Snooker betting thread.

[Valor]

I use http://www.worldsnooker.livesport.tv/ + Hola unblocker when I am in Ireland..its very cheap and good value, no messing around with shitty streams

[Opr]

Cheers. It's on the BBC site which I'll try with Hola. I can't believe the BBC cut away from the match at this stage. Surely the Gorillas could have waited

Opr

[rounders123]

Cheers. It's on the BBC site which I'll try with Hola. I can't believe the BBC cut away from the match at this stage. Surely the Gorillas could have waited

Opr

First season watching?. They do this every year!, the final is the only unmolested match in the championship.

[Flushdraw]

Whoever bought and looked forward to a decent days snooker today should ask for their money back. 14 frames or something played across the 2 tables for the day?

[connie147]

People are saying that this year is the worst snooker seen at the Crucible for years, but I disagree.
It is hard for the players in the 1st round proper as the pressure to reach the best of 25 frame 2nd round is immense, and nearly all the favs struggled and won or struggled and lost in the 1st round. (note to self for next year: do all the outsiders in the 1st round on the handicap.)
If I had done that this year I would have cleaned up. barry Hawkins, Mark Allen and Neil Robertson were the only 3 favs to hold up in the h/c betting, with the other 13 matches going the way of the outsiders on the h/c.

Other than the Doherty/Mcmanus 2nd round match, I think the standard has been pretty good in the 2nd round. mark Selby has surprised me as he seems to have found form at just the right time, and if things go to plan, we should see a selby v Robertson semi final and that would be some match to look forward to.

I fancy all the favs on the handicap for the quarters. Murphy polished off a nice 2nd round accum for me tonite and Ive lumped on selby on the handicap betting v McManus. I was over at the Doherty/McManus match and it was a dire affair, and I cannot see mcManus troubling Selby. No way can I see McManus winning any of the daily sessions. ken gave McManus loads of chances and he needed a few in each frame to win it, but worse, McManus gave Ken so many chances that Ken couldnt convert, but for sure, Selby will gobble up them chances.

They play 3 sessions, 8 frames, 8 frames and 9 frames on the last day. The worst case scenario is 2 x 5-3 wins for selby (I even think he will win at least one of the 1st two sessions 6-2), so going into the 3rd session, I expect the score to be reading Selby 10-6 or 11-5, needing 13 to win.
The handicap betting is
Selby -3.5 is 1/2
Selby -4.5 is 8/11
Selby -5.5 is 11/10

Im also pretty confident of hawkins on the h/c (7/10 hawkins -2.5). Some doubles and trebles done with Robertson on the h/c as well over Trump. 19/20 Robertson -2.5 seems a great bet to me. Everytime Trump comes under pressure, he just starts hacking balls, and he will not get away with that against the world number 1. Tom Ford should have put him out in the 1st round, and even though he beat Ryan Day 13-7, that paints a false picture really.

Day missed frame ball on 5 occassions in the match (frame balls that were easy pots for a pro) and say he even got 3 of them, that evens the match at 10=-10. I would go as far as saying that Day was much the better player in the match and amazingly lost it 13-7. (no sour grapes or anything as I didnt have a bet on it due to Days poor season).
Look at Trumps form here in the Crucible this year:

1st round-- Beat Tom Ford 10-8 and had 2 breaks over 50 in 18 frames.

2nd round-Beat Ryan day 13-7 with 5 breaks over 50 in 20 frames. His highest break over the course of his first 2 rounds is 78.
In 38 frames of snooker, he has had a sum total of :
78, 76, 72, 70, 64, 62 and 60.
Thats really poor form and I think he will struggle big time against Robertson. Just for example, Roberson has won 10-2 and 13-7, so he has played a total of 32 frames (6 less than Trump)
His breaks read :
140, 137, 132, 103, 102, 100, 94, 92, 77, 72, 69, 69, 63, 61, 59, 55, 55, 52 and 50.

Thats 19 breaks over 50 having played 6 less frames than Trump. So I guess what Im saying is 19/20 Robertson -2.5 (Boylesports) is a ridiculously good price imho.

