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My own drawn out odds on accum experiment

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    My own drawn out odds on accum experiment

    Hello.
    My idea is pretty simple. Starting bank of €10 backing sub 1.5 shots. Til I reach 400. Max price will be 1.5 Min will be 1.2.
    By my reckoning 20 by 1.2 shots starting with €10 increasing with all winnings going on each time is a little over 400 after commission.

    All prices will be from betfair. All bets will be struck there too, if prices are slightly better elsewhere I'll just have to grin and bear it. It'd be too hard to withdraw and deposit to diff accounts 20+ times trying to find the best price.

    There may be big gaps between bets as I won't post it unless I fancy it. In saying that I could be done by Saturday if I fancy enough things. Doubtful though as I want to take this
    pretty serious.

    Essentially this bet is just a massive accumalator but with the picks I bit more selective and drawn out compared to just ticking off odds on teams on a
    Saturday football coupon.

    Bets will be on a range of sports. There will be no novelty bets included i.e the colour of hat the queen will wear at ascot etc.

    I'm going to make 5 attempts at this, starting with 10 each time. So max outlay is 50. Hopefully the first tenner works though :-) Some of the later bets may not be for full bank if I can reach 400 on say bet 19 and I only need to invest so much of the running balance then that's all I will bet. Once I get to 400 I plan to stop/find some other crazy scheme

    Ok will post first selection as soon as I see it.


    Doing this because I'm no longer punting heavy at all as a result of losing too much


    Mods please move if it should be in Challenges/Logs wasn't sure Ty.


    EDIT 1: 1k post yahoo!
    EDIT 2: posted this in the other place under my new SN there in case anyone thinks I'm copying a random punter!
    Last edited by Aya14; 08-02-13, 00:47.

    #2
    Originally posted by Aya14 View Post
    Hello.
    My idea is pretty simple. Starting bank of €10 backing sub 1.5 shots. Til I reach 400. Max price will be 1.5 Min will be 1.2.
    By my reckoning 20 by 1.2 shots starting with €10 increasing with all winnings going on each time is a little over 400 after commission.

    All prices will be from betfair. All bets will be struck there too, if prices are slightly better elsewhere I'll just have to grin and bear it. It'd be too hard to withdraw and deposit to diff accounts 20+ times trying to find the best price.

    There may be big gaps between bets as I won't post it unless I fancy it. In saying that I could be done by Saturday if I fancy enough things. Doubtful though as I want to take this pretty serious.

    Essentially this bet is just a massive accumalator but with the picks I bit more selective and drawn out compared to just ticking off odds on teams on a
    Saturday football coupon.

    Bets will be on a range of sports. There will be no novelty bets included i.e the colour of hat the queen will wear at ascot etc.

    I'm going to make 5 attempts at this, starting with 10 each time. So max outlay is 50. Hopefully the first tenner works though :-) Some of the later bets may not be for full bank if I can reach 400 on say bet 19 and I only need to invest so much of the running balance then that's all I will bet. Once I get to 400 I plan to stop/find some other crazy scheme

    Ok will post first selection as soon as I see it.


    Doing this because I'm no longer punting heavy at all as a result of losing too much

    Mods please move if it should be in Challenges/Logs wasn't sure Ty.
    This is so easy to believe

    Comment


      #3
      So here goes attempt number 1!


      Bet no.1: Metz win @1.23

      Metz at home to Quevilly. In French Third Division. Metz haven't been in terrific form recently drawing their last two but against half decent sides. Quevilly are winless in their last 8 and rock bottom of the league.
      Metz are in second place and with a game more played than the league leaders will be all out for a win to apply some pressure. All in all a little under 1/4(1.23) looks a very backable price to start my experiment. Games kicks off 7.45GMT tonight Friday.

      EDIT; drifted to 1.36 bet placed.
      Last edited by Aya14; 08-02-13, 13:03.

      Comment


        #4
        Originally posted by Arazi View Post
        This is so easy to believe

        Yes I am a mug

        Comment


          #5
          Metz won 2-0.

          Balance of 13.31 on France v Wales @1.31 in 6 Nations.

          Wales losing Warburton is massive considering their poor form and injuries, even with Tipuric in at 7 and Jones the new skipper at 6 they'll miss Warburton ground work on a wide open pitch. France also will be keen to put the Italian result behind them asap.
          K.O 5.00pm

          Comment


            #6
            Originally posted by Aya14 View Post
            Metz won 2-0.

            Balance of 13.31 on France v Wales @1.31 in 6 Nations.

            Wales losing Warburton is massive considering their poor form and injuries, even with Tipuric in at 7 and Jones the new skipper at 6 they'll miss Warburton ground work on a wide open pitch. France also will be keen to put the Italian result behind them asap.
            K.O 5.00pm
            /Thread
            One of these days I am either going to quit poker or learn how to play the damn game

            Comment


              #7
              Bleh! Attempt no.2 to follow

              Comment


                #8
                As Arazi says really those that know more should be listened to. Must update my failure next time im on laptop.
                Pm for rakeback deals

                Comment


                  #9
                  Originally posted by Aya14 View Post
                  Bleh! Attempt no.2 to follow

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Thanks for the input lads.
                    I live to give!

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Originally posted by Aya14 View Post
                      Thanks for the input lads.
                      I live to give!
                      Well what can be said of such an endeavour?

                      You by your own admission are a big loser on sports so just stop sports betting.
                      If you cant go to gamblers anonymous.

                      Whatever about having a log and some interest in specialising in something be it dogs horses whatever this is just doomed to failure.

                      Even if you hit 400 youll be hmmm another three 2/5 shots and ill have a grand.

                      Its a dumb thread and dunno why i bothered to comment on it.

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Fair enough. Although I'd like to point out I don't lose more than 5-10% of my wages weekly on gambling.

                        The log is supposed to something to be seen as a pastime from my pov. Meh maybe a mod should just close this I'll keep it to the other place

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Originally posted by Aya14 View Post
                          Fair enough. Although I'd like to point out I don't lose more than 5-10% of my wages weekly on gambling.

                          The log is supposed to something to be seen as a pastime from my pov. Meh maybe a mod should just close this I'll keep it to the other place
                          Ah your not a proper gambler then should be robbing milk from peoples hosues on a fri morning after doing the loots at midnight on a thursday after getting paid.

                          Comment


                            #14
                            Originally posted by tipp86 View Post
                            As Arazi says really those that know more should be listened to. Must update my failure next time im on laptop.
                            Ha I'd forgotten about that - how's it goin?

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Originally posted by Arazi View Post
                              Ha I'd forgotten about that - how's it goin?
                              Don't bite the hand that feeds you Sir

                              Comment


                                #16
                                Originally posted by Arazi View Post
                                Ha I'd forgotten about that - how's it goin?
                                It was at the point of no return unless of a miracle just after xmas. Il log into betfair and update during the week. Id assume dead and buried.

                                @aya 5-10% of your wages is a huge chunk.

                                You do realise that is a huge leak in personal finances. This is a gambling website so I guess we should not be to critical.
                                Pm for rakeback deals

                                Comment


                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by tipp86 View Post
                                  It was at the point of no return unless of a miracle just after xmas. Il log into betfair and update during the week. Id assume dead and buried.

                                  @aya 5-10% of your wages is a huge chunk.

                                  You do realise that is a huge leak in personal finances. This is a gambling website so I guess we should not be to critical.
                                  You're probably right, it's not like I earn 1k a week.
                                  The good thing is though I don't pay much in bills either and have no dependants.

                                  Comment

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