Originally posted by conspicuous
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RUGBY BETTING THREAD
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Originally posted by premierstone View PostAngry?? Not angry at all actually had a great laugh reading back through your posts as if you actually knew what you were shiteing on about. So who was this source in the English camp that told you Foden would be starting or did you just make that up to look cool on dinternet??
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Originally posted by Emmet View Postwell the word today is that Kearney rolled an ankle/knee in training.
Might we see the return of Zebo to full back with Earls promoted to the wing?
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Originally posted by SICKPUPPY View PostWould make sense Zebo has a massive boot and would love too see him get plenty of ball in open territory=broken play.
Let's hope Kearney was just let sit out training as a precaution. As well as being probably the best full back in the NH we need him to play a leadership role in the back 3 on Saturday
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Originally posted by premierstone View PostAngry?? Not angry at all actually had a great laugh reading back through your posts as if you actually knew what you were shiteing on about. So who was this source in the English camp that told you Foden would be starting or did you just make that up to look cool on dinternet??
Nothing to offer but slagging why not throw an opinion on something up instead of slating others?
What is it with Tipp people odd balls.
No harm in being wrong wont get castrated or anything.
Think this one thread had the least amount of handbags and noise others have.
Went to reopen my betfair account apparently my username is sheeplover.
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Originally posted by SICKPUPPY View PostNothing to offer but slagging why not throw an opinion on something up instead of slating others?
What is it with Tipp people odd balls.
No harm in being wrong wont get castrated or anything.
Think this one thread had the least amount of handbags and noise others have.
Went to reopen my betfair account apparently my username is sheeplover.
It was a very productive, friendly thread until Premierstone intervention. If we just ignore him I'm sure he'll give up on this thread. Guys like him need attention to survive
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Any edges in HT/FT double result betting on windy days?
If the odds on TeamA HT/TeamB FT are say 5/1 on the coupon, would the odds change after the coin toss has been made.
Any stats on grounds most likely to have a second half turnaround - instinct would suggest it would be more likely at say the Galway Sportsgrounds then the Aviva?
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Originally posted by ArmaniJeans View PostAny edges in HT/FT double result betting on windy days?
If the odds on TeamA HT/TeamB FT are say 5/1 on the coupon, would the odds change after the coin toss has been made.
Any stats on grounds most likely to have a second half turnaround - instinct would suggest it would be more likely at say the Galway Sportsgrounds then the Aviva?
Interesting topic you've brought up though, last Friday would have been a great example for Ireland ht England ft
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Originally posted by premierstoneI hope the pair of ye are using adequate protection, I hear than Aids thing can be quite nasty
lol I see ye even covering for each other in bbv yesterday lol out loud either two right sad individuals or the worst muti accounting ever which is it???
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had a good look at the wales/ireland last night,slight worry about the wings perhaps,have par with the backs,ireland ahead in the pack/lineout,if i'm right ireland has to be worth a decent bet(right or wrong?)if ireland play to their strengths,keeping it tight when in possession,they must have a serious chance of winning this game.
anyways stuck my tenner on sob @ 9/1 for the man of the match,johnnys a bit skinny @ 6/1 for me,will be pissed if Cian Healy pops up @ 16s tho.Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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6N Bets
England to win Championship @ 2/1 Boyles 6pt Bet
England to win Grand Slam @ 6/1 Boyles 2pt bet
Chris Ashton top try scoreer @ 9/1 Paddy Power 2 pt bet
Wales to finish bottom @18/1 Ladbrokes 1 pt bet
This weekend
England[-15] 10/11 Boyles 4pt bet
Ireland 11/8 outrught 3 pt bet Stan James
Irealnd[-10] 4/1 Paddy Power
Italy v France HSH 2nd half @ 5/6 2pt bet Bet365
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Originally posted by conspicuous View Post6N Bets
England to win Championship @ 2/1 Boyles 6pt Bet
England to win Grand Slam @ 6/1 Boyles 2pt bet
Chris Ashton top try scoreer @ 9/1 Paddy Power 2 pt bet
Wales to finish bottom @18/1 Ladbrokes 1 pt bet
This weekend
England[-15] 10/11 Boyles 4pt bet
Ireland 11/8 outrught 3 pt bet Stan James
Irealnd[-10] 4/1 Paddy Power
Italy v France HSH 2nd half @ 5/6 2pt bet Bet365
anyways had a 6 pointer on france to win the grand slam @7/1 some time ago with a view to laying off later
for this weekend
france -6 second half hcp 2 points @ 10/11 (lad)
ireland +2 for a 3 pointer @ evens (lad)
visser anytime tryscorer for half a point @ 10/3 (lad)
as well as a tenner on sob for man of the match @ 9/1 with ppMattie McGrath wanna-be
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Originally posted by amberleaf View PostEngland to win Grand Slam @ 6/1 Boyles 2pt bet could be cute bet with boyles,money back if france win the grand slam.
anyways had a 6 pointer on france to win the grand slam @7/1 some time ago with a view to laying off later
for this weekend
france -6 second half hcp 2 points @ 10/11 (lad)
ireland +2 for a 3 pointer @ evens (lad)
visser anytime tryscorer for half a point @ 10/3 (lad)
as well as a tenner on sob for man of the match @ 9/1 with pp
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Anyone who fancies Ireland, just spotted decent enhanced treble on Coral: Ire/Eng/Fra @ 19/10. otherwise it's best priced 17/10 (Ladbrokes).
