IPB Hero Our Conor Memorial Thread - (Horses Betting Obv)

[elbows]

Nicholls gave gave him a good chance in an interview a few weeks ago saying he needs good ground. He should win it on his best form but he has ran two shockers this year albeit it on poor ground.

Ive backed Cause of Causes for this on betfair at a ridiculous price and if he dosen't turn up I will be having a look at Southfield Theatre.

I think Southfield Royale has a great chance in the four miler with Nina on board which is a great booking for an amateur riders race.

Also on Southfield Royale

[shrapnel]

Also on Southfield Royale

Jumped on the bandwagon also.

[dobby]

Jumped on the bandwagon also.

Why not sure. Giddy up

[Johnny Tightlips]

I see avellino is running at Sandown tomorrow, i was massively impressed with its two runs after GAB tipped it on boxing day. Its seems to be a very decent price at 10/1 in its first listed race. I don't pretend that I know an awful lot about racing, but it looked to be a machine in the heavy ground at down royal and fairy house. Does anyone who may be better informed than myself have any opinions on it?

Sent from my GT-I9505 using Tapatalk

[DeadParrot]

Also on Southfield Royale

Jumped on the bandwagon also.

Why not sure. Giddy up

nothing like a good bandwagon.
on too

[Jibzzzz]

nothing like a good bandwagon.
on too

+5

[Kenny]

I see avellino is running at Sandown tomorrow, i was massively impressed with its two runs after GAB tipped it on boxing day. Its seems to be a very decent price at 10/1 in its first listed race. I don't pretend that I know an awful lot about racing, but it looked to be a machine in the heavy ground at down royal and fairy house. Does anyone who may be better informed than myself have any opinions on it?

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Where can you get 10/1, powers and boyles no better than 15/2

[Guest]

Where can you get 10/1, powers and boyles no better than 15/2

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/sandown/15:45/winner

[The Situation]

I think Southfield Royale has a great chance in the four miler with Nina on board which is a great booking for an amateur riders race.

Do you not think that that's already factored into the pricing? You'd be down(albeit small amount) if you backed all her rides at Chelts over the years at the level stake, it's not a punting positive unless you're backing it before the booking.

That's not to say a horse she rides can't still be value but you'd want to have more reason than Nina's better than all the amateurs.

[IPBYOUSAY]

3.10 SANDOWN "For good measure" 6/1

[Raoul Duke III]

Going still Soft I see. Presume this will be revised to Good to Soft, on the side of Good?

Forecast looks dry for the week.

[shano1888]

Do you not think that that's already factored into the pricing? You'd be down(albeit small amount) if you backed all her rides at Chelts over the years at the level stake, it's not a punting positive unless you're backing it before the booking.

That's not to say a horse she rides can't still be value but you'd want to have more reason than Nina's better than all the amateurs.

A good bandwagon?

[careca]

Nicholls to have more than one winner 6/4 boyles. From 7/4. I'm having some of that

[Strewelpeter]

Much as it suits me to have both Annie Power and Vroum Vroum Mag hack up on Tuesday I'm inclined to lay both but with he shape that their engagements are taking both mares are also hard to commit against.

3/1 Polly Peachum without VVM looking like the bet of the meeting for me

[balfejohn]

Got call about the Barbury queen in 5.05 market rasen today
Decent source gives a few winners
4/1 at the moment

[elbows]

Got a tip for Johny Saso in the bumper in Navan from A guy who has a few with Noel Meade.

[Raoul Duke III]

What are the PP and Ladbrokes Cheltenham offers plz? In store.

Boyles too if worth mentioning.

[Wesley Harms]

What are the PP and Ladbrokes Cheltenham offers plz? In store.

Boyles too if worth mentioning.

Powers money back if 2nd in every race. Not second to the fav, just second.

Ladbrokes the same except the give money back on every horse in the first race each day if the fav wins aswell

Boyles money back 2nd and 3rd if the fav wins every race

All above MB as a free bet and Max 25 quid

[Strewelpeter]

Got a tip for Johny Saso in the bumper in Navan from A guy who has a few with Noel Meade.

Bit sick if Nina didn't get it back up for second

Feck her, had snagged the 10/1 without

[horatio1]

3 hour festival preview about to start on ATR.

[elbows]

Bit sick if Nina didn't get it back up of second

I thought when I backed it there was 8 running. Must have pulled one late. Sick.

[rounders123]

I thought when I backed it there was 8 running. Must have pulled one late. Sick.

