Originally posted by eamonhonda
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FIFA World Cup 2014 - Brazil
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Originally posted by eamonhonda View Post2/4 is an improvement, not sure where to start tonight
I've enough outright bets on winners, top scorers etc to keep me interested but it's still nice to bet on matches to keep some interest.
My World Cup Final referee 100/1 bet is now 3/1. The favourite is 5/2. Really funking for this one to come in obv. He's doing the Germany/USA game so that could go for, or against him because everyone is expecting a stalemate for both teams to progress with the draw now 2/1, Stuck a little on Mark Geiger at 22/1 and he's 10/1 now so that would be 2nd prize as Nishimura seems to have ruled himself out after that horrid display in Brazil v Croatia. He's 20/1 tho and i have 66/1 so you never know!
I'm with mdoug on this one and going Iran, Arg, Fra and Swiss acca. Benzema to score a few would be nice for TS bet.
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Originally posted by TonyCascarino View PostColombia at 6/4 v Uruguay is what some people might call lumpage. If, and it's probably a big if, suarez is out this will look even better. Of course it's possible this could go the distance but 6/4 seems very big to me. Could go off shorter. Paddy power have also switched there mbs to refunds on certain markets if games go to penalties. I think this is generous as I can already see a couple that could go the distance. Also 25/1 outright on colombia looks a bet now.
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Dzeko, Messi and Bezema anytime treble @11/2
Bosnia, France and Switzerland treble.
Think the bet of the night is Bosnia. As good as Iran have been in defense, they can still go through with a win. This will make them change tactics which will been they have to open up a little. Bosnia's first world cup they will want to end on a high with their first even win. Be going in feeling hard done by with Dzeko's offside goal the last day too.
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Originally posted by Percy007 View PostPeople really wanting to back Iran? Can't have them myself. Lot for me depends on line-ups should know better then.
If Argentina beat Nigeria 1-0, and Iran beat Bosnia 1-0, then both will finish with identical records and there will be nothing to differentiate between then and it will come down to an actual flip of some sort. I wouldn't be surprised to see both results happening tbh.
A 2+ goal win, or a high scoring 1 goal victory in either game affects everything so Iran need to win at all costs. Bosnia have had their chances and couldn't get the win needed. Dzeko's goal was harsh, but they were terrible in the game and if they couldn't get motivated for the Nigeria game, i don't see how they will get themselves up for the Iran game. I just kinda like the 11/4 on offer.
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Bit of a joke that of the 5 South American sides in the comp, 4 play off against each other in the second round with the winners playing off in the 1/4 final.
If Colombia are to win the WC, they could have to beat Uruguay, Brazil, Germany and then Argentina. They have a horrible draw as the other side looks easier with Argie, Holland and France.Last edited by Warper; 25-06-14, 14:36.
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Originally posted by Jam-Fly View PostSPOILER
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Originally posted by eamonhonda View PostI never really got/bothered to read about this laying craic, obviously I'm betting he won't score but how does odds work?
Think I'll let it ride..
e.g. If you have €10 at €110 then your return is €1110
You could take €100 at 9/2, so if Benzema doesn't score, you make €100 and if he does score, you owe 'him' €550 so you still get €560 back. Not sure how commission works though. mdoug lives on Betfair so he'll tell you!
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Originally posted by Flushdraw View PostYou play the bookie so you take someone's bet at 9/2.
e.g. If you have €10 at €110 then your return is €1110
You could take €100 at 9/2, so if Benzema doesn't score, you make €100 and if he does score, you owe 'him' €550 so you still get €560 back. Not sure how commission works though. mdoug lives on Betfair so he'll tell you!airport, lol
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Originally posted by eamonhonda View PostMessi dzeko and benzema all fgs @ 110s, you would have to.People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21
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Any team news yet?
Want Benzema to start for tgs as well.
Surprised he's only 1.7 bigger on Betfair than Neymar and Messi when he's a goal behind and both their teams are shorter in the outright betting.
Edit - Didn't refresh the page, exxxxcellent.Originally posted by ArmaniJeansI like this heat - some proper music innit.
None of the 'black disabled lesbian warbling backwards' stuff that the other players inflicted on me.
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Originally posted by JohnOB View PostDzeko, Messi and Bezema anytime treble @11/2 Close
Bosnia, France and Switzerland treble. Thought was a cert vs 10 men, 20 shots too.
Think the bet of the night is Bosnia. As good as Iran have been in defense, they can still go through with a win. This will make them change tactics which will been they have to open up a little. Bosnia's first world cup they will want to end on a high with their first even win. Be going in feeling hard done by with Dzeko's offside goal the last day too.
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Soooo tempted to lump my net worth on the draw in USA-Germany tomorrow.
It intrigues me so much because it's a situation where if it's a done deal, it is literally a done deal. There'd be no variance of a terrible refereeing decision or a goalkeeper mistake, if they've colluded, it 100% will be a draw.
I mentioned it to my friend, and he thought it a bit ridiculous that you're banking on USA and Germany to have actually agreed to play out a draw.
