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    Originally posted by Tar.Aldarion View Post

    Hotspur was right, Hitch gone vegan after swinging post (those pouches are vegan company and yes they are really great). Well done on the weight loss!
    omg he was right

    yeah very decent!
    "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

    Comment


      Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post

      Have no intuitive skills for these. But surely its just -

      SPOILER
      ...multiplication of odds.

      So A chance of normal x normal = 0.4 x 0.4 = 0.16

      B chance of normal x normal x normal = 0.6 x 0.6 x 0.6 = 0.21

      so go with B.
      Your not accounting for reduced balance of apples.

      SPOILER
      60% chance of tainted apple in A, if so then 4 left with 2 tainted so 50% chance of tainted apple x the 60% = 30%


      B little more complex
      Last edited by dinekes; 21-07-21, 15:28.

      Comment


        Question for those of you that know more about DIY than I do - so at least 50% of you I'm sure!

        If I flip all circuit breakers at the main 'fuse box' in my house, this 100% shuts off power everywhere, right? I can then attempt to remove a broken smart heating unit connected to live electricity wires and install a replacement, without being electrocuted - right?

        I am somewhat confident of being about to do it (as I wouldn't have to identify the right wires, that's already done for the installed but dead unit, which I'd take note of before installing the replacement and ensuring the wires go to the same connections), just need to know I'm not going to fry myself....

        Comment


          Originally posted by 6starpool View Post

          I have an ongoing inner monologue, as I thought most people did until I heard there were people who didn't. I don't believe I have any ongoing anxiety issues.
          I also think in a monologue, it's the extent of which I am referring to, and of course people are different, was just wondering if there was proclivity if people are talking a lot in their head, they tend to come up with a lot of scenarios to think about things going wrong as far as I can see. If we weren't taught a language we wouldn't be thinking in a monologue, I'd find it hard to think about thinking differently, or not being able to picture things when you think about them like...Denny was it?

          Comment


            Originally posted by Hectorjelly View Post
            Yesterday's quiz was too easy, let's see how well people do today:

            There are two bowls of five apples, one of five red, one of five green. Some of the apples have been poisoned. The way the poison works (it's not very strong), if you eat one poisoned apple you are fine, with no symptoms, but if you eat two you die.

            (So just to make it clear, if you eat three apples in this order Posion, Normal, Poison - you would die after the third apple).


            If you must choose one of the following two options, which gives you a higher chance of survival?

            A. Eat two green apples (2 out of 5 are normal)

            B. Eat three red apples (3 out of 5 are normal)


            I would be interested in peoples answer using intuition as well as working it out
            SPOILER
            Both options are the same - 70% survivial i think, I'd instinctively go for the one where you eat 3 with 2 poison apples if I didn't think about it.
            You can solve this without math if you don't need the actual probability, in both scenarios you can split the groups into 2 and 3 and quickly figure out that the probabilities of dying are the same.

            Comment


              Apropos of nothing, purely because I'm sitting here having a beer and killing an hour (it's a hard life)

              I have found that I post very little over the last few years and it's progressively reducing. That in itself isn't an issue obviously, though the fact that it expands into general interactions may well be.

              ​​​​​​I've found that as I age I find that actually I don't have any particularly insightful opinions on things, or better, I've no opinions that I feel the need to espouse to others and no interest in bringing people around to my way of thinking.

              I read here a lot obviously but very rarely feel the need to chime in as regardless of whether I agree or disagree I'm perfectly happy not having my opinions validated or criticised. I'm not concerned about criticism but often I'm just 'not bothered' in having a back and forth.

              Perhaps part of it is that being away a lot of my frames of reference aren't valid or relevant to what's happening there but I think a greater part of it is that I just have no interest in swaying or being swayed by others.

              maybe I'm just getting very lazy and need a kick to re-engage myself

              ​​​​​​
              Join the IPB Fantasy Football League 19/20

              http://www.irishpokerboards.com/foru...88#post1104188

              Comment


                I found this Feynman anecdote about people thinking very differently interesting.

