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    Originally posted by BennyHiFi View Post
    This popped up on my Quora timeline a few days ago and thought it might be of interest given the current discussion. Really dunno how much of it is credible but it seems to have generated a lot of discussion over there and if even some of it is factually correct I learned something.




    I'm sure some here will know more than me about how credible the various parts of the analysis is. Starts off incredible for sure but he seems to build up layers of intriguing angles.




    John Mark McDonald

    ·

    Follow

    Disabled and Retired.Updated Tue







    Will Putin resort to nuclear weapons now that it is becoming increasingly clear, from the many, many posts that I have read on Quora, that he has little or no chance of being victorious in Ukraine by means of conventional war?

    As someone who has studied nuclear war for close to thirty years now, I am going to give you an answer that will blow your mind. Even if the entire Russian nuclear arsenal were used against Ukraine, it wouldn't substantially change the course of the war. How could I possibly say that? Because, the power of nuclear weapons has been used as a boogeyman for so long that the actual power of a nuclear detonation has almost no relation to their actual destructive power. No nuclear power can afford to actually use one in combat because it would expose the mythical nature of nuclear weapons.




    There have been nearly THREE THOUSAND NUCLEAR DETONATIONS ALREADY, that are either known or suspected and this has not effected the survivability of life on Earth even slightly.

    .



    I’d be skeptical about how much of an expert that he is. There’s a few nonsense claims at the start.

    The edit is more detailed, but where-ever he pulled contradicts his earlier claims. A few parts stood out to me;




    “Brick buildings were still standing in Hiroshima”.




    Yes many were. But that was a tiny bomb in a technology never used. It was 15KT. Current typical smaller nukes are 50x bigger (a delivery rocket carries 10 of them). Big nukes are 1000x bigger.




    The biggest ever nuke level a village of brick buildings 50km from the test site. That data isn’t top secret. It was declassified when USSR fell.




    “They dint have that many”




    His claim about peak nukes minus tests being the estimate is definitely nonsense. Somebody posted a cool timeline video of nuclear armouries in here before. The numbers were insane at the height of the Cold War.




    Both the US and Russia got up to ~40,000 nukes. Both did ~500-1000 tests. Both currently have 5000-6000 nukes estimated.

    Do clearly it’s not peak minus tests. There are whole agencies dedicated to knowing that number. I take their word over random guy on Quora.




    “average nuke burns 2-3square miles”




    Depends on the size of the explosion. But that would be the smaller nukes mentioned above, and as mentioned there’s 10 of them on board, as it does more damage than a single nuke.

    A single 1MT+ nuke burns 80-100 sq.miles.




    He seems to be looking at it like a single device going off won’t end the word.

    But is missing the point that nobody just one snowball in a snowball fight.















    Comment


      Fk you Mellor . You radioheaded me.



       

      Comment


        Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post
        There's a military grade version of GPS also - only accessible to friendly powers. Much higher precision than the public version of GPS. Glonass was falling to pieces around a decade ago and then they launched new satellites to bring it up to scratch.
        As I said, I was aware Glonass was a thing. I just assume they used GPS.

        That still doesnt my explain how you think it gives them military intelligence. GPS allows you to locate yourself or objects you are connected to. They can’t just ping Ukrainian hiding places.

        Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post
        GPS was started as a military project by the US Department of the Defence, it only later became accessible in a dumbed-down version for the public.
        The Internet, digital cameras and super glue all started off life in the military too. Probably many more every day items too.

        Comment


          Originally posted by Solksjaer! View Post
          Fk you Mellor . You radioheaded me.
          Sorry Solks. If it’s any consolation, you’ll be glad to know that young priest turned his depression around, quit the priesthood, and became a successful xocaine fuelled comedian

          Comment


            Good article by Anne Applebaum on the continuing collapse of RuSSia.
            "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

            Comment


              Hitchhiker's Guide To.... sent you a pm not drug related lol
              Her sky-ness
              © 5starpool

              Comment


                Originally posted by BennyHiFi View Post
                This popped up on my Quora timeline a few days ago and thought it might be of interest given the current discussion. Really dunno how much of it is credible but it seems to have generated a lot of discussion over there and if even some of it is factually correct I learned something.

                I'm sure some here will know more than me about how credible the various parts of the analysis is. Starts off incredible for sure but he seems to build up layers of intriguing angles.

                John Mark McDonald
                ·
                Follow
                Disabled and Retired.Updated Tue


                Will Putin resort to nuclear weapons now that it is becoming increasingly clear, from the many, many posts that I have read on Quora, that he has little or no chance of being victorious in Ukraine by means of conventional war?
                As someone who has studied nuclear war for close to thirty years now, I am going to give you an answer that will blow your mind. Even if the entire Russian nuclear arsenal were used against Ukraine, it wouldn't substantially change the course of the war. How could I possibly say that? Because, the power of nuclear weapons has been used as a boogeyman for so long that the actual power of a nuclear detonation has almost no relation to their actual destructive power. No nuclear power can afford to actually use one in combat because it would expose the mythical nature of nuclear weapons.

