NIDGE

[dobby]

Random stranger on internet posts tip.

bet>>>>>collect>>>>>titties!

It's simple Tony

[eamonhonda]

Originally Posted by TonyCascarino

Well your own price has drifted from 7/2 to 4s to 5s today alone. I am aware of all the above. My point still remains that I think it's misleading to say that he is a 7/2 shot masquerading as a 10 OR!!!! 12/1 shot. You obviously know your stuff as demonstrated in above but I think your analysis is a little skewed. That affects how people bet.

He said he'd back him at 5s as in he'd feel he is still overpriced at 5s. So his price hasn't changed. The debate is welcomed but your argument is weak.

[TonyCascarino]

Originally Posted by Arazi

Anyway you may of course be correct, time will tell. Fwiw thou I wouldn't tip anything up here that I wasn't prepared to have my bollix on so fingers crossed.

And that's completely fair enough. I just wanted to give a counter argument on my opinions of the dogs chances. He is a sensation. Has a great chance. I hope he does well (but mot as well as my selections! ) I'd just be a little mote wary than you. Hope it's a great derby and I hope you enjoy it. If Nidgey wins it, I hope he does it in style and I'll be applauding him if he does.

[mdoug]

fwiw I think he will be a lot higher than 7/2 after the 3 rounds of qualifying but in saying that I still think 12/1 was good value, 10/1 would be dodgy without the money back but 5/1... not with a barge pole! You had me up to that point

[Megatron]

Skywalker Farloe is going to win this.

[DeadParrot]

Originally Posted by NewApproach

In Arazi we trust.

It's grand, I'll just ban him it it doesnt win

[Theresa]

Originally Posted by mdoug

fwiw I think he will be a lot higher than 7/2 after the 3 rounds of qualifying but in saying that I still think 12/1 was good value, 10/1 would be dodgy without the money back but 5/1... not with a barge pole! You had me up to that point

You really are a gambling expert.

[shano_88]

I love how everyone just lumps on a dog that most of us know absolutely nothing about. Such degeneracy.

[DeadParrot]

Originally Posted by shano_88

I love how everyone just lumps on a dog that most of us know absolutely nothing about. Such degeneracy.

[Theresa]

Originally Posted by shano_88

I love how everyone just lumps on a dog that most of us know absolutely nothing about. Such degeneracy.

I would class this as the complete opposite of degeneracy.

[shano_88]

Originally Posted by Theresa

I would class this as the complete opposite of degeneracy.

Sounds like something a degenerate would say.

[Arazi]

Originally Posted by shano_88

I love how everyone just lumps on a dog that most of us know absolutely nothing about. Such degeneracy.

Just so you can know a little bit more (go to 2.26). This is the fastest run of the year over the standard 525 yard trip in Shelbourne Park (he also holds the 2nd fastest plus the fastest 2 runs over the Derby trip of 550 yards).

As an FYI 0.07 seconds equates to a length.
In 2014 for the 525 Nidge has done 2800 and 2809, the next 2 fastest were 2821 and 2825 both by dogs who miss the Derby thru injury.
For the 550 Nidge has done 2932 (the 4th fastest run ever in only his 4th race), the next fastest this year by a contender in the Derby is 2959.

[NewApproach]

Originally Posted by shano_88

I love how everyone just lumps on a dog that most of us know absolutely nothing about. Such degeneracy.

[x] Degeneracy: Lumping on random dogs because you happen to walk past a bookies

[ ] Degeneracy: Only backing a dog on the advice of the likes of Arazi

[shano_88]

Originally Posted by NewApproach

[x] Degeneracy: Lumping on random dogs because you happen to walk past a bookies

[ ] Degeneracy: Only backing a dog on the advice of the likes of Arazi

You cant even make a tongue in cheek comment these days without your use of words being analysed!

[eamonhonda]

And Fran the man hasn't even gave his opinion yet.

[mdoug]

Originally Posted by Theresa

You really are a gambling expert.

... not sure if/why you are trying to have a dig at me here really :/. My uncle trains and runs dogs and my grandad used to before him. I head with him sometimes, but he often tells me thoughts on dogs antepost as he knows I love a good gamble.. was just giving my(his) 2 cents on it so that people don't get too excited about it possibly being 2/1 come final 24

[NewApproach]

Originally Posted by shano_88

You cant even make a tongue in cheek comment these days without your use of words being analysed!

Hard to understand tone on the internet sometimes...

[Theresa]

Its gas that we all insta lump but Id happily follow a few punters on this board in blind on any gamble.

Arazi is one of those punters.

[mdoug]

Good riddance

[dobby]

Originally Posted by mdoug

Good riddance

Did nidge lose?