                Comment


                  Originally posted by Tar.Aldarion View Post

                  SPOILER
                  Both options are the same - 70% survivial i think, I'd instinctively go for the one where you eat 3 with 2 poison apples if I didn't think about it.
                  You can solve this without math if you don't need the actual probability, in both scenarios you can split the groups into 2 and 3 and quickly figure out that the probabilities of dying are the same.
                  That's gas

                  SPOILER
                  I had 40% death on B
                  Check my maths

                  In B you eat 3 (3 normal but 2 poisoned)

                  3 scenarios

                  1. where you pick poisoned apple first
                  First apple has 40% chance of being poisoned
                  Second apple (now 4 left) now has 25% chance of being poisoned so that's 10% death

                  2. Where 1st apple is poisoned and second apple is normal so you go to third apple
                  First apple is 40% poisoned
                  Second apple normal (now 3 left with 1 poisoned)
                  Third apple has 33.33% chance of being poisoned x 40% is 13.333 % chance of death

                  3. Where 1st apple is normal
                  second apple (4 left and 2 poisoned) will be 50% poisoned
                  third apple (now 3 left and 1 poisoned) so 33.33% chance of poisoned apple x 50% = 16.66%

                  Add these up for 40%

                  What am I missing here.
                  Last edited by dinekes; 21-07-21, 16:24.

                  Comment


                    The Karaoke guy who used to post here put up a nice vid

                    Person...Woman...Man......Camera..TV

                    Comment


                      Sorry, thought I was quoting HJ when it was Tar
                      Then had trouble with spoilers. Not that my maths is right or anything.

                      Comment


                        dinekes
                        SPOILER

                        You have correct identified that PP is 10%
                        PP is effectively PPN, though you don't live to do the N.

                        The only other possible combinations
                        are

                        PNP
                        PNN
                        NNP
                        NPP
                        NPN
                        NNN

                        The two I've bolded kill you.
                        By definition if PPN is a 10% chance as you've worked out, then PNP and NPP must also be 10% chances.
                        It's like a treble in horseracing where the return is the same regardless of which order they win in. I think it's the same thing.

                        Comment


                          Originally posted by Tar.Aldarion View Post

                          SPOILER
                          Both options are the same - 70% survivial i think, I'd instinctively go for the one where you eat 3 with 2 poison apples if I didn't think about it.
                          You can solve this without math if you don't need the actual probability, in both scenarios you can split the groups into 2 and 3 and quickly figure out that the probabilities of dying are the same.
                          SPOILER
                          Well done! Today's was harder and this is the first correct answer

                          Comment


                            Originally posted by Iago View Post
                            Apropos of nothing, purely because I'm sitting here having a beer and killing an hour (it's a hard life)

                            I have found that I post very little over the last few years and it's progressively reducing. That in itself isn't an issue obviously, though the fact that it expands into general interactions may well be.

                            ​​​​​​I've found that as I age I find that actually I don't have any particularly insightful opinions on things, or better, I've no opinions that I feel the need to espouse to others and no interest in bringing people around to my way of thinking.

                            I read here a lot obviously but very rarely feel the need to chime in as regardless of whether I agree or disagree I'm perfectly happy not having my opinions validated or criticised. I'm not concerned about criticism but often I'm just 'not bothered' in having a back and forth.

                            Perhaps part of it is that being away a lot of my frames of reference aren't valid or relevant to what's happening there but I think a greater part of it is that I just have no interest in swaying or being swayed by others.

                            maybe I'm just getting very lazy and need a kick to re-engage myself

                            ​​​​​​
                            I don't think you are missing out on anything!

                            Comment


                              Originally posted by ionapaul View Post
                              Question for those of you that know more about DIY than I do - so at least 50% of you I'm sure!

                              If I flip all circuit breakers at the main 'fuse box' in my house, this 100% shuts off power everywhere, right? I can then attempt to remove a broken smart heating unit connected to live electricity wires and install a replacement, without being electrocuted - right?

