Originally posted by Donk Magnet
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Lol -
just a heads up:
Rangers Vs. Hibernian
Rangers will be missing Jelavic (virus/on strike before he gets his move) Naismith, Lafferty, Ness
They have literally no attack left (bar a guy they just signed called Celik (I'm not kidding, although Rangers being rangers have decided to put his first name on the back of his jersey) who I'd be suprised if he played, Sone Aluko who has not significant scoring record, and David Healey, the pie gobbling wage leech.
The under 2.5 goals is 5/4.
Number of goals at 0/1 is 7/2Is that how you crash a wedding? yes it is, Bionic Barry, yes it is.Comment
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think the under 2.5 could be a great bet in this id expect rangers to grind out a win in this but without jelavic and lafferty they virtually have no attack and i wouldnt be expecting much from hibs although with them looking at a rangers team sheet without the 2 of them i think they will be up for it think ill be doing the under 2.5 and 1-1 scorecast.Originally posted by Zod View PostComment
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PaddyPower enhanced odds of 11/5 for Spurs to beat Watford and Everton to beat Fulham.
Any reason not to?We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence then is not an act, but a habit.Comment
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everton are shiteComment
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fulham are in great form most likley this one will be either a draw or fulham win.Originally posted by dannydiamond View Post
and the main reason not to get on would be Clint DempseyComment
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They've def improved of late, I just can't help back against Fulham away from home though!Originally posted by Donk Magnet View PostWe are what we repeatedly do. Excellence then is not an act, but a habit.Comment
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Watched Everton at home to Blackburn the weekend and we should have won it. They were brutal, they were passing the ball to the backs for fear of giving possession away and getting caught. They just don't seem to be able to get back if they lose possession and are depending a lot on Tim Howard. I think Fulham are a great bet tonight despite their poor away form.'Mental Toughness is doing the right thing for the team when it's not the best thing for you' - Bill BelichickComment
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really fancy fulham tonight....
think there great value, have done them single and in a double spurs ht/ft just little under 7/1!!
no way should fulham be 13/5 shots...!! everton CANT score...Comment
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Watford: Loach, Hodson, Mariappa, Nosworthy, Doyley, Eustace, Deeney, Buaben, Murray, Sordell, Garner. Subs: Bond, Dickinson, Yeates, Iwelumo, Forsyth, Jenkins, Whichelow.
Tottenham: Cudicini, Walker, Kaboul, Dawson, Rose, Parker, Van der Vaart, Modric, Livermore, Adebayor, Defoe. Subs: Friedel, Lennon, Pavlyuchenko, Bassong, Kranjcar, Assou-Ekotto, Pienaar.
Referee: Chris Foy (Merseyside)Comment
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Everton v Fulham line-ups
Everton: Howard, Neville, Duffy, Heitinga, Baines, Donovan, Gibson, Fellaini, Gueye, Cahill, Stracqualursi. Subs: Hahnemann, Hibbert, Saha, Drenthe, Vellios, Anichebe, Baxter.
Fulham: Stockdale, Kelly, Hughes, Hangeland, John Arne Riise, Duff, Murphy, Baird, Ruiz, Dempsey, Johnson. Subs: Etheridge, Sidwell, Senderos, Frei, Zamora, Davies, Trotta.
Referee: Howard Webb (S Yorkshire)Comment
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I never back the unders no matter how good it looks, but the everton v fulham game has unders written all over it.Comment
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Fulham have won 4 times away from home in 10 years or something sillyOriginally posted by fumyname View PostComment
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There have been 41 goals scored in the last 10 FA Cup matches involving Watford.Comment
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From the start by Watford the 8/1 still available is really good value imoComment
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doing stat work and the game of the weekend for the unders is Lorient v Sochaux. Someone might as well use it.Originally posted by CheckRaise View PostComment
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Last edited by dannydiamond; 27-01-12, 22:01.We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence then is not an act, but a habit.Comment
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Nice bet Danny to say I'm shocked is an understatement.Originally posted by dannydiamond View PostBetter than Fulham though it seems.
Edit: Get in.