                Nuclear weapons are hyped to the point that no one contradicts it when a media outlet publishes a statement indicating that even a single nuclear device will destroy the world. This is a blatantly, stupidly, obviously untrue, but never corrected. After all, two were used in WWII. BUT that is just the tip of the iceburg. I thought there had been a couple of hundred nuclear test that prove this point. I was off by over an order of magnitude. There have been nearly THREE THOUSAND NUCLEAR DETONATIONS ALREADY, that are either known or suspected and this has not effected the survivability of life on Earth even slightly.

                Well then, how dangerous are nuclear weapons? Nuclear weapons, if they weren't their own catagory, would be classified as incendiary weapons. They set stuff on fire. They set a lot of stuff on fire. In fact they can set things on fire as far as two miles away from the actual detonation. Besides this, nuclear detonation are very bright, capable of blinding people 20–30 miles away. This is only constrained by the curvature of the earth. They also create hurricane force winds as the air around the detonation expands and contracts. If you are outside and unshielded and within a mile of a nuclear detonation, you are going to die.

                The problem here is that Ukraine is really big. I mean the size of Texas big. Cities there tend to be spread out in modern times and their larger ones cover over a hundred square miles. The average nuclear detonation are only burn 2–3 square miles of territory. A city the size of Kiev would take on the order of 200 warheads to cover the whole thing.

                Which brings us to our next point. Modern cities are just not that vulnerable to incendiaries. Modern city centers and industrial areas are made of concrete and steel. Most of the damage in Hiroshima and Nagasaki was done because almost all the buildings were made of wood and paper. The initial blast set the city centers on fire which spread and ended up burning down most of the city. Modern cities are just not that vulnerable. In Ukraine, despite millions of rounds of being poured into their cities, not one of them caught fire and burned to the ground like the Great Chicago or Great London Fires in the 19th century or the fire storms of WWII. In the Japanese nuclear detonations, the brick buildings were still standing, despite being much less sturdy than modern buildings. This leads to the most surprising revelation about nuclear detonations: If you are not outside, you stand a good chance of surviving even within the blast zone. Nuclear blasts are mainly line of sight killers. The vast majority of “radiation” created by an nuclear detonation is infrared radiation, or heat the same as a gas stove or fireplace makes. Unless the building you are in is collapsed by the wind or you fail to leave if it catches on fire or you happen to be in front of a window with a direct line of sight to the detonation, you are probably going to be fine.

                Thus we get to the real reason why Putin will not use nuclear weapons: they're just not all that effective compared to the boogeyman that is in our collective imaginations. Were a nuclear missile to detonate over central Kiev, no one would believe that it was an actual nuclear blast because the city is still there and all the major buildings are still standing.

                Secondly, he doesn't have very many of them. The numbers given for the Russian nuclear arsenal are an outright farce. You get that number by taking of bombs that the USSR claimed to have built, and subtract the number used in their testing program. This leaves you with about 9,000 warheads. First of all, Russia doesn't have nearly enough delivery systems to put those warheads on. The second problem here is that nuclear warheads have a very short shelf life. Nuclear warheads require a detonator made of conventional expolsives. These detonators are some of the most precision pieces of engineering in the history of mankind. A series of explosives has to go off in such a way that the core is hit by the same amount of pressure from all directions simultaneously. If any of those explosives are even slightly off, the nuclear warhead will not go off. You now have an extremely precise machine sitting around a core of material emiting hard radiation. Hard radiation is not friendly to machines. Nuclear warheads need to be rebuilt a least every five years and maintained a lot more often than that. Even with that, a twenty year old warhead is a piece of junk. It's been more than twenty years since the Putin kleptocracy came to power. I'm sure that Russia has a number of Potemkin warheads that are kept in top shape for inspectors, but given the current Russian system, the Russian nuclear arsenal most likely resembles the Russian tank reserves: the bare minimum kept in service while the rest is a scrap pile.

                Currently, the spector of the vast Russian nuclear arsenal is the last card he has in his hand. If he were to actually use it, it would expose that he never had anything but a junk hand and bluffing to back it up.

                Update 9/16/2022:

                The response to his post here been overwhelming and I very much appreciate those of you who have asked a number of sincere and insightful questions. I am going to try and clarify and expand here as the reply thread has gotten quite long. Nuclear weapons are the most deadly weapons that mankind has ever made, capable of killing tens of thousands of people at a time. It would be insane not to fear and respect that kind of power. On the other hand, even the most powerful nuclear warhead is not capable of killing millions, destroying our civilization, causing the extinction of mankind, or destroying the planet. There is a middle ground between being completely ineffective the apocalypse.

                Some clarifications about the types of nuclear explosions and categories of warheads.

                There are four categories of nuclear device: Air burst, bunker buster, torpedo, and mine. Mines and torpedoes are not relevant to our discussion here. Air burst bombs are the classical nuclear bomb with the mushroom cloud. These are detonated at altitude in order to do as much damage over as wide an area as possible. Bunker buster bombs are designed to destroy underground installations like bunkers. There is another type that is talked about but never existed. This is the contact or ground burst bomb. As far as I am aware, no one has ever designed nor made a nuclear warhead that explodes when it hits the ground.