                              I am somewhat confident of being about to do it (as I wouldn't have to identify the right wires, that's already done for the installed but dead unit, which I'd take note of before installing the replacement and ensuring the wires go to the same connections), just need to know I'm not going to fry myself....
                              It will kill power, but you should have a main fuse that will do the same thing. If you're unsure you could pick up a phase tester to be on the safe side. It will tell you if wires are live.
                              I hold silver in tit for tat, and I love you for that

                              Comment


                                Originally posted by hotspur View Post
                                I found this Feynman anecdote about people thinking very differently interesting.

                                That is really interesting. Checked there and I use my inner voice, I can read, but can't talk.


                                ​​​​​​
                                I hold silver in tit for tat, and I love you for that

                                Comment


                                  Originally posted by hotspur View Post
                                  I found this Feynman anecdote about people thinking very differently interesting.

                                  Sounds like the birth of the idea that some people have internal monologues and some people have no voice in their head at all.
                                  This may or may not be an original thought of my own.
                                  All efforts were made to make this thought original but with the abundance of thoughts in the world the originality of this thought cannot be guaranteed.
                                  The author is not liable for any issue arising from the platitudinous nature of this post.

                                  Comment


                                    Originally posted by Iago View Post
                                    Apropos of nothing, purely because I'm sitting here having a beer and killing an hour (it's a hard life)

                                    I have found that I post very little over the last few years and it's progressively reducing. That in itself isn't an issue obviously, though the fact that it expands into general interactions may well be.

                                    ​​​​​​I've found that as I age I find that actually I don't have any particularly insightful opinions on things, or better, I've no opinions that I feel the need to espouse to others and no interest in bringing people around to my way of thinking.

                                    I read here a lot obviously but very rarely feel the need to chime in as regardless of whether I agree or disagree I'm perfectly happy not having my opinions validated or criticised. I'm not concerned about criticism but often I'm just 'not bothered' in having a back and forth.

                                    Perhaps part of it is that being away a lot of my frames of reference aren't valid or relevant to what's happening there but I think a greater part of it is that I just have no interest in swaying or being swayed by others.

                                    maybe I'm just getting very lazy and need a kick to re-engage myself

                                    ​​​​​​
                                    Started to do something similar in real life, and I've only noticed it becoming a "thing" in the last 12 months or so. It coincided with me giving less and less of a shit about life and people outside of my own circle (which I could probably count on one hand). Once they're all good, safe and happy, that's enough for me.

                                    But what I've started to notice is if I'm talking to someone I dont necessarily agree with. I wont even argue or debate the point. I'll just say, yep you're right. And kill the conversation. It's been immeasurably better for my mental wellbeing.

                                    Comment


                                      Originally posted by ArmaniJeans View Post
                                      dinekes
                                      SPOILER

                                      You have correct identified that PP is 10%
                                      PP is effectively PPN, though you don't live to do the N.

                                      The only other possible combinations
                                      are

                                      PNP
                                      PNN
                                      NNP
                                      NPP
                                      NPN
                                      NNN

                                      The two I've bolded kill you.
                                      By definition if PPN is a 10% chance as you've worked out, then PNP and NPP must also be 10% chances.
                                      It's like a treble in horseracing where the return is the same regardless of which order they win in. I think it's the same thing.


                                      Very clear thanks, nifty little representation.


                                      Got too bogged down in x of y =
                                      Can see the glaring error in my method now.

                                      Comment


                                        Originally posted by hotspur View Post
                                        I found this Feynman anecdote about people thinking very differently interesting.

                                        This is interesting, I think like Feynman but discovered I can switch to the way his colleague thinks. In each case speaking or reading is as he described but now if I need to do both I can switch to the other method which is very cool. I don't really ever think in pictures, just analyze things, so a descriptive scene in a book is just coming in as information not as a sense of me imagining it all. Extrapolating to how differently people think is very interesting, all using different foundations to get to a similar place, but if taught better how to think we may be better at understanding things, perhaps this is why in Star Trek everybody has such a grasp of physics :P

                                        I was questioned before about how I think - which sense do I use, and I use hearing - hence monologue. The person said people have to think in senses, but that there was an exception, he didn't get into it though but sounded interesting.