Missed a great chance myself pp were doing spurs evs minus Defoe goals thought it was value but never stuck it on.Comment
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Ah, dumb luck maybe, but opposing Fulham away from home has been very profitable and had to stick with it. Spurs should have been the lock, but that wasn't as comfortable as perhaps it should have been.Originally posted by Donk Magnet View PostWe are what we repeatedly do. Excellence then is not an act, but a habit.Comment
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Ye I'm going over for Liverpool spurs and tbh I like our chancesOriginally posted by dannydiamond View PostComment
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O Connor and Griffiths are also out which are two important players for Hibs , I still think there could be goals here with Hibs terrible defence and possibly two new players to make a start.Originally posted by Zod View Post
Also Naismith has been out for a long time so not that relevant to recent games. Aloku has looked good against the smaller teams thus far and is likely to create a lot of chances against this hibs defence.Comment
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Stoke, United and Chelsea treble today pays 10/1
Afc Wimbledon, Cheltenham, Rangers, Newcastle and Huddersfield 5 fold for a bit of craic too.Comment
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Only awake and cant be bothered to pick out a bet so going to jump on these too A_CE. Gl us!!!!Originally posted by A_CitizenErased View PostComment
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Man Utd have only lost two of their last 17 FA Cup games away from home, with both defeats coming at Anfield.
Third time was not lucky!!!
G'wan Kuyt.Comment
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hibs are absolutely fucking terrible.Is that how you crash a wedding? yes it is, Bionic Barry, yes it is.Comment
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Did a yankee for tonight.
Chelsea
Spurs
Wolves
United
Good luck me!Comment
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Fonze, I like your enthusiasm but your bets are poor enough at the odds bar possibly spurs but to put such short odds into a yankee is brutal.Originally posted by Thefonze View Post
You mentioned many times that overall the bets you have posted on this form are profitable. I think you if went back through them you might be surprised at the result.Comment
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A word of warning, I was thinking of backing Inter to beat Palermo but Motta has been sold to PSG (team to watch for the second half of the season).
Inter Milan won 90% of their Serie A games with Thiago Motta this term (9/10) and just 20% without him (2/10).Comment
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Check Raise you talk a lot of sense. Do you think i can post my bets in my own log on this forum? The yankee returns were poor as only a double came in but it was only to small stakes. My big bets this year like on Stoke and Hinterland came in. My bets range from €1 to €500 depending on my mood/confidence etc. I do keep a log myself and showing a very healthy 4 figure profit last 3 months.Originally posted by CheckRaise View PostComment
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A Yankee that included a 1/4, a 2/9 and an 8/11. Seriously.Originally posted by Thefonze View Post
You need all to come in to show a profit, so obv just lump the lot on an accum if your that way inclined.
That's the worst bet I've ever seen. Really. The worst EVERComment
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ha wolves, def a united fan just hoping wolves to beat liverpool rather than realistically thinking who will winOriginally posted by Thefonze View Postairport, lolComment
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Its your log, post whatever bets you want but you clearly need to figure out how to try and price up a bet. Long term your bets are massively -EV (you will lose your bollix).Originally posted by Thefonze View PostComment
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Following in the footsteps of the mug bets did a accum for tonight.
Arsenal,Sunderland,Newcastle and West Brom.Comment
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Anyone watching Villa v QPR.
Villa 2-1 down but if they score they will go onto win imo.
5/1Comment
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I'm watching the Inter match and can't remember the last time I saw a top flight game played in such bad conditions. Currently 3-2.
Last edited by CheckRaise; 01-02-12, 21:13.Comment
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Originally posted by CheckRaise View Post
4-4. I may be tempted to start backing the overs more frequently in the Inter home games.Comment
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know sfa about soccer but apparently roberto de matteo is over priced @ 8/1 to be the next leeds permanent manager with sky betMattie McGrath wanna-beComment
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Norwich, West Brom, Wigan for me this weekend.
3*10e doubles 20 treble.Comment
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Thats my cue.... Nah man thats a bad bet, watcha thinking... ect ectOriginally posted by Thefonze View PostComment
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QPR 1/1 at home to Wolves......... thoughts?Comment
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QPR and Everton double. Bout 4/1 i think. ?
Its only a matter of time before qpr get a good run going. Playing really well at the moment from what ive been watching.
And everton will be on a high after beating man city and should have no probs today.
Also aldershot have gone ten without a draw, today is the day to back the drawComment
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QPR -1 at 11/5 for me under hughes there playing well and at home should produce goals where wolves are all over the place and hopefully have another stinker
o ya man city -1 5/6 is good value at home to fulhamComment
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QPR have been very drifty in the markets, from as short as 1.85 yesterday to 2.10 now with VC and a few others. Not quite sure why, they've players returning from injury and some decent new signings with plenty of Prem experience. Tempted myself now.