Its a different more specific type of bet rather than an each way he did. Win or come 2nd to the fav

[elbows]

Its a different more specific type of bet rather than an each way he did. Win or come 2nd to the fav

I know. His was a much better bet. His levels of sickness also greater than mine.

[Strewelpeter]

I know. His was a much better bet. His levels of sickness also greater than mine.

Worse still there was oodles of 6.5 in the betfair place market which paid three places

[NoRiverRequired]

Well who's making an appearance over there this week? Flying out tomorrow for Tue/Wed racing, back Wed night.
I'll not lie, I am excite

[elbows]

Annacotty looks likes a decent e/w bet in the Ryanair at 25/1. No Lay side on BF doesn't look good. Ah well

[elbows]

I have nailed my colours the mast with vautour at this stage I think. I really think ruby mistimed it for the king George and that he really really should have won that race. Most certainly clear fav for gold cup if it had done.

Also guy in work who knows a bit more than me about it was saying he believes there is a recency bias surrounding the belief that you need to be an out and out stayer to win the race citing synchronised and Lord wyndamre. Thinks vautour not staying trip is being over hyped.

I reviewed a few races last night involving the other principals and when watching don poli win the rsa last year I was struck by how good a race southfield theatre ran in second. Really clipped one 4 or 5 out and ran a big race. Quoted at 20/1 for the ultima handicap on Tuesday and I am tempted to have a pop. Anybody who knows a bit more than me (ie. All of ye) have thoughts on any of the above??

Followed you in on Southfield Theatre

[angle_grinder]

Do you not think that that's already factored into the pricing? You'd be down(albeit small amount) if you backed all her rides at Chelts over the years at the level stake, it's not a punting positive unless you're backing it before the booking.

That's not to say a horse she rides can't still be value but you'd want to have more reason than Nina's better than all the amateurs.

I tipped it earlier on in this thread at 10/1 (at least I think I did anyway) because I think the horse will improve for going left handed, going on better ground and going an extra mile.

Having the best jockey in the race on board is an added bonus.

[dobby]

Followed you in on Southfield Theatre

Ditto.

All my gambling for the week is now done apart from the Gold Cup. No idea who will win it so may not have a bet and just enjoy it.

[shano1888]

Well who's making an appearance over there this week? Flying out tomorrow for Tue/Wed racing, back Wed night.
I'll not lie, I am excite

Flying out weds afternoon and back sat afternoon. Racing thurs and fri. Heading over with the brother and we are both first timers. Literally no idea what we are going to talk about when it is over. I am like a child at Christmas.

[shano1888]

How are peoples books shaping up?

Mainly keeping the powder dry until i am over but one of supasundae, MTOY, or southfield theatre winning on Tuesday would be nice at decent prices.

Bit invested on a NMH, thistlecrack limini treble @18s

Will probably have a chunk on outlander and a larger chunk on vautour and a large treble on thistlecrack vautour and OTF @ approx 50s

[mcnugget]

Well who's making an appearance over there this week? Flying out tomorrow for Tue/Wed racing, back Wed night.
I'll not lie, I am excite

Flying over in the morning, back Friday evening. All duck or no dinner.

[japeye]

Well who's making an appearance over there this week? Flying out tomorrow for Tue/Wed racing, back Wed night.
I'll not lie, I am excite

Heading over tomorrow, racing tue/wed/thurs and home thursday night. Seriously pumped!!

[Solskjaer]

Heading over tomorrow, racing tue/wed/thurs and home thursday night. Seriously pumped!!

a seriously pumped japeye. Good luck over there. Should be a great Paddys day.

[Strewelpeter]

Peace and Co.

That is all.

[NewApproach]

Have flights booked, work booked off but still think I'll stay put on Tuesday and Wednesday. Someone tell me I'm mad?!

[dobby]

Have flights booked, work booked off but still think I'll stay put on Tuesday and Wednesday. Someone tell me I'm mad?!

Nuts

[mcnugget]

Have flights booked, work booked off but still think I'll stay put on Tuesday and Wednesday. Someone tell me I'm mad?!

No, you are dead right. Attending is seriously minus ev if punting seriously.

I am going full hog with the lads this year as I fully intend it to be the last hurrah for that type of trip.

Next year I'll take the missus, book a nice hotel, bring the laptop and lay off the drink. Either that or stay at home and bet like a man possessed.

[Guest]

Booked Tuesday to Sunday off work
Staying put in London
No TV in gaff

A)Either little bit of drinking/racing mixed with sorting out a few things
OR
B)Put on half a stone in a week

Hoping I choose A) tbh but it will totally depend on how I feel on any given morning
However Paddies day/Pool v's Manc's and two girls asking me to find them a Reggae gig for Friday night making B) a decent bet

[Raoul Duke III]

Peace and Co.

