Bad beat/Moaning/Venting thread - Mammy told me not to come.

[jack90210]

My post has a like for like comparison of electoral college predictions. You have just said 538 have no credibility based on predictions far superior to Rasmussen's, who's poll you are happy to stand over. You must surely realise how one-eyed this comes across?

'538 have no credibility because they called the election wrong, says man who credits poll from organisation who called the election wronger'.

You appear to credit or discredit polls, aggregators etc based on whether they reflect your viewpoint.

Let me be clear all polls are wrong particulary relating to Conservative candidates but they are the best comparison we have without a vote. Also the 538 was a projection not a poll.

[Keane]

FAO DeadParrot etc I've been trying out realdebrid for a little bit and it seems to work spot on, would suggest giving it a lash.

I've had it for a couple of years - makes a huge difference.

[ComradeCollie]

Quick question for the DIY people, would there be much of a difference between renting a wallpaper stripper from the likes of Sam Hire or a store bought one?

Think it depends a lot on whether you're likely to use it again, and how much hassle it will be to store. I'm generally biased towards buying stuff and end up with loads of stuff that's only had one use.
However, this cheapo wallpaper stripper has been one of the more used buys. Also gets used to quickly defrost my freezer ( contrary to manufacturers instructions) http://www.argos.ie/static/Product/p...R+STRIPPER.htm

[tylerdurden94]

Think it depends a lot on whether you're likely to use it again, and how much hassle it will be to store. I'm generally biased towards buying stuff and end up with loads of stuff that's only had one use.
However, this cheapo wallpaper stripper has been one of the more used buys. Also gets used to quickly defrost my freezer ( contrary to manufacturers instructions) http://www.argos.ie/static/Product/p...R+STRIPPER.htm

Going to be doing parts of the house sporadically over the next few months and it seems I could buy one for the same price as renting one for a couple days, my thinking is also being able to lend it out to people. Also bravo on the defrosting bit.

[Keane]

Let me be clear all polls are wrong particulary relating to Conservative candidates but they are the best comparison we have without a vote. Also the 538 was a projection not a poll.

I didn't say 538's prediction was a poll, I said it was a prediction.

On the basis of your discrediting of 538, Rasmussen ought to be even further discredited - this is obvious.

[MrsFlushdraw]

Yes !

SPOILER

What were your thoughts? I kind of felt for Negan as he did stop when Rick asked him to think on Carl and give him 10 seconds. Hated Rick doing that to him, and I know we are supposed to hate the guy lol.

Wonder which way they are going with Maggie, not too sure on it and she kind of went down in my estimation there. Wasn't too bad an episode. I liked how the bullets failed and didn't expect that at all!

[Guest]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tn6fNYwtGc4

[Trippie]

This will be July. Hoping to do Pamplona and San Sebastian pre Bilbao which gives 6 nights for France. 3 destinations for 2 nights be ideal, will prob drive so can check places out on the way too.

I know most people dont like it but I really enjoyed Marseille, lots to see and do and spent a day exploring the old world war 2 defence island in the harbour, the calanques were good as well.

Also you can stop off in Girona and El celler de can roca on the way.

I did Toulouse for Bastille day last year which was nice to be apart of,also went to a stage of the TdF just outside there on the way to Andorra

[careca]

I've moved address in last year. If I turn up at the polling station with my driving lenience which has my old address on it, is this sufficient ?

checktheregister.ie and if you are on that at your old address then you are good to go. Don't even need proof of address just proof of who you are (if asked for it).

[pokerhand]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tn6fNYwtGc4

Lot of cringe... no different from a lot of other clubs videos. Seem to remember an infamous arsenal one from years ago.

[RichieM]

Do people generally change their opinion on abortion?



Idk I don't think pro-life people are as likely to be shy voters.

I would say the pro choice side are more likely to not show up on the day to vote tho so the vote will be closer than the poll.

I doubt people will change their mind but the undecided voters are most likely people who haven’t considered it much and won’t show up.

The reason I think it will be closer than same sex is most people have gay mates who will say that it’s something they want on an individual basis. Not so many casually talking about abortion with friends as something they want to improve their lives. The same sex vote had a lot of sure let them at it if they want type votes but this won’t.

Glad the polls are so one sided as the inevitable narrowing should still see ancomfortable margin. Except in donegal and Roscommon of course.

