ireland v wales,the total points over 36.5 pts @ 5/6 (PP)
in the man of the match,rog is 11/2,with sob at 7/1 so not much value there,on the wales side the one i like is mike phillips @ 30/1,but the one that stands out ot a decent price to me is cian healy @ 25/1
in the nz v pumas,the hcp here is -/+ 26,but i'm going fir the nz - 12 1/2 time hcp,i think that nz might be looking towards the simi (with aus/s.a.) and may want to withdraw some key players as the game goes on,and just might be looking to try and put this to bed in the first half.
in the france england game,i'm going for a small bet on france @ 15/8,the french are in a right tizzy with themselfs,but on the other hand the english are not much better,with the media they have had,its bound to have an affect on the field.if the french turn up in with any sort of form they could have a great chance,v a english team that could very well fuck it up for themselfs
in the aus v s.a. game,i see jon smit is in no 2 again for the boks,after he ran onto the pitch replaceing b.d.p.who was very close to getting the motm, just in time to get himself sin binned,even so they have one morne steyn,who's in great form from the peno's, i'll go for the boks to lead at 1/2 time @ evens
ireland/wales total match points over 36.5 @ 5/6,30 pt win
cain healy motm @ 25/1 10 pt win
mike phillips motm @ 30/1 10 pt win
n/z - 12 pts @ 10/11 1/2 time hcp 55 pt win
france @ 15/8 v england 25 pt win
s.a. to be leading at h/t 50 pt win @ evens
bk 677
rk 180
ti 780
bet 1 lost
bet 2 lost
bet 3 win return 310
bet4 lost
bet 5 win return 72
bet 6 lost
ya,kinda went for the big price,as much as anything.but with murray there,reckon they were going to test that channel out,that and just about every other channel mind you!
bet 39
wales v france man of the match,
just looking at the markets for this,its a bit of a needle in a haystack but good fun to try and pick the motm,intresting that adam jones is the 5/1 fav for this with boyles and can be got @ 50/1 with powers.might just be a typo or something
no great valu for sam the man @ 7/1 with both,but julien bonnaire is 20/1.if he was to win that little battle he's sure to be on the shortlist,mike phillips is 25/1 but i dont think he'll get the breaks he got v ireland,i one im going for this time is jamie roberts @ 12/1,he in my mind was unlucky nuff not to win the gong in the 1/4 final,but when phillips slipped the blind side for his try,that might have sealed the deal for him
bet 39
wales v france man of the match,
just looking at the markets for this,its a bit of a needle in a haystack but good fun to try and pick the motm,intresting that adam jones is the 5/1 fav for this with boyles and can be got @ 50/1 with powers.might just be a typo or something
no great valu for sam the man @ 7/1 with both,but julien bonnaire is 20/1.if he was to win that little battle he's sure to be on the shortlist,mike phillips is 25/1 but i dont think he'll get the breaks he got v ireland,i one im going for this time is jamie roberts @ 12/1,he in my mind was unlucky nuff not to win the gong in the 1/4 final,but when phillips slipped the blind side for his try,that might have sealed the deal for him
10 win jamie roberts @ 12/1 boyles motm
bk 684
rk 10
ti 1155
lost,sam the man saw red and of course bonnaire picked up the gong @ 20/1
bet 44,david pocock man of the match @ 8/1(pp) 15 win, world cup final
bet 45,R. McCAW man of the match @ 11/2(pp) 15 win, 3rd place play off
bet 46,10 double on the above
just one winner from the above,bringing the bank up to 740.was perhaps, a little unlucky with a few bets,nzl got the first penalty but missed if that had gone over,i was looking at profit for the weekend with the double comeing in as well,it didnt so i lost.overall i might in future stick with the ingame i think sometimes at least,the offers out there can be way wide of the mark,bet more $,bet less times in certain circumstances.ive spent the last few days researching some so called betting systems,most are,others are,but i have found two that i will be looking at over the next 24 weeks or so,testing them out just to see how these things work,and if they are in fact good in the long run or just a load of shit.one is for horse racing,has tons of reviews but just not too sure of it as yet(the old martingale & the stop at a winner, as a cold chill runs up my spine!)the other is more to do with the ebb and flow of markets.intresting to see how this goes,fun times ahead me thinks!
