Multitask , hawkeyethenoo, and two in the pink the ew patent for me at lingers
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IPB Hero Our Conor Memorial Thread - (Horses Betting Obv)
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Nicky Henderson stable tour, part 1/2
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Alan King, Harry Fry, Charlie Longsdon and Martin Keighley run through their Festival squads with Mike Vince
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Have been keeping an eye on Liberty jack for a while now and think he could go in at kemp tonight. Last two rides have been what I would call interesting and he has dropped to a winning mark. Around 6/1 so might get some expenses for you lovers of the hedge hoppers for some big meeting that is supposed to be happening next week!
Only 44 days to the AW finals day!
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Originally posted by horatio1 View PostHave been keeping an eye on Liberty jack for a while now and think he could go in at kemp tonight. Last two rides have been what I would call interesting and he has dropped to a winning mark. Around 6/1 so might get some expenses for you lovers of the hedge hoppers for some big meeting that is supposed to be happening next week!
Only 44 days to the AW finals day!
China excels at Southwell the ew squeeze for me today.
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Originally posted by The Situation View PostCouple at Ling myself:
13:45 - Nocturn 12/1
15:30 - Chookie Royale 9/1
EW singles+ double.Originally posted by horatio1 View PostYou can put a line through chookies run there sitch.
Runs today in a cracking listed race that opens the wolly card.
A couple of horses returning from Meydan and a few that look like they have had this race as a plan for a while. hasopop is my idea of the most likely winner. He was returning from a break when stable second string lto .held up in rear was forced wide off the last bend and only got going once grey mirage had kicked for home. His sectionals for the last 4f were very fast.
I had him down for a max next time in hcap.
I was initially dissapointed to see dr red eye line up in this race. He was returning from a 5 month break over 7f at lingfield last time and actually clocked a faster time for the 1st 6f of the race than any other horse in a 6f race has run ( bar one ) since turf tax started sectionals on 22 feb.
He is rated 20lb inferior to most of these so I couldn't work out why Scott Dixon was running him. A gelding so it's not for black type. If he does anything but finish tailed off his mark will be slaughtered . He has 1 run over c & d which he won and really progressed towards the mid-end of last season.
On the basis that he may progress further this year , I think he has a squeak at 50/1. He has a bad draw but as the only likely front runner he should get the lead early and may just be able to stack them up before using his pace to kick for home and hopefully hang on for at least a place. ( with hasopop winning)!Last edited by horatio1; 08-03-14, 10:56.
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Originally posted by horatio1 View PostRuns today in a cracking listed race that opens the wolly card.
A couple of horses returning from Meydan and a few that look like they have had this race as a plan for a while. hasopop is my idea of the most likely winner. He was returning from a break when stable second string lto .held up in rear was forced wide off the last bend and only got going once grey mirage had kicked for home. His sectionals for the last 4f were very fast.
I had him down for a max next time in hcap.
I was initially dissapointed to see dr red eye line up in this race. He was returning from a 5 month break over 7f at lingfield last time and actually clocked a faster time for the 1st 6f of the race than any other horse in a 6f race has run ( bar one ) since turf tax started sectionals on 22 feb.
He is rated 20lb inferior to most of these so I couldn't work out why Scott Dixon was running him. A gelding so it's not for black type. If he does anything but finish tailed off his mark will be slaughtered . He has 1 run over c & d which he won and really progressed towards the mid-end of last season.
On the basis that he may progress further this year , I think he has a squeak at 50/1. He has a bad draw but as the only likely front runner he should get the lead early and may just be able to stack them up before using his pace to kick for home and hopefully hang on for at least a place. ( with hasopop winning)!
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Obviously the big race of the day is the class 7 5f hcap at 6:15 wolly!
Strongly fancy Outbid for this. Drawn widest last time he took a very scenic route early before being bumped and pushed further wide at second bend. Actually ran the last 2f in the same time as the winner who got a considerably more vigorous ride up the straight.
Backed it last night @ 9/2 and was a bit worried to see it drift but has been backed into that price again.
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Originally posted by horatio1 View PostObviously the big race of the day is the class 7 5f hcap at 6:15 wolly!
Strongly fancy Outbid for this. Drawn widest last time he took a very scenic route early before being bumped and pushed further wide at second bend. Actually ran the last 2f in the same time as the winner who got a considerably more vigorous ride up the straight.