Don't usually back Ireland but think our pack could give them a right mauling & if we can get ahead early we may win well.
Backed us small -10pts @ 11/2 and -13pts @ 8/1 (both on Ladbrokes)
Did modest Ire/Sco+16/Fra treble earlier in the week @ 3.88/1.
Also bigger bet on Ireland >9.5 6N tries @ 10/11 and a dart at Zebo top 6N TS @ 25s.
And decent punt on France Slam @ 15/2.
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@conspicuous
stuck to my word 3 quid on Heaslip and 2 on Parisse top tryscorer at 100's and 200's respectively
Also had 5 on Zebo at 16/1 for the lolz. All prices with PP.
Didn't back Bofana Fofana because he is like Ashton, just too short for a mug punter like me.
Also did Ireland,Italy +12 and England -15 treble at a little over 9.25 on Bet365.
Gl everyone
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Originally posted by The Situation View PostEveryone seems to like Ireland today, bit of a shift in price. Got to go t'other way so.
All depends on the first 20 minutes, if we come out playing low risk rugby we'll be bum squeezing the whole 80.
If we come out and play quick rugby we'll be able to knock Wales out of their comfort zone early. Keep the crowd quiet, keep Biggar keen with a some good positioning from Zebo and Gilory (this might be the toughest part as its the only part of their games I'm not delighted with).
I really think that Wales missed a stroke by keeping Tipuric on the bench. Shindler picked to play the lineout, but we don't have an proactive defensive lineout, so no real need.
When it was seen that Henry was benched with POM playing 6 instead of a SOB 6, Henry 7 I would have thought they'd have realised that doing Warburton 6, Tipuric 7 would have made all the sense in the world to play a seriously attritional backrow vs that setup.
We've gotten lucky that they've made that decision tbh.
Still, I don't see it happening for us today unfortunately. Unless we can get a plan together that flies in the face of all previous Kidney-ball teams.
Gonna be interesting!
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Originally posted by kpnuts View PostAnyone who fancies Ireland, just spotted decent enhanced treble on Coral: Ire/Eng/Fra @ 19/10. otherwise it's best priced 17/10 (Ladbrokes).
Don't usually back Ireland but think our pack could give them a right mauling & if we can get ahead early we may win well.
Backed us small -10pts @ 11/2 and -13pts @ 8/1 (both on Ladbrokes)
Did modest Ire/Sco+16/Fra treble earlier in the week @ 3.88/1.
Also bigger bet on Ireland >9.5 6N tries @ 10/11 and a dart at Zebo top 6N TS @ 25s.
And decent punt on France Slam @ 15/2.
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anyways had a 6 pointer on france to win the grand slam @7/1 some time ago with a view to laying off later
for this weekend
france -6 second half hcp 2 points @ 10/11 (lad)
ireland +2 for a 3 pointer @ evens (lad)
visser anytime tryscorer for half a point @ 10/3 (lad)
as well as a tenner on sob for man of the match @ 9/1 with pp[/QUOTE]
that went well...le cnutMattie McGrath wanna-be
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V for Vendetta England are favs for grand slam and championship and Ireland are small favorites to win next weekend? Value??
I backed England at 6/1 last week and they're now slashed to 3/1 best price which I don't understand at all. They still have 3 massive matches to play even if the bookies are taking Italy as a given, which is no longer looking to be the case. Taking PP for example they have England priced at 10/11 to beat Ireland and 13/5 to slam, which means you are getting slightly under evens for a combined treble of England to beat France, Italy and Wales.
Either that's a mugs bet or England are totally overpriced to beat Ireland. I personally think it might be a bit of both and I now face a dilemna ahead of next weekend. Given the decent sum of money I return if England win the 6N and GS, I thought it wise to back Ireland next weekend. Having looked at markets for this game, it no longer looks like such a good idea. I could back Ireland at evens but this is roughly the same price I could lay England to win the Championship. The bet on Ireland doesn't insure against the GS either because England could still lose to France or Wales.
To complicate things further I think England at odds against are ludicrous value to beat us next weekend and as patriotic as I am, I find it hard to turn it down. Anyway what do people think my best course of action is here? I could do with some advice from the number crunchers. My gut instinct is to back England to win next Sunday, let the 6N bet ride but lay England at 3/1 for the slam
Originally posted by conspicuous View Post6N Bets
England to win Championship @ 2/1 Boyles 6pt Bet
England to win Grand Slam @ 6/1 Boyles 2pt bet
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Originally posted by conspicuous View PostI backed England at 6/1 last week and they're now slashed to 3/1 best price which I don't understand at all. They still have 3 massive matches to play even if the bookies are taking Italy as a given, which is no longer looking to be the case. Taking PP for example they have England priced at 10/11 to beat Ireland and 13/5 to slam, which means you are getting slightly under evens for a combined treble of England to beat France, Italy and Wales.