3.15 wexford,groody hill @ 11/10 50 win (pp)hopefully good nuff again,should be!
result win,return 119(ended up 11/8,price gtd.)
also did a 55 pt win on the under total points on the munster match,under 41.5 pts @ 10/11
result won,return 105
after 52 bets
great weekend,5 bets,5 wins
bet 53,aus +21 pts v ireland,(int. nat. rules)@10/11 55 win(boyles)
intresting market,aus were 4/1 now 16/5,ireland were 1/6,now 2/9 on pp,(boyles are aus 9/2 if anyone fancys a punt on them,dont think the 9/2 will last tho).a lot of talk with future of this series in oz,with the aus team getting plenty of stick after the irish flogged them last week,they has said that the tackles will come in the next game on friday,one thing i'm sure of is the players want this series to last,if ireland win again by 40+ points that might not happen,just think aus has every chance of keeping the damage to within 20 pts
bet 53,aus +21 pts v ireland,(int. nat. rules)@10/11 55 win(boyles)
intresting market,aus were 4/1 now 16/5,ireland were 1/6,now 2/9 on pp,(boyles are aus 9/2 if anyone fancys a punt on them,dont think the 9/2 will last tho).a lot of talk with future of this series in oz,with the aus team getting plenty of stick after the irish flogged them last week,they has said that the tackles will come in the next game on friday,one thing i'm sure of is the players want this series to last,if ireland win again by 40+ points that might not happen,just think aus has every chance of keeping the damage to within 20 pts
bet 56,leinster-7 pts,110 @10/11 in game paddypowers,not sure why its only 7 pts with just 6 pts in it at 1/2 time but this looks like good valu,so brm out the window just this one time
bet 56,leinster-7 pts,110 @10/11 in game paddypowers,not sure why its only 7 pts with just 6 pts in it at 1/2 time but this looks like good valu,so brm out the window just this one time
bet 57,man city - 1goal @ 10/11,connacht + 13 v ulster@ 10/11 50 double( pp)
bk 881
rk 50
ti 1930
I fear for connacht today even if ulster have been poor of late connacht have not won there in donkeys years.
The ulster pack with world cup players looks very good and this year the connacht front row looks very poor could be a heavy defeat 18 19 poitns i think.
ah shit,my thinking behind the connacht bet was that they had their players for a while with none comeing back from the rwc and so on,when they played the blues last week,there was a lot to like about them but they made some silly mistakes,which hopefully they will be able to sort out themselfs,throw in the 13 pt head start,was thinking it might be a little valu,on the ulster side injurys + players comeing back might cause a few mistakes as the team might not be "gelled"as such.hopefully they might push each other up and down for a low scoreing game is my best hope now,me thinks.my own fault anyways got to do more research in future,live and learn i guess
bet 56,leinster-7 pts,110 @10/11 in game paddypowers,not sure why its only 7 pts with just 6 pts in it at 1/2 time but this looks like good valu,so brm out the window just this one time
Made a post about this in the Rugby Betting thread that might yield some interesting discussion...
I fear for connacht today even if ulster have been poor of late connacht have not won there in donkeys years.
The ulster pack with world cup players looks very good and this year the connacht front row looks very poor could be a heavy defeat 18 19 poitns i think.
Ulster 22 connacht 3 very late try for ulster
Hmm even a stopped clock is right once in a while.
ugghhhh wipe out on last weekends with just one win,still too many basic mistakes,simple things like researching teams etc.to me thats a leak that has to go,on the other side with the bones of 2k invested and just down 119,least i'm doing something right!i think,anyways story so far after 57 bets
bet 64,ire v est,under 2.5 goals @ 5/6 ,plumpton 1.30 notus de la tour 8/13(pp)
notus de la tour should take this race and is backed from 4/5 into8/13 to do so,the soccer bet is a bit of a punt,but i just think that last weekends game,just about everything went well for ireland,and wont be the goals,if all 22 players stay on the field that is!
anyways 45 win double
bk 550
rk 45
ti 2645
bet 65,5.10 wolves, roman strait @ 5/1,5.40 wolves, ensnare @ 5/1
robbing these of the e/w good thing and the winter racing log,
bet 64,ire v est,under 2.5 goals @ 5/6 ,plumpton 1.30 notus de la tour 8/13(pp)
notus de la tour should take this race and is backed from 4/5 into8/13 to do so,the soccer bet is a bit of a punt,but i just think that last weekends game,just about everything went well for ireland,and wont be the goals,if all 22 players stay on the field that is!
anyways 45 win double
bk 550
rk 45
ti 2645
bet 65,5.10 wolves, roman strait @ 5/1,5.40 wolves, ensnare @ 5/1
robbing these of the e/w good thing and the winter racing log,
10 e/w double
bk 530
rk 20
ti 2645
bet 64 comes in,with a return of 133,all helps,tbh if i can get back to my starting stack before x mas i will be,no joy with bet 65 only a matter of time till something clicks there,me thinks
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