$10m Gtd Opinions

[TheRebelRam]

Was going great until this hand, villain was playing very LAG in recent rounds.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 215 Tournament, 600/1200 Blinds 120 Ante (9 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB (t39130)
BB (t21576)
UTG (t68935)
UTG+1 (t7488)
MP1 (t47774)
Hero (MP2) (t60179)
MP3 (t13312)
CO (t88030)
Button (t41333)

Hero's M: 20.90

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K, Q
3 folds, Hero bets t2678, 1 fold, CO calls t2678, 2 folds, BB calls t1478

Flop: (t9714) 7, 9, Q (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t6123, CO calls t6123, 1 fold

Turn: (t21960) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets t12000, CO calls t12000

River: (t45960) Q (2 players)
Hero bets t22200, CO raises to t44400, Hero calls t17058 (All-In)

Total pot: t124476

[Angry-Ball]

are you after starting a thread just so you can say

"look at me, i have 125k in the sunday mill"

SPOILER

if not BBV that way----->

[eamonhonda]

are you after starting a thread just so you can say

"look at me, i have 125k in the sunday mill"

he lost, hes out

[Angry-Ball]

he lost, hes out

i edited accordingly

[ghostface]

May just be me but your flop and turn bets seem very big?? I wouldn't be folding at any stage and would have to call it off on river

[sligoboi]

Assuming we've no stats:

Smaller on flop

Smaller on turn

Prob check shove river to let him bet his missed draws

[mdoug]

Assuming we've no stats:

Smaller on flop

Smaller on turn

Prob check shove river to let him bet his missed draws

+1 on all above

he also shoves weaker queen if he has on river too. check all the way

[TheRebelRam]

224 hands
Stats for him on CO
VP$IP 33% (24)
Call Open 31% (13)

Flop V's PFR

Fold to CB 64% (11)
Turn
Fold to CB 0% (1)
River
Fold to CB 0% (1)

[Caf]

Assuming we've no stats:

Smaller on flop

Smaller on turn

Prob check shove river to let him bet his missed draws

Pretty much this. I'd OPR him for what's best on the river though. If he's a winning player he should fold his draws on the turn so b/c is better imo.

[ianmc38]

I might bet a bit bigger on turn to shove the river myself. Played it completely standard. If he had you beat, well sick cooler, don't worry about it. Hands where you lose with trips and the second best kicker versus a boat or trips TK are fairly boring and there is generally nothing to discuss in them.

[TheRebelRam]

I might bet a bit bigger on turn to shove the river myself. Played it completely standard. If he had you beat, well sick cooler, don't worry about it. Hands where you lose with trips and the second best kicker versus a boat or trips TK are fairly boring and there is generally nothing to discuss in them.

Was just fairly peed last night after getting a good stack. I was going to fold pre but decided on that hand maybe it was time to loosen slightly and gather a few chips.
I was wondering if it was a monumental FU or I hand I just couldn't get away from.......

[eamonhonda]

so what he have?

[Angry-Ball]

so what he have?

AQ obviously

[eamonhonda]

I was thinking it was gonna be something sick like 77 or Q9

[underachievement]

AQ obviously

think he had 99,was railin at the time

[Winning!]

c/shove >>> b/call.

Your line thus far is fairly strong and reps TP+, so when you bet again on the river he cant pay you off with very much and cant bluff-rep Qx either since you've fairly pot-committed yourself.

Whereas a good LAG will turn even his medium strength hands into a bluff here a huge % of the time when you check back since its pretty tough for you to call with anything given he reps AQ/KQ/QJs/QTs/set pretty well, so you now extract value from most if not all of his range (max value if he bluff-shoves most of the time, which is not unlikely given your PSB-sized stack behind).

[AndyFatBastard]

Assuming we've no stats:

Smaller on flop

Smaller on turn

Prob check shove river to let him bet his missed draws

His flop bet sizing is fine IMO. The flop is very wet and it's multiway. He needs to charge those draws.

OP, 15k on turn and shove river. Easy game.

[Arazi]

c/shove >>> b/call.

Your line thus far is fairly strong and reps TP+, so when you bet again on the river he cant pay you off with very much and cant bluff-rep Qx either since you've fairly pot-committed yourself.

Whereas a good LAG will turn even his medium strength hands into a bluff here a huge % of the time when you check back since its pretty tough for you to call with anything given he reps AQ/KQ/QJs/QTs/set pretty well, so you now extract value from most if not all of his range (max value if he bluff-shoves most of the time, which is not unlikely given your PSB-sized stack behind).

Like this play but it is the Million and a 62k field at that and it was actually hard to find good LAG's on your table last night. If he had a good OPR I love this play if not I'd have bet about 4500 on flop, 9500 on turn and obviously valuetowned myself on the river. UL

[TheRebelRam]

Thanks all for feedback. My betting line was strong as Andy suggested to block draws as I didn't have a monster hand.
At the time I seemed to rush the river bet without thinking through. Given I had shown strong with bet sizes on the flop and turn there wasn't much I was beating. QJs maybe QTs. I was thinking at the time if he had AQ or set on the turn he was most likely going to re-raise me with the draws out there.
My bet on the river was probably the only thing I would change after mulling over it, check, shove. Would have ended all the same though...... Roll on the 20th annviersary