That is all.

Looks to have gone off the rails?

[Strewelpeter]

Have flights booked, work booked off but still think I'll stay put on Tuesday and Wednesday. Someone tell me I'm mad?!

There is a lot to be said for both approaches.
The new facilities there might help but mostly at the festival its too frenetic and crowded to be properly enjoyable.

On the other hand you can't beat the atmosphere on the big day, I could well end up there on Friday its going to be special.

[Paddypender]

Will there be threads for each day of the festival this year like previous years? I enjoyed reading the tips and predictions of those more knowledgeable than me. Or maybe I'm blind and they are there and I haven't seen them if so apologies

[careca]

When will we see the final fields?

[DeadParrot]

Peace and Co.

That is all.

Looks to have gone off the rails?

20/1 over a proverbial aeroplane?

[Strewelpeter]

Looks to have gone off the rails?

Haven't we all from time to time.

His two runs this year are a concern but they were very different in character. If Cheltenham never happened and and he was going straight to CH after Sandown he'd be very much shorter.
Saw and read many CH previews where he never even got a mention. I just feel there is no better race to get him to settle and if Henderson has him sweet he could be a bigger factor than the price indicates.

[Strewelpeter]

When will we see the final fields?

Tomorrows are published, handicaps are published, I think 10AM the morning before

[eoghan104]

Quick one on the Betbright offer....

If I open an account through oddschecker there is a free €30 matched bet.

If I open the account and put my €1 on Min do I rule myself out of the €30 free? Or can I bet 30 on something and then place my €1 on Min?

[horatio1]

Quick one on the Betbright offer....

If I open an account through oddschecker there is a free €30 matched bet.

If I open the account and put my €1 on Min do I rule myself out of the €30 free? Or can I bet 30 on something and then place my €1 on Min?

Offers are for new customers only, not sure about bet bright but they normally have it in their terms that it can only be used once per household / IP address.

Corals doing a similar promo on Douvan.

[Pat Mustard]

Corals is 50/1 €1 MAX bet. Deposit €5. €5 free bet in he loses too

[eoghan104]

Yeah it will be a new account but Im just not sure if I can get the 30 free bet and the Supreme Novices offer! Maybe Noel will see this and enlighten me.

[horatio1]

Yeah it will be a new account but Im just not sure if I can get the 30 free bet and the Supreme Novices offer! Maybe Noel will see this and enlighten me.

But once you have taken up either of the offers it is not considered a new account for the second one and therefore excluded from it. Unless I'm missing something in the T&C's?

[eoghan104]

Yeah well this is what I am no sure of.

I know that with some firms they have a similar "risk free" first bet offer. In those cases (Betfair, PP) you can still back the new customer offers such as "ire to beat Italy 3/1" and then get the free bets too.

[eoghan104]

Looks like its choose one or the other!

move along, nothing to see here....

[angle_grinder]

We all know the riding arrangements for the Gold Cup are up in the air at the moment. What happens if the ground continue's to dry out and Cooper decide's to ride Don Cossack?

Will Davy Russell automatically get the ride on Don Poli? Or is Paul Townend next in line? Or could the unthinkable happen and Ruby overlook both Djakadam and Vautour to take the ride on Don Poli as he has told us a hundred and one times he isin't retained by Rich Ricci so there is nothing stopping him jumping ship....

[NoRiverRequired]

UK trained 123 in world hurdle 3/1 looks a bit of a spot to me. (Betfair sportsbook)

[premierstone]

UK trained 123 in world hurdle 3/1 looks a bit of a spot to me. (Betfair sportsbook)

Price seems just about right tbh, Alpha des Obeaux is a deserved second favourite and Martello Tower is a very lively outsider having won the Albert Bartlett last year, never ever underestimate festival form. Lieutenant Colonel will be the only other Irish runner, but there could be as little as 10 runners overall.

[Strewelpeter]

choose one or the other in the reg process

Thats the best LOL offer ever, WP

[Strewelpeter]

what you mean exactly?

Its just funny, 50/1 any horse to win Supreme for €1 made me laugh so much I almost opened an account to put the €1 on Silver Concorde

[Solskjaer]

Will be avoiding this site until after Cheltenham. So tempting to follow the tips for the week that's in it. I'd like to do top jockey though. Who is the best value?

[Raoul Duke III]

Will be avoiding this site until after Cheltenham. So tempting to follow the tips for the week that's in it. I'd like to do top jockey though. Who is the best value?

Paul Townend imo