Football-betting thread

[shano_88]

Gone already

Max bet was €10.

[Donk Magnet]

Pp doing city at evs for tonight good bet yes/no?
Home form has to be massive sway here.

[Keane]

Link to evens?

[A_CitizenErased]

Pp doing city at evs for tonight good bet yes/no?
Home form has to be massive sway here.

City have been 10/11 for most of today.

[KevIRL]

Pp doing city at evs for tonight good bet yes/no?
Home form has to be massive sway here.

Depends if Savic starts imo. If he does then I wouldnt be touching City

[shano_88]

Depends if Savic starts imo. If he does then I wouldnt be touching City

this.

If Lescott and Kompany start Ill be backing.

[KevIRL]

Arsenal 5/4 with PP v Everton, will keep an eye for the teams but could be value considering how Moyes clearly prioritised the cup with his last league game line up.

[Percy007]

Arsenal 5/4 with PP v Everton, will keep an eye for the teams but could be value considering how Moyes clearly prioritised the cup with his last league game line up.

That was away from Woodison, They have beaten City and Spurs there already, they are a difficult team to beat at home no matter who they start.

[A_CitizenErased]

All over City tonight.

Napoli wincast with Lavezzi too.

[KevIRL]

Chelsea

Cech, Ivanovic, Cole, Luiz, Ramires, Lampard, Torres, Mata, Mikel, Meireles, Cahill

Man City

Hart/Zabaletta Richards Toure Clichy/Yaya De Jong/Silva Agüero Nasri/Balotelli

hmmmm, No Savic for City, Torres ahead of Drogba for Chelsea. Will have to be City for me

[A_CitizenErased]

Fun tenner on Torres anytime scorer at 3/1.

[shanboghted]

small 40/1 treble for interest tonight on everton, city -1 and ipswich -1.

[CheckRaise]

I can see Cahill or Luiz scoring tonight against that back 4.

[KevIRL]

Everton: Howard, Baines, Distin, Heitinga, Hibbert, Osman, Pienaar, Cahill, Jelavic, Drenthe, Fellaini

strong team, scratch that gooners bet so

[A_CitizenErased]

Posting another lone bet here but Luiz to be booked tonight is definitely worth a punt. Im on

[CheckRaise]

chelsea over 20 points (card index) at 4/6 with powers is a great bet.

[The Situation]

In the last half hour I managed to convince myself from wanting to back Arsenal -1 to actually leaning towards backing Villa +2 to then just leaving it and reviewing when teams are announced. Productive!

[CheckRaise]

I don't bet the French league too often so I'm not as familiar with that league but my database has thrown up Toulouse to beat Auxerre as very good value.

What is the opinion on this game?

[A_CitizenErased]

Everytime I have bet on the French league their has been a Hicup. Teams are very very incosistent.

[Wesley Harms]

Everytime I have bet on the French league their has been a Hicup. Teams are very very incosistent.

This is the worst sentence i have ever read, grammar and spelling wise anyway

[A_CitizenErased]

This is the worst sentence i have ever read, grammar and spelling wise anyway

[blanchero]

I don't bet the French league too often so I'm not as familiar with that league but my database has thrown up Toulouse to beat Auxerre as very good value.

What is the opinion on this game?

whats ur database if u dont mind me askin? not askin for anythin specific,just literally what is it?

[CheckRaise]

I input my own variation of the stats for a number of leagues updated after every game. It gives a good guideline on what to bet on but obviously its only part of the evaluation process.

[Terry Phelan]

What do people think about Celtic at 6/5??? I know its a derby etc Rangers have a very thrown together team at the moment and Celtic would be gunning to seal the league at Ibrox

[Micknail]

I don't bet the French league too often so I'm not as familiar with that league but my database has thrown up Toulouse to beat Auxerre as very good value.

What is the opinion on this game?

Suscribed!

[The Situation]

Like the in running 15/8 about United -2. Can see them cutting loose in the 2nd half here.

[CheckRaise]

This weeks unders game (that I won't be backing myself):

Fiorentina v Chievo

[Thefonze]

I input my own variation of the stats for a number of leagues updated after every game. It gives a good guideline on what to bet on but obviously its only part of the evaluation process.

Does it pay? By that I mean does it pass the Spar scenario, where if you would earn more per hour working in Spar than you do from your system that you may as well get a job in Spar.

[KK82]

Ayyyyyy! He's back!!

[Donk Magnet]

Does it pay? By that I mean does it pass the Spar scenario, where if you would earn more per hour working in Spar than you do from your system that you may as well get a job in Spar.

So now we have the spar thread vs your dole thread as in you would earn more on the dole than your tips.