                                        Comment


                                          Originally posted by Hectorjelly View Post

                                          SPOILER
                                          Well done! Today's was harder and this is the first correct answer
                                          Love this stuff. To mess with instinct here is another.

                                          If there is a disease where usually 0.1% of the population get it, and you test positive in a test with a 99% accuracy in saying who does have the disease and incorrectly identify 1% of people who don't have the disease. What chance is there that you have the disease when you test positive? What about after 2 tests?

                                          Comment


                                            I think I have an inner “half-dialogue” rather than a monologue. My inner monologue will be talking away but I’m also, not quite hearing, but sensing the reaction of another person. The other parties to the conversations are real people that I know, but who exactly, depends on the topic.

                                            As I write this, I’m mentally conversing with hotspur, if I’m thinking about pensions and investments I’m addressing V4V, etc.

                                            I don’t “hear” their responses but I often “sense” their reaction to what I’m “saying”. Somehow, sometimes, they seem to raise questions or point out flaws in my thinking…

                                            This happens for not quite everything I think about but most of the time. How apparent it is to me that this is happening, waxes and wanes over time but I’m pretty sure they’re always there.




                                            Comment


                                              [QUOTE=dinekes;n1698101]Re anxiety

                                              First became aware of it in 2016.

                                              To rewind a little first. Poker "career" had declined and by late 2014 I was essentially unemployed and pretty much unemployable. Spent 5 months applying for jobs and living an extremely frugal completely stripped back existence. It really focused the mind on money management and choices on consumption. I read loads and tuned into this Buddhist lad on youtube. Some of what he said made perfect sense but a lot of their teachings seem to be achievable mostly only if you are living in that monastic style and not balls deep in complexity. Ecxcercised loads and walked everywhere to save on petrol and all in all felt pretty good about things albeit with a bit of worry about getting an income going.

                                              Eventually got an interview for a sales job.
                                              Basically your bog standard cold calling set up (energy)I had done this before as a sole trader selling promotional gifts so while I would have preferred something else beggars cant be chooses and accepted their offer.

                                              Not having worked for anyone in a long time It jarred a bit bring under scrutiny and having to make reports and update manager and all that stuff however I did quite well in sales.

                                              #
                                              sorry will finish later

                                              I found it increasingly difficult however to develop the motivation to cold call. The ever increasing demands on ridiculous unproductive reporting coupled with con calls (shudder) every morning was taking its toll.
                                              The anxiety I was feeling then was in my chest and bottom of throat. GP said I was burnt out and to take a month off

                                              On my return however despite having my best month ever I decided to leave and set up on my own. Couldn't take the BS of the place anymore

                                              The anxiety is still there in my chest but not as bad as working for that company. It feels like if you could just take one big breath it would clear it but it doesn't.
                                              I have read that once it settles in it's difficult to shift it.
                                              I have experienced it before interviews and some social occasions but it was always transitory
                                              Not even in the depths of a 20k downswing did I feel it.

                                              When I'm working or exercising or totally absorbed in something it dissipates to a point where I'm not aware of it but it always returns.

                                              Alcohol obviously doent help.
                                              Not having clear goals contributes somewhat but it's more than all of that too.

                                              Think I damaged myself working in that environment, a cumulative effect of prolonged exposure to stressors in a toxic environment.

                                              Was actually looking ar doing up a CV when I saw the posts about this. Just typing out what I am currently doing I realised how much I am actually contributing to my other job (part time)

                                              Think I need something that I can fully absorb myself in where it doesnt even feel like work.

                                              Had an even longer one done up but lost it somehow

                                              Tl/dr










                                              Comment


                                                Hmm... was at the dentist earlier today and got the below email a short while ago.... what my play here?
                                                Hi there , We have been informed that someone who has been at the practice this week tested positive for covid19 . They were asymptotic we were informed today and are all getting tests done today . There is an unlikely chance they you have come into contact as dental practices have been dealing with infectious diseases and have training in infection control but just to be on the safe side. Regards XXX
                                                No beast so fierce but knows some touch of pity, but I know none, therefore am no beast.