                There are four kinds of nuclear explosions that are talked about:

                Neutron bombs are nuclear detonations that produce large amounts of hard radiation at the cost of producing very little physical damage. These were banned by mutual treaty in the 1970s. My suspicion is that they were either ineffective or mind bogglingly expensive and both sides agreed to ban them because they were already in the process of dropping the programs. Because of this Neutron bombs do not currently exist.

                Third stage bombs are in a similar position without the treaty ban. In theory, a third stage bomb uses a four stage detonation to set off an explosion in the multi-megaton range. Any stats on their power are made up as everything to do with them is massively classified. The infamous Tsar Bomba was an attempt to make a third stage bomb and this prototype is acknowledged to have caused the most powerful nuclear detonation in history … and then the program was dropped. (The US had a program that was similar in nature, but not as powerful result and was similarly dropped.) Again, no third stage bombs actally exist. (1)

                This leaves us with fission and fusion bombs. These bombs actually exist and have been tested extensively. Unfortunately for the purposes of our discussion, the tests are highly classified. The only data available to the public is from the Hiroshima and Nagasaki bombs and is over 75 years out of date. In the intervening time, Uranium based warheads have been replaced with Plutonium based warheads almost completely. Thus makes comparisons very difficult. How do we know anything about modern nuclear warheads? Well, they still obey the laws of physics. (2)

                Fission warheads work by a two stage explosion. A set of conventional explosives form a shell around a core of highly enriched Uranium or Plutonium. This explosion has to be mind bogglingly precise or you only pulverized the core (creating an unintentional dirty bomb). The level of precision required is that if you had a steel ping pong ball in the middle that after the explosion the ping pong ball would be perfectly intact. This level of precision is unmatched in any other device made by humanity, except fusion warheads. (3)

                Fusion warheads have a three stage explosion in which a conventional explosive shell sets off a fission explosive shell to trigger a fusion explosion. This is orders of magnitude more complex than a fission warhead.

                This brings to the most common set of questions: Just what are the effects of a nuclear detonation? A nuclear explosion converts some of radioactive core into pure energy and hard radiation. Simple enough, but the devil is in the details. The equivalent of a small piece of the sun being brought into existence in the atmosphere for a fraction of a second (this is the nuclear fireball which has temperatures similar to the sun, but never even comes close to the ground or any other solid objects)(4). This sends out radiation across the spectrum from Gamma rays to radio waves (including EMPs) but not in equal amounts. Most of the radiation is Thermal or visible; AKA heat and light. This radiation goes out in straight lines (line of sight) for a fraction of a second. This is relevant because this radiation is only there for a fraction of a second and then is gone leaving only its effects. A small amount of alpha and beta particles (hard radiation) are also produced. This radiation is also absorbed by the first solid object it runs into. The amount of energy transferred depends of the distance from the explosion by the inverse cube law. This damages things by cooking flesh and settings things on fire. The range at which people are killed and things are set on fire is known as the damage radius. If you are in the damage radius and you have a direct line of sight you will be burned to death. This is also the range that you might receive a fatal dose of radiation, but as you are already dead from the heat, it doesn't really matter. EMPs are also generated in this zone, which means that any computer chips or diodes within the zone will be fried even if they survive the heat. That's it for the direct effect of a nuclear detonation. Secondary effects will be covered later.

                The thing is that radiation follows the inverse cube law, which means that the effects drop off very quickly.(5) Nuclear bombs are rated in explosive force equivalent to a number of tons of TNT. This gives a rough estimate of their damage radius. The bigger the number, the bigger the damage raduis is roughly. (The Hiroshima bomb was rated at 15 KT and killed about 50% more people than the 20 KT Nagasaki bomb so we already know its not an absolute ratio.) Just outside of the damage radius, there is a small edge zone. People in a direct line of sight of this explosion within the edge zone will receive serious burns that are not immediately fatal as well as high doses of other forms of radiation besides visible and thermal. These are the people who are the most likely to survive the blast but later die of burns or radiation sickness. This edge zone is only a few hundred feet across and being on the side of the street closer to the blast can literally mean the difference between life and death.(6)

                (1) Everyone seems to love to talk about the “Tsar Bomba” like they know anything about it. In 1961 a pair of propaganda releases were made about a Soviet nuclear test. At that particular time it was to both sides advantage to play up the danger of the Russian nuclear threat. All actual data is still highly classified to this day. The only real things we know is that it was a really big explosion, and that the program was considered a failure and dropped. Therefore talking about the Tsar Bomba is irrelevant and all comments using it as a example will be deleted because it is about as relevant as unicorn farts.

                I previously identified third stage bombs as cobalt bombs. This was my mistake and I apologize. Cobalt bombs were an attempt to create a hybrid nuclear/dirty bomb with significant long term fallout. This only emphasizes that conventional nuclear warheads do not produce a lot of fallout as there would be no purpose I cobalt bombs if they did.