[pokerhand]

Anyone seen Lacasa De Papel (Money Heist) on netflix? On third episode and enjoying it so far. Feels a bit like Inside Man, so looks pretty good if you don't mind spanish.

Just finished the second season. Very fun show to watch. Like someone has said, it does stretch the bounds of believable at times, but very imaginative and not predictable. Can recommed.

[Raoul Duke III]

Polls always underestimate conservatives

Hmmmmm

said Theresa May

[Keane]

Hmmmmm

said Theresa May

Easy to see why with all the reports on Twitter from pro-repeal people discovering their names have mysteriously vanished from the register

[Jibzzzz]

I know most people dont like it but I really enjoyed Marseille, lots to see and do and spent a day exploring the old world war 2 defence island in the harbour, the calanques were good as well.

Also you can stop off in Girona and El celler de can roca on the way.

I did Toulouse for Bastille day last year which was nice to be apart of,also went to a stage of the TdF just outside there on the way to Andorra

Will still be in Bilbao for Bastille day I just copped. Good gang of lads heading over for the BBK festival and a few of us are going on to Nice to see a few more places.

I guess we will be mainly looking to stay in lively towns but stuff like the Calanques you linked above is exactly what I'm looking for for during the day. It's been added to the list.

Girona looks decent too depending on which route we take.

[Guest]

I read somewhere before that I think it was the LA times or another Westcoast newspaper was the only major publication in the US that saw Trump winning.

I think Nate Silver has a pretty solid track record of prediction both in sport and in the political sphere. 538 is one of my go to sites for all sport related probabilities, their models are great.

Concluding that someone loses their credibility because they didn't envisage Trump winning is ridiculous. I believe his projections from 2008 pretty much solidify that from a relative perspective his projections are excellent.

[Trippie]

Will still be in Bilbao for Bastille day I just copped. Good gang of lads heading over for the BBK festival and a few of us are going on to Nice to see a few more places.

I guess we will be mainly looking to stay in lively towns but stuff like the Calanques you linked above is exactly what I'm looking for for during the day. It's been added to the list.

Girona looks decent too depending on which route we take.

This just popped up on A luxury travel blog. Potentially some good things in here for you.

https://www.aluxurytravelblog.com/2018/04/14/provence-for-all-the-family/

[ArmaniJeans]

City Video

I've so much love for David Squires take on this.

https://www.theguardian.com/football/ng-interactive/2018/apr/17/david-squires-on-celebrating-victory-celebrating-together

[DeadParrot]

currently at extreme tilt level with my printer.....

1/ Macbook
2/ HP Envy Printer
3/ Working away fine, no issues, upgraded the Mac OS. Printer no longer works.
4/ I've done everything possible to get it going to no avail. Suspect I've 5 or 6 hours wasted on it now. Is this a known issue, is there a quick fix?

Roll back the update?

https://support.apple.com/kb/PH25593?locale=en_US

[ComradeCollie]

Roll back the update?


https://support.apple.com/kb/PH25593?locale=en_US

Instruction 1

Print these instructions.

[shrapnel]

This will be July. Hoping to do Pamplona and San Sebastian pre Bilbao which gives 6 nights for France. 3 destinations for 2 nights be ideal, will prob drive so can check places out on the way too.

Carcassonne, Avignon, both would be nice places for a 1-2 days stopover.

if you like the mountains, you could go via le pic du midi, and then down into Lourdes .

Les callanques, as trippie mentioned are amazing, but be mindful that most spots on the coast from Marseille to Monaco, are packed in the summer.

Plenty of short spots for visits along the way also.

[Solksjaer!]

SPOILER

What were your thoughts? I kind of felt for Negan as he did stop when Rick asked him to think on Carl and give him 10 seconds. Hated Rick doing that to him, and I know we are supposed to hate the guy lol.

Wonder which way they are going with Maggie, not too sure on it and she kind of went down in my estimation there. Wasn't too bad an episode. I liked how the bullets failed and didn't expect that at all!

SPOILER

The bullets failing was predictable, it was a big part of the show so something was brewing. Negan didn’t deserve to live. Maggie got it right. He bashed in the skull of her husband in front of her WTF How can she feel otherwise? Would you forgive if it was Tony ? (would you move on with an older good looking man –an aside) Negan as a character was brilliant but no way should he have been allowed to live. The letters left me cold. Why couldn’t he just die and let me have my bloodbath?