Do people think it'll likely be a draw because if it's close, no team will risk losing, or do people think that there genuinely will be a fairly explicit agreement to play out a draw? Any big lumpages?
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Originally posted by Jam-Fly View PostSoooo tempted to lump my net worth on the draw in USA-Germany tomorrow.
It intrigues me so much because it's a situation where if it's a done deal, it is literally a done deal. There'd be no variance of a terrible refereeing decision or a goalkeeper mistake, if they've colluded, it 100% will be a draw.
I mentioned it to my friend, and he thought it a bit ridiculous that you're banking on USA and Germany to have actually agreed to play out a draw.
Do people think it'll likely be a draw because if it's close, no team will risk losing, or do people think that there genuinely will be a fairly explicit agreement to play out a draw? Any big lumpages?
There's an awful lot of 'ifs' there...
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USA 1-0 was available at 45-1 last night. On today at just 28/1.X can be anything, any number, that is what’s CRAZY about X.
Because X doesn’t roll like that, because X can’t be pinned down!
$ Free Travel Credit with Airbnb $
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2 big accums waiting on Belgium today for like 1400 back and now they're down to 10.. Possible new least favourite country now, already hate a Belgian on my own football team!
edit: russia not winning made it a total of 350 back but . HappyLast edited by mdoug; 26-06-14, 21:54.Go big or go homeless.
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Was just thinking about the World Cup referees. Bjorn Kuipers is the favourite for the final, but he's Dutch. At what stage will he not be allowed to officiate, providing Netherlands are still involved? I presume he wouldn't be able to get other semi-final, and should Netherlands get knocked out in the SF, could he still get the final?
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Anyone else think Chile are big at 6's today?
Seems very big tbh.This may or may not be an original thought of my own.
All efforts were made to make this thought original but with the abundance of thoughts in the world the originality of this thought cannot be guaranteed.
The author is not liable for any issue arising from the platitudinous nature of this post.
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Originally posted by Theresa View PostAnyone else think Chile are big at 6's today?
Seems very big tbh.
Bar Neymar Brazil are very average.
Chile can certainly cause them problems going forward.
Problem is Chile aren't exactly rock solid at the back themselves.Originally posted by ArmaniJeansI like this heat - some proper music innit.
None of the 'black disabled lesbian warbling backwards' stuff that the other players inflicted on me.
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Originally posted by Percy007 View PostI played my whole tank on overs in the Brazil game.
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Agh, I don't think I can, in good conscience, let my Chile bet stand. Can't root against Brazil.
*Flurry of betting*
Okay I am letting my Chile bet stand and backed up with innumerable bets allowing me to cheer on Brazil to score too. And a quick goal. And plenty of corners please.
We all bullish on Colombia right?
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Originally posted by hotspur View PostAgh, I don't think I can, in good conscience, let my Chile bet stand. Can't root against Brazil.
*Flurry of betting*
Okay I am letting my Chile bet stand and backed up with innumerable bets allowing me to cheer on Brazil to score too. And a quick goal. And plenty of corners please.
We all bullish on Colombia right?
Columbia -1 at 16/5 looks a bet.This may or may not be an original thought of my own.
All efforts were made to make this thought original but with the abundance of thoughts in the world the originality of this thought cannot be guaranteed.
The author is not liable for any issue arising from the platitudinous nature of this post.
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All over chile 3-0 to the tune of about 2.70e and around 18 quid on Chili at 11/2.
X can be anything, any number, that is what’s CRAZY about X.
Because X doesn’t roll like that, because X can’t be pinned down!
$ Free Travel Credit with Airbnb $
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Originally posted by Teddie View PostI find it difficult to judge how good this Columbian team are due to their easy group. The Uruguay aren't great at all though so I wouldn't be happy backing them.
I think the Suarez loss will galvanise them for a while but they'll tire and concede.
I'm gonna go:
Columbia 11/10
Columbia -1 16/5
Draw/Columbia 4/1This may or may not be an original thought of my own.
All efforts were made to make this thought original but with the abundance of thoughts in the world the originality of this thought cannot be guaranteed.
The author is not liable for any issue arising from the platitudinous nature of this post.
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Tbh I think Colombia are too short for it to be a good bet. They're playing with confidence alright, but there's just not enough evidence to make them big favourites vs Uruguay imo.
No idea what Uruguay are going to be like. They could be awful, mentally drained, offer nothing without Suarez etc or they could be slightly worse than they are with Suarez (galvanised etc). Don't fancy Colombia at the current price.
Brazil-Chile game looking like it's going to be a belter.
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I have gotten off Chile now. Various bets looking good.
Question - can someone explain the time of the 3rd goal. For example on PP now (currently that bet is locked):
After 52nd minute is 11/10. But it is not from 52-62 minute. 11/10 seems very inaccurate. I don't usually bet this market so I don't know what it should be.
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Originally posted by mdoug View PostColombia for the world cup at 22 with a plan to lay after they beat both uruguay and then chile
Can probably sell it for a few hundred at this stage I'd say?
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