                (2) The only other clue we have is the bomb’s public rating in tons of TNT. The only ones that know how accurate this are a few engineers that are not allowed to talk about on penalty of up to death.

                (3) I'm aware of the plunger type detonator, but this technology seems to have been abandoned as well and so is not relevant.

                (4) People who refer to vaporizing flesh and melting rock (turning cities into glass) are confusing being in the damage radius with being inside the nuclear fireball. Only nuclear mines produce a fireball on the surface, and they cannot be used offensively. The only time that people were killed inside a nuclear fireball was in the MOVIE “The Day After.” People who say these things can reliably be dismissed for not knowing what they are talking about.

                (5) The damage radius is where the nuclear explosion (A three dimensional sphere), intersects the ground (effectively a circle on a two dimensional plain). Trying to make calculation based only on the circle on the map leads wildly inaccurate conclusions. We do not live in a two dimensional world. Most of the time this can be ignored, but in this specific case you get the completely wrong answer if you do. Just like a 24″ pizza is much bigger than two 12″ pizzas, A one mile diameter explosion is much more powerful than two half mile diameter explosions.

                (6) Because the nuclear fireball is hundreds to thousands of feet across, solid objects may only provide partial protection to someone who is on the edge of a shadow. There is also the photoelectric effect that blurs the effect of the edge of the shadow. This can lead to people within the damage zone getting injuries similar to those in the edge zone that are not immediately fatal,but still end up killing them in the next few days or months.
                I saw that the other day posted somewhere other than quroa. I said at the time and repeat now it seems almost ridiculously optimistic.
                I mean, great and all, I just think it isn't realistic to suggest one bomb per city is the gameplan of any potential nuclear assault.

                ah I see Mellor got there first
                Last edited by DeadParrot; 22-09-22, 12:12.
                People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

                Comment


                  Originally posted by SatNav View Post
                  Any recommendations for a hotel in Amsterdam..myself and Mia going and can't really find anything decent that's central .budget around 470 ish three nights

                  Never been before so absolutely clueless

                  These two came recommended

                  https://www.tripadvisor.ie/Hotel_Rev..._Province.html

                  And this but obv private room with own bathroom

                  https://www.tripadvisor.ie/Hotel_Rev..._Province.html
                  Swiss hotel or krasnapolski is where I would stay for light hearted hi jinks while in the Dam
                  People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                  Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                  https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

                  Comment


                    Quora just a place for pompous asshats to
                    show off how much they think they know about stuff.

                    Kinda like how some posters use here.
                    This may or may not be an original thought of my own.
                    All efforts were made to make this thought original but with the abundance of thoughts in the world the originality of this thought cannot be guaranteed.
                    The author is not liable for any issue arising from the platitudinous nature of this post.

                    Comment


                      Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                      Good article by Anne Applebaum on the continuing collapse of RuSSia.
                      Subtle -RuSSia. I nearly miased the SS slur as i expect everyone has the big finger typos like myself.

                      Comment


                        Ha, even North Korea is at pains to distance itself from RuSSia.
                        "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                        Comment


                          Originally posted by Solksjaer! View Post

                          Subtle -RuSSia. I nearly miased the SS slur as i expect everyone has the big finger typos like myself.
                          Is it a slur if it's true?
                          "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                          Comment


                            Originally posted by SatNav View Post
                            Hitchhiker's Guide To.... sent you a pm not drug related lol
                            Blue Lights are more interesting than the red ones for sure!

                            Comment


                              Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post

                              Is it a slur if it's true?
                              The truth hurts . Look at Trump . Slurs can be true or not .
                              anyhoo i was kind of giving you kudos for the sneaky SS Insertion . .

                              Irrelevant now as we are all going to FRY.

                              Comment


                                Not sure if anyone is aware of this
                                I rang kbc about the mortgage currently at 2.8% five yr fixed and expires on April 1st 2023

                                So I asked could it be fixed again now for five yrs on same rate without penalty

                                They can with no penalty at 2.6% so was happy with that

                                Was a page on Instagram had it up so I made the call. Just in case anyone here would be interested
                                Her sky-ness
                                © 5starpool

                                Comment


                                  Originally posted by SatNav View Post
                                  Not sure if anyone is aware of this
                                  I rang kbc about the mortgage currently at 2.8% five yr fixed and expires on April 1st 2023

                                  So I asked could it be fixed again now for five yrs on same rate without penalty

                                  They can with no penalty at 2.6% so was happy with that

                                  Was a page on Instagram had it up so I made the call. Just in case anyone here would be interested
                                  I'd have assumed at your age you would have it long paid off

                                  Comment


                                    Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post

                                    There's a military grade version of GPS also - only accessible to friendly powers. Much higher precision than the public version of GPS. Glonass was falling to pieces around a decade ago and then they launched new satellites to bring it up to scratch.
                                    Public GPS is accurate to 1 m.