[nicnicnic]

checktheregister.ie and if you are on that at your old address then you are good to go. Don't even need proof of address just proof of who you are (if asked for it).

Tks, yeah good to go so.

[bohsman]

I wouldnt agree with that. The night is too good, still plenty of time for other parties if you're over for a few days.
Lineup for night looking great this year too. Plus bumper cars

Cheers, yea it was the night lineups that was really pushing it for me, there's more than enough to do around Barcelona during the day without partying all the way through. Malta - Barcelona Ryanair return is regularly under 50euro too.

[eamonhonda]

Cheers, yea it was the night lineups that was really pushing it for me, there's more than enough to do around Barcelona during the day without partying all the way through. Malta - Barcelona Ryanair return is regularly under 50euro too.

Get it booked ya won't regret it! Walking into the night Festival for first time you won't forget.
Well for some, even though I go every year I wait until after Xmas to book flights to ensure I pay about 200 for them. Next year I'll change

[Keane]

[Raoul Duke III]

interesting:

The Southern District team can’t bring Trump to trial while he is president. But if it finds evidence of felonies involving Trump, the team could name him as an unindicted co-conspirator in charges against Cohen. That would tell the world that the president is a crook. It would put substantial pressure on Congress to impeach Trump. And, after Trump’s presidency ends, whether at the end of his term or before, a criminal prosecution could await. The prospect of a trial would loom over whatever time in the presidency he has left

[ComradeCollie]

RIP Big Tom.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8aJL7Aa-zQw

[Raoul Duke III]

RIP Big Tom.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8aJL7Aa-zQw

They'll be heartbroken in Roscommon and East Galway.

[tylerdurden94]

The Walking Dead season finale -

SPOILER

It's become crazy predictable and it's totally gone off the boil as a show, it's not really doing anything new and it's just going in circles with people, Negan was dragged out over two seasons and ultimately it was a pretty big let down, it's not go to the level of me hate watching it like Dexter but I barely seen anything to do with it and normally I get to a season finale asap but I didn't bother watching it till this afternoon.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1Pqy2Tytgw

[Strewelpeter]

Roll back the update?

Fucking fuck CVS and all who sail in her

[MrsFlushdraw]

SPOILER

The bullets failing was predictable, it was a big part of the show so something was brewing. Negan didn’t deserve to live. Maggie got it right. He bashed in the skull of her husband in front of her WTF How can she feel otherwise? Would you forgive if it was Tony ? (would you move on with an older good looking man –an aside) Negan as a character was brilliant but no way should he have been allowed to live. The letters left me cold. Why couldn’t he just die and let me have my bloodbath?

SPOILER

In the comics this is what happened to Negan, so the show is sticking with that. I think I just like the other side of Negan. Yes he was a cunt with what he did to Glenn, but she is gonna be banging that young fella soon enough On the older goodlooking Tony replacement. Are you talking about Negan You are a hard man William, those letters were great. Brought a tear to this hard-faced bitch!

[Hitchhiker's Guide To...]

...

[Keane]

[Hitchhiker's Guide To...]

...

[Theresa]

This is unreal...would've cost millions half a decade ago...

[Hitchhiker's Guide To...]

...

[Theresa]

Surely there's generally some sort of manipulation around ImageNet tests though given how well understood that dataset is? As in that whatever method developed will have some inbuilt bias towards good ranking of ImageNet as it's the default.

I'm not sure I follow, you mean you think because we understand the dataset that devs of these solutions are gaming it?

[Solksjaer!]

The Next POTUS is going to be hailed as a humanitarian, intellectual, peace-making, politically savvy, economics genius, irrespective of whoever the fk he/she is.

[ComradeCollie]

The Next POTUS is going to be hailed as a humanitarian, intellectual, peace-making, politically savvy, economics genius, irrespective of whoever the fk he/she is.

I'm still expecting Trump to come out as transsexual in the next while, have the operation next year, and be (re)elected as the first female President in 2020.

[jack90210]

North and South Korea in talks to end their 65 year war. Nobel Peace Prize for President Trump if this happens. You have to break a few eggs to make an omelette!

[Mellor]

Random tech question

My gmail/google account shows a number of active connections.
Onebis my one, two others PC via google chrome. It displays the IP address for these connections.

