Originally posted by The Situation
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Originally posted by The Situation View PostI think she was talking about best picture going by the others listed that all won.
Regardless the post replied to was clearly talking about any oscar.
[Butterfly Effect]
Didn't win an Oscar. I gave it a personal. One
Oscar betting.
Is there any categories with a bit of a sweat on? I though Best Director might have been a coinflip. But seems like Guillermo Del Toro is a lock at 1/10
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Originally posted by The Situation View Posthttps://www.theguardian.com/football...de-astori-dies
This pretty tragic. Although kinda drastic to cancel all the days games because of it. Don't think the premier league would do that for a Jordan Henderson or whoever."Gibney might be the greatest hero of our time." (Keane, 2012; Hitchhiker, 2017)
"Frank Gibney, he's my favourite ." (careca, 2012)
"Frank Gibney, he's my favourite." (mikeb, 2017)
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Interesting results coming from the incomplete vote counts in Italy. 5 Star and the League both performing above expectations. Significantly the League beating Forza Italia meaning Matteo Salvini would be PM if they can form a viable coalition. Crushing defeat for the incumbents.Last edited by jack90210; 05-03-18, 07:34.
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Originally posted by jack90210 View PostInteresting results coming from the incomplete vote counts in Italy. 5 Star and the League both performing above expectations. Significantly the League beating Forza Italia meaning Matteo Salvini would be PM if they can form a viable coalition. Crushing defeat for the incumbents.
Italian politics is and always has been fucking mentalPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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We watched three Oscar hopefuls over the past week; Ladybird, The Shape of Water and I, Tonya. Enjoyed I, Tonya the most, thought The Shape of Water was a bit rubbish (a bit self indulgent maybe?) and Ladybird was total meh (think Saoirse is a great actress though, Brooklyn was really good).
Having a new baby seems like a great excuse to stay in and watch TV/movies! Back in the office today, trying to remember how work goes...
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Originally posted by jack90210 View PostHe was the one who did the Italian piece recently so assume DP was referring to John Oliver.
Same advice would apply to any of those "comedians".
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Originally posted by jack90210 View PostPlease please don't base your knowledge on a topic off what John Oliver says!!!Originally posted by jack90210 View PostHe was the one who did the Italian piece recently so assume DP was referring to John Oliver.
Same advice would apply to any of those "comedians".
Between the italian elections, AFd, Xi's presidency for life bid, Brexit, US politics going further right and Russia starting an arms race, it is like the opening chapter in the origins of WW3
/hyperbolePeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Originally posted by DeadParrot View PostYeah it was last week tonight.
Between the italian elections, AFd, Xi's presidency for life bid, Brexit, US politics going further right and Russia starting an arms race, it is like the opening chapter in the origins of WW3
/hyperbole
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Guest
Interview presentation seemed to go pretty terribly. Pretty sure it's impossible to talk about anything in a meaningful way in 10 minutes.
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Originally posted by zuutroy View PostInterview presentation seemed to go pretty terribly. Pretty sure it's impossible to talk about anything in a meaningful way in 10 minutes.
Toastmasters helps tremendously here.
I would have never have believed I would recommend it before doing it but it's great for giving you experience in shaping and delivering presentations, interviews etcPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Guest
The teaching presentation was a lecture that would typically run for an hour condensed down to 10 mins, and the research one was 'career to date plus 5 year plan' in 10 mins!
Only positive is that everyone is in the same boat!
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Originally posted by DeadParrot View PostYeah it was last week tonight.
Between the italian elections, AFd, Xi's presidency for life bid, Brexit, US politics going further right and Russia starting an arms race, it is like the opening chapter in the origins of WW3
/hyperbole"We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Originally posted by zuutroy View PostInterview presentation seemed to go pretty terribly. Pretty sure it's impossible to talk about anything in a meaningful way in 10 minutes."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Originally posted by CourierCollie View PostIt's 1.24 in the ICU and CC has finally stopped tripping. He doesn't think he's had any morphine since Thursday, but can't be certain of anything really. Moving to a regular ward in the morning. Looking forward to a few hours continuous sleep.
