Can't imagine the levels of cringe for all involved. Ugh.
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Originally posted by Denny Crane View PostCan't imagine the levels of cringe for all involved. Ugh.
Almost as funny as the oul lad using the Slushy as a hand sanitiser though
Turning millions into thousands
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...Last edited by Hitchhiker's Guide To...; 29-09-20, 11:13."We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil
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Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View PostDebate Day in the Prezelection so all eyes on that (well middle of the night our time). Expect Trump to be Trump and Biden to be, well, normal. He has plenty of ammo to be used as required.
Two very bad polls yesterday for Trump - all his roads to victory go through Pennsylvania and two A-rated pollsters have him 9 points behind there. Biden now 8/11 and Trump approaching 11/8 on the machine.
Anything possible of course but in this very polarised cycle, it's hard, barring some kind of total meltdown, to see either contender getting much momentum out of tonight...
I wonder what will be Joe's PED of choice for tonight.
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Originally posted by Murdrum View Post
They should have the option to tag in their running mate. Replace Joe with Kamala and watch her own the night.
I wonder what will be Joe's PED of choice for tonight.
Surprised an informed individual like yourself didn't know this."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View PostDebate Day in the Prezelection so all eyes on that (well middle of the night our time). Expect Trump to be Trump and Biden to be, well, normal. He has plenty of ammo to be used as required.
Two very bad polls yesterday for Trump - all his roads to victory go through Pennsylvania and two A-rated pollsters have him 9 points behind there. Biden now 8/11 and Trump approaching 11/8 on the machine.
Anything possible of course but in this very polarised cycle, it's hard, barring some kind of total meltdown, to see either contender getting much momentum out of tonight...airport, lol
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Originally posted by eamonhonda View Post
Genuine question, were all the polls not way off last time in favour of Hilary, assume some of the same A Rated pollsters were involved then too? Or whats changed in that area to make them more believable now V 2016?
Just as in the election polling, both candidates got a boost from their respective parties’ conventions, and the odds ebbed and flowed throughout August before a bumpy first two weeks of September for Clinton drew this race as tight as it had ever been at the sportsbooks. Trump was just a +160 underdog at Sportsbook.ag, with Clinton’s favored odds closing to -180.
Shortly thereafter, though, the “Access Hollywood” tape and all its aftershocks slammed Trump down to +515 at Bookmaker.eu by the day of the final debate – appropriately enough, held here in Vegas – while Clinton looked prepared for a coronation as a -740 favorite three weeks before Election Day. Clinton wagers were flooding into the offshore and overseas books. Ireland sportsbook Paddy Power, looking to stem the seemingly inevitable tide, took the almost unprecedented step of actually paying off those who held tickets on Clinton – a $1 million hit, 21 days before a vote was even tallied.Happiness is not a goal; it is a by-product. ~Eleanor Roosevelt
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Originally posted by Wombatman View Post
Swongs"We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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RCP has a good viz of 2020 polling vs 2016"We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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so, for example, using that thingummybob: 50 days out
Clinton was up 0.7% in national polling
Biden was up 7.1%
here's the 538 numbers up to Election Day 2016Last edited by Raoul Duke III; 29-09-20, 12:15."We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Originally posted by eamonhonda View Post
Genuine question, were all the polls not way off last time in favour of Hilary, assume some of the same A Rated pollsters were involved then too? Or whats changed in that area to make them more believable now V 2016?
Turning millions into thousands
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Originally posted by eamonhonda View Post
Genuine question, were all the polls not way off last time in favour of Hilary, assume some of the same A Rated pollsters were involved then too? Or whats changed in that area to make them more believable now V 2016?
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Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View PostDebate Day in the Prezelection so all eyes on that (well middle of the night our time). Expect Trump to be Trump and Biden to be, well, normal. He has plenty of ammo to be used as required.
