Originally posted by Raoul Duke III
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IPB Hero Our Conor Memorial Thread - (Horses Betting Obv)
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People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View PostSomebody else take up the baton so me and Pat Custard can retire in glory!This may or may not be an original thought of my own.
All efforts were made to make this thought original but with the abundance of thoughts in the world the originality of this thought cannot be guaranteed.
The author is not liable for any issue arising from the platitudinous nature of this post.
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Originally posted by Hooch View PostIs the weather that bad down there??
Im in Tipp and the sun is out all day, ground is dry and no rain in last 24 hours."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Originally posted by NoRiverRequired View PostIf you text PPRacing to 50100 they are giving free Leopardstown tickets for this Saturday if anyone's interested.
Knife edge here whether she buys thisPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Hi guys,Long time no see,just ran the numbers on APOB trained horses that ran in group 1 races since 2010 that went off at industry starting price of 20/1 or bigger on horseracebase
A simple 100 euro bet at betfair starting price in both win and place markets over that time frame would have you in the green by about 23k,not too shabby at all
Same as above but with his group 1,2, and 3 runners.
Last edited by amberleaf; 10-09-17, 11:05.Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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Originally posted by amberleaf View PostHi guys,Long time no see,just ran the numbers on APOB trained horses that ran in group 1 races since 2010 that went off at industry starting price of 20/1 or bigger on horseracebase
A simple 100 euro bet at betfair starting price in both win and place markets over that time frame would have you in the green by about 23k,not too shabby at all
Same as above but with his group 1,2, and 3 runners.
Could improve that again if you ruled out the blatantly obvious pacemakers."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View PostThanks dude! Yes, that seemed intuitively correct to me.
Could improve that again if you ruled out the blatantly obvious pacemakers.
just to go over the numbers again,trained by APOB,G1,all odds
Add in the starting price of 20/1 and we're left with just 7 wins over the last 7 years,of which just 2 bets make up more than 50% of the profits,and lost badly 3 of the last 7 years
A much better "system" imo would be
TRAINED BY APOB
GROUP 1,2 & 3 ONLY
IRELAND/UK ONLY
RACE AGE RESTRICTION 2YO & 3YO ONLY
BACK AT BETFAIR STARTING PRICE IN THE WIN AND PLACE MARKETS ANY PRICE
You would have lost in 2010 but would have won a nice few quid each and every year since with little drawdown compared to out siders version.Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View PostA small e/w double today on Michael Mulvaney's two at Listowel.
The fact that the rider of the second has never gone over a jump in public concerns me not at all.
I can't really see itPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Originally posted by Pat Mustard View PostOne from the tracker...not a tip...Creeping Ivy 220 Navan..must have an each way chancePeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Sean Flanagan is an excellent jockey. Knows when he's in danger and how much horse he has under him (Cooper never knew this so well imo)and doesn't mind looking the fool to shrug along his charge to keep position and not masking difficulty like Walsh and Geraghty are masters at at this stage. Watch the 4pm Galway, several fences out he fired his charge into the fence as the other 2 were hard held. Had he have been passed he'd of downed tools.
Meade has his horses plenty forward. Playing it with a straight bat more than ever, I'll put it down to having a lot of O'Leary's these days.
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Originally posted by rounders123 View PostSean Flanagan is an excellent jockey. Knows when he's in danger and how much horse he has under him (Cooper never knew this so well imo)and doesn't mind looking the fool to shrug along his charge to keep position and not masking difficulty like Walsh and Geraghty are masters at at this stage. Watch the 4pm Galway, several fences out he fired his charge into the fence as the other 2 were hard held. Had he have been passed he'd of downed tools.
Meade has his horses plenty forward. Playing it with a straight bat more than ever, I'll put it down to having a lot of O'Leary's these days.
Both times he comes through on the bridle between last two hurdles but doesn't really release the horse until after the last when he has let them back at his hind quarters without the momentum. Now maybe he knows both wont see the trip out well but I often think if they try release a bit and get the 3 to 4l advantage it would help?
I had no money on either, just observing.
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Originally posted by Dice75 View PostThe owner of Sir Vincent in the 3.25 fancies its chances im told. I am sure most owners normally feel the same. Looking at a 14yo nag with no form doesnt inspire much confidence in me. Of course i still have to throw a couple of schekels ew on it at 50sHer sky-ness
© 5starpool
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got a tip for Show Stealer 20.45 kempton
am on @9/2People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Smiling Elisa 600 Dundalk chance yard going well. Plum draw lots of positives from people in the know.
Thunder Crash 900 big chance if breaks well according to someone in the yard.
Barman 250 Wincanton..no info but a horse I was following. The horse that beat him last time ran again and won again. Don't know how strong the race was. 5/1 not overpriced thoughJayzus, Sheila! I forgot me feckin' trousers
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Originally posted by shanboghted View PostWar of the Rocks backed from 20's to 11/2 in first was told he'll have a lot in handPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Ribchester, harry angel cracks man treble.
Ew on torcedor in the firstPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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