Backed it last night @ 9/2 and was a bit worried to see it drift but has been backed into that price again.
Morris switches to diamond vine who is my idea of the winner .
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Originally posted by The Situation View PostI should probably give the jump horses up after the week at Cheltenham but surely The Romford Pele is ludicrously well in today?Last edited by Wesley Harms; 15-03-14, 14:35.
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Originally posted by scraz View PostI think darnathean is worth a speculative ew tomorrow. Won here over a 2 pound higher mark.ran well few outings ago at kempton in a better race.currently 12/1 with Pp but will be surprised if it goes off double figures...defo only a matter of when..imo of course. 2.30lingfieldOriginally posted by The Situation View PostThey gave Kingscote an easy lead which is pretty detrimental thing to do at Lingfield, and writing was on the wall from a long way out. FWIW I wouldn't rate the horse at all, will prob pick up a weak handicap at some point down the line if his mark continues to plummit. 7 does look his beat trip imo.
Just popped up at wolly having been Hugh Taylor's selection.
Climaxfortackle could go well off his low mark if he can overcome a bad draw. Drifted to a backable price IMO.
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Pretty bad fall for matin Harley earlier hope it's not as bad as the reports are suggesting, good young jockey .
Only if you don't fancy anything else in the race but have to have a bet. Admirals walk could go well at 33/1 in the last at kemp. He is a rogue but has ability as shown when putting in the fastest sectional for the last 3f lto over 7f. Step up in trip , good draw and George baker are positives but a bit of a punt.
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Spent a while studying the Lincolnshire and Einsteins Folly comes out strongest imo. Think the draw is the biggest factor in the race and he's definitely got lucky coming from 20. 4 year olds trend strongly as well as horses carrying weights between 8-9 to 9.0, he ticks both boxes. Has winning form on heavy ground which will play to his advantage given the likely ground conditions at the Curragh. Looks to be handicapped potentially kindly too.Profit before people.
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Great card at lingfield for aw fans.
Can't see beyond ladies are forever but unfortunately Hugh Taylor has tipped it up so all the 4/1 is long gone.
Grandeur is drifting to very backable price now. Generally a 5/4 shot before the draw was made, he may go off 2/1 having got a wide draw. It will be difficult to overcome but he is so far clear on the ratings and with Ryan Moore booked I couldn't let him go at that price. It could be a rough race and tinshu might snatch a place at huge odds with the race likely to be ran to suit.
Been following stasio over a cliff since his seasonal debut and though he has improved with every run he is developing a profile of a horse that might always finds one too good. That said he looks good ew value at 11/2.
All roads lead to finals day on Good Friday after today!
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What a racecourse Gowran park is. Went for the first time today and was the greatest racecourse experience ive had. It has more to facilitate the punter than any course ive been to before. First thing first they have RUK in a lot of places incl bar and restaurant area and not just ATR which is more than i can say for Leopardstown and the Curragh. As a racecourse you shouldnt have to be congratulated for having RUK about the place youd think it would be standard but its so sparse on other racecourses it seems a novelty here. Even in the betting ring they have 3 tv's under a canopy one showing ATR one RUK an the other Gowran live feed. Where else would you get that.
All staff in all areas naturally courteous which again hits you as quite striking. In the bar they have Pilsner Urquell and Peroni on tap and not just Heineken and Carlsberg like Leopardstown and the Curragh. About to hit the carvery for food when out comes a basket of complimentary half burgers, cocktail sausages, goujons, and chips for every table!. Blackcurrant and water ordered and was free of charge. The jacks are clean and have paper hand towel, blue paper hand towel lads.
Your able to stand adjacent to the final fence within feet of it, quite unbelievable. I dont know who runs or manages the place but they know what the punters want and put it on, definite racing fans i bet.
And it seems like most of the rails bookies have firmly established the strategy of skulking at the back of the satchel while putting the eye candy to the forefront as the rails bookies was more like a catwalk today, again cant complain!.
I think i might just have a new favourite track.
