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Omaha Equities

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    Omaha Equities

    just goin thru some of my losing hands at 20plo and noticed a hand where i iso-ed to get heads up allin with a 93/32

    my hand was AcKc2c8s

    his hand was Ks7cJsTc

    i thought great i have best hand and we have dead money trapped so +++EV but......

    when i checked HH in HEM it says villain was 55% pre (me 45% obv)

    is this correct and can anyone explain how this can be? Is it solely becuase of his straight possibilities value. I mean i have his high card dominated and his flush draw dominated.

    Am i missing something or where is the flaw in my thinking (assuming HEM is correct)

    tnx in adv

    #2
    How many clubs are left to hit? You may have his club flushdraw dominated, but the fact that you hold 3 clubs, and he holds 2, means there are only at most 8 clubs left of which you need to see 3 to flush.

    His spade flush has more permutations obviously, as there are only 3 exposed.

    He has plenty of straight making combinations, you have very few.

    EDIT: Silly billy
    Last edited by Emmet; 26-01-11, 22:33.

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      #3
      5 clubs are dead and his hand is a lot lot more connected + he has spades.

      One card domination doesnt matter as near as much as it does in NLHE

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        #4
        Originally posted by Emmet View Post
        How many clubs are left to hit? You may have his club flushdraw dominated, but the fact that you hold 3 clubs, and he holds 1, means there are only at most 9 clubs left of which you need to see 3 to flush.

        His spade flush has more permutations obviously, as there are only 3 exposed.

        He has plenty of straight making combinations, you have very few.
        He has 2clubs..and if he didn't then he wouldn't be able to make a club flush
        Pining for Wa'erford

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          #5
          Regardless how loose your opponent is your hand is not very strong.
          How many straight possibilities have you?
          ok you have the nut flush draw but the 2 8 with the AK are not much use danglers and bad ones at that. if you swap the 2 for say 9 or Jack gives you more possibilities and should just swing the equity in your favour

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            #6
            Ye i'm probably not isolating this hand either

            Omaha Hi Simulation ?
            600,000 trials (Randomized)
            Hand Equity Wins Ties
            AcKc2c8S 44.22% 254,331 21,999
            32% 55.78% 323,670 21,999

            obviously this sim is without stacks, 3b% etc. but still its not a good hand

            Comment


              #7
              Originally posted by Tremolo1 View Post
              Ye i'm probably not isolating this hand either

              Omaha Hi Simulation ?
              600,000 trials (Randomized)
              Hand Equity Wins Ties
              AcKc2c8S 44.22% 254,331 21,999
              32% 55.78% 323,670 21,999

              obviously this sim is without stacks, 3b% etc. but still its not a good hand
              i guess my NHLE-shaped brain (cell) sees AK and thinks things like, monster, domination, FE...!!!!!!!! shipppppppp !!!!!

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