Two very bad polls yesterday for Trump - all his roads to victory go through Pennsylvania and two A-rated pollsters have him 9 points behind there. Biden now 8/11 and Trump approaching 11/8 on the machine.
Anything possible of course but in this very polarised cycle, it's hard, barring some kind of total meltdown, to see either contender getting much momentum out of tonight...
I'm gonna try and get up to watch the debate to see how Trump fairs especially after the last couple days, will you be setting your alarm to wake up to watch also?
Anybody watch The Comey Rule? Caught it myself last night and it wasn't as good as I'd expected but it pretty much covered all the points spot on.
"you raise, i kill you" El Tren :{)
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Originally posted by tylerdurden94 View PostI'm gonna try and get up to watch the debate to see how Trump fairs especially after the last couple days, will you be setting your alarm to wake up to watch also?"We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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My fathers 90th birthday is today, he won't be able to see any of his grandchildren, great grandchildren, his nephews nieces or friends none of whom he's seen since Christmas.
Covid is a pain in the hole and what we can't change we can endure.
Now we have the pubs open and every single thing I've seen proves that it was a dire mistake with absolutely no efforts being made to adhere to the guidelines and Galway is back to it usual open air pisspot full of drunken fools puking on each other.
There is something seriously wrong with our relationship with booze that it is considered more important than public health.
Turning millions into thousands
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Just as in the election polling, both candidates got a boost from their respective parties’ conventions, and the odds ebbed and flowed throughout August before a bumpy first two weeks of September for Clinton drew this race as tight as it had ever been at the sportsbooks. Trump was just a +160 underdog at Sportsbook.ag, with Clinton’s favored odds closing to -180.
Shortly thereafter, though, the “Access Hollywood” tape and all its aftershocks slammed Trump down to +515 at Bookmaker.eu by the day of the final debate – appropriately enough, held here in Vegas – while Clinton looked prepared for a coronation as a -740 favorite three weeks before Election Day. Clinton wagers were flooding into the offshore and overseas books. Ireland sportsbook Paddy Power, looking to stem the seemingly inevitable tide, took the almost unprecedented step of actually paying off those who held tickets on Clinton – a $1 million hit, 21 days before a vote was even tallied.
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Originally posted by Goodluck2me View PostIt’s not booze it’s socializing, you can’t be surprised by it surely? These guys haven’t had a LC holiday, stress of exams on/off, finally get to college of course they’ll mix.
Turning millions into thousands
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Originally posted by Strewelpeter View Post
It is booze, socialising is done at a social distance respectfully to other members of society its the booze that makes people messy and I'm not just talking about students and 'young people'
We were sweating further restrictions in the lead up to our wedding but given the number of cases and restrictions currently in place in the counties relevant to us, we will be fine but additional restrictions beyond L3 are inevitable.
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Originally posted by Murdrum View Post
We were sweating further restrictions in the lead up to our wedding but given the number of cases and restrictions currently in place in the counties relevant to us, we will be fine but additional restrictions beyond L3 are inevitable.
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Originally posted by Ed View Post
6 weeks out from mine. Not feeling too optimistic
Fingers crossed you get the day you want.
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Originally posted by Strewelpeter View PostMy fathers 90th birthday is today, he won't be able to see any of his grandchildren, great grandchildren, his nephews nieces or friends none of whom he's seen since Christmas.
Covid is a pain in the hole and what we can't change we can endure.
Now we have the pubs open and every single thing I've seen proves that it was a dire mistake with absolutely no efforts being made to adhere to the guidelines and Galway is back to it usual open air pisspot full of drunken fools puking on each other.
There is something seriously wrong with our relationship with booze that it is considered more important than public health.
The govt and colleges need to take some of the flack here too, they persuaded students to come and get accommodation so they would get paid, then rolled back on amount of hours in college. They created this, thousands of 18 year olds get first taste of freedom after added covid shite and missing a whole summer and then they go and do what anyone would expect.