                                    Comment



                                      Paging Strewelpeter Lazare and probably a few more

                                      SPOILER

                                      Comment


                                        I've a ticket for Crow Black Chicken on Saturday in Whelans. Free to a good home. They always put on a cracking show.

                                        Bought it last week, found out tonight our football game is on Saturday evening now instead of Sunday so won't make it.

                                        Comment


                                          In public sector parlance, have been 'deemed appointable' after today and yesterday's interviews. The critical issue of ranking now arises, and is apparently the subject of quite intense debate. There's either one or two positions for three of us deemed appointable. Tempted to assign my chances as around 50-65% percent, as the first position was gone before the interviews started, so then its whether they open the second position and who gets ranked second. Also a decent chance that even if the two positions get offered to the other two internationals, that one of them turns it down when they type their salary into a tax calculator and look up daft.ie, so then it automatically passes to me. Hoping to get there on merit though rather than handmedowns.
                                          "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                          Comment


                                            Reboot is a pleasant show. Maybe more for family watching than quality alone time.



                                            "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                            Comment


                                              Originally posted by Lao Lao View Post
                                              Paging Strewelpeter Lazare and probably a few more

                                              SPOILER
                                              Ah brilliant, cheers for the heads up Brian.
                                              I hold silver in tit for tat, and I love you for that

                                              Comment


                                                myself and Mia had a lovely video call with Hitch tonight ( thought when phone rang it was a normal call and was horrified to see myself on camera to Hitch, who was looking brilliant unlike me in the pj's)

                                                It was an educational call before ye start

                                                think Mia was a bit in awe of himself ( if only she knew the shenanigans

                                                Legend and thanks again
                                                78228B36-C722-4A82-9ADA-C5E5AFF9453E.jpeg
                                                Hopefully she'll be sitting in on one of your classes in the near future!

                                                Her sky-ness
                                                © 5starpool

                                                Comment


                                                  Hitch very helpful and approachable with college stuff tbf. Had an issue in 1st year when I got an email at 6pm on a Friday accusing me of cheating an assignment and it would be dealt with Monday. Turned out the lecturer was a gowl and got it all wrong. But hitch set up a zoom call on a Friday night to talk me through the process that would happen and put my mind at ease. Been an invaluable asset to have on my side while in college. Definitely a perk about this place existing.

                                                  Comment


                                                    Originally posted by SatNav View Post
                                                    myself and Mia had a lovely video call with Hitch tonight ( thought when phone rang it was a normal call and was horrified to see myself on camera to Hitch, who was looking brilliant unlike me in the pj's)

                                                    It was an educational call before ye start

                                                    think Mia was a bit in awe of himself ( if only she knew the shenanigans

                                                    Legend and thanks again
                                                    78228B36-C722-4A82-9ADA-C5E5AFF9453E.jpeg
                                                    Hopefully she'll be sitting in on one of your classes in the near future!
                                                    hmm. Can see why it wasn't a straightforward decision to rank me first after the interviews, if I looked like that on the zoom calls.
                                                    "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                    Comment


                                                      Fair play Hitch. Basically a good egg .

                                                      Comment


                                                        This house buying lark was going too smoothly, vendors looking to delay. Water in their new place not connected. My brother had this last year when moving into a new build, took months to sort

                                                        Comment


                                                          Good luck with the ranking Hitch!

                                                          Comment


                                                            Originally posted by Ed View Post
                                                            This house buying lark was going too smoothly, vendors looking to delay. Water in their new place not connected. My brother had this last year when moving into a new build, took months to sort
                                                            Reverse BBV'd myself. Agent rang to say they've got something sorted and we're back on course

                                                            Comment


                                                              Originally posted by Ed View Post
                                                              This house buying lark was going too smoothly, vendors looking to delay. Water in their new place not connected. My brother had this last year when moving into a new build, took months to sort
                                                              UL, and hope it gets sorted quick.

                                                              Is it just me or does it feel like buying a house is stuck in the 19th century in terms of how difficult and stressful it is?
                                                              It's a transaction like any other, a buyer and a seller - they agree a price and that should be it. The deeds should be fully digitised as should the mortgages if any. You should agree a price and a schedule for when the keys are handed over -- and there should be a clear line drawn under delays to the process and compensation due to either party.
                                                              It's absolutely insane how hard it is.
                                                              "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                              Comment


                                                                Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                                                                UL, and hope it gets sorted quick.
                                                                .
                                                                damn, I'm good.
                                                                "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                Comment


                                                                  'Referendums' starting in illegally occupied Ukraine today. I wonder what the vote has already been rigged at?

                                                                  99.9% seems a bit too Stalinist. Anyone want to set the line on the overwhelming desire of these Ukrainians to be permanently joined with their RuSSian brethren? I'll say 85%.