Fwiw I've followed a good few of cr tips and a lot are fairly spot on.

[Flushdraw]

Going to try a new 'system ' of trawling through some of the lesser leagues to try and find a value double bet. Obviously still going to be behind the bookies because i know little about most of these other than stats, but going to try a couple of weeks of doubles to see where i'm at. If it's looking good, i'll take it a bit more serious and delve a bit deeper but for now it's only for fun.

Oostende away to Tienen in Belgian League Div 2 @5/6

Oostende have won their last 7 games and are up to 3rd in the league while Tienen are 2nd bottom with only 6 wins from 28 game and a 1/1/3 from their last 5 games and an overall Home Record of 2/3/8

Oostende have only played 2 teams in the top half of the league during their streak but 5/6 seems like a decent punt

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1860 Munchen home to Hansa Rostock in German League Div 2 @4/7

While not in fantastic form themlselves, 1860 are 6th in the league. They've won their last game but have failed to win the previous 4 games (2 of those games were against teams above them). Before this shakey spell, they'd won 9 from their previous 10

Rostock are bottom of the league with only 2 wins from their 27 games and have an away record of 0/5/8. In their last 5 games, they've drew 1 and lost 4 so can't see them stopping 1860.

4/7 looks too big on 1860 ftw

A double is 2.88/1

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Also came across this which is interesting

Gyor to draw 1-1 away to Zalaegerszegi Hungarian League Div 2 @13/2

Gyor are lying 2nd in the league and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5 games.

Zalaeg are rock bottom of the league and yet to register a win. They opened the campaign with 5 straight defeats and have since won 8 and drawn 8 of their last 16 games. Strangely, all 8 draws have come in their last 8 home games, 7 of which have ended 1-1 so it's worth a tenner @ 13/2

Gyor @ 8/13 ftw is where i was originally looking before noticed the run of draws and thought it looked tastier

[Fullof..It]

Going to try a new 'system ' of trawling through some of the lesser leagues to try and find a value double bet. Obviously still going to be behind the bookies because i know little about most of these other than stats, but going to try a couple of weeks of doubles to see where i'm at. If it's looking good, i'll take it a bit more serious and delve a bit deeper but for now it's only for fun.

Oostende away to Tienen in Belgian League Div 2 @5/6

Oostende have won their last 7 games and are up to 3rd in the league while Tienen are 2nd bottom with only 6 wins from 28 game and a 1/1/3 from their last 5 games and an overall Home Record of 2/3/8

Oostende have only played 2 teams in the top half of the league during their streak but 5/6 seems like a decent punt

-------------------------------------------------------

1860 Munchen home to Hansa Rostock in German League Div 2 @4/7

While not in fantastic form themlselves, 1860 are 6th in the league. They've won their last game but have failed to win the previous 4 games (2 of those games were against teams above them). Before this shakey spell, they'd won 9 from their previous 10

Rostock are bottom of the league with only 2 wins from their 27 games and have an away record of 0/5/8. In their last 5 games, they've drew 1 and lost 4 so can't see them stopping 1860.

4/7 looks too big on 1860 ftw

A double is 2.88/1

---------------------------------------------------------

Also came across this which is interesting

Gyor to draw 1-1 away to Zalaegerszegi Hungarian League Div 2 @13/2

Gyor are lying 2nd in the league and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5 games.

Zalaeg are rock bottom of the league and yet to register a win. They opened the campaign with 5 straight defeats and have since won 8 and drawn 8 of their last 16 games. Strangely, all 8 draws have come in their last 8 home games, 7 of which have ended 1-1 so it's worth a tenner @ 13/2

Gyor @ 8/13 ftw is where i was originally looking before noticed the run of draws and thought it looked tastier

where you pulling your stats from?

[Flushdraw]

where you pulling your stats from?

Random stat sites around the net. These 2 plus a couple of others

http://www.soccerboards.com/tables_detail.php?l=1

http://www.soccerstats.com/latest.asp?league=england

[KevIRL]

Any fancies in the Macedonian 3rd division FD?

[Flushdraw]

Any fancies in the Macedonian 3rd division FD?

