hup-oh-tat seems the week in the costa da kerry got the brain ticking over again for a return of 12 points bringing the bank to 302.35
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SPORTS BETTING LOG 2013
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going to try a statistical based bet in the 6.20 windsor which is maiden over 6 furlongs for 2 year olds,the unraced Tamarasha @ 16/1 is where the pin landed,about 60% of first time out 2yos improve by just 1 or 2 lbs for their second run for this trainer.i'll fire a point e/w at the odds with 1/5th the odds 3 places paid.
in the 9.00 beverley give Miss Bunter @ 5/1 for a point e/w with 3 places paid @ 1/5th the odds
bank 298.35Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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nothing from yesterday with both horses finishing well down the field,had a look at the 6.25 ballinrobe which is a handicap hurdle over 2 miles (r. 80-109),had a look at the past winners of this & recent good form,decent past form at the track & towards the top of the market looks the way to go with just one outsider winning in the past number of years,ended up going with Oscar Wings @ 13/2,a winner last time out in sligo over distance when rated 82 @ 20/1,trainer stated after that the ground was key to her and that she just didnt get the decent going last year,she also won a bumper here a few years ago.rated 88 this evening and might be a little more to come on just her 3rd run of the season.worth a point e/w @ 1/4 the odds 3 places paid with the bank now at 296.35Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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no joy the last day with Oscar Wings finishing 5th,not the worst bet i've had with the winner(Xsquared) fitting in well,the hold up tactics didn't do her any favours imo and might be worth a look again if the going stays good.trying a similar bet as the last one with a point of reference x 14 in the 7.55 leopardstown (apprentice handicap for 3 yo +)over 1mile 2 furlongs,which should be savage craic,out of the nine runners street party @ 5/1 came out in top with the ould comparison so thats where the point e/w is going this evening with the bank now standing at 294.35Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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nowt again yesterday with street party finishing 7th,didn't seem to get the trip tbh.the winner (castle guest) again scored very well which is a little frustrating,but sur thems the joys.going for two in down royal to day,both short prices but still a little value
in the 6.45,going with Target Acquired @ 3/1 with 365 & dabadiyan @ 6/4 in the last for 2 points on each with the bank now standing at 290.35Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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robbing a few from elsewhere in ascot,taking 2 against the field in the international Stakes which is off at 3.15,Field Of Dream @ 14/1 & Es Que Love @ 12/1 for a point e/w with 5 places paid @ 1/4 the odds,and Novellist @ 5/1 also for a point e/w in the king george (off 3.50)
bank 291.35Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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very disappointing run from burning blaze finishing back in 6th,es que love finished in 9th but field of dream came in 5th so a return of 4.5 points and novellist winning very well @ 13/2 for a return of 10.13 bringing the bank to 305.98.going with barnet fair @ 20/1 for a point e/w in the 5.20 ascot tomorrow with 1/4 the odds 4 places.
bank 303.98Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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barnet fair won yesterday giving me my biggest priced winner of the log @ 20/1,a rule 4 of 15 cent for a return of 23.25 but still not too shabby,bringing the bank to 327.23.in the 6.45 galway Cry For The Moon @ 12/1 for a point e/w might be a little value with 5 places paid @ 1/4 the odds with powers.
bank 325.23Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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nada for me yesterday with cry For The moon finishing in 6th,stuck 2 points e/w on Producer in the lennox stakes @ 5/1 in goodwood with 3 places paid @ 1/5th the odds.in galway stuck a point e/w on Global Village @ 12/1 with sj in the topaz with 4 places paid @ 1/4 the odds & knights templar @ 6/1 with ladbrokes in the 7.45 with 4 places paid @ 1/4 the odds.
bank 317.23Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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not much yesterday with knights templar the only one giving me a run,just found one too good for a return of 2.63 point with the bank now standing at 317.86,going for Broxbourne @ 7/1 in the 1.55 goodwood with sky bet paying 5 places @ 1/4 the odds,ticks almost every box in the book,not too sure about the going.in the plate in galway the pin landed on Pride Of the Artic @ 16/1 with powers paying 5 places @ 1/4 the odds.again ticks plenty of boxes.2 points each way on both with the bank now standing at 309.86Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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good start to the month with Missunited winning for a return of 12 points and drive time finishing in 4th @ 20/1 for a return of 6 points bringing the bank to 345.36.sticking a point e/w on Fire Ship @ 14/1 & Brendan Brackan @ 10/1 with 4 places paid @ 1/4 the odds.