                                                Comment


                                                  Originally posted by pokerhand View Post
                                                  Hmm... was at the dentist earlier today and got the below email a short while ago.... what my play here?
                                                  Hi there , We have been informed that someone who has been at the practice this week tested positive for covid19 . They were asymptotic we were informed today and are all getting tests done today . There is an unlikely chance they you have come into contact as dental practices have been dealing with infectious diseases and have training in infection control but just to be on the safe side. Regards XXX
                                                  Isolate now, book a test and isolate until its returned negative obvs.

                                                  If negative, great. If positive, hole yourself up for a couple weeks.

                                                  Its actually a bit worrying you need to ask this when we are 15+ months into this but sure at least you sought advice.

                                                  Comment


                                                    Originally posted by dobby View Post

                                                    Isolate now, book a test and isolate until its returned negative obvs.

                                                    If negative, great. If positive, hole yourself up for a couple weeks.

                                                    Its actually a bit worrying you need to ask this when we are 15+ months into this but sure at least you sought advice.
                                                    Not really, as I am double jabbed, so what the rule in that case?
                                                    No beast so fierce but knows some touch of pity, but I know none, therefore am no beast.

                                                    Comment


                                                      Isolating sounds way over precautious for what you've been told, you're not a close contact. Get a test for peace of mind you aren't spreading otherwise keep er lit.
                                                      airport, lol

                                                      Comment


                                                        Originally posted by pokerhand View Post

                                                        Not really, as I am double jabbed, so what the rule in that case?
                                                        I have, somewhat dodgily, deleted my covid tracker app to avoid being pinged.

                                                        Unfortunately,

                                                        I think you now have to isolate. As you can carry the virus, even if you can't easily catch it yourself. I definitely wouldn't go near work as that might count as something like gross negligence in the mind of HR if something went wrong. But I wouldn't necessarily be too bothered about isolating apart from that.
                                                        "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                        Comment


                                                          So that's all very overcautious. But there's just no upside and only potentially catastrophic downside if you go near work.

                                                          What if they e.g. try to trace a bubble and find a link from dentist to your work. HR will have a kitten. It's very unlikely but there's just zero upside to you to taking the risk.

                                                          "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                          Comment


                                                            Originally posted by pokerhand View Post

                                                            Not really, as I am double jabbed, so what the rule in that case?
                                                            Just googled it but check yourself to be sure.

                                                            If you are a close contact but are vaccinated.(unless it's just been done, the time periods are on the HSE website)

                                                            You don't need to take a test or restrict your movements.

                                                            You have not been even informed that you are a close contact yet. Just that someone had tested positive.

                                                            Comment


                                                              Was reading the guidance, I don't think I am the close contact. By the sound of it, it is the dentist and nurses that are close contacts. So no need to restrict movements unless they get a positive test.
                                                              No beast so fierce but knows some touch of pity, but I know none, therefore am no beast.

                                                              Comment


                                                                Ah. I didn't understand the rules in that case!
                                                                "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                                Comment


                                                                  We would all be in and out of consistent isolation if you were to isolate every time you were a building that a positive person had been in the same week.
                                                                  Supermarkets and the likes wouldnt be able to stay open.
                                                                  airport, lol

                                                                  Comment


                                                                    I rang the free number to check yesterday as girl tested pos in work and was working with another girl that I worked with.

                                                                    No test and no restriction unless experiencing symptoms.

                                                                    But do your due dil obviously as I may have eaten a poisoned apple!

                                                                    Comment


                                                                      And how are the teeth now ?

                                                                      Comment


                                                                        Originally posted by pokerhand View Post

                                                                        Not really, as I am double jabbed, so what the rule in that case?
                                                                        Fair enough. I'm not up to date with the latest "rules". I just posted what I'd do myself in that situation. Best of luck with the test which will most likely be negative anyway.

                                                                        Comment


                                                                          Originally posted by dobby View Post

                                                                          Fair enough. I'm not up to date with the latest "rules".
                                                                          Bit worrying
                                                                          airport, lol

                                                                          Comment


                                                                            Originally posted by eamonhonda View Post

                                                                            Bit worrying
                                                                            In fairness to him his default approach is to be cautious.

