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    #61
    6.55 tipperary Bowfinger @6/1

    a little worried that this horse is in the pink,but has ran what looks like could be wrong distance,its best form by far is in a point to point when it won well over 3 miles in the muck
    dont know what it beat that day but the this is what was written afterwards
    mid-division, progress 5out, 3rd 3out, 1l 2nd when left in lead 2out, went clear and 6l advantage when mistake last, stayed on well
    should be well race fit at this stage and hopefully this distance,and soft/heavy ground might bring out the best in it

    1 point e/w @ 6/1

    running bank 113.5
    Mattie McGrath wanna-be

    Comment


      #62
      Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
      6.55 tipperary Bowfinger @6/1

      a little worried that this horse is in the pink,but has ran what looks like could be wrong distance,its best form by far is in a point to point when it won well over 3 miles in the muck
      dont know what it beat that day but the this is what was written afterwards
      mid-division, progress 5out, 3rd 3out, 1l 2nd when left in lead 2out, went clear and 6l advantage when mistake last, stayed on well
      should be well race fit at this stage and hopefully this distance,and soft/heavy ground might bring out the best in it

      1 point e/w @ 6/1

      running bank 113.5
      ran no race at all tbh,hit the 5th from home and was pulled up before the rest,pity as i did have a long look at You Must Know Me,who won the race,that horse had also ticked a lot of boxes,being in great form and also had won a point to point over 3 miles in feb,lesson learned i guess!
      Mattie McGrath wanna-be

      Comment


        #63
        7.30 bath Salontyre @ 4/1

        looks to have a right chance here at the weights,rated just 63 on the flat, look to be a little unlucky last time out over hurdles,(was over 2m4f,weight 11-2,mistake at the last,and rider lost his irons),is today back over 2m1f,with just 9-11,strong support as well in the ring early,so seems to be ticking a lot of boxes

        1 point e/w @ 4/1

        running bank 111.5
        Mattie McGrath wanna-be

        Comment


          #64
          5.20 wexford Galianna @ 4/1

          already a few quid for this j.p mcmanus horse,looks to be in fairly good form but has run over shorter as late and this 20 furlongs is the first time in about 18 months,but did finish 2nd that day so would think the distance will be ok.won last time out over 2 miles with 11-7,is to day off 10-8,worth a pop i think

          1 point e/w @ 4/1


          running bank 109.5 (ti70/bp62)
          Last edited by amberleaf; 20-04-12, 09:29.
          Mattie McGrath wanna-be

          Comment


            #65
            Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
            7.30 bath Salontyre @ 4/1

            looks to have a right chance here at the weights,rated just 63 on the flat, look to be a little unlucky last time out over hurdles,(was over 2m4f,weight 11-2,mistake at the last,and rider lost his irons),is today back over 2m1f,with just 9-11,strong support as well in the ring early,so seems to be ticking a lot of boxes

            1 point e/w @ 4/1

            running bank 111.5
            Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
            5.20 wexford Galianna @ 4/1

            already a few quid for this j.p mcmanus horse,looks to be in fairly good form but has run over shorter as late and this 20 furlongs is the first time in about 18 months,but did finish 2nd that day so would think the distance will be ok.won last time out over 2 miles with 11-7,is to day off 10-8,worth a pop i think

            1 point e/w @ 4/1


            running bank 109.5 (ti70/bp62)
            both placed so break even on the day

            running bank 113.5
            Mattie McGrath wanna-be

            Comment


              #66
              3.25 ayr Harry The Viking @ 9/1 (ladbrokes)

              in great form,tbh ticks a lot of the boxes and well worth a e/w bet,2nd last time out behind teafortwo in the national hunt chase at Cheltenham,and looks a great value at 9/1(as low as 6/1 in places)

              1 point e/w @ 9/1

              running bank 111.5
              Mattie McGrath wanna-be

              Comment


                #67
                4.10 naas Royal Visit @ 11/4

                finished 3rd first time out,ran on well towards the finish,if the horse comes on from that run,could run a good race here