                                                                  Courier Collie would have enjoyed these sort of election results back in the day (1937)
                                                                  All-Union Communist Party (Bolsheviks) 89,844,271 99.30 461
                                                                  Independents 108
                                                                  Against 632,074 0.70
                                                                  Total 90,476,345 100.00 569
                                                                  90,476,345 99.30
                                                                  636,808 0.70
                                                                  91,113,153 100.00
                                                                  94,138,159 96.79
                                                                  Source: Nohlen & Stöver
                                                                  "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                  Comment


                                                                    Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post

                                                                    hmm. Can see why it wasn't a straightforward decision to rank me first after the interviews, if I looked like that on the zoom calls.
                                                                    in fairness, there should be a website dedicated to 'people who set up Zoom with insane camera angles'. I've seen some strange sights in the last 2.5 years.
                                                                    "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                    Comment


                                                                      Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post

                                                                      UL, and hope it gets sorted quick.

                                                                      Is it just me or does it feel like buying a house is stuck in the 19th century in terms of how difficult and stressful it is?
                                                                      It's a transaction like any other, a buyer and a seller - they agree a price and that should be it. The deeds should be fully digitised as should the mortgages if any. You should agree a price and a schedule for when the keys are handed over -- and there should be a clear line drawn under delays to the process and compensation due to either party.
                                                                      It's absolutely insane how hard it is.
                                                                      In general it seems like a massive pain but we've been pretty lucky with this process (as can be seen above).

                                                                      We went sale agreed a month ago and are back on course to close at the end of Oct which is pretty quick by most standards. We essentially had to reapply for mortgage approval as we got our approval in principle back in April so had to resubmit everything. Weirdly they asked for a new salary cert from my wife but not from me. Expecting to get the formal loan offer next week. Getting the survey, valuations, insurance etc. sorted was pretty quick. The biggest delay so far has been the bank.

                                                                      You can work in a schedule to get keys handed over but that doesn't happen until the contract is sorted and that's all been waiting until we get the final approval from the bank.

                                                                      Mentioned my brother - they took the guts of a year to get sorted from the point they sold their old house to getting into their new place between the water not being connected and a few other issues.

                                                                      Comment


                                                                        Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post

                                                                        UL, and hope it gets sorted quick.

                                                                        Is it just me or does it feel like buying a house is stuck in the 19th century in terms of how difficult and stressful it is?
                                                                        It's a transaction like any other, a buyer and a seller - they agree a price and that should be it. The deeds should be fully digitised as should the mortgages if any. You should agree a price and a schedule for when the keys are handed over -- and there should be a clear line drawn under delays to the process and compensation due to either party.
                                                                        It's absolutely insane how hard it is.
                                                                        Too many fingers in the Pie

                                                                        Comment


                                                                          Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post

                                                                          in fairness, there should be a website dedicated to 'people who set up Zoom with insane camera angles'. I've seen some strange sights in the last 2.5 years.
                                                                          My work laptop has the camera mounted below the screen rather that above the screen. It’s a Dell, silver.
                                                                          Basically means I get this weird underneath camera angle. And if I’m emailing or whatever while in a call , the camera picks up my fingers, giant and optically distorted, typing away at the bottom of my screen.

                                                                          Absolutely baffles me how that got through a design, and testing process that included supposed intelligent “techy” people.

                                                                          The angle is looking up
                                                                          straight up my nose

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                                                                            Originally posted by dobby View Post
                                                                            I've a ticket for Crow Black Chicken on Saturday in Whelans. Free to a good home. They always put on a cracking show.

                                                                            Bought it last week, found out tonight our football game is on Saturday evening now instead of Sunday so won't make it.
                                                                            Is that Icky's mates?
                                                                            People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                                                                            Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                                                                            https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

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                                                                              Originally posted by Mellor View Post

                                                                              My work laptop has the camera mounted below the screen rather that above the screen. It’s a Dell, silver.
                                                                              Basically means I get this weird underneath camera angle. And if I’m emailing or whatever while in a call , the camera picks up my fingers, giant and optically distorted, typing away at the bottom of my screen.

                                                                              Absolutely baffles me how that got through a design, and testing process that included supposed intelligent “techy” people.

                                                                              The angle is looking up
                                                                              straight up my nose
                                                                              People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                                                                              Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                                                                              https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

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                                                                                Originally posted by SatNav View Post
                                                                                myself and Mia had a lovely video call with Hitch tonight ( thought when phone rang it was a normal call and was horrified to see myself on camera to Hitch, who was looking brilliant unlike me in the pj's)

                                                                                It was an educational call before ye start

                                                                                think Mia was a bit in awe of himself ( if only she knew the shenanigans

                                                                                Legend and thanks again
                                                                                78228B36-C722-4A82-9ADA-C5E5AFF9453E.jpeg
                                                                                Hopefully she'll be sitting in on one of your classes in the near future!
                                                                                Risky business that

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                                                                                  Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post

                                                                                  in fairness, there should be a website dedicated to 'people who set up Zoom with insane camera angles'. I've seen some strange sights in the last 2.5 years.
                                                                                  Reminds me: I've been on a fairly regular Zoom call through lockdown where one of the participants has her camera mainly pointing at her boobs (which are pleasant to look at). Nobody has though to correct her in 2 years

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                                                                                    Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post

                                                                                    UL, and hope it gets sorted quick.

