Only 5 mins gone in the Arsenal game but they look lively and up for it. Cmon the Gunners!
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Bad beat/Moan/Venting Thread - BBV Archive 1
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Originally posted by Fullof..It View PostSay I have an event that is 75% likey to happen.
Bookies have it priced at 1.5. (So bookies have priced event to happen at 50%).
This tells me that there is no value in this right???
But when I run the maths through this im getting at ROI of 12.5%
Say we do 20 bets @ 10 quid stakes. (Total Staked = 200)
We win 15 bets (75% of 20 bets) So 15 bets @ 10*15*0.5 = 75 winnings
We lose 5 bets. So loss is 5*10 = 50
Nett Profit is 25 (75-50) divided by stakes (200) = 12.5% ROI
What am i missing here?Originally posted by eagle eye View PostThis is wrong for a start, if its a coinflip the odds should be even money which would normally mean 10/11 with the bookies.
They have it priced at 75% likely to happen.Foldaramus et foldarabimus
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Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide to... View PostMozambique flag is brilliant imo. Prob doesn't make their tourist office's job any easier!
Anyone got a link for the Arsenal match (no Iraqgoals/Justin or downloads (at worK))
ThanskNo Sig To See Here
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Guest
Originally posted by Flushdraw View PostNever in doubt
miss a sitter, smile, miss another, the confidence is unreal, IF (the big if) he sorts out the finishing could be a very good player imo
Of course Papin never missed as many in his life as Bendtner misses on the average saturday but....
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Guest
I'm being taken up a bit wrong. Obviously everyone is going to pay the price and we need entrepreneurs and business, but don't tell me there wasn't a level of 'lol wtf are you doing becoming a garda/teacher/low grade civil servant, you can make a euro a block on the sites' in this country in the 90s and 00s. I regularly experienced it when I was a postgrad earning buttons.
Now thanks to the cowboyism that prevailed there isn't a cent left for things like what I do for a living, and a result I'll be selling coffee or drawing the dole myself come December unless I luckbox something.
Obviously things are completely chaotic organisationally but all a lot of these people did was what was asked of them and forwent (is that word?) opportunity in place of security. Whether they are right are wrong I don't know, but its perfectly understandable that they want to vent their frustration and not just bend over and take it.
Edit: Also Lazare obviously they are not paying as high a price as you and my intention wasn't to belittle your situation I was trying to make the point that they took the safe option and are still being hit fairly hard so there's something behind their being miffed.Last edited by Guest; 09-03-10, 20:20.
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Guest
Originally posted by rounders123 View PostAnd not Ian Poulter
Originally posted by Elshambo View PostBendtner reminds me in some ways of Ian Poulter
miss a sitter, smile, miss another, the confidence is unreal, IF (the big if) he sorts out the finishing could be a very good player imo
Of course Poulter never missed as many in his life as Bendtner misses on the average saturday but....
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Sucking out is the best way of curing tilt.
a nice 430 bb swing
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (MP) ($11.86)
CO ($6.50)
Button ($7.26)
SB ($1.30)
BB ($54.07)
UTG ($1.47)
Preflop: Hero is MP with 5, 5
UTG bets $0.20, Hero calls $0.20, 1 fold, Button calls $0.20, 1 fold, BB raises $1.15, 1 fold, Hero calls $1, 1 fold
Flop: ($2.82) 6, 2, Q (2 players)
BB bets $2.82, Hero raises $10.66 (All-In), BB calls $7.84
Turn: ($24.14) 8 (2 players, 1 all-in)
River: ($24.14) 5 (2 players, 1 all-in)
Total pot: $24.14
Results:
BB had K, K (one pair, Kings).
Hero had 5, 5 (three of a kind, fives).
Outcome: Hero won $22.54
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LOL @ the BBC updater
2111: Er, bear with me a bit here folks...
2110: GOALFLASH Arsenal 4-0 (agg 5-2) Porto (Eboue)
2109: GOALFLASH Fiorentina 3-2 (agg 4-4) Bayern Munich (Robben)
2108: GOALFLASH Sunderland 2-0 Bolton (Bent)
2108: GOALFLASH Arsenal 3-0 (agg 4-2) Porto (Nasri)
2104: GOALFLASH Fiorentina 3-1 (agg 4-3) Bayern Munich (Juan Vargas)
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Guest
Was flicking through my old photos on the computer. I don't know why I was so set on defending old Lansdowne Rd's memory when this was how I left it!
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UL on losing the jobs lads.
Hopefully you'll bounce back.
take the few days to get hammered then hit the jobsites.
Be prepared for a long slog lots of ignored applications and
weird phone calls and emails. You'll get there in the end.People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21
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Originally posted by Flushdraw View PostLOL you wouldnt stand a chance Fran! I've a lot of pounds to shed myself. Seriously tho, 9.3km in 52 seems pretty good. I'd say average is about 6 miles in an hour so 9.6km
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Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide to... View PostMozambique flag is brilliant imo. Prob doesn't make their tourist office's job any easier!
Turning millions into thousands
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Originally posted by Essien View PostOk, when should I start getting worried?
Originally posted by V for Vendetta View PostThey should show it on BBC2 right after University challenge and followed by Masterchef* I reckon. The links wall is great fun.
*Moving masterchef to BBC1 has been a disaster for me. I've only seen parts of two episodes this season so far....
Anywhere you can watch the episodes on-line? Presume that the BBC iplayer thingy is only for UK residents
Originally posted by jackyback View Post9.3k run in 52 mins....good/bad?
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Originally posted by Lao Lao View PostThat's not too bad but I reckon you could easily shave about 7-10 minutes off that with some decent training. If you ran the whole marathon at the above pace, you would be coming in around the 3hr 52min mark which is ok. Running the marathon at a pace of 9.3k in 45mins would get you around the course in roughly 3hrs 23mins.
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