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A rush of cash for Stuccodor whos gone to 5s from 10s this morning,seems we'll have another weld trained fav,he's 1 win and 1 place from 12 runners over the part ten years,looks to have a good chance this year but have to pass at those odds.Ended up taking 2 v the field,gone with Regulation @ 14/1,who is race fit from meydan and has some good form at the curragh(all be it on good ground)but did win his maiden on soft there.The other is Cheval Rouge @ 25/1,second in this last year,distance and going will be fine,could be a touch of a crooked throw about him,cant go too far wrong at those odds.Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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Originally posted by rounders123 View PostWhat a racecourse Gowran park is. Went for the first time today and was the greatest racecourse experience ive had. It has more to facilitate the punter than any course ive been to before. First thing first they have RUK in a lot of places incl bar and restaurant area and not just ATR which is more than i can say for Leopardstown and the Curragh. As a racecourse you shouldnt have to be congratulated for having RUK about the place youd think it would be standard but its so sparse on other racecourses it seems a novelty here. Even in the betting ring they have 3 tv's under a canopy one showing ATR one RUK an the other Gowran live feed. Where else would you get that.
All staff in all areas naturally courteous which again hits you as quite striking. In the bar they have Pilsner Urquell and Peroni on tap and not just Heineken and Carlsberg like Leopardstown and the Curragh. About to hit the carvery for food when out comes a basket of complimentary half burgers, cocktail sausages, goujons, and chips for every table!. Blackcurrant and water ordered and was free of charge. The jacks are clean and have paper hand towel, blue paper hand towel lads.
Your able to stand adjacent to the final fence within feet of it, quite unbelievable. I dont know who runs or manages the place but they know what the punters want and put it on, definite racing fans i bet.
And it seems like most of the rails bookies have firmly established the strategy of skulking at the back of the satchel while putting the eye candy to the forefront as the rails bookies was more like a catwalk today, again cant complain!.
I think i might just have a new favourite track.
Even back them the staff and general atmosphere were excellent particularly the trainers and jocks under the big tree in the parade ring . I'm glad you enjoyed it rounders and you have whetted my appetite for a return. Wish they had a big flat they there like they do with the Thyestes.
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Another one I like at the Curragh today is Euphrasia at 10/1 in the group 3 race. Seems to regularly run better than her price would suggest, bagging some decent pots at listed and G3 level. Conditions play right into her hands as she can't have it soft enough. Hoping she tries to make all as she's been by far at her most successful when front running. Has winning course form and has gone well fresh. Distance the only concern, a mile two looks her ideal trip, but should seem like further than a mile on the ground today.Profit before people.
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Einstein's folly still look the value here?
From my reading he's underpriced.People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21
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Of to Cork today where jennies jewel takes on a quality field in a race where she is not particularly favoured by the conditions. She is breaking the door down at home looking to run so it's either go here or decide to turn her out for the summer.
The market puts her in at 17 and upsie who she has finished in front of twice at 5.5.... I'd be seriously tempted by a match bet at that differential despite Upsie having a few pounds pull at the weights.
One way or another we will learn a good bit today.Turning millions into thousands
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Originally posted by Strewelpeter View PostOf to Cork today where jennies jewel takes on a quality field in a race where she is not particularly favoured by the conditions. She is breaking the door down at home looking to run so it's either go here or decide to turn her out for the summer.
The market puts her in at 17 and upsie who she has finished in front of twice at 5.5.... I'd be seriously tempted by a match bet at that differential despite Upsie having a few pounds pull at the weights.
One way or another we will learn a good bit today.
she ran a cracker considering the Chelts exertions. Like you said the match bet with Upsie was the place to be."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Postthought her jumping was much improved today sp
she ran a cracker considering the Chelts exertions. Like you said the match bet with Upsie was the place to be.
Not such a good day for the bookie who put her up at 2/1 without the two and that all went back on the Final furlong podcast bumper napLast edited by Strewelpeter; 27-03-14, 22:33.Turning millions into thousands
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Good card at kemp today including the last fast track qualifier for the stayers final. Paul Nichols runs Ranjaan who was behind a few of today's rivals lto. He had a terrible passage that day and has drifted to a decent ew price.
Richard Hughes was booked to ride before being injured but George baker is a decent replacement .
Cathedral and crystallised also decent chances on the card.
I see the threads most prominent owner has a runner, any chance of an upset GAB?
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Originally posted by horatio1 View PostGood card at kemp today including the last fast track qualifier for the stayers final. Paul Nichols runs Ranjaan who was behind a few of today's rivals lto. He had a terrible passage that day and has drifted to a decent ew price.
Richard Hughes was booked to ride before being injured but George baker is a decent replacement .
Cathedral and crystallised also decent chances on the card.
i see the threads most prominent owner has a runner, any chance of an upset GAB?
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