bank 341.36Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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no good with Fire Ship & Brendan Brackan,fire ship gave it a right go but finish 5th with Brendan Brackan finishing well down the field,taking two against the field in the stewards cup which is off in goodwood at 3.50 with Ninjago @ 10/1 & Whozthecat @ 25/1 with most (but not all bookmakers) paying 5 places @ 1/4 the odds for just a point e/w on both with the bank now standing at 337.36Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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Ninjago managed to finish in 5th for a return of 3.5 points,In Salutem in the 3.35 naas is where the pin landed today,have to forgive his last run which was a huge handicap where 3 year olds have a very poor record in,seems to have progressed well this year,give a point e/w @ 6/1 with the bank now at 338.85Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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The black devil came 4th for a return of 3 points,profiled the abergwaun stakes which is off at 535 in tipperary,just 7 years to go on here as it was held in cork before then,biggest price winner in this over the past 7 years was 5/1,no horse with a rating of less than 100 has won,6 from the last 7 winners were drawn from stalls 1-6(only horse to win from above did so on heavy),the second fav. russian soul ticks most boxes for me @ 11/4, so good for 2 point punt for fun with the bank now standing at 336.05Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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russian soul won @ 9/4 for a return of 6.5 points bringing the bank to 342.55.seem to do well in ascot for some reason so i'll go for a small each way trixie tomorrow,in the 12.55 famous poet @ 11/2,in the 2.05 Steps @ 3/1 and in the 3.15 scatter dice @ 12/1 for just a half point each way trixie which costs 4 points for a return of 264.89 points if they all happen to win
bank 338.55Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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Originally posted by Pat Mustard View PostHaven't seen this thread in a while. Fair play amber keep it up.
Originally posted by amberleaf View Postjust the 2 places from yesterdays trixie for a return of 2.08,just taking a punt on Jayed Jidan in the last in the curragh @ 8/1 with 4 places paid at 1/4 the odds for a point e/w.
bank 338.63
bank 348.63Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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Inarticulate found the odds on fav too good finishing second,2 punts for me in gowran park this evening with snow queen @ 7/1 in the listed (off 6.55),she's a heart breaker but has tons of ability,in the 7.55 Passagere @ 6/1 is where the pin landed for 2 points e/w,its a big enough bet for a apprentice handicap but worth a punt imo,with 4 places paid @ 1/4 the odds,Passagere (rated 65 this evening) was well beaten by Jayed Jidan who won off 87 since.
bank 341.63Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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nothing from sinntani with machete mark finishing in 3rd for a return of 2.75,going with a 1/2 point e/w trixie with admiral barry @ 4/1 in the last at tramore,abbakova @ 6/1 in the 3.55 newbury & Glebe Spirit @ 7/2 in the 2.20 newbury,pays 132 points for 4 points if they all happen to win with the bank now standing at 336.38Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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nothing yesterday,had a long look at the wilfrid handicap which is a 20 runner handicap in ripon off at 3.30,3 came out on top here with Spinatrix @ 8/1,Dick Bos @ 12/1(s.foley booked*) & Baccarat @ 9/2 fav.i'll go with the 2 outsiders of those three with a point e/w on Spinatrix @ 8/1 and a point e/w on dick bos @ 12/1 (4pp/1/4)
bank 332.38Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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Originally posted by amberleaf View Postnothing yesterday,had a long look at the wilfrid handicap which is a 20 runner handicap in ripon off at 3.30,3 came out on top here with Spinatrix @ 8/1,Dick Bos @ 12/1(s.foley booked*) & Baccarat @ 9/2 fav.i'll go with the 2 outsiders of those three with a point e/w on Spinatrix @ 8/1 and a point e/w on dick bos @ 12/1 (4pp/1/4)
bank 332.38Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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harpist ran no sort of race,theatre kings was well backed and finished 4th(might be out again thursday)timjeo ran very well but just couldn't peg the well backed winner to finish 2nd for a return of 4 points.taking a punt on sweet refusal in the 6.50 sligo @ 9/2 for a 2 point win with the bank now standing at 345.49Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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sweet refusal wasn't up to much so zippo from yesterday,had a look at the first at york,the symphony group handicap which is a 5 furlong handicap that had 20 runners,but has 2 non runners,sky bet are still paying 5 places @ 1/4 the odds.not a whole pile to go on here so ended up going back over all big field 5 furlong races at york to try and build a profile,ended up with demora @ 12/1 for a point each way and also putting a point e/w on whozthecat @ 20/1,worth just a point e/w on both at the odds.
bank 341.49Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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a few more from york,just the 7 runners in the 305, telescope @ 13/8(gen) scores the best so a 2 point win,in the 2 mile hcp which is off at 4.20 all The aces @ 20/1 looks overpriced but not one for a lump on job and worth just a sniff of a point e/w.(4pp/1/4/bv)
bank 337.49Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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going for a point e/w on queensberry rules in the 305 york @ 6/1,was as big as 10s at one stage but the withdrawal of wentworth and with 4 places paid @ 1/4 the odds,worth a point e/w for me with so many boxes ticked.just the 16 runners left in so hopefully no more non runners.in the yorkshire oaks venus de milo @ 9/4 for a 2 point bet & taking a punt on ghost of a girl @ 14/1 in the 7.10 tipperary for a point e/w.bank now stands 346.74Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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not much happening yesterday with ghost of a girl finishing 3rd for a return of 3.80 with the bank now standing at 350.54.in the lonsdale cup at york,going with last years winner Times Up @ 9/2 for a 2 pointer,willie mullins simenon is the 2/1 fav in this but has a poor enough record at york as where times up has 2 wins from 4 here and distance wont be a problem,could be the value of the race.in the 4.55 going with Machete Mark @ 11/2 for a point e/w (3pp/1/4/sj).in the 4.40 ffas las, barel of laughs @ 8/1 for a point e/w,who won this last year.(3pp/1/5/365)
bank 344.54Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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nothing the last day,had another look at the lonsdale cup this morning which was won by ahzeemah,might have left that one behind me.anyways a small trixie for me today with douneedahand @ 4/1 warwick 2.45,Supplicant @ 5/6 ripon 3.35 & beacon Lady @ 3/1 in the epsom 4.15 for just a point trixie which is 4 bets in total.