What exactly is that IP address?
It's not the local IP of my home computer. Even though I'm 90% sure that's the connection

[Mellor]

Random tech question

My gmail/google account shows a number of active connections.
Onebis my one, two others PC via google chrome. It displays the IP address for these connections.

What exactly is that IP address?
It's not the local IP of my home computer. Even though I'm 90% sure that's the connection

[Denny Crane]

North and South Korea in talks to end their 65 year war. Nobel Peace Prize for President Trump if this happens. You have to break a few eggs to make an omelette!

Yeah but the big news is really some fella off the telly talking to the same lawyer

[coillcam]

Random tech question

My gmail/google account shows a number of active connections.
Onebis my one, two others PC via google chrome. It displays the IP address for these connections.

What exactly is that IP address?
It's not the local IP of my home computer. Even though I'm 90% sure that's the connection

It's the public IP address of your Internet connection ie modem/router. Google "what's my IP" on any device when you're connected at home and you'll find it straight away. It should match where the connection comes from in your Gmail account.

[Strewelpeter]

Random tech question

My gmail/google account shows a number of active connections.
Onebis my one, two others PC via google chrome. It displays the IP address for these connections.

What exactly is that IP address?
It's not the local IP of my home computer. Even though I'm 90% sure that's the connection

Its your external ip address that your home network shows to the outside world, the local ip address usually in the range 192.168.1.xxx is what you use within your network.

[Wombatman]

Fake news easy to spot right?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=72&v=cQ54GDm1eL0

[Guest]

On my macbook I use CMD + Shift + 4 to snip some of the screen, it saves it to desktop and then I've to attach it, etc.. Is there a snippy tool I can use that doesn't save it so I can auto paste it to email, chat etc?

In other news, printer still being a plank.

Hold Ctrl at the same time and it copies to clipboard.

[Strewelpeter]

Yeah but the big news is really some fella off the telly talking to the same lawyer

Some fella off the telly. Indeed

[eamonhonda]

Yeah but the big news is really some fella off the telly talking to the same lawyer

Where I'm looking North Korea is the main US/Trump story

[MrsFlushdraw]

On my macbook I use CMD + Shift + 4 to snip some of the screen, it saves it to desktop and then I've to attach it, etc.. Is there a snippy tool I can use that doesn't save it so I can auto paste it to email, chat etc?

In other news, printer still being a plank.

I use Gyazo to do this.

[Mellor]

It's the public IP address of your Internet connection ie modem/router. Google "what's my IP" on any device when you're connected at home and you'll find it straight away. It should match where the connection comes from in your Gmail account.

I checked that, no match. Reason I thought it was mine was because it was also logged into my Snapchat. Could it be simply a dynamic IP?

[eamonhonda]

I use Gyazo to do this.

Prefer them with soy sauce myself wha #mikebullocks

[Tar.Aldarion]

Hitch has got the game buying bug in me, picked up a classic (pandemic and it's expansion) where you travel the world stopping diseases, as well as deception, murder in hong kong, a game up to 12 players where you one of you is a murderer and the rest have to solve it, a short 20 minute party game that is great. All three for €45 so that's pretty good. Also considering picking up camel up and it's expansion for €30, a game where you race camels and bet on it, as I can't take part in any of RD's competitions I'll have my own

[Raoul Duke III]

North and South Korea in talks to end their 65 year war. Nobel Peace Prize for President Trump if this happens. You have to break a few eggs to make an omelette!

Serious question: what's a 'successful outcome' to these talks?

i.e. something long-lasting with a positive outcome for all Koreans

[jack90210]

Serious question: what's a 'successful outcome' to these talks?

i.e. something long-lasting with a positive outcome for all Koreans

I'm not going to pretend to know the specifics of life for those on the Korean peninsula. But for President Trump a peace deal that ends the war is the win.

[Mellor]

I'm not going to pretend to know the specifics of life for those on the Korean peninsula. But for President Trump a peace deal that ends the war is the win.

Do you you think he should be sharing the award with Kim-Jong?

[ArmaniJeans]

Serious question: what's a 'successful outcome' to these talks?

Re-unification before 31/12/2020.

[jack90210]

Do you you think he should be sharing the award with Kim-Jong?

No I think he would be the "sole" winner.

[Lazare]

Picked up an Aeropress in Java republic, and a bag of specially ground beans. About to try.