                                                                            Comment


                                                                              Originally posted by eamonhonda View Post

                                                                              Bit worrying
                                                                              In what way? I'm actually taking more precautions than you guys seem to be.

                                                                              Comment


                                                                                Originally posted by dobby View Post

                                                                                In what way? I'm actually taking more precautions than you guys seem to be.
                                                                                Haha of course I was only joking
                                                                                airport, lol

                                                                                Comment


                                                                                  Originally posted by eamonhonda View Post
                                                                                  We would all be in and out of consistent isolation if you were to isolate every time you were a building that a positive person had been in the same week.
                                                                                  Supermarkets and the likes wouldnt be able to stay open.
                                                                                  That's the issue in the UK. Allegedly. That everyone is being pinged so even supermarkets are having to shut or not receive supplies.
                                                                                  "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/...on-and-johnson

                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                      Originally posted by Hectorjelly View Post
                                                                                      Yesterday's quiz was too easy, let's see how well people do today:

                                                                                      There are two bowls of five apples, one of five red, one of five green. Some of the apples have been poisoned. The way the poison works (it's not very strong), if you eat one poisoned apple you are fine, with no symptoms, but if you eat two you die.

                                                                                      (So just to make it clear, if you eat three apples in this order Posion, Normal, Poison - you would die after the third apple).


                                                                                      If you must choose one of the following two options, which gives you a higher chance of survival?

                                                                                      A. Eat two green apples (2 out of 5 are normal)

                                                                                      B. Eat three red apples (3 out of 5 are normal)


                                                                                      I would be interested in peoples answer using intuition as well as working it out
                                                                                      I don't think yesterdays was easy, more so that is was a popular way to illustrate why swapping is the solution to to Monty Hall.
                                                                                      On the old poker forum, there was a huge Monty Hall thread where some people insisted that that was 50/50 ether way. Somebody used a 100 door version example to make it clear.


                                                                                      As for the apples. Haven't read other replies yet
                                                                                      SPOILER


                                                                                      It makes no difference. There are same number of combinations. Selecting 2 from 5 is the same as selection 3 from 5.

                                                                                      Bowl A
                                                                                      10 combos (5 *4 / 2)
                                                                                      3 combos where you pick 2 poisonous apples

                                                                                      Bowl B
                                                                                      10 combos (5 *4 / 2)
                                                                                      3 combos where you pick both poisonous with each of the clean ones.

                                                                                      Comment


                                                                                        Originally posted by dinekes View Post

                                                                                        That's gas

                                                                                        SPOILER
                                                                                        I had 40% death on B
                                                                                        Check my maths

                                                                                        In B you eat 3 (3 normal but 2 poisoned)

                                                                                        3 scenarios

                                                                                        1. where you pick poisoned apple first
                                                                                        First apple has 40% chance of being poisoned
                                                                                        Second apple (now 4 left) now has 25% chance of being poisoned so that's 10% death

                                                                                        2. Where 1st apple is poisoned and second apple is normal so you go to third apple
                                                                                        First apple is 40% poisoned
                                                                                        Second apple normal (now 3 left with 1 poisoned)
                                                                                        Third apple has 33.33% chance of being poisoned x 40% is 13.333 % chance of death

                                                                                        3. Where 1st apple is normal
                                                                                        second apple (4 left and 2 poisoned) will be 50% poisoned
                                                                                        third apple (now 3 left and 1 poisoned) so 33.33% chance of poisoned apple x 50% = 16.66%

                                                                                        Add these up for 40%

                                                                                        What am I missing here.
                                                                                        You maths is kinda right, but it was incomplete.

                                                                                        When first is poisoned, second apple is normal 75%, need to factor that in too. So it's 40% x 13.33% = 10%
                                                                                        Similarly, there was a 60% chance on that first was normal. So it's 60% x 16.66% = 10%

                                                                                        Or as AJ said, once know the first is 10%, all combos are equal.