                2 point win @ 11/4

                running bank 109.5
                Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                Comment


                  #68
                  2.00 naas Violet Lashes @ 5/1

                  just about backable now at the price,3rd first time out,the winner of that race went on to finish 4th in newmarket in a £250,00 race during the week,2nd has also won in cork since,not the strongest race in the world today and any improvement would bring the horse close to winning a race like this imo,worth a little e/w pop

                  1point e/w @ 5/1

                  running bank 107.5
                  Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                  Comment


                    #69
                    Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                    3.25 ayr Harry The Viking @ 9/1 (ladbrokes)

                    in great form,tbh ticks a lot of the boxes and well worth a e/w bet,2nd last time out behind teafortwo in the national hunt chase at Cheltenham,and looks a great value at 9/1(as low as 6/1 in places)

                    1 point e/w @ 9/1

                    running bank 111.5
                    Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                    4.10 naas Royal Visit @ 11/4

                    finished 3rd first time out,ran on well towards the finish,if the horse comes on from that run,could run a good race here

                    2 point win @ 11/4

                    running bank 109.5
                    Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                    2.00 naas Violet Lashes @ 5/1

                    just about backable now at the price,3rd first time out,the winner of that race went on to finish 4th in newmarket in a £250,00 race during the week,2nd has also won in cork since,not the strongest race in the world today and any improvement would bring the horse close to winning a race like this imo,worth a little e/w pop

                    1point e/w @ 5/1

                    running bank 107.5
                    no joy from harry the viking who pulled up,violet lashes ended up 4th so out of the e/w money but thankfully royal visit won well,all went off shorter than the price i took which in my book is a good thing total return of 7.5 points,which is a profit of 1.5.would be happy if i made that every day!

                    running bankroll 115
                    Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                    Comment


                      #70
                      3.20 curragh Foot Soldier@ 7/1

                      think this one has just about become backable at the price,has drifted out to 7/1 from 5s this morning,but is in good form,weight,conditions are fine as is the distance also race fit after two runs this year

                      1 point e/w @ 7/1

                      running bank 113
                      Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                      Comment


                        #71
                        Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                        3.20 curragh Foot Soldier@ 7/1

                        think this one has just about become backable at the price,has drifted out to 7/1 from 5s this morning,but is in good form,weight,conditions are fine as is the distance also race fit after two runs this year

                        1 point e/w @ 7/1

                        running bank 113
                        ended up in 6th,going to leave this one go,swans horses not running great at the moment,might have another look when they improve!
                        Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                        Comment


                          #72
                          cork 5.20 Rare Benefit @6/1

                          purely based on its last race and the form that has come from that,the horse looks to have a decent chance of winning this,first that time has gone on to finish 3rd,and 2nd has finished 1st ,so it looks like the horse has some sort of ability,hopefully the distance will help

                          1 point e/w @ 6/1

                          running bank 111
                          Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                          Comment


                            #73
                            Pontefract 3.45 Mutiska @ 11/4


                            has only raced in ireland and has ended up here after a pipe opener in dundalk on the 4th apr,and is the trainers only runner in england today, looks like a target race for the horse,plenty of boxes being ticked,including a few blue ones,worth a pop @ 11/4

                            2 point win @ 11/4

                            running bank 109
                            Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                            Comment


                              #74
                              cork 7.20 some drama @ 20/1

                              finished 3rd first time out over 2 miles (flat),but 2nd i that race (you must know me),hadjust 1/2 lenght to some drama and ended up hacking up over 3 miles next time out,obviously there,s a few ifs & buts about it but at the price worth a little e/w

                              1 point e/w @ 20/1

                              running bank 107
                              Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                              Comment


                                #75
                                Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                cork 5.20 Rare Benefit @6/1

                                purely based on its last race and the form that has come from that,the horse looks to have a decent chance of winning this,first that time has gone on to finish 3rd,and 2nd has finished 1st ,so it looks like the horse has some sort of ability,hopefully the distance will help

