't inspire much confidence at the odds offered.

In defence Arsenal have a bit of a crisis. Koscielny and Squillaci will probably start, but preferred Djourou and Vermaelen likely wont.

[Aya14]

If anyone is interested the F.A.I junior cup continues this week.

Tramore are the value imo 6/5 with PP( only 10/11 with boyles) away to Willow Park. Tramore are probably the best team in Waterford atm and have disposed of better opposition in the round previous.
I'd also fancy Sherriff Y.C at 5/4 with PP(again only 8/13 with boyles) away to Castlebar. Sheriff were knocked out by eventual winners Pike last season.

Those two in singles and a double are well worth a bet imo. The double will pay almost 4/1.

Pike Rovers and St.Michaels both last years finalists are very short at home to Wayside and Wicklow respectively but both will win, an accum with the other two teams pays a little under 11/2.
All prices from PP as they were a little better.

[Thefonze]

Ballymum 8/13 with power to beat Killester. Have a very good shout for them that they are certs.

[Thefonze]

Thats sound. We will leave it. I though it would be a bit of craic to lay bets I wouldn't have looked at otherwise and have the sweat.



we will do that. between us we might pick a couple of profitable bets.

Here are what I did. Let me know what you would have taken. PP odds.

United /Bolton – Nani to score anytime
Spurs/Wolves- Spurs to win to Nil
Chelsea/Sunderland- Over 2.5 goals
Liverpool/Stoke – Carroll to score anytime
West Brom/Norwich – Draw
Aston Villa/ Everton- Villa to win
Blackburn/Fulham- Blackburn to win
Swansea/Arsenal – Under 2.5 goals
Newcastle/ QPR- Draw
Wigan/ Man City- Dezko to score anytime

[CheckRaise]

I don't have a lot of time to price up each market as best I can but these would be my recommendations:


United /Bolton – Nani to score anytime
6/5 - Lay

Spurs/Wolves- Spurs to win to Nil
11/10 - no bet - this price seems correct to me especially with Dawson back

Chelsea/Sunderland- Over 2.5 goals
8/13 - Lay - O'Neill has Sunderland playing in a more defensive organised fashion and Villas-Boas has toned done his high line defense as he has become more accustomed to the premier league and the ability of even the bottom teams to score against any team.

Liverpool/Stoke – Carroll to score anytime
6/4 - Lay - He cant score against a bunch of midgets never mind against one of the biggest and most organised defenses in the premier league.

West Brom/Norwich – Draw
12/5 - Lay - There could be no goals or 5 in this game and both teams will be looking for the 3 points against eachother.

Aston Villa/ Everton- Villa to win
7/5 - Lay - Will Keane start? How fit is he? Can villa score? Can they score twice as Everton are likely to score.

Blackburn/Fulham- Blackburn to win
9/5 - no bet - price is fairly accurate imo given home advantage and current form. Will Zamora play? Fulham defense can handle the Yaks physicality... Probably the correct price.

Swansea/Arsenal – Under 2.5 goals
10/11 - Back - Swansea at home are a tough team to break down, the smaller pitch wont play to Arsenals strenghts on the wings and Van Persie is back from a break in Dubai. I like the price.

Newcastle/ QPR- Draw
13/5 - Back - Newcastle without Ba is something that is hard to price up. This game could well end in a 1-0 or 1-1.

Wigan/ Man City- Dezko to score anytime
Evens - Lay - He scores in bunches and goes long periods without a goal.




Overall I would be licking my chops to be on the lay side of those bets and would be shocked if they turn a profit but anything can happen in a given weekend.

[shanboghted]

treable around 13/2
Leyton Orient 5/6
hit good form recently untill they got beat handy last week so should be up for this against bottom of the table chesterfield

west ham 11/8 tough game here but west ham have to keep up the pressure on the leaders and with full squad back and good away form should do well

hull 8/11 playing well with peterbro playing poor recently and missing top scorer

[CheckRaise]

I would make one change from my previous selections:

Villa would move from a lay to no bet.

Everton missing Sylvain Distin, Seamus Coleman, Tony Hibbert, Leon Osman, Jack Rodwell, Phil Jagielka.

[fumyname]

Small bit of value in lower leagues

derby 10/11 at home v coventry

sheff utd 5/4 playing great stuff against a poor bury team albeit away

accrington 8/11 are fantastic at home, barnet aee desperate away

and the blink on my accum southend 11/10 away to northampton...

Gl everyone fluttering

[Thefonze]

I would make one change from my previous selections:

Villa would move from a lay to no bet.

Everton missing Sylvain Distin, Seamus Coleman, Tony Hibbert, Leon Osman, Jack Rodwell, Phil Jagielka.

Ok looking fwd to seeing how this goes. Carroll does not start but will get 25 minutes at least. i am confident.

[fumyname]

Y

I would make one change from my previous selections:

Villa would move from a lay to no bet.

Everton missing Sylvain Distin, Seamus Coleman, Tony Hibbert, Leon Osman, Jack Rodwell, Phil Jagielka.

Gibson starting for everton...desperate stuff. Villa are a bet for me now....

[shanboghted]

i think the villa game has goalless draw all over it , everton will be tough to break down as will villa

[CheckRaise]

I generally don't bet the Championship but I had to get on Derby at the price as well.

[CheckRaise]

Red Card for the Yak, that will mess with a lot of bets this weekend

[shanboghted]

going good al 1 up but as we know anything can happen... one time

[shanboghted]

ugh feck ya leyton orient

[CheckRaise]

1/7 today. -4.2 units.

You may end up saving yourself the entire €500 but its not over yet. If your remaining 3 selections win you are up 0.31 units.

[Thefonze]

1/7 today. -4.2 units.

You may end up saving yourself the entire €500 but its not over yet. If your remaining 3 selections win you are up 0.31 units.

Very poor day. No excuses.

[Thefonze]

Ballymum 8/13 with power to beat Killester. Have a very good shout for them that they are certs.

Easy! Hope people took this advice.

[Aya14]

If anyone is interested the F.A.I junior cup continues this week.

Tramore are the value imo 6/5 with PP( only 10/11 with boyles) away to Willow Park. Tramore are probably the best team in Waterford atm and have disposed of better opposition in the round previous.
I'd also fancy Sherriff Y.C at 5/4 with PP(again only 8/13 with boyles) away to Castlebar. Sheriff were knocked out by eventual winners Pike last season.

Those two in singles and a double are well worth a bet imo. The double will pay almost 4/1.

Pike Rovers and St.Michaels both last years finalists are very short at home to Wayside and Wicklow respectively but both will win, an accum with the other two teams pays a little under 11/2.
All prices from PP as they were a little better.

Ugh Tramore needed pens to win the rest doing it in normal time

[CheckRaise]

That would have been one of the easiest €500 I could have made. I hope you didn't back them in the end.

[Thefonze]

That would have been one of the easiest €500 I could have made. I hope you didn't back them in the end.

Yes it would have been , cost me almost 400 but not to worry as I had been on a good run the last few months.

Have 100 on Dezko tonight to score anytime (20 on a hatrick), also City at 4/7 and and the double result backed.

2 hours watching the Wire today so a good day already had!

[CheckRaise]

More to entertain myself than anything else...

Tranmere Draw No Bet
Leicester Draw No Bet
Bolton

2.35 Boyles

[The Situation]

Ladbrokes refunding losing 1st goalscorer bets if Messi scores anytime- decent offer.

[Keane]

Ladbrokes refunding losing 1st goalscorer bets if Messi scores anytime- decent offer.

Would be except they're very underpriced on first goalscorers - Ronaldo only 3/1 compared to 9/2 elsewhere for example.