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10NL Middle set on draw heavy board facing massive overshove 270bb deep

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    10NL Middle set on draw heavy board facing massive overshove 270bb deep

    I'm running at 22/22 and villian is 20/19 (50 hands) and CO is 12/11 (270 hands) with a fold to cbet of 35%. To me this seems like a draw and villian just wants to end the hand. Seems like a very expensive semi-bluff. I can't see 86 in his range here at all anyway. Best he has is an overpair TT+ I think. So while playing this hand I'm putting his range on 55,99+, Ahxh, Khxh, JhTh, Th8h, 5h6h, T8 and some random bluffs with little equity like JTo. How's my thought process here? And what's my line call/fold?


    Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    SB ($10)
    BB ($4.05)
    UTG ($5.48)
    MP ($27.50)
    CO ($10.16)
    Hero (Button) ($28.33)

    Preflop: Hero is Button with 7, 7
    1 fold, MP bets $0.40, CO calls $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, 2 folds

    Flop: ($1.35) 7, 9, 5 (3 players)
    MP bets $0.90, CO calls $0.90, Hero raises to $3.80, MP raises to $27.10 (All-In), CO calls $8.86 (All-In), Hero?

    #2
    snap calls. Even vs the tightest range you're in fine shape

    Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

    900,291 games 0.047 secs 19,155,127 games/sec

    Board: 7h 9h 5s
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 13.088% 12.71% 00.37% 114458 3369.50 { JJ+, 99, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh }
    Hand 1: 43.108% 42.73% 00.38% 384695 3405.50 { 99, 55, QhJh, JhTh, 97s, 86s+, 76s, 6h5h, 86o+, 76o }
    Hand 2: 43.804% 43.43% 00.38% 390971 3392.00 { 7c7d }


    btw, you absolutely crush MP who you are 270bbs deep with, you are more worried by CO imo. Never ever ever ever ever ever ever ever folding. The side pot between you and MP is 350bbs, where you have him dominated. You're Still in very good shape vs the COs range for the 300bb main pot.
    Last edited by Emmet; 10-04-11, 11:08.

    Comment


      #3
      I'd be a lot more concerned about MP than CO but obviously this is the easiest call in the entire world. Folding would be horrendously bad. Middle set on a very wet board = ship the loots
      Looking for full or part time poker and betting writers. PM if interested.

      Comment


        #4
        Auto-call. Honestly wouldn't even stop to think about it
        If you lost so be it

        Comment


          #5
          Ah come on, really?

          Stick the dough in ffs.

          Comment


            #6
            K was just making sure I made the right move as I heard deep play is about nut peddling more or less. Turns out he's just a fish that didn't have much of anything. I took down the side pot with CO taking the main.

            Comment


              #7
              what hands did they have?

              MP with the overpair and CO with the monster draw?

              Comment


                #8
                Not even MP had A9dd and CO had 99.

                Comment


                  #9
                  lol 10nl.

                  Why can't I beat you for good?

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Originally posted by Emmet View Post
                    lol 10nl.

                    Why can't I beat you for good?
                    Ha you're telling me! Ah I'm starting to recover now it seems with the help of you guys.

                    Comment

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