Reason I am asking, you are the only one to thank the post with the picture of the hot girl with the brennan's undies haha.
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Originally posted by MrsFlushdraw View PostGreat to hear you moving to a normal ward. But I do have to ask the question. What did they do to your heart?
Reason I am asking, you are the only one to thank the post with the picture of the hot girl with the brennan's undies haha."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Originally posted by Denny Crane View PostI'm curious to see how it plays out.
I think the midterms are going to shape the future of the USA for the next 10 years, especially with the PA gerrymandering case being decided in the courts, it will lead to some other challenges around the country.
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The early birds have pumped the IPB Cheltenham Tipping Competition™
up to a very respectable €1,250. The more relaxed sorts will no doubt take us over the €2k summit - get in on the action today and win all dem monies.
"We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Originally posted by Strewelpeter View PostThe tariff announcements are the work of a stable genius, yeah?
If we all stopped freaking out, things would get better, or at least they would stop getting worse."I can’t find anyone who agrees with what I write or think these days, so I guess I must be getting closer to the truth." - Hunter S. Thompson
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Originally posted by AndyFatBastard View PostJust because new problems are being created, doesn't mean that the overall quality of life of the world isn't getting better. 300,000 people will be connected to the electricity grid today. Part of the reason people like Trump exist is because everyone's convinced the world is in a jock, therefore radical change is required. In actual fact the world is doing great and getting better. The right wing side of this coin is sending a troll to the whitehouse. The life wing side is identitity politics, communism and anarchy. Both are terrible solutions to a non-existent problem.
If we all stopped freaking out, things would get better, or at least they would stop getting worse.
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Originally posted by AndyFatBastard View PostJust because new problems are being created, doesn't mean that the overall quality of life of the world isn't getting better. 300,000 people will be connected to the electricity grid today. Part of the reason people like Trump exist is because everyone's convinced the world is in a jock, therefore radical change is required. In actual fact the world is doing great and getting better. The right wing side of this coin is sending a troll to the whitehouse. The life wing side is identitity politics, communism and anarchy. Both are terrible solutions to a non-existent problem.
If we all stopped freaking out, things would get better, or at least they would stop getting worse.
Things were better when only important people knew things."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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For example, I think I remember seeing some study that peoples' happiness doesn't increase with income after some level, say 100k or something. So HDI may increase but it has no positive impact on how happy a person might be.
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Originally posted by Keane View PostI imagine it's self-reported. Thanks for the link - I've come across HDI before but not sure how much I delved into it. It looks superficially decent at least - life expectancy seems like a fairly easily agreed upon measurement. Without saying extra education and extra money are bad (obviously) using them as analogs for happiness feels like it has some sort of ideological presuppositions baked in that someone just self-reporting doesn't.
For example, I think I remember seeing some study that peoples' happiness doesn't increase with income after some level, say 100k or something. So HDI may increase but it has no positive impact on how happy a person might be.
People are convincing themselves that they are unhappy even though their material circumstances are better than ever. Then you have malevolent actors who have a vested interest in spreading fear and hatred in the liberal democracies - hence Trump, Brexit, AfD, Northern League etc etc, where people seek to blame 'The Other' (the EU, Mexicans, Arabs, take your pick) for all of their perceived problems.
Luckily we in Ireland haven't succumbed to this (much) yet.
The good news is that most of the outcomes (Trump, Brexit) have been so manifestly awful that there should be a swing back to the centre as a result. One would hope."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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I see an article about that study here suggesting that the income level (75k USD in this case) is the limit at which day to day happiness is affected by income.
It goes on to say that overall contentment with life outside of day to day is still improved by earning more money - so the study's result is a lot less powerful than the impression I had. Would seem to bolster the validity of the HDI notion.