Game should have a savage intensity, I'm on the overs side of booking points.Profit before people.Comment
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Been on a shocking run of late but im going to have a punt on Cheltenham tonight at 7/2 away to Crawley(4th), they are top of the table only lost once in the last 10 and drew twice. Was following Tubbs for Crawley as an anytime goalscorer all season so far because he was their main man but they sold him in the window. 7/2 (pp) just seems too big to turn down.Comment
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Disaster continues even though they went one up
On a side note Tubbs the striker i mentioned scored the 1st for Bournemouth tonight, one to follow.Comment
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I'm on Lazio/Lazio (HT/FT) @ 6/5 tonight.
Can get Lazio +2 @ 1.83 in running. Great price considering Cesena scored from their only decent opportunity in the first half and a penalty which can only be a case of the defender being in on the fix.
Lazio 3-2Last edited by CheckRaise; 10-02-12, 15:07.Comment
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Barca 4/11 vs osasuna away
rangers 1/3 vs dunfermline away
Chelsea 13/10 vs everton away
treble pays just over 10/3. I think its worth a gamble considering they're all must win games for the 3 teams. (rangers to stay in the spl race, barca to stay in the spanish league race and chelsea to qualify for the champs league )"Think of what your opponent wants you to do, and then do the opposite"Comment
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Best value unders this weekend
Bologna v JuventusComment
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tomorrws good teams!!
Cheltenham at even away to Hereford..reason Cheltenham second in league with last 5 away that reads 3-1-1 while hereford 4th from bottom with a last 5 homes that reads 0-1-4 so even money is massive
Sheffield United at 4/9 home to wycome..reason Sheffield United 4th in league with last 5 home record of played 5 won 5 while wycome in 20th with last 5 away record that reads 0-1-4
Charlton at 19/20 away to Chesterfield..reason charlton 1st in league with last 5 away record that reads 3-1-1..chesterfield bottom with last 5 home that reads 1-2-2 so loving that price
Reading at 1/2 at home to Coventry..reason Reading 8th in league with last 5 home record that reads 4-0-1..coventry rock bottom with last 5 away that reads 0-0-5 another gem
Blackpool at 4/6 at home to Portsmouth..reason blackpool 5th in league with last 5 home that reads 4-1-0..porthsmouth 17th with last 5 away that reads 1-1-3
all with above average chances,put them how ever suits ye..good luck in the cup!!Comment
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plenty of games tonight lads heres my 5 for tonight 20/1 5fold accum feedback welcomed
cowenbeneth -1 11/10 flying at the moment and meeting a poor side who have only won one in five
oxford 4/7 at home to d&r who are poor enough oxford are starting to play well and if they find the net early could win this easily, oxford drew their last game against hereford who are playing well but should of won due to herefords goalie pulling off top class saves and oxford scoring 2 ogs!
Bournemouth leyton orient under 2.5 goals 4/5
i think this is great value as leyton orient have a strong away record and will make this game tough for bournemouth
swindon 13/10
tough game against crawely but the form their on its hard not to put them in!
cardiff 8/13 should beat peterbroComment
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Opinions on over 12 corners in the Milan v Arsenal game at 4.2 with William Hill?Comment
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If it wasn't a champions league knockout first leg I'd like it but I'm expecting it to be very cautions. Both rely a lot on full backs for width which leads to a high % of their corners in a game but don't think we'll see them cross thier own half way lines that much tomorrow.Originally posted by CheckRaise View Post
I'd imagine similar to under 2.5 goals being a profitable bet in first legs of knockout stages that unders on corners would also be the way to go but haven't done much research on corners so could be wrong.Profit before people.Comment
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Interesting table I got from an article. If someone knows of a site that updates these stats I would appreciate a link.
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Rangers may be termimating contracts tomorrow of several first team players tomorrow. Kilmarnock were at 17/2 earlier today. A nifty tenner might be value.Is that how you crash a wedding? yes it is, Bionic Barry, yes it is.Comment
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The administrator has the power to terminate contracts of employment but tomorrow would be a bit early for that I would say. Is the Daily Mail scaremongering?Originally posted by Zod View PostComment
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