Connie

[Flushdraw]

I was over at the Doherty/McManus match and it was a dire affair, and I cannot see mcManus troubling Selby. No way can I see McManus winning any of the daily sessions. ken gave McManus loads of chances and he needed a few in each frame to win it, but worse, McManus gave Ken so many chances that Ken couldnt convert, but for sure, Selby will gobble up them chances.

This Selby/McManus game is right up there and with the Doherty/McManus as the worst of the tournament so far. Atrocious play from the pair of them. Selby seems to have been affected from a shot he played on the pink that rolled off and gifted McManus the frame. He had enough chances to lead 5-0 and instead could be 3-2 down. 5-3 for Selby would a dream at this moment.

[connie147]

Selby cruising now at 8-3, Ronnie the same at 6-2 and Hawkins crushing Dale 9-3. So the handicap bets are flying except for the Trump match who leads Robertson 6-2. Hard to explain Robertsons form today. He got plenty chances but just didnt perform. John Parrot said that it is a common occurrence when a player plays as brilliantly as Robertson did on Monday that he fails to perform the next day, and thats interesting because its much the same in golf. When a player shoots a rediculous round like 60, 61 or 62, inevitably, they come out the next day and hardly ever break 70.
Or just maybe trying for that elusive 100th century in a season is playing on his mind. But from playing so well in his first 2 matches to so poor this afternoon is unexplainable, and I guess we wont know why until the match is over and he is interviewed.

[Flushdraw]

Selby cruising now at 8-3, Ronnie the same at 6-2 and Hawkins crushing Dale 9-3. So the handicap bets are flying except for the Trump match who leads Robertson 6-2. Hard to explain Robertsons form today. He got plenty chances but just didnt perform. John Parrot said that it is a common occurrence when a player plays as brilliantly as Robertson did on Monday that he fails to perform the next day, and thats interesting because its much the same in golf. When a player shoots a rediculous round like 60, 61 or 62, inevitably, they come out the next day and hardly ever break 70.
Or just maybe trying for that elusive 100th century in a season is playing on his mind. But from playing so well in his first 2 matches to so poor this afternoon is unexplainable, and I guess we wont know why until the match is over and he is interviewed.

I'm sweating the HC bets with you. The weight of the 'Century of Centuries' is definetly playing on his mind imo. I get the feeling he'll almost be more disappointed and slightly embarrassed about missing out on that than losing the match. His body language is telling a lot and some of his shot selection is dubious as he seems to be trying to force the century.

[Wesley Harms]

Ronnie is a cert. Give him the trophy

[TM2204]

Ronnie wins with a STS

Some unbelievable frame ball misses (pink & green) by Murphy, I was gobsmacked

[Wesley Harms]

Ronnie wins with a STS

Some unbelievable frame ball misses (pink & green) by Murphy, I was gobsmacked

Amazing how the Ronnie effect turns top class players into club players.

[The Situation]

Are Trump & Robbo playing two sessions today? Seems unfair that Selby was given his 3rd session before they had their 2nd.

[Flushdraw]

FML had Robertson to win the first frame by 80+ points and think that kick cost me!

[Wesley Harms]

FML had Robertson to win the first frame by 80+ points and think that kick cost me!

You've a sickness

[The Situation]

This 100 centuries definitely seems to be a monkey on Neils back.

[Flushdraw]

You've a sickness

Fully expected Robertson to come out firing and win the frame in 1 or 2 visits if he got in amongst the balls so thought it was a fair shout tbh. I'm just glad there was only 78 possible when they called a halt to that frame

[Flushdraw]

This 100 centuries definitely seems to be a monkey on Neils back.

He's averaging a century every 7.9 frames this season, and has gone 15 frames without one (one century every 4.8 frames he wins) so i'm sure he would have expected to have rattled it in by now considering the 2 chances he had in last match. He'll get in that spot where he's on 60+ break and the safety is the best option but will aim for the century so the sooner he gets the job done, the better for him.

[Flushdraw]

Dominic Dale has taken all 4 frames of this afternoons session against Hawkins and is just 11-9 behind now. That would be an impressive comeback tbh

[thedini]

Dominic Dale has taken all 4 frames of this afternoons session against Hawkins and is just 11-9 behind now. That would be an impressive comeback tbh

unreal, €130k traded at 1.01

[TM2204]

Dominic Dale has taken all 4 frames of this afternoons session against Hawkins and is just 11-9 behind now. That would be an impressive comeback tbh

Great balls by Hawkins to win last 2 after the Dale avalanche...