I really cant think if I landed down there at 18 I would have been the one to say no I think we should all sit in . It should have been clear that it was online only for now and any minimal hours required in colleges for labs and the likes you travel to galway then, student accommodation could have been used for short lettings to assist this.
The govt could have added restrictions for colleges, same way they have added restrictions for other industries so the decision of whether to choose profit over public health was not given to the industry or owners. But they didnt want to bail out colleges so they let them go ahead.
I dont know what the magic answer is to get a bunch of 18 yr olds to give a fuck if lockdown and death hasnt worked, but therell be plenty more of this coming. Will Michael Martin be down to inspect the spanish arch like he did the Olive Bond I wonder?
eidt: Also i think booze contributes for sure but i dont think the pubs being open is what caused the scenes in Galway. Most students dont drink in pubs anyway, they were likely all in town drinking bags of cans or naggins in bottles, the few that were in the pubs were kicked out at 10pm and joined the others. All this would have taken place somewhere else if the pubs were closed. So unless youre proposing banning alcohol i dont think closing the pubs will do much for student spreadLast edited by eamonhonda; 29-09-20, 14:40.airport, lol
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Originally posted by Murdrum View Post
It depends on the type of wedding. We planned just the two of us in NYC in October, location changed to Ireland. Everything else including date effectively remains unchanged. We are simply lucky that is the way we wanted to do it.
Fingers crossed you get the day you want.
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Originally posted by ArmaniJeans View Post
That's such a complete misread of what Powers did and why they did it that you'd have to query the rest of their facts.
To borrow the cliché, the 2016 U.S. presidential election has been one for the books – but in the United Kingdom, it’s been one for the sports books.
Happiness is not a goal; it is a by-product. ~Eleanor Roosevelt
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Originally posted by tylerdurden94 View Post
I've not had the chance to read the main NYT article about his taxed but I read a synopsis bit from them, what's the best way to get around a paywall?Gone full 'Glinner' since June 2022.
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here comes the next Trump hit job from The Atlantic
Military...tick
God.....tick
what's next? Could Trump have violently slammed NASCAR.....or blueberry pie?"We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."
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Originally posted by Wombatman View Post
The rest of the article about the then odds may be true, but that they are so wrong about PP's motivation in paying out early that I'd consider them a dubious source for accuracy.
Come on - "in order to stem the seemingly inevitable tide, Powers took the almost unprecedented step of actually paying off those who held tickets on Clinton".
What is this nonsense? Anyone with a modicum of knowledge of betting knows that bookmakers can simply stop taking bets on a market if they want to 'stem the tide'.
Or slash the odds such that any subsequent mug money can be laid off elsewhere at a profit.
No need to pay out 1M dollars early to do it.
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Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Posthere comes the next Trump hit job from The Atlantic
Military...tick
God.....tick
what's next? Could Trump have violently slammed NASCAR.....or blueberry pie?Last edited by Guest; 29-09-20, 16:58.
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Originally posted by ComradeCollie View Post
Don't know, but their digital subscription is only €5 a month for the first year and well worth it imo. You can also pay for it using phone credit from 3, and access the full site on a pc with the same login."you raise, i kill you" El Tren :{)
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Originally posted by Goodluck2me View PostIt’s not booze it’s socializing, you can’t be surprised by it surely? These guys haven’t had a LC holiday, stress of exams on/off, finally get to college of course they’ll mix.People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View PostIn the good old days DP would be posting picks of his supplies for the presidential royal rumble debate around about now. A few cans of pringles, crates overflowing with beers. endless other goodies.
I actually did a quick rummage earlier as the WFH lifestyle can allow one to indulge in the odd late night binge fest of a good tv show or a presidential slobberknocker.
I have, 2 cans of Guinness (4 pack bought for free glass), one bottle of franzkaner (5 for 12 in the local spar) and half a bag of fancy cheese and onion.
