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Bad beat/Moaning/Venting thread - Mammy told me not to come.
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Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View PostActually read that afterwards. Not sure the article itself supports the headline though, as his stats show there was decent growth in all segments of potential support.
As RD3 said though, the demographics he isn't particularly strong with are those which generally vote Democrat irrespective of candidate so perhaps it won't matter if he gets the nod.
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Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View PostYep, I don't really know much about him, but like his combination of smarts and policies. I'd imagine the H2H poll is very much driven by how little known he is and that could change overnight.
Young guy beats old guy is a well-established trend in American presidential elections.
The counter to Buttigieg is that he really has no experience beyond being the mayor of a medium-size city. I can't actually think of any mayor who has leveraged their job into the national stage. Giuliani maybe.Last edited by Raoul Duke III; 27-11-19, 10:05."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View PostNobody outside Arkansas had ever heard of Bill Clinton before 1992. Obama wasn't exactly a towering figure either.
Young guy beats old guy is a well-established trend in American presidential elections.
The counter to Buttigieg is that he really has no experience beyond being the mayor of a medium-size city. I can't actually think of any mayor who has leveraged their job into the national stage. Giuliani maybe.Last edited by Denny Crane; 27-11-19, 15:00.
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Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View PostGiuliani is quite possibly mad. What great theatre though.
https://time.com/5714722/rudy-giuliani-transformation/
Prepare the "I don't know Giuliani very well, I don't think we ever met' remarks."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View PostBob has become ridic funny with old age. The age suits him very well.
(the above is the beginning of a multi-hour detour)Gone full 'Glinner' since June 2022.
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Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post15 mins to major political betting market movements. Seemingly this is the daddy of all polls in terms of the technique.
some hints that it might suggest a hung parliament, but the very fact of publishing that will then change the likelihood of a hung parliament actually happening.
Which probably keeps it close enough to be all to play for.
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This time next year you’ll all have forgotten Pete Buttigieg even existed.
Absolutely no chance
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Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post
15 mins to major political betting market movements. Seemingly this is the daddy of all polls in terms of the technique.
some hints that it might suggest a hung parliament, but the very fact of publishing that will then change the likelihood of a hung parliament actually happening.
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Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View PostA deal is almost certain if Tories get in. They're the only party running on implementing a deal. That then gives them two years to strike a permanent deal with the EU which will be a bit worse than the current membership of EU but probably not a huge amount worse. A long term negative almost certainly, but unlikely to affect the short-term value.
Can't see how GBP would be affected immediately, as spot prices are for value of GBP today and futures prices would be for value of GBP normally no more than a year in the future. So the Tory deal is the 'best' option for financial markets given the alternative is so unknown.
Essentially I see the whole uk economy as balance sheet assets in the London and a load of grants and drains in the rest of the country. I know that’s a very basic way of looking at things but I can’t see how anything but a fall post election no matter who wins.
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Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View PostA deal is almost certain if Tories get in. They're the only party running on implementing a deal. That then gives them two years to strike a permanent deal with the EU which will be a bit worse than the current membership of EU but probably not a huge amount worse.
Just kicking can down road two years and stripping everything
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Originally posted by premierstone View PostThey only have 11 months to strike a permanent deal?
The only way a deal by end of 2020 is possible is if the UK capitulate totally on every point immediately. Any significant divergence will take far longer to get agreed.
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Originally posted by RichieM View PostDoes the amount of assets that have now left and plan to leave the uk in the event of a deal and or no deal not mean that the Tories coming to power will reduce the asset sheet for the uk thus drop the currency even if it’s in a predictable manner?
Essentially I see the whole uk economy as balance sheet assets in the London and a load of grants and drains in the rest of the country. I know that’s a very basic way of looking at things but I can’t see how anything but a fall post election no matter who wins.
How many lads lost a job making wigets in Blackburn last week hardly scratches it.
Just look at what happened on the night of the brexit vote, Farage admitted defeat even though he had heard different from the polling company (can't remember name offhand), pound goes up, truth comes out, pound goes down, people he knows just happened to make a killing trading currencies that night
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Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View PostThey'll work out something. With close to 100% certainty. They've even been faced with the worst bolloxology from UK over the last three years and still reached an exit agreement. Maybe there will be some form of further extension, but regardless of the headlines there won't be a no deal brexit at any point in this process.
While EU is no fan of UK or Boris at the moment, its still one of the largest economies in the world (far bigger than Canada who the EU recently trumpeted a trade deal with) and a net importer of European products. So there are some significant mutual benefits in striking a deal."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Originally posted by 6starpool View PostHitch loves making things up.
The only way a deal by end of 2020 is possible is if the UK capitulate totally on every point immediately. Any significant divergence will take far longer to get agreed."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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A Tory is a Tory is a Tory but England would probably be a better place if this lad hadn't basically been chased out of power by Spitting Image
Satire was grand until OxBridge took it over and turned it into a toy
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Originally posted by Elshambles View PostA Tory is a Tory is a Tory but England would probably be a better place if this lad hadn't basically been chased out of power by Spitting Image
Satire was grand until OxBridge took it over and turned it into a toy"We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Not particularly funny but crazy assed shit and worth a listen
On this episode of The Dollop, Dave Anthony & Gareth Reynolds discuss the controversial experimental social movement known as the Third Wave. Originating in ...
If you're thinking of watching The Lesson Plan on Amazon, don't listen until after you have watched it as it will spoil it for you
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Originally posted by Elshambles View PostUK currency is a plaything of the markets and a dumping ground for people looking to move money from "less desirable" places
How many lads lost a job making wigets in Blackburn last week hardly scratches it.
Just look at what happened on the night of the brexit vote, Farage admitted defeat even though he had heard different from the polling company (can't remember name offhand), pound goes up, truth comes out, pound goes down, people he knows just happened to make a killing trading currencies that night
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