[Flushdraw]

It really is time that Joe Johnson got the bullet from Eurosport. Didn't get a chance to watch on the red button so watching on the back up station, but every time i watch it, he calls at least 3 shots wrong every single frame. Complete cabbage.

[kpnuts]

i wouldnt normally be a "big" stake bettor, but I will be having my biggest ever snooker bet on Ronnie to be champion again.

Looking like a good weekend for the O'Sullivan clan!

[connie147]

Looking like a good weekend for the O'Sullivan clan!

Id prefer if he had took another frame off Selby before the end of play, but I guess if you offered me a 10-7 lead after day 1, Id have taken it, so no complaints. I'll settle for 2-2 in the first mini-session tomorrow, just dont want Selby getting any closer. In fairness to Selby, he showed huge bottle in the latter stages of the semi final against Robertson, but Im hoping Ronnie wins about 18-12 or 18-13 and keep the sweats to a minimum!!

[TheJiggaman]

Selby's going to go on and win imo.

Highest break of <60 and he's still within 3 frames. Some grinder.

Selby 18 - 15 O' Sullivan final score.

[ArmaniJeans]

Selby is a warrior, but its a tough ask.
He needs almost every frame to turn into a 50 minute 30 points to 30 slugfest with half the balls on the cushion, and then to come out the right side of 75% of these frames.
Must be soul destroying to put every piece of your soul into winning a tight frame, and then Ronnie reels off two in 15 minutes.
I think he'll wilt to an 18-11 defeat.

[TheJiggaman]

Some stuff by Selby. 3-0 for the session so far and back level in the match. Seems a new man today almost.

[Wesley Harms]

Some stuff by Selby. 3-0 for the session so far and back level in the match. Seems a new man today almost.

In again on Ronnie now, giving money away

[ArmaniJeans]

That just there is the most -EV shot I've ever seen.

[The Situation]

Stephen Hendry is a hard guy to warm to, has that weird awkward/smug contrast going on.

[Wesley Harms]

I have so much money on Ronnie to win this title I might have to cancel the holiday I'm going on this week. Not joking.

[ghostface]

That just there is the most -EV shot I've ever seen.

Would it have been a ridiculous shot to roll up behind the black and take the snooker?

[Wesley Harms]

Would it have been a ridiculous shot to roll up behind the black and take the snooker?

Yes. Would have been Worse than what he did. Pink was the shot, not cannon in the black initially was better aswell

[pokerhand]

WTF going on!!!

[Wesley Harms]

Craziest frame of snooker of all time I'd say, hurt Selby there

[Flushdraw]

Craziest frame of snooker of all time I'd say, hurt Selby there

Don't agree. I don't that it would have hurt him too much tbh. It would have been a nice one to steal, but he probably have it wrote off a couple of times. It's easier to get it out of his mind than it would of been had Ronnie lost it.

[pokerhand]

Another crazy frame...

[TheImprover]

That pink shot was just beyond unbelievable

[TheImprover]

Craziest frame of snooker of all time I'd say, hurt Selby there

Nope, the last one was

[TM2204]

Stephen Hendry is a hard guy to warm to, has that weird awkward/smug contrast going on.

In fairness Ronnie is chasing his record

[TM2204]

Absolutely compulsive viewing tonight. WTF is going on, it's beyond scripting helped by the fact they "don't get on".

Did you see Ronnie's face just as they were walking off for the mid session interval after Selby giving the 'mini fist pumps'.

I've never ever seen Ronnie make such a mistake (missing the pink and the manner he played it) and I've been watching him since he was a kid. The misses in the frame previous were unbelievable as well. What a fascinating & totally mental game snooker is...

Heading over to Fergal's tonight for the final session as is our custom.

COME ON THE ROCKET!!!

[Flushdraw]

In fairness Ronnie is chasing his record

Did you see the look that Hendry shot John Parrott in the studio when he said something along the lines of 'For the greatest ever player to pick up a cue to miss a shot by that much..'

