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    Originally posted by LuckyLloyd View Post
    BBC eggheads saying they expected a much stronger Labour swing in both
    I read an interesting article during the week on 538 where Silver reckoned that in situations where the pundits and 'smart' money (i.e. betting markets) say the polls are going to be wrong in one direction they almost always end up wrong in the other direction.

    Comment


      Boris worth a punt for next PM @ 10s?

      Comment


        ...
        "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

        Comment


          Originally posted by LuckyLloyd View Post
          Considering the avalanche of ridicule Corbyn has suffered over the last two years, to make this a horserace is astonishing. The resilience of a fucking cockroach. Fair play to that man!!
          I'd agree BUT fuck me he is being well managed thru the campaign, same guy who was gonna make subs for trident but not the missile itself

          Still want him to pull off the miracle but he is a well managed Michael foot with some self awareness

          Comment


            Originally posted by mcnugget View Post
            Boris worth a punt for next PM @ 10s?
            Bird who took the shit at the debates SHOULD, for all her faults be a mortal lock

            Comment


              Originally posted by LuckyLloyd View Post
              If the Conservatives end up on 340 and Labour gain even a few seats it will have been a great result for Corbyn - but it'll feel disappointing after the exit poll.
              Cutting the gap and stopping her building a massive lead is a win; everything else is bonus!

              Comment


                Originally posted by Elshambles View Post
                Cutting the gap and stopping her building a massive lead is a win; everything else is bonus!
                Oh I agree.
                "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

                Comment


                  ...
                  "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                  Comment


                    Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post
                    Her seats in a bit of doubt though

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                      Same again for the 3rd seat.

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                        It's great that election night boozing is worth it again,all the volatility and pollsters not having a clue is fantastic
                        Was a while there where you could wrap it up st 11 and no tension as pollsters spoiled everything

                        Comment


                          North east way off the exit polls.
                          Might be irrelevant if enough young people turned out in the right places and enough tactical voting occurred.
                          Turning millions into thousands

                          Comment


                            ...
                            "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                            Comment


                              ...
                              "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                              Comment


                                Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post
                                Where's your swing now doubters?
                                Swindon interesting anyway

                                Comment


                                  ...
                                  "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                  Comment


                                    Major warning:

                                    Yougov's prediction for Sunderland was Lab 56, Con 29, Ukip 8. Result was Lab 60, Con 30, Ukip 6.

                                    Newcastle. Yougov - Lab 63, Con 25. Result Lab 65, Con 25.

                                    overall prediction 302-269
                                    "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

                                    Comment


                                      Originally posted by Keane View Post
                                      Seriously guys.

                                      Comment


                                        Originally posted by LuckyLloyd View Post
                                        Major warning:
                                        Delicious if true

                                        Comment


                                          Swindon North:

                                          Con 53.6
                                          Lab 38.4

                                          Yougov:

                                          Con 52
                                          Lab 35
                                          "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

                                          Comment


                                            Washington & Sunderland West:

                                            Lab 60.7
                                            Con 28.8

                                            Yougov:

                                            Lab 57%
                                            Con 29%
                                            "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

                                            Comment


                                              ...
                                              "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                              Comment


                                                Greetings from Kowloon. Rather epic stuff. JezWeCan.

                                                Comment


                                                  Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post
                                                  ffs

                                                  Surely the postal vote will be massively pro labour and anti Tory.

                                                  Comment




                                                    This looks accurate thus far!!
                                                    "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

                                                    Comment


                                                      ...
                                                      "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                      Comment


                                                        Sterling looking v mispriced the last while imo

                                                        Comment


                                                          ...
                                                          "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                          Comment


                                                            Kettering:

                                                            Con 57.9
                                                            Lab 36.5

                                                            YouGov:

                                                            Con 60
                                                            Lab 32
                                                            "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

                                                            Comment


                                                              ...
                                                              "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                              Comment



                                                                jaysus, they do gobshites in every flavour in england
                                                                People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                                                                Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                                                                https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

                                                                Comment


                                                                  Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post
                                                                  What's it doing?
                                                                  Tanking way slower than BF.

                                                                  Comment


                                                                    Okay, Yougov underestimated Con vote in Nuneaton and Broxbourne, but called the Labour vote correctly
                                                                    "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

                                                                    Comment


                                                                      Such a night...
                                                                      Turning millions into thousands

                                                                      Comment


                                                                        Battersea would be a massive shock. One of the bellwether constituencies.