                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                          Originally posted by Tar.Aldarion View Post

                                                                                          Love this stuff. To mess with instinct here is another.

                                                                                          If there is a disease where usually 0.1% of the population get it, and you test positive in a test with a 99% accuracy in saying who does have the disease and incorrectly identify 1% of people who don't have the disease. What chance is there that you have the disease when you test positive? What about after 2 tests?
                                                                                          Not 100% clear on how accuracy of the test works...

                                                                                          SPOILER

                                                                                          The first positive test means about 9% chance you have covid. Second test is 91%.


                                                                                          I think this works better if the incidence is changes to 1%, or accuracy increased to 99.9

                                                                                          Comment


                                                                                            Sure the test results are independent of previous results?
                                                                                            1 test to a million tests is 99%
                                                                                            Kinda a martingale fallacy in action?
                                                                                            People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                                                                                            Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                                                                                            https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

                                                                                            Comment


                                                                                              I know I already said it, but have watched more now, and it just keeps getting better and better. If you haven't watched Clarkson's Farm its a definite watch. Top class.
                                                                                              "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                                                              Comment


                                                                                                Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post
                                                                                                I know I already said it, but have watched more now, and it just keeps getting better and better. If you haven't watched Clarkson's Farm its a definite watch. Top class.
                                                                                                is there a way to do it without seeing or hearing Clarkson himself?
                                                                                                "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                                                Comment


                                                                                                  Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post

                                                                                                  is there a way to do it without seeing or hearing Clarkson himself?
                                                                                                  Watching James May doing his Japan series . They really are like twins persona wise.

                                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                                    Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post

                                                                                                    is there a way to do it without seeing or hearing Clarkson himself?
                                                                                                    Clarkson is the genuinely charming star. Like there's no way you won't like him by the end of this.
                                                                                                    "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                                      Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post

                                                                                                      Clarkson is the genuinely charming star. Like there's no way you won't like him by the end of this.
                                                                                                      It's the supporting class you like more.
                                                                                                      The shop and his product names are pure annoying clarkson.
                                                                                                      Caleb, the farm manager, his missus, yer man with the voice are all infinitely better.

                                                                                                      Still a pretty enjoyable watch
                                                                                                      People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                                                                                                      Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
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                                                                                                        Originally posted by DeadParrot View Post

                                                                                                        It's the supporting class you like more.
                                                                                                        The shop and his product names are pure annoying clarkson.
                                                                                                        Caleb, the farm manager, his missus, yer man with the voice are all infinitely better.

                                                                                                        Still a pretty enjoyable watch
                                                                                                        Ya I agree with this. Only a few episodes in, and enjoying it, but you always get the sense that Clarkson is always looking for the 'sledgehammer to crack a nut' approach because that's what he always does. The wall builder is mad, I genuinely can't understand 95% of his on screen dialogue.

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                                                                                                          Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post

                                                                                                          Clarkson is the genuinely charming star. Like there's no way you won't like him by the end of this.
                                                                                                          Bollox. He is now has been and forever shall be one of the biggest wankers to ever walk this planet. Insufferable doesn't even begin to describe the prick.

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                                                                                                            Originally posted by DeadParrot View Post

                                                                                                            It's the supporting class you like more.
                                                                                                            The shop and his product names are pure annoying clarkson.
                                                                                                            Caleb, the farm manager, his missus, yer man with the voice are all infinitely better.

                                                                                                            Still a pretty enjoyable watch
                                                                                                            I feel you are adopting a populist perspective here. Really - these people, each lovely in their own right, only have meaning because of circulating around the orbit of Clarkson. His blank stare as the guy with the voice talks, how he interacts with Caleb, and how comfortable he makes Caleb, the girlfriend, the farm manager, everyone else, is what gives those people their interest. I'm not putting them down, I'm just suggesting that Clarkson is the straight man that lets the others shine.