[Wesley Harms]

Did you see the look that Hendry shot John Parrott in the studio when he said something along the lines of 'For the greatest ever player to pick up a cue to miss a shot by that much..'

Nah Hendry has rolled out that line himself regarding Ronnie

[The Situation]

#prayforthelawlors.

[TM2204]

Let's fucking do this Ronnie....!!!!

[TheJiggaman]

#prayforthelawlors.

[shano1888]

Some performance from Selby. Absolutely ground Ronnie down.

[rounders123]

...

[Flushdraw]

Can Mods change the name of this thread to Snooker/Pool Betting Thread?

I think Finland are a big price at 11/8 to beat Philippines today. The Philippines were pre tournament favourites but have played awful in their opening 2 matches and really should have lost to both Chile and France, but scraped through 7-5 in both. They were 7/2 pre, and now out to 9/2 at the QF stage.

The Finns on the other hand have won both of their opening matches 7-0, and played some great stuff in the process. The pairing of Immonen and Makkonen play really well together and are used to the pressure and the big games. The lost in the SF to the Dutch last year, and they won the World Cup the year before so they have all the credentials to beat the Philippines. Unless there's a huge swing from both sides, the Finns should win this one and i'd have it 5/6 or Evs at best, so 11/8 is just too good to turn down imo.

[Flushdraw]

Tense stuff here at 7-7 first to 9. Finland not at their best so hoping they can close it out.

Edit...

9-7 Job done. Hope a couple of you got on.

Backed 4 teams pre tournament, 1 from each quarter of the draw. Finland 20/1 and Austria 401/ into the Semi's and then Germany 14/1 and USA 12/1 still to play the QF's tonight so it could be good for me. Posted on FB so not aftertiming.

Finland > Austria > Germany > USA in that order for me pls!

Edit - Sign, Germany missed a sitter with 2 balls left to go 8-5 up, and ended up losing 9-7 to Holland. That would have been a sweet result!

[rounders123]

...

...

[ArmaniJeans]

World Snooker Championship qualifiers on at the moment. Kendoc lucked out by getting a lass in the first round, embarrassing if he loses though I guess.

Latest scores. http://livescores.worldsnookerdata.c...urnament/13833
Draw for the 3 games each player has to win. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_Wo...hip#Qualifying

Missing Connie147 with all the inside info and hidden gems.

[Flushdraw]

Sigh didn't realise this started today and didn't do any homework myself for it. Got a little excited seeing Michael White was 4-2 down and thought i might have got close evens but he's just 1.33.

Duffy 5-2 up on Gould and 6/4 so might be worth something small. Gould is a helluva grinder though and capable of getting this back but my only interest bet for now.

[Flushdraw]

Duffy got the job done 10-6 against Gould so we'll settle for that start. On another note, Chris Smalling should stick to the pool

[Wesley Harms]

Duffy got the job done 10-6 against Gould so we'll settle for that start. On another note, Chris Smalling should stick to the pool

Chris Smalling earns 59k a week at man united. I doubt he would be playing in the qualifiers. Melling on the other hand, I agree.

Gonna back Hossein Vafae to overturn his 6-3 deficit against McGill tomorrow, first time out today would have taken a bit of settling.

[ArmaniJeans]

Gonna back Hossein Vafae to overturn his 6-3 deficit against McGill tomorrow, first time out today would have taken a bit of settling.

Your bookie must love you.

[mugsy]

how bad is ken doherty these days? is that bird worth a bet to beat him. He might crumble under the pressure

[Wesley Harms]

Your bookie must love you.

Explain?

how bad is ken doherty these days? is that bird worth a bet to beat him. He might crumble under the pressure

No, he will smash her

[ArmaniJeans]

Explain?

Already over, finished 10-3.

[Wesley Harms]

Already over, finished 10-3.

Lol, I've the live score centre open on the phone, fuxking thing must be frozen. I'm some cabbage

[rounders123]

Ken is playing ok but no consistency at all these days, he still hovers up the scrappy frames with his canniness in the 15-20 visits each frames. I think Fergal O'Brien has finally passed him out this season as the better player.