                                                                        Comment


                                                                          Sold Con seats at 390 a good while ago, cashed out at 325 at 10.30pm . Happy with return but last while after cashing out its been wrong move so likely on current form Cons will get the 326 required

                                                                          Comment


                                                                            sigh now spread is 314-320 . my run continues

                                                                            Comment


                                                                              Originally posted by TheDrunkenOne View Post
                                                                              Sold Con seats at 390 a good while ago, cashed out at 325 at 10.30pm . Happy with return but last while after cashing out its been wrong move so likely on current form Cons will get the 326 required
                                                                              Not sure mate, initial results indicated the Exit Poll could have been wrong but as results go on the picture is muddying somewhat. No Majority 1.42 on Betfair right now
                                                                              "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

                                                                              Comment


                                                                                Shock northern votes labour ? Any shocks down london way ?
                                                                                This too shall pass.

                                                                                Comment


                                                                                  Originally posted by oleras View Post
                                                                                  Shock northern votes labour ? Any shocks down london way ?
                                                                                  Rumours about Kensington of all places!

                                                                                  Fuck this im backing Labour Most Seats @ 20s

                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                    Originally posted by mcnugget View Post
                                                                                    Rumours about Kensington of all places!

                                                                                    Fuck this im backing Labour Most Seats @ 20s
                                                                                    Stranger things and all that.

                                                                                    Lots have gone to bed at this time donedeal to awake to carnage.
                                                                                    This too shall pass.

                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                      Disappointing lack of monster raving looney party antics so far,do they even exist anymore
                                                                                      And UKIP ,did I miss something about them disbanding?

                                                                                      Comment


                                                                                        Originally posted by Denny Crane View Post
                                                                                        Sterling looking v mispriced the last while imo
                                                                                        The 50m we got looks good value now alright, wouldn't be surprised to see pep sell him this summer

                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                          Conservative Majority out to 6.0
                                                                                          "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

                                                                                          Comment


                                                                                            Originally posted by LuckyLloyd View Post
                                                                                            Conservative Majority out to 6.0
                                                                                            Lab picking up seats in Wales and Scotland, not predicted in Exit Poll

                                                                                            Comment


                                                                                              Originally posted by KevIRL View Post
                                                                                              Lab picking up seats in Wales and Scotland, not predicted in Exit Poll
                                                                                              Set up for a wild next three hours!!
                                                                                              "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

                                                                                              Comment


                                                                                                Originally posted by LuckyLloyd View Post
                                                                                                Conservative Majority out to 6.0
                                                                                                I just took €50 @5.0
                                                                                                This too shall pass.

                                                                                                Comment


                                                                                                  gonna wait til 12.0

                                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                                    Corbyn unelectable? Destroying the Labour party? You need to ignore the media in this world lads.
                                                                                                    "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

                                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                                      ha, 11.0 traded back to 6.4

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                                                                                                        Originally posted by TheDrunkenOne View Post
                                                                                                        sigh now spread is 314-320 . my run continues
                                                                                                        quote 302-308 now. sigh

                                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                                          Just sold Lib Dems at 12 seats thinking its looking like a 2 party election

                                                                                                          Comment


                                                                                                            The fucking arrogance of the Conservatives. Jesus this is good gravy thus far.
                                                                                                            "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

                                                                                                            Comment


                                                                                                              Originally posted by LuckyLloyd View Post
                                                                                                              The fucking arrogance of the Conservatives. Jesus this is good gravy thus far.
                                                                                                              Can Labour cobble together a minority Govt do you reckon?

                                                                                                              Comment


                                                                                                                ...
                                                                                                                "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                                                                                Comment


                                                                                                                  Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post
                                                                                                                  Ugh got to get up in three hours. This is gold though.
                                                                                                                  The golden hours going on last few...
                                                                                                                  This too shall pass.

                                                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                                                    Originally posted by KevIRL View Post
                                                                                                                    Can Labour cobble together a minority Govt do you reckon?
                                                                                                                    Depends on how many they need Kev. We're getting hard data now that indicates it could be in reach!!
                                                                                                                    "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

                                                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                                                      Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post
                                                                                                                      Ugh got to get up in three hours. This is gold though.
                                                                                                                      Hanging on for Amber Rudd announcement,she looked shook earlier

                                                                                                                      Comment


                                                                                                                        Originally posted by KevIRL View Post
                                                                                                                        Can Labour cobble together a minority Govt do you reckon?
                                                                                                                        Naw, cant see it. Would at best likely require SNP, SDLP and others. No SF option which is a power play they are missing

                                                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                                                          Putney:

                                                                                                                          Con 44.1
                                                                                                                          Lab 40.8

                                                                                                                          Yougov

                                                                                                                          Con 43
                                                                                                                          Lab 41


                                                                                                                          Superb call of the swing in a very safe Tory seat. Yougov's projections were ridiculed as outliers but they might come in first from the polling donkeys...
                                                                                                                          "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard Keynes

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