                                                                                                            I fully assume he is a prick of the highest order, but in that show he's just great. All these little 'look how smart I am' fuckups, seems like a person who knows how to poke fun at himself. His rants at the administrators ring like rehashing old jokes rather than his real current feelings. He seems to genuinely care about the farm as a part of society, as almost a legacy project that he would like to be his mark on the earth - rather than a fast car.
                                                                                                            "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

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                                                                                                              Originally posted by 6starpool View Post

                                                                                                              Ya I agree with this. Only a few episodes in, and enjoying it, but you always get the sense that Clarkson is always looking for the 'sledgehammer to crack a nut' approach because that's what he always does. The wall builder is mad, I genuinely can't understand 95% of his on screen dialogue.
                                                                                                              Neither does the guy who does the subtitles for the show it seems
                                                                                                              No beast so fierce but knows some touch of pity, but I know none, therefore am no beast.

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                                                                                                                ionapaul if you look at the fuseboard (assuming tou have two long rows of fuses on it), 2 of the top row of 10 will kill you but 3 of the bottom row of 13 will also kill you. You may switch 16 off in total. Let us know when you plan to replace the item and we can get GAB to run a book.

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                                                                                                                  Originally posted by limpwhacker View Post

                                                                                                                  Bollox. He is now has been and forever shall be one of the biggest wankers to ever walk this planet. Insufferable doesn't even begin to describe the prick.
                                                                                                                  Nicely put!

                                                                                                                  "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

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                                                                                                                    Originally posted by Dice75 View Post
                                                                                                                    ionapaul if you look at the fuseboard (assuming tou have two long rows of fuses on it), 2 of the top row of 10 will kill you but 3 of the bottom row of 13 will also kill you. You may switch 16 off in total. Let us know when you plan to replace the item and we can get GAB to run a book.
                                                                                                                    Very good Dice . I like it.


                                                                                                                    Perhaps we'll have our 1st IPB into space .

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                                                                                                                      Originally posted by Hectorjelly View Post
                                                                                                                      Yesterday's quiz was too easy, let's see how well people do today:

                                                                                                                      There are two bowls of five apples, one of five red, one of five green. Some of the apples have been poisoned. The way the poison works (it's not very strong), if you eat one poisoned apple you are fine, with no symptoms, but if you eat two you die.

                                                                                                                      (So just to make it clear, if you eat three apples in this order Posion, Normal, Poison - you would die after the third apple).


                                                                                                                      If you must choose one of the following two options, which gives you a higher chance of survival?

                                                                                                                      A. Eat two green apples (2 out of 5 are normal)

                                                                                                                      B. Eat three red apples (3 out of 5 are normal)


                                                                                                                      I would be interested in peoples answer using intuition as well as working it out
                                                                                                                      SPOILER
                                                                                                                      I think you’re better eating the two apples. I think the green road has a 30% chance of death, the red road has a 50% chance, which chimes with intuition which suggests the less apples you eat when some are poisonous the better!

                                                                                                                      workings
                                                                                                                      60% chance * 50% chance = 30% chance of death I.e. 3/5 and you have to lose again a 2/4 coin flip to be poisoned

                                                                                                                      for the second choices are equally (bad and nice) so 50% chance of death.

                                                                                                                      NNN - ✅
                                                                                                                      NBB
                                                                                                                      Last edited by Goodluck2me; 22-07-21, 11:18.

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                                                                                                                        Genuine questions for the gopro Meditators. Does a fart/belch/hiccup take you out of it for a second or two. I expect not. However what if you are deep in this sate and you are jerked out of it suddenly. Does it have a negative physical/mental effect? Experiences of this? I’m presuming there is a hit in this regard. With this in mind , do you lock yourself away somewhere if you are going deep ? What are the DOs/Don’t to protect yourself in general.

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                                                                                                                          Originally posted by DeadParrot View Post
                                                                                                                          Sure the test results are independent of previous results?
                                                                                                                          1 test to a million tests is 99%
                                                                                                                          Kinda a martingale fallacy in action?
                                                                                                                          Each individual test is independent to others. But the chance the tests are right is not independent. That compounds.

                                                                                                                          If you take 1 test, there’s a 1 in 100 chance it’s a false positive.
                                                                                                                          If you take 3 tests, all positive. There’s a 1 in 100^3 chance they were all false positives. 1 in a million.

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