                                                                                    Is it just me or does it feel like buying a house is stuck in the 19th century in terms of how difficult and stressful it is?
                                                                                    It's a transaction like any other, a buyer and a seller - they agree a price and that should be it. The deeds should be fully digitised as should the mortgages if any. You should agree a price and a schedule for when the keys are handed over -- and there should be a clear line drawn under delays to the process and compensation due to either party.
                                                                                    It's absolutely insane how hard it is.
                                                                                    The legal fraternity is above all that modernity nonsense.

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                                                                                      Isn't there something like sealed agreed bids in Scotland and once accepted the seller is on a deadline to get out?
                                                                                      ﴾͡๏̯͡๏﴿

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                                                                                        Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post

                                                                                        UL, and hope it gets sorted quick.

                                                                                        Is it just me or does it feel like buying a house is stuck in the 19th century in terms of how difficult and stressful it is?
                                                                                        It's a transaction like any other, a buyer and a seller - they agree a price and that should be it. The deeds should be fully digitised as should the mortgages if any. You should agree a price and a schedule for when the keys are handed over -- and there should be a clear line drawn under delays to the process and compensation due to either party.
                                                                                        It's absolutely insane how hard it is.
                                                                                        I know the solicitor who looked after my recent switch and he's said plainly that the whole thing is archaic. Paperwork and hoops. There's scope for a lot more digitization and some process streamlining but ultimately the paper isn't going away any time soon. Pain in the hole for everyone concerned.

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                                                                                          Originally posted by coillcam View Post

                                                                                          I know the solicitor who looked after my recent switch and he's said plainly that the whole thing is archaic. Paperwork and hoops. There's scope for a lot more digitization and some process streamlining but ultimately the paper isn't going away any time soon. Pain in the hole for everyone concerned.
                                                                                          Happen to have a set of deeds in front of me. Redic amount of paperwork about Sister Fionnula selling her field to Jonny Farmer who sold it to whoever and whover before the housing estate was even built.

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                                                                                            Stressful week with Panda pulling out.
                                                                                            Was having chest pains on mon am the anxiety (at least I hope it was the anxiety)

                                                                                            A years worth of Oanda customers to deal with in a week.
                                                                                            Had an offer with Flogas (they pulled that this am)
                                                                                            So many little things going wrong too all at the same time.
                                                                                            Phone packed it in so had to buy new phone and a new scanner also and configure the fucking things.
                                                                                            Not a single second to spare.

                                                                                            Anyway only managed to keep about 25/30% of my customers and that's if the sales actually get processed by Flogas which there are not guaranteeing.

                                                                                            Utter clusterfuck

                                                                                            Monday was a bit headless chickeny but was laser like focus after that. (Weird thing that day was interactions with technology were failing left right and centre starting with the phone, then a petrol pump prepay wouldn't dispense and a cash register wouldn't work .....I must have been emitting weird electrical signals or something!)

                                                                                            Anxiety is an awful thing though Jesus. Had to just keep reminding myself "just deal with this bit for now" to keep the overwhelming enormity of it at bay

                                                                                            All in all would say it was a good result under the circumstances. Dont know yet if I'll get the lost ones back.

                                                                                            Too many just leaving it to the last minute.


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                                                                                              Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                                                                                              Ha, even North Korea is at pains to distance itself from RuSSia.
                                                                                              And, more significantly, China:

                                                                                              "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

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                                                                                                Originally posted by dinekes View Post
                                                                                                Stressful week with Panda pulling out.
                                                                                                Was having chest pains on mon am the anxiety (at least I hope it was the anxiety)

                                                                                                A years worth of Oanda customers to deal with in a week.
                                                                                                Had an offer with Flogas (they pulled that this am)
                                                                                                So many little things going wrong too all at the same time.
                                                                                                Phone packed it in so had to buy new phone and a new scanner also and configure the fucking things.
                                                                                                Not a single second to spare.

                                                                                                Anyway only managed to keep about 25/30% of my customers and that's if the sales actually get processed by Flogas which there are not guaranteeing.

                                                                                                Utter clusterfuck

                                                                                                Monday was a bit headless chickeny but was laser like focus after that. (Weird thing that day was interactions with technology were failing left right and centre starting with the phone, then a petrol pump prepay wouldn't dispense and a cash register wouldn't work .....I must have been emitting weird electrical signals or something!)

                                                                                                Anxiety is an awful thing though Jesus. Had to just keep reminding myself "just deal with this bit for now" to keep the overwhelming enormity of it at bay

                                                                                                All in all would say it was a good result under the circumstances. Dont know yet if I'll get the lost ones back.

                                                                                                Too many just leaving it to the last minute.

                                                                                                Ride the waves Dinks . Dont forget to breathe .

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                                                                                                  Originally posted by DeadParrot View Post

                                                                                                  Is that Icky's mates?
                                                                                                  Yep. Definitely a gig worth catching if anyone is free on Saturday and wants a freebie

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                                                                                                    Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post

                                                                                                    And, more significantly, China:

                                                                                                    India too.