Rabotnicki v Oktomvri Prilep @ 3/10

Rab 6th in league, won their last 3 and unbeaten in 6
Okt bottom of the league, lost their last 3 and not won in 7

Renova Dzepciste v Teteks Tetovo @ 1/2

Renova won their last 2 and only lost 1 in last 8
Teteks lost 5-1 at home to Renova last week and have only won 1 in 6

Vardar Skopje v Bregalnica Stip @ 2/9

Vardar top of the league, unbeaten in 22, won their last 5
Breg mid table, lost 3 of their last 5

Treble is almost 6/4

[Wesley Harms]

Flushdraw has lost the plot. Officially I

[KevIRL]

Are Rabotnicki in the 3rd div now? I remember them playing a Europa League qualifier against Liverpool just a couple of seasons ago

[Wesley Harms]

Tony you do realise that the more obscure the game, the less value you can get. The bookies take no chances in games like that, ones they know little about. Most teams are generally underpriced.

[Flushdraw]

Are Rabotnicki in the 3rd div now? I remember them playing a Europa League qualifier against Liverpool just a couple of seasons ago

Nah the top league, wasn't going delving that much

Tony you do realise that the more obscure the game, the less value you can get. The bookies take no chances in games like that, ones they know little about. Most teams are generally underpriced.

They can't underprice all 3 outcomes? I know what you mean tho but we're having a go anyway!

[pocket9s]

I think Bolton are worth a small interest.

The Muamba thing has made them fight harder and wolves are just awful at the minute.

Hope someone listen

[CheckRaise]

Does it pay? By that I mean does it pass the Spar scenario, where if you would earn more per hour working in Spar than you do from your system that you may as well get a job in Spar.

The owners of spar always seem to change after 3 or 4 years. With the prices they charge I reckon they are all retired in Florida.

[Flushdraw]

lol 1860 lost 1-0 at home, bollox anyway!!

[Opr]

9/4 on Newcastle looks big. If Carragher starts Ba and Cisse will have a field day.

Opr

[The C Kid]

9/4 on Newcastle looks big. If Carragher starts Ba and Cisse will have a field day.

Opr

The Liverpool price is the most unrealistic April Fool I've seen all day.

[Fullof..It]

The Liverpool price is the most unrealistic April Fool I've seen all day.

I agree about Liverpool price. However system im using is throwing them out as a value bet. It had QPR yesterday

[pocket9s]

Newcastle are 5/4 draw no bet with paddy power

[Semibluff]

I agree about Liverpool price. However system im using is throwing them out as a value bet. It had QPR yesterday

Liverpool are .91 - 1/4 at the moment
I'm on them 2.05 - 1/4 from yesterday

Was also on QPR yesterday fwiw +1 (both asian HCs)

[The Situation]

Spread over 6 Liverpool corners, the lack of Stewart Downsyndrome in the lineup doesn't make me happy. Hoping for Suarez's usual umpteen shots from completely unlikely angles

[Semibluff]

Spread over 6 Liverpool corners, the lack of Stewart Downsyndrome in the lineup doesn't make me happy. Hoping for Suarez's usual umpteen shots from completely unlikely angles

were do you bet these markets, spreadex or sporting index?

[The Situation]

were do you bet these markets, spreadex or sporting index?

Index usually. Only seem to resort to such degeneracy when hungover heh.

[NewApproach]

Is this match being fixed or something? The odds pre match were ridiculous, and now Liverpool are trading at 4.2 4.3 ????

[CheckRaise]

Looking at tonights europa matches I can see every team scoring at just under 7/1.

[Raheny Red]

Ladbrokes will refund losing first goalscorer bets in the Europa League clash between Bilbao and Schalke if Fernando Llorente scores at any time. I'm on Llorente @ 4/1, cracking MBS!

[eagle eye]

Really like the over 11 corners in the Swansea/Newastle game.

[FeetMagic]

Looking at tonights europa matches I can see every team scoring at just under 7/1.

Nice shout.

[The Situation]

Think Seville 12/5 is the weekends standout bet. Bilbao's results post Europa league have been poor this season but awful since reaching the knockout stages. Very clear what their priority is, even benched a few of their stars last weekend against Barca in prep for the Shalke game on Thursday. They've fairly little to fight for in the league now as European spots look out of reach, so can't see their main concentration deviating from the Europa league and Spanish cup final. Fatigue also a big factor after said tough game on Thursday. Seville on the other hand are making a late push for Europe, winning 3 on the bounce and the league is their sole focus.

Like Sunderland best priced 5/2 with pinnacle at home to Spurs tomorrow too. Might chicken out and go draw no bet here though.

[eagle eye]

David Dunn starts = Blackburn very good value at 3/1.

[eagle eye]

Ugh fml. Gotta go in again now and I hate it.

[FeetMagic]

Thoughts on Everton v Liverpool at weekend? Ton 6/5 DNB with Bfair.

[A_CitizenErased]

Just a heads up... The PP enhanced footy treble tonight at 11/2 is SERIOUS value. Real Madrid, Arsenal and Munich.