Golf Betting Thread 2016 Season

[The Situation]

The form Bubba is in he could rip it up too. Took him at 30's a few weeks back.
No better man around Augusta imo. He has more repeat wins on PGA tour than he has individual wins which is bizarre, seems a couple of courses are very much suited to his unique style.

[elbows]

Think there are more golfers this year in decent form coming into the masters who have decent records there than any other. I would have a slight negative towards players getting to the latter stages of the match play as I think it can take a lot out of players.. Hard to choose one to smash ew at the top of the market. Might back Jimmy Walker ew who has shown glimpses of form and has a t10. If Speith keeps drifting I will probably back hiim and Matsu if he drifts a bit more. Dechamb at anything over 100/1 and Bubba over 25/1 are very good bets imo.

[Guest]

Skimmed thru the prices when I saw that sky going 10 places, they skinny enough on "the masters guys" and top price on one person inside 300/1

That must be some book they running

[eagle eye]

Serious start to the Kisner/Noren match. Kisner one up through four and has halved the last two holes with birdies.

[eamonhonda]

Skimmed thru the prices when I saw that sky going 10 places, they skinny enough on "the masters guys" and top price on one person inside 300/1

That must be some book they running

Until he comes one of the 10 people to be joint tenth.

[TonyCascarino]

Sigh..all the value on Bubba is gone. He's absolutely nailed on to go close in Augusta this year. Seems like a no brainer bet to nothing. 16s is fair now but not sure if I can after refusing to pull the trigger at bigger prices.. I can't believe how sensitive the Masters betting has been. I've had a close eye on it for months. Whilst the reaction to Bubba is understandable, prices get hammered on players for having a decent front 9 in any tournament. Some of the moves were ridiculous. It leads to very poor value imo.

So I totally agree with the Bubba love on here and also the point Elbows made about it being so open. It's the most exciting Masters for years. At the moment, serious top 5 contenders for me are Tiger, Phil and Bryson. Rose and Casey are also guaranteed to be on the premises. I may be made an eegit of but I don't really fancy DJ or Jordan and I would still have concerns over Rory. I really thought Day was coming back to form recently and his price has gone out a bit but I'm not so keen now. I think Grace is a big price but has been in poor form. Hao Tong Li the same. Ryan Moore is a decent price also. I'll stop now before I name the entire field. Just cannot wait. Still only have Bryson backed at 125s and 90s but will add more. I'm sure people know the good sources at this stage but sporting life golf tips (Ben Coley) betfair golf betting tips and golfpuntersguide (including comments section) are great sources..not to mention irishpokerboards (excluding my "tips").

[Jibzzzz]

Coley has his player by player live on Sporting life. Look forward to this every year and never disappoints.

https://www.sportinglife.com/golf/news/the-masters:-player-by-player-guide/145180

[Guest]

Until he comes one of the 10 people to be joint tenth.

Just backed spleith ew 10 places

If he finishes 7/8 on his own you owe me 1/5th of one point

[The Aul Switcharoo]

Matt Kuchar 9/2 on bet365 for a top 10. He has 4 in the past 6 years at the Masters and is showing good form for past month with 3 top 10s

Lump

[Charlie Sheen]

Think Ryan Moore @ 100/1 will be my pin sticking attempt, has shown he can play well around Augusta at times.

[Silver-Tiger]

Ladbrokes still only 5 places.

How do they attract business for Golf?

Worst bookies by a distance imo

[Dice75]

Betstars currently best price on top 17 in the market but also have their promo if your selection trades at a higher price at either end of R1 or R2 you get paid at that price (max €1k stake - win part of bet only)

Only downside is only first 5 in EW market for EW punters.

[eoghan104]

Ladbrokes still only 5 places.

How do they attract business for Golf?

Worst bookies by a distance imo

Was looking earlier and the places paying ten did not have one top price between them. Hard to know what way is better value. Take Casey for instance. 25/1 1/4 5 places or 20/1 1/5 10 places?

[Solksjaer!]

Speith 1st rd leader.

Thomas overall.

For more info ring 0800-mike bullocks
50 cents a second

[TonyCascarino]

I wouldn't touch 5 places. It's either 22s and 8 places with PP or 20s as you said, paying 10 places. I think on balance you'd have to go for the 10 places there. If he comes 8th, you won't be kicking yourself you didn't take 22s. However, if he comes 9th, you'd be annoyed you didn't take 20s.