I've become a shadow of my former self
Last edited by DeadParrot; 29-09-20, 18:34.People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Originally posted by Solksjaer! View PostWas it Hotspur who mentioned Goodwins law on here . Just been called a nazi by a trumper who ran out of logic. I finally got to use it .
Think of it as a new variant of Godwins Law, in fact it works on a few levels.
You put two things beside each other for long enough for simpletons they associate one with the other.
It's slur or imputation that demonizes the target, it creates feelings of disgust at the 'other'.
Previous triggers were elite, socialist and a whole host of dog whistles.
It's also engages a mental block if they ever question the narrative, like maybe they internally say, "That Joe Biden said something I agree with,
maybe the Dems aren't all bad, wait the Dems are pedos, you dont like pedos do you? Of course not. Fuck the Dems, those pedos"
It also turns any rebuttal into a defense of accused pedos. And as Raoul is fond of pointing out, if you are explaining you are losing.
And invariably you end of explaining how such and such isn;t pedo and running underground child sex rings rather than talk about the actual point you were trying to make,
In short, a cunts trick
Last edited by DeadParrot; 29-09-20, 18:38.People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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Posted the below in the restaurant thread the other day but am not sure if anybody is in there anymore and also think new posts still don't show up on the main page since the switch over to the new version of bulletin boards so it may have been missed.
Originally posted by Lao Lao View PostWhile I'm in this thread, what are peoples opinion on the annual HHE dinner in January?
A) Too far away to decide
B) Sure it'll be grand by then
C) I've no intention of hanging out with a bunch of degenerates during a pandemic
D) Atari Jaguar
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Originally posted by Denny Crane View PostWonder what % of people would change their mind based on the debates. Low single digits?
(Parallels to s4 of the wire that I'm watching at the moment, only the hacks watching the debates*)
*And a surprise upset for the fav
Ask this guy......
Happiness is not a goal; it is a by-product. ~Eleanor Roosevelt
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I'd defo be on for the Jan dinner - but think it will be 50/50 at best if anything will be going ahead at that time of the year I believe things will go back to 'normal' at some point, but that will be post widespread availability of a tried-and-tested vaccine, etc... so possibly a few years down the road.
Hence I do see the point of anyone arguing that the scenes in Sligo, Galway etc... of people in their late teens/early twenties going on the batter is very understandable from their standpoints. They know they are unlikely to get seriously sick (though some will and the full impact may not be known for a long time), all the talk about 'killing grandparents' is insubstantial and easy to ignore, so why waste literally the best year(s) of their lives when their older siblings and parents didn't have to make such a sacrifice? Asking people of that age to social distance indefinitely is an impossible request.
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Originally posted by Denny Crane View PostWonder what % of people would change their mind based on the debates. Low single digits?Gone full 'Glinner' since June 2022.
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Originally posted by Lao Lao View PostPosted the below in the restaurant thread the other day but am not sure if anybody is in there anymore and also think new posts still don't show up on the main page since the switch over to the new version of bulletin boards so it may have been missed.
Turning millions into thousands
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The only shame about developers bulldozing the O rahillys house is that they weren’t bulldozing it to build a mosque to tilt the whingers even more
a delipadated old wreck where he lived once who gives a fuck?
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Originally posted by hotspur View PostCan't decide whether to watch the debate live or not. Strange thing is I can't really remember anything about the debates last time around.
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Originally posted by DeadParrot View Post
Halcyon days.
I actually did a quick rummage earlier as the WFH lifestyle can allow one to indulge in the odd late night binge fest of a good tv show or a presidential slobberknocker.
I have, 2 cans of Guinness (4 pack bought for free glass), one bottle of franzkaner (5 for 12 in the local spar) and half a bag of fancy cheese and onion.
I've become a shadow of my former self
Ride it till the wheels come off. Let Wednesday me deal with the fall out, fuck that guy
Last edited by DeadParrot; 29-09-20, 21:18.People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
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