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This may or may not be an original thought of my own.
All efforts were made to make this thought original but with the abundance of thoughts in the world the originality of this thought cannot be guaranteed.
The author is not liable for any issue arising from the platitudinous nature of this post. -
Yeah the blue wave and american grand rejection of trumpism is offically a dead narrative.Originally posted by LuckyLloyd View PostPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Texas 2/9 red...This too shall pass.Comment
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Ah yeah. Fuck Florida. Cesspool. Was always a long shot, its half greedy oul cunts who don't every want to be taxed and half hicks. And the NLU guys.Originally posted by LuckyLloyd View Post
As it stands though, Biden is where he expected to be I'd say.
Ohio, Penn and NC are the ones to watch now.This may or may not be an original thought of my own.
All efforts were made to make this thought original but with the abundance of thoughts in the world the originality of this thought cannot be guaranteed.
The author is not liable for any issue arising from the platitudinous nature of this post.Comment
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Didnt make it till 2
Best of luck lads
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I think NC is Trump’s, signs for Ohio are good but it’s still close to a coinflip.Originally posted by Theresa View PostComment
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Why is there not more confidence in Ohio, he's romping at the moment?
I hold silver in tit for tat, and I love you for thatComment
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The market and the skin in the game people still had Biden a ~1/2 fav.Originally posted by Denny Crane View Post"Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard KeynesComment
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It's so misleading the way they're reporting on CNN with the early Decomcrat votes coming in first. Don't get carried away with the early blueness.Comment
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Carry on.Originally posted by PSV58
Agree about West Wing too though. Load of shite.This may or may not be an original thought of my own.
All efforts were made to make this thought original but with the abundance of thoughts in the world the originality of this thought cannot be guaranteed.
The author is not liable for any issue arising from the platitudinous nature of this post.Comment
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It’s the early voting weighting that’s making it look better, it’s going to be closeOriginally posted by Lazare View Post
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..."We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big PhilComment
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..."We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big PhilComment
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It was always going to deviate from 1.5 when Florida came in though. Currently sits at circa 1.75 so implied probability goes from 66% to 57%, hardly a seismic shift in light of losing a big state.Originally posted by LuckyLloyd View PostComment
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Yeah, Ohio is tightening now.I hold silver in tit for tat, and I love you for thatComment
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..."We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big PhilComment
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Ohio promising.Comment
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If PA falls Trump has it. NC gone for Biden. Ohio moving to Trump.
Bed time.Happiness is not a goal; it is a by-product. ~Eleanor RooseveltComment
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538 model with results baked in moves Trump to 33% with Florida. He would have been on <1% had he lost it.Originally posted by Murdrum View Post
I suppose we’re all saying the same thing really. Florida doesn’t decide anything in of itself. But you can’t ignore actual results that confound expectations, even in a famously idiosyncratic state from an electoral perspective.
I am reminded that Florida broke well for Republicans in 2018 before the rest of the map came through Dem leaning as predicted."Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard KeynesComment
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Yep, Trump 4/9 for Ohio, I don’t know if he’s that short but it will come down to the wire.Originally posted by Wombatman View PostComment
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Trump just went Fav on BFComment
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Trump just went fav on excComment
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I still think he's gonna win, but the landslide narrative is gone.Originally posted by Solksjaer! View Post
I'm watching a different show
No swing states have swung so farPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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..."We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big PhilComment
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Trump gone fav for Pres on PPComment
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"We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."Comment
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Yougov and economist were saying 96%? There's far too much epistemic uncertainty to be putting up those kinds of numbers.Originally posted by LuckyLloyd View PostComment
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Could Virginia break his wayOriginally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
it's Brexit all over again
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..."We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big PhilComment
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..."We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big PhilComment
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Based my alcohol purchase on a 2.30 bedtime based on a Biden landslide non event of a night . FFSComment
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Biden 6/5....lumpage ? ?
This too shall pass.Comment
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..."We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big PhilComment
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PP calling Pennsylvania close to a coinflip now
Biden 2/1 nowComment
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..."We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big PhilComment
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trump favePeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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..."We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big PhilComment
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I was supposed to be going to bed by now happy that the world was a better place. Hopefully I wake up to that. Goodnight to you all. xComment
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You can get 2/1 on the machineOriginally posted by oleras View PostBiden 6/5....lumpage ? ?
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Yep, it's all about Ohio.Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View PostI hold silver in tit for tat, and I love you for thatComment
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This normally the part where we hear the "managed to lay a bit off spiel"
presumed the polls had factored in the huge huge huge amount of full on bullshit artists who would claim to not vote Trump but alas.Comment
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I am a tad drunk, and being a value hound...i considerwd the 13/5....yeah, 13/5 now...hell, worth a ton, seriously considered a grand.Originally posted by Opr View Post
You can get 2/1 on the machine
100 @17/10This too shall pass.Comment
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I have dumped the loot on Biden at 3,15. To me it looks like there are a few flips he can win that make it near impossible fir trump . But what would I know.sigpic
Longshotvalue.comComment
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It's funny that the disconnect between polling/commentary and odds has continued post-election. Nobody listening to CNN would have a clue that Trump has gone from a 2/1 dog to a 2/1 fav in the past hourComment
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Trump 3/10 on PPPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21Comment
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Easy singles and crackers time !This too shall pass.Comment
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I don’t disagree with this. Models and polls with egg on their face now, even if Biden pulls this out imo. There is a significant disconnect with political predictions and what people are doing at the polls.Originally posted by Denny Crane View Post"Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard KeynesComment
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CNN seems a little too optimistic
Some sweatPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Looks to me like Trump is going to win Ohio, NC and Texas. Florida and Georgia gone. So he now needs Arizona, Penn, Wisconsin and Michigan."Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." - John Maynard KeynesComment
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..."We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big PhilComment
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Arizona probably a stretch with Latinos not playing ballComment
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Fucking hell, no matter what the result. US is turbo fuckedPeople say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21Comment
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..."We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big PhilComment
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Ohio is gone.Originally posted by LuckyLloyd View Post
80% of estimated early votes are in and only 2/3 of votes have been counted thus far.
A smaller proportion of outstanding votes to counted will be made of early votes so Ohio effectively gone.Comment
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Very hard to follow but taking a stab at 2.95 BidenComment
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"We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."Comment
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