Either that's a mugs bet or England are totally overpriced to beat Ireland. I personally think it might be a bit of both and I now face a dilemna ahead of next weekend. Given the decent sum of money I return if England win the 6N and GS, I thought it wise to back Ireland next weekend. Having looked at markets for this game, it no longer looks like such a good idea. I could back Ireland at evens but this is roughly the same price I could lay England to win the Championship. The bet on Ireland doesn't insure against the GS either because England could still lose to France or Wales.
To complicate things further I think England at odds against are ludicrous value to beat us next weekend and as patriotic as I am, I find it hard to turn it down. Anyway what do people think my best course of action is here? I could do with some advice from the number crunchers. My gut instinct is to back England to win next Sunday, let the 6N bet ride but lay England at 3/1 for the slam
I would wait till Friday when team is named because there could be a few out with injury so Ireland could drift tiny bit.
Personally I taught England be 4/6 for this match never taught we be that short
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Originally posted by corigi View PostI would wait till Friday when team is named because there could be a few out with injury so Ireland could drift tiny bit.
Personally I taught England be 4/6 for this match never taught we be that short
4/6 was exactly what I thought England would be too and was hoping to back Ireland around 11/8. When bookies line is so far from my own I usually have a big punt
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Originally posted by conspicuous View Post4/6 was exactly what I thought England would be too and was hoping to back Ireland around 11/8. When bookies line is so far from my own I usually have a big punt
If 1or2 players are out injured we probably be 6/5 come Friday on Betfair
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Originally posted by corigi View PostEngland are Favorites on Betfair at moment and Ireland are just over evens.
If 1or2 players are out injured we probably be 6/5 come Friday on Betfair
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Originally posted by bohsman View PostI get a free 50 bet on the rugby if I put one on at odds of 1/2 or better, what are my 2 bets anyone? England at evs looks a good price?
They have a decent bench but have a poor record of late in Dublin.
Personally id expect a bg French backlash -8pts to batter a low on coinfidence Wales.
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Originally posted by bohsman View PostI get a free 50 bet on the rugby if I put one on at odds of 1/2 or better, what are my 2 bets anyone? England at evs looks a good price?
France half time/full time is available at 4/6 or 4/7 most places and I would be very confident it comes in given France are on the backlash and usually start very strong in Paris.
There's a decent argument for England beating Ireland but I'm not as keen as I was earlier in the week. Tuilagi has been left on the bench and I think Ireland will have a plan to exploit the English back 3. It's a massive occasion for a lot of the young English players and we have to take their ability to handle the occassion on trust
Italy have only once won on the road in the 6N. They have only once won back to back matches. In 13 championship encounters between Scotland and Italy the home side has won 10. The stats point towards a Scotland win tomorrow and Italy have a 6 day turnaround after their heroics against France. Scotland @ 8/13
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good weekend to pick up a few bonus bets with most firms going evens both ireland/england,bet £50 get a free £50,fiver on the draw with boyles to cover,worst case scenario it will cost a fiver to free up £100 worth of bets(new acct. only)
my few bets so far
mike ross for the man of the match @ 50/1 for a tenner (pp)
ireland/engand ht/ft @ 7/1 (pp) 1 point
england/ireland ht/ft @ 7/1 (pp) 1 point
George North anytime tryscorer @ 10/3 for half a point
zebre @ 7/4 to lead at half time v glasgow,1 point bet (gen)Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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Originally posted by amberleaf View Postgood weekend to pick up a few bonus bets with most firms going evens both ireland/england,bet £50 get a free £50,fiver on the draw with boyles to cover,worst case scenario it will cost a fiver to free up £100 worth of bets(new acct. only)
my few bets so far
mike ross for the man of the match @ 50/1 for a tenner (pp)
ireland/engand ht/ft @ 7/1 (pp) 1 point
england/ireland ht/ft @ 7/1 (pp) 1 point
George North anytime tryscorer @ 10/3 for half a point
zebre @ 7/4 to lead at half time v glasgow,1 point bet (gen)
1pt bet
Owen Farrell MOM @ 9/1 Bet Victor 1pt bet
Ireland /England total points under 37.5 @10/11 Bet 363 3 pt bet
France HT/FT @4/6 William Hill 5 pt bet
Good luck to all with your bets
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Originally posted by zuutroy View PostItaly outright at 7/4 looks huge!
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Stuck 30 notes on Italy at 3.0 on Betfair. Scotland being just so bad and Italian tails up makes it good value, despite the history imo. I actually don't think last week's match was THAT draining. The pretty much bossed the French.
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Even if a young Serge Blanco and Philippe Sella came on for the last 20 couldnt liven this muck up dire stuff.
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Originally posted by conspicuous View PostOne of these days I'll learn to stop betting on France. It really is a mugs market given their unpredictability. Well done Wales but that was as easy a win as you'll ever get in Paris
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Think the English bench could make the difference tommorow.
Besides Cronin think Reddan showing his age our subs have damn all impact.
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Originally posted by SICKPUPPY View PostThink the English bench could make the difference tommorow.
Besides Cronin think Reddan showing his age our subs have damn all impact.
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