I made a mistake and backed Pieters at 50s with PP, not realising he was 66s with BS for 7 places. Obviously in that scenario, the play is to take the bigger price.

I've added Poulter at 66s with BS and Hao Tong Li also. Will be adding Dechambeau FRL.

[NoRiverRequired]

Was looking earlier and the places paying ten did not have one top price between them. Hard to know what way is better value. Take Casey for instance. 25/1 1/4 5 places or 20/1 1/5 10 places?

Personally, outside 4 or 5 at the top of the market, I'd be going with the extra places and reduced terms.

read an interview with Dave Tindall discussing this actually.

https://www.nationalclubgolfer.com/news/masters-betting-10-places-worth-it/

[Silver-Tiger]

Yeah i'd take the places every time.

[Hooch]

Ladbrokes still only 5 places.

How do they attract business for Golf?

Worst bookies by a distance imo

Have you looked at the prices they are offering especially the top of the market and at 1/4 if each way is your thing??
Plus if you do win only they will boost the price.
So makes them one of the better books alongside Betstars.

[Silver-Tiger]

Run it over a number of times and the places will be far more profitable surely.

[eamonhonda]

Run it over a number of times and the places will be far more profitable surely.

Doubtful with all the players tied for spots the further you go down the leaderboard.

Masters bet: Tiger to win. All in

[angle_grinder]

Another option is to bet half your stake with whoever is offering the best odds and the other half with whoever offers the most places.

[Hooch]

Run it over a number of times and the places will be far more profitable surely.

Not even close.

With the majority of events ending with ties on the place part (sure the figure is well over 50%) dead heat rule is applied for every extra player tied.
For example if 3 players tie for 7th (paying 7) then the calculation is 1/3 (33.33%) of your original expected return.

[Charlie Sheen]

Think Ryan Moore @ 100/1 will be my pin sticking attempt, has shown he can play well around Augusta at times.

Backed him and Matsuyama at 35s both e/w 8 places

[lowkicker]

Also paying in full if player ties in top 5 or top 10 market. I'm sold! Betstars that is

[Silver-Tiger]

Not even close.

With the majority of events ending with ties on the place part (sure the figure is well over 50%) dead heat rule is applied for every extra player tied.
For example if 3 players tie for 7th (paying 7) then the calculation is 1/3 (33.33%) of your original expected return.

I understand that. But also if 3 players tie for 7th or even 8th and they're paying 10 places it's a full place return vs Zilch in Laddies.

Look how many times any golfer wins in any given year. You should be looking to make your money on places not winners.

[Hooch]

I understand that. But also if 3 players tie for 7th or even 8th and they're paying 10 places it's a full place return vs Zilch in Laddies.

Look how many times any golfer wins in any given year. You should be looking to make your money on places not winners.

In my example i had said paying 7 place.

Lets say you back one point win or half a point each way per tournament below ill post a few examples

[The Situation]

Patton Kazzire at 460's on BF seems large for a man second in the Fed ex cup standings this season.

[Silver-Tiger]

Stable Set

DJ top bet e/w. Took the 13s with Powers today.
Cantlay and Reed e/w

Peanuts on Hadwin and Bubba at 40s. Emptied an account for a measily €7e/w. Sick.


Good luck all. Wishing today away.

[Dice75]

Spieth. Again.

[TonyCascarino]

Dechambeau 4pts ew
Pieters 3pts ew
Poulter 2pts ew
Li 1 pt ew

FRL's

Dechambeau 2pts ew
Pieters 2pts ew


GLA

[Solksjaer!]

TIGER to miss the cut 4 to 1

[premierstone]

TIGER to miss the cut 4 to 1

Remember there are only 89 players including a host of veterans with no chance and a number if amateurs and the cut mark is Top 50 and ties.

[Theresa]

LOUIS Ousthuizen.

Winner alright.

[Solksjaer!]

Remember there are only 89 players including a host of veterans with no chance and a number if amateurs and the cut mark is Top 50 and ties.