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Originally posted by Keane View PostAre there any studies/measurements about whether people are getting happier?
The tl;dr version is peoples baseline of happiness doesn't change much no matter the circumstances.
SPOILERtake a dude winning the lotto and a dude losing a leg. Ask them each before the event how happy they are and about 5 years later. The happiness shock will have abated and both should be normalized more or less.
Our desire to improve our happiness has dramatically increased (largely thanks to our perceived perception of the happiness of others) and we are looking for wackier and wackier ways to change it.
Which also ties into the books quite ringing endorsement of buddahismPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Originally posted by Keane View PostAre there any studies/measurements about whether people are getting happier?
Happiness is a terrible measure of quality of life anyway. At risk of going full Peterson, people need meaning and purpose. But first they need to not be dying from preventable illnesses."I can’t find anyone who agrees with what I write or think these days, so I guess I must be getting closer to the truth." - Hunter S. Thompson
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Originally posted by Keane View PostI see an article about that study here suggesting that the income level (75k USD in this case) is the limit at which day to day happiness is affected by income.
It goes on to say that overall contentment with life outside of day to day is still improved by earning more money - so the study's result is a lot less powerful than the impression I had. Would seem to bolster the validity of the HDI notion.
http://content.time.com/time/magazin...019628,00.html
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Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Postit's the downside to almost perfect informational symmetry - everyone thinks everything is important and thus amplified.
Things were better when only important people knew things."I can’t find anyone who agrees with what I write or think these days, so I guess I must be getting closer to the truth." - Hunter S. Thompson
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Originally posted by AndyFatBastard View PostI'm convinced at this point that the nerds should have kept the internet to themselves.
it really was (with a generous application of rose tinted glasses) quite magical when I started out.Last edited by DeadParrot; 05-03-18, 12:23.People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View PostI think that's the problem though.
People are convincing themselves that they are unhappy even though their material circumstances are better than ever. Then you have malevolent actors who have a vested interest in spreading fear and hatred in the liberal democracies - hence Trump, Brexit, AfD, Northern League etc etc, where people seek to blame 'The Other' (the EU, Mexicans, Arabs, take your pick) for all of their perceived problems.
Luckily we in Ireland haven't succumbed to this (much) yet.
The good news is that most of the outcomes (Trump, Brexit) have been so manifestly awful that there should be a swing back to the centre as a result. One would hope.
If people are convinced they are less happy despite improving material circumstances the conclusion that people are fooling themselves isn't one we should be drawing automatically! It's like saying your feet are the wrong size for your shoes - the problem is stated the wrong way round.
Someone who is convinced they are less happy is less happy.
It's possible there is no inherent relationship between improving material circumstances and improving feelings of happiness. I'm not saying that's the case, but it's something I've found myself wondering about over the last few years. One thing I have definitely noticed amongst people around my age in my sort of demographic is a tendency to focus on career progression, increased salary, accumulation of stuff etc in place of reflecting on whether or not these things are improving their general sense of well-being. This would seem to be the sort of three card trick a world dominated by profit motive would want to play so it's worth thinking about I think.
A bit of a ramble admittedly, so apologies - it just happens my sister is thinking about taking a break from a very stressful career to go and live and work somewhere sunny for a while which has this stuff in my head.
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Some may enjoy: https://www.amazon.com/Rational-Opti.../dp/0061452068
It offers a different perspective to the usual doomsday stuff, Ridley is an advocate of Brexit I believe and he makes a good core argument. I read it straight after Sapiens and they were quite juxtaposed.
Bill Gates strongly opposes a number of his points on aid etc but offers a fairly balanced review: https://www.gatesnotes.com/Books/Afr...lawed-Theories
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Think we've only so much capacity for happiness and it relies on a more relative measure, something like expectations minus reality. In evolutionary terms, being content and happy doesn't do much for drive and the spread of the species. Don' think it's something that we should be using as the main measure.
Presume hotspur will pop in and school us at some stage.