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                                                                                                      Originally posted by Murdrum View Post

                                                                                                      India too.
                                                                                                      Which makes sense, even when you look at something as basic as 'number of Indians working in the US, UK, Ireland etc' - they are locked into the global economy just as much as China

                                                                                                      I think Mehole had it right when he called them a rogue state.
                                                                                                      "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

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                                                                                                        This Russian mobilisation seems like a complete farce, they are just throwing callup papers around like confetti without any actual plan.

                                                                                                        This was a phenomenon under the commies too, the big thing was to meet your target under the plan. No matter how crazy or foolish the plan was. A classic example was the case of a shoe factory out in Siberia somewhere that was given the target of producing 12 million pairs of shoes in a year. They duly achieved the target and the director of the factory was given a medal and promoted to some suitably illustrious position.
                                                                                                        The slight issue with this glorious success only became apparent when people tried buying the shoes. Only to discover they were all the same size.
                                                                                                        And
                                                                                                        SPOILER
                                                                                                        were all left-footed
                                                                                                        .

                                                                                                        Mobilisation is going down the same path. The Fuhrer says to get 300,000 men so that's what they'll do.
                                                                                                        "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

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                                                                                                          ah, yes. Not quite Band of Brothers material.

                                                                                                          "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

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                                                                                                            Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                                                                                                            This Russian mobilisation seems like a complete farce, they are just throwing callup papers around like confetti without any actual plan.

                                                                                                            This was a phenomenon under the commies too, the big thing was to meet your target under the plan. No matter how crazy or foolish the plan was. A classic example was the case of a shoe factory out in Siberia somewhere that was given the target of producing 12 million pairs of shoes in a year. They duly achieved the target and the director of the factory was given a medal and promoted to some suitably illustrious position.
                                                                                                            The slight issue with this glorious success only became apparent when people tried buying the shoes. Only to discover they were all the same size.
                                                                                                            And
                                                                                                            SPOILER
                                                                                                            were all left-footed
                                                                                                            .

                                                                                                            Mobilisation is going down the same path. The Fuhrer says to get 300,000 men so that's what they'll do.
                                                                                                            might end up with officers tents having grenades thrown into them at night at this rate

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                                                                                                              Not there yet. There's an international person who got the first offer, but my hope is they will only now look up the tax situation in the Irish public sector and that it will cost them €3k a month to rent, and politely and rapidly decline the offer. At which point muggins here gets his discards. If that happens I will propose, on my first day, renaming the institutions slogan to '... for winners (and people who weren't quite winners, but who lived in the neighbourhood)'
                                                                                                              "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

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                                                                                                                Just stay where you are and be unhappy with your lot like any good public servant.

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                                                                                                                  Originally posted by Tar.Aldarion View Post

                                                                                                                  might end up with officers tents having grenades thrown into them at night at this rate
                                                                                                                  Thank god they don’t have any officers or that could be dangerous. The Ukrainians seem to have already killed or maimed most of their active officer class already.

                                                                                                                  Conscripting all of the people arrested at anti war protests so that they make up a presumable vocal part of the 300k down trodden minorities also seems questionable for moral to say the least.

                                                                                                                  Will be interesting to see how many of them reach the front and keep walking as full units to surrender.

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                                                                                                                    That UK budget seems like absolute madness. They'll be adding about £500bn in debt over the next four years as a result. And interest rates are likely to rise to 5% because of the inflationary impact. So an extra, and probably permanent, £25bn in annual interest. For four years of presumably mediocre benefits.

                                                                                                                    For context, they currently spend about £100bn in interest for the sum total of borrowing over the lifetime of UK Inc. So a 25% rise in four years.

                                                                                                                    It's even worse than that. The current £100bn interest payments is based on 4% interest rates. If they rise to 5%, they'll be paying about £150bn in interest a year - 15% of all the country's income. (Ireland spends about 6%, by contrast).

                                                                                                                    The only way this isn't the worst decision of all time, is if they somehow manage to create surprise growth from it, but its really hard to see how. Expect refugees from Englandistan.
                                                                                                                    "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

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                                                                                                                      They are really going for the cold wet Singapore option aren't they.
                                                                                                                      Turning millions into thousands

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                                                                                                                        Question for home improvers (probably RDIII as he seems to live in a constant state of home improvement): Everything is done now, place is nice. However there are parts of 2 old walls that are a bit shit looking. Kind of patched up but not super smooth like a freshly plastered new wall would be. Should I expect the odd imperfection on a 60 year old wall or is part of their job to make good such things?

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                                                                                                                          Originally posted by zuutroy View Post
                                                                                                                          Question for home improvers (probably RDIII as he seems to live in a constant state of home improvement): Everything is done now, place is nice. However there are parts of 2 old walls that are a bit shit looking. Kind of patched up but not super smooth like a freshly plastered new wall would be. Should I expect the odd imperfection on a 60 year old wall or is part of their job to make good such things?
                                                                                                                          Get them back to make the old walls new walls to complete the job
                                                                                                                          hold a few Bob on them and include them in ur snag list
                                                                                                                          soon be sorted

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