bank 340.54Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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didn't get much of a run today with nurse ryan,but still think shes better than that so i'll keep an eye on her.the ruby stakes in killarney tomorrow is the race i eyeballed for a while tonight and ended up making a profile of the last 10 winners.some interesting stats came up,no horse has won this rated at less than 99 with just 3 of the 10 runners rated 99+ plus in the field tomorrow(Snow Queen,Elleval & Captain Joy).ended up taking 9 points of reference(age,rating,price,past form etc)and the one that came out on top by a long way is Elleval @ 5/1,on paper at least this doesn't look the toughest listed ever ran so hopefully he'll run to his best,going to fire 3 points e/w at the odds.(3pp/1/5/pp)
bank 339.87Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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not much going on with Whitethorne Scent and Elleval finished in 3rd so just a return of 6 points,giving Maggie Dalton @ 8/1 a spin in the kingdom gold cup which is off at 6.00 in killarney.finished 2nd in the ulster derby in june on good followed by a poor run in the curragh but has run well since,she wears cheekpiece for the first time,also first time on a left handed track.2 points e/w @ 8s (3pp/1/5/pp) with the bank standing at 337.87Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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maggie gave it a right go,hung a little right but got into a good position to challenge but wasn't good enough ended up in 4th.was won by jazz girl who ended up being conor kings only booking of the evening,got picked up from the school gates,gave the winner a brilliant ride,pacing the race himself and getting the job done in the last 100 yards before fucking off home to play with his crayons.
anyways another ambition @ 11/2 in the grade c steeplechase which is off in the 7.20 killarney is where the pin landed for me today,ticks a lot of boxes in the profile and with stan james paying 4 places @ 1/4 the odds,fire 2 points e/w with the bank standing at 333.87Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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another ambition went off @ 7/1 but found one too good so just a return of 5.5 points.3 across the water for me today,all tick plenty of boxes and hopefully a little value to be found.
in the 2.30 beverley going with Borderlescott @ 14/1 with sj for a point e/w(3pp/1/5/sj),in the 2.55 chester,Ayaar @ 12/1 for a point e/w(3pp/1/4/gen) & Star Lahib @ 5/1 with 365 in the chester 3.30 for 2 points e/w(3pp/1/4/365) with the bank now standing @ 331.37Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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had a long look at the cambridgeshire which is off at 4.45 in the curragh,tbh you could make a case for plenty in the field of 20.dance and dance is the fav @ 7/1,but looks poor value giving the profile,ended up going with Moran Gra @ 18/1 with bv,has won in big fields in the past at the curragh and was 2nd in this a few years ago off 103 (5lbs ex) and is today off 95 with 3ex,(the weight of 9-2 is a negative but ticks the same boxes as the 3 winners that have won with 9-0 plus over the past 10 years,and ticks a lot of boxes overall) could be value at the price so gave 2 points e/w @ 18s (4pp/1/4/bv)
bank 331.17Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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nothing from mt weather yesterday,who finished outside the top two for the first time at laytown,(was more or less pulled up).going with Encrypted Message @ 4/1 for a 2 point win in the 6.15 gowran park.not a massive price but ran very well on his first run over course and distance last time splitting some higher rated horses 3 weeks ago,a lot of the horses towards the top of the market have done their best on left handed tracks and at times track form can be plus at gowran,trainer landed this last year with along came casey (9/2 to 6/4)who is a bit of a course specialist (3 from 3 at the track).dangers as always feile na mban in particular.
bank 274.42Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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Encrypted Message finished 3rd so no return there,Dale Street @ 11/4 with sky bet for a 2 point punt in the kilbeggan 6.35 is the only bet for me today.
two races done for tomorrow so far,in the champion stakes going with Trading Leather @ 6/1 for 2 points e/w(3pp/1/4/365),and in the old borough cup in haydock (off 3.15)Poyle Thomas @ 8/1(4pp/1/4/365) for 2 points e/w
bank 364.42Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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cant get away from having a max bet on cafe society in the 3.30 ascot @ 4/1,was just 9/2 before pether's moon was withdrawn,who to me was a danger and was on my short list of 3 to win this,reckon the pace that surly will come from special meaning and will play a big part in the outcome in this.think it will set it up for cafe society,worth 5 point win @ 4/1 for me.
bank 355.42Mattie McGrath wanna-be
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