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People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21
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Originally posted by AndyFatBastard View PostBaby steps. We're in the process of eliminating starvation.
Happiness is a terrible measure of quality of life anyway. At risk of going full Peterson, people need meaning and purpose. But first they need to not be dying from preventable illnesses.
Meaning and purpose is similarly hand wavy. How do we judge what a good purpose is without asking whether focussing on it makes anyone any happier?
I enjoy my work but don't particularly believe I'm making the world a better place by helping to design slightly improved chips for data centres so that facebook and google can more efficiently harvest peoples' data.
Originally posted by DeadParrot View Postquite an interesting chapter in this in Sapiens.
The tl;dr version is peoples baseline of happiness doesn't change much no matter the circumstances.
SPOILERtake a dude winning the lotto and a dude losing a leg. Ask them each before the event how happy they are and about 5 years later. The happiness shock will have abated and both should be normalized more or less.
Our desire to improve our happiness has dramatically increased (largely thanks to our perceived perception of the happiness of others) and we are looking for wackier and wackier ways to change it.
Which also ties into the books quite ringing endorsement of buddahism
The example in your spoiler is a good one. It sort of raises a question about whether scrambling to achieve increased materiel wealth is just a big waste of time for most of us.
Originally posted by Mike Bullocks View PostNot feeling like death perks me up no end. Im a health over wealth advocate ..I know you can have both but my attitude to money is meh.
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Originally posted by Keane View Post
A bit of a ramble admittedly, so apologies - it just happens my sister is thinking about taking a break from a very stressful career to go and live and work somewhere sunny for a while which has this stuff in my head.Originally posted by Denny Crane View PostPower out sigh. Fire alarm started going off too. American guy downstairs was in a serious quandary about disabling the system.
"I'd say we'll be ok for tonight mate"
The desire for comfort and hedonism can never really be fully satiated so maybe only a good life can lead to happiness?
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Originally posted by DeadParrot View Postquite an interesting chapter in this in Sapiens.
The tl;dr version is peoples baseline of happiness doesn't change much no matter the circumstances.
take a dude winning the lotto and a dude losing a leg. Ask them each before the event how happy they are and about 5 years later. The happiness shock will have abated and both should be normalized more or less.
Originally posted by Keane View PostThe example in your spoiler is a good one. It sort of raises a question about whether scrambling to achieve increased materiel wealth is just a big waste of time for most of us.No beast so fierce but knows some touch of pity, but I know none, therefore am no beast.
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Originally posted by Keane View PostThat just seems like begging the question. How do you judge quality of life without recourse to happiness?
Meaning and purpose is similarly hand wavy. How do we judge what a good purpose is without asking whether focussing on it makes anyone any happier?
I enjoy my work but don't particularly believe I'm making the world a better place by helping to design slightly improved chips for data centres so that facebook and google can more efficiently harvest peoples' data."I can’t find anyone who agrees with what I write or think these days, so I guess I must be getting closer to the truth." - Hunter S. Thompson
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Originally posted by Denny Crane View PostThe guy downstairs was giving out that the alarm going off was the worst thing ever, pretty clear he'd had a relatively sheltered life. Was pondering on that when I tried to go back to bed. What's the optimal level of comfort for happiness, or is there any? Does it just balance at a certain point? If one is used to opulence, even a minor drawback is an ordeal.
The desire for comfort and hedonism can never really be fully satiated so maybe only a good life can lead to happiness?
Craving leads to suffering - Siddhartha Gautama/Buddha. Basically the aim is not to be happy it is to be content.
Since this is out of reach or not desirable for most people I'd agree with you on the good life, living a life which you feel is a good one, doing something you think is worthwhile and maintaining relationships. We certainly won't be looking back with fondness at our shoe collections as we approach game over.
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Originally posted by AndyFatBastard View PostThe only pressure she's under to continue in the high paying job, at the end of the day, comes from within herself.
Hence the need to maintain and improve upon her high-paying circumstances."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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