Good point . However if he has a mare he can go high. LANGER at 500 to 1 worth a sniff sway. Killing the seniors

[balfejohn]

The Kuch is the main ew bet
T hatton Fattybarnrat and Webb Simpson all ew
Fatty and Webb 1st round leaders

[Solksjaer!]

The Kuch is the main ew bet
T hatton Fattybarnrat and Webb Simpson all ew
Fatty and Webb 1st round leaders

I remember the Kuch caught on mic after he ballooned one high and right into the water

GOOD GOLLY.

Such a nice guy. :-)

[shrapnel]

mcilroy, kuchar, de chambeau, and bubba,

stenson FRL

[rounders123]

Ross Fisher is my main one. Fisher can be streaky so could be a good FRL. Highest finish 15th.
Also on
R. Moore
C. Smith
B. Grace
P. Perez
B. Steele
K. Stanley

[Hooch]

Finau

[Hooch]

Finau

https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fjmac1316%2Fstatus%2F981627718696566787%3Fs%3D21&h=ATMLiLBx-QNkVhm6Hk_VKqZ_GV-bV5lSbGU7tGGHYMKQrinvGKC05MchQT7xrIpoDz0sazyfJlX-2UASf5CPxaZpQxxj3gFaUH7T6mBXdTx7esi1CEw

[dobby]

Have had my first ever golf bet on Chappell cos Elbows said he's definitely gonna win! €2.50 each way. High roller.

[NewApproach]

I’ve bet about 10 but nobody really cares who they are.

[Arazi]

Boyle’s: 1/1 Both Spieth & McIlroy to finish Top 20 plus ties, cracking bet.

[Arazi]

I’ve bet about 10 but nobody really cares who they are.

All EW 8 places (or 10) no doubt

[The Situation]

Finau
https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https...mBXdTx7esi1CEw

🤢

[dobby]

I’ve bet about 10 but nobody really cares who they are.

Ah sure throw them up for the craic and don't take yourself so seriously

[NewApproach]

All EW 8 places (or 10) no doubt

Some 6 1/4!

[The Situation]

I'd hate to see my lifetime golf P&L, nothing short of an atrocity I'd say. Doesn't stop you coming back every major though.

[NewApproach]

I'd hate to see my lifetime golf P&L, nothing short of an atrocity I'd say. Doesn't stop you coming back every major though.

Snap, don’t think I’ve ever bet a winner of a major, I just treat the Masters as a form of spring tax

[NewApproach]

Ah sure throw them up for the craic and don't take yourself so seriously

Woodland or Aphribarnrat would be decent results

[rounders123]

Finau
https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https...mBXdTx7esi1CEw

He is a man of god and playing Sunday goes against his religion as a mormon.
He drags himself to play Sundays if needs be. He will be relieved in a way.

[elbows]

Good luck to everyone.

I am on Chappell and Walker ew.

Walker and Schwartzal FRL.

Heard todaythat Walker has a bad case of the snap hooks so probably money done.

Traded in and out of Steele, Aphi and Perez and still have some juice left.

There is probably 30 guys that I think can win it.

[Guest]

Spieth & Casey both ew

Frl
Spieth, Casey & Patton

[The Aul Switcharoo]

Binked McIlroy in the sweepstake in work. Nice little sweat anyway.

Have him for frl leader too.

[eamonhonda]

McIlroy, Henley, Chappell, Steele.

Poulter, Perez, Schwartzel FRL

[Guest]

Henley, Moore, Finau and Finau FRL. Finau not looking good

[elbows]

Added Kuchar FRL on the machine at 60

[Guest]

Good luck to everyone.

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There is probably 30 guys that I think can win it.

FWIW this is as close to "No Bet" as our resident golf tipster elbows can possibly give in the lead up to the masters

[elbows]

Looking at the weather the afternoon looks flat calm. Backed Rose 25/1, Kuchar 33/1 and Hadwin 66/1 for bogey free round 1

[Mickey Rosa]

Outright
Dustin Johnson 14.5
Jordan Spieth 12
Hideki Matsuyama 37
Ryan Moore 141

All straight win bets but plan to lay them all off if/when they get shorter

Match Bets
Rose v Woods
Rose 1.735

Casey v Fowler
Casey 1.877

Each Way Bet
Leishman 56