                                1 point e/w @ 6/1

                                running bank 111
                                Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                Pontefract 3.45 Mutiska @ 11/4


                                has only raced in ireland and has ended up here after a pipe opener in dundalk on the 4th apr,and is the trainers only runner in england today, looks like a target race for the horse,plenty of boxes being ticked,including a few blue ones,worth a pop @ 11/4

                                2 point win @ 11/4

                                running bank 109
                                Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                cork 7.20 some drama @ 20/1

                                finished 3rd first time out over 2 miles (flat),but 2nd i that race (you must know me),hadjust 1/2 lenght to some drama and ended up hacking up over 3 miles next time out,obviously there,s a few ifs & buts about it but at the price worth a little e/w

                                1 point e/w @ 20/1

                                running bank 107
                                rare benefits price drifted out to 16/1 and wasn't up to much finishing well down the field,mutiska looked like the distance or the going didnt help,ended up 5th,never looked like winning tbh,some drama ran well,finished 3rd,a little unlucky in running maybe but was no match for the winner,a 1 point loss for the day over-all

                                running bank 112
                                Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                Comment


                                  #76
                                  7.15 punchestown Sizing Rio @ 7/1

                                  Intresting little story to this one,on 26th of feb this year the horse won a point to point over 2m4f first and only run,back in a 3.5 lenght 3rd that day was one Clondaw Kaempfer,who popped up in fairyhouse on the 10th of apr. winning the Tattersalls Ireland Sales Bumper of €100000.00 4/5-y-o for a prize of 59,000 euro,now thats a boost to the form,it is a drop back to 2 miles,but this race is worth 6200 to the winner and at odds of 7/1 would think its worth a little e/w bet

                                  1 point e/w @ 7/1

                                  running 110
                                  Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                  Comment


                                    #77
                                    8.10 southwell Gracie's Gift @ 7/1

                                    going to take on the fav here,the recent form lines bringing a horse called ace of spies in to mix and weights distance etc,on paper at least looks to have a shout in this

                                    1 point win @ 7/1

                                    running bank 109 (ti90)
                                    Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                    Comment


                                      #78
                                      6.40 punchestownMossey Joe @ 5/2 (betting w/o sir des champs)

                                      just had a read off Geraghtys blog,thinks the above will put up a good show,has a bit of form on the soft ground and distance, won twice over 3 miles,worth a little bet with just 4 horses in this market

                                      2 point win @ 5/2

                                      running bank 107
                                      Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                      Comment


                                        #79
                                        Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                        7.15 punchestown Sizing Rio @ 7/1

                                        Intresting little story to this one,on 26th of feb this year the horse won a point to point over 2m4f first and only run,back in a 3.5 lenght 3rd that day was one Clondaw Kaempfer,who popped up in fairyhouse on the 10th of apr. winning the Tattersalls Ireland Sales Bumper of €100000.00 4/5-y-o for a prize of 59,000 euro,now thats a boost to the form,it is a drop back to 2 miles,but this race is worth 6200 to the winner and at odds of 7/1 would think its worth a little e/w bet

                                        1 point e/w @ 7/1

                                        running 110
                                        Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                        8.10 southwell Gracie's Gift @ 7/1

                                        going to take on the fav here,the recent form lines bringing a horse called ace of spies in to mix and weights distance etc,on paper at least looks to have a shout in this

                                        1 point win @ 7/1

                                        running bank 109 (ti90)
                                        Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                        6.40 punchestownMossey Joe @ 5/2 (betting w/o sir des champs)

                                        just had a read off Geraghtys blog,thinks the above will put up a good show,has a bit of form on the soft ground and distance, won twice over 3 miles,worth a little bet with just 4 horses in this market

                                        2 point win @ 5/2

                                        running bank 107
                                        no joy with the above,with mossey joe falling at the last when having 2nd more or less wrapped up,but you know yourself shit happens!

                                        to day going for Liberty Love in the 2.50 wolves @ 4/1
                                        and God Of The Kop @ 6/1 in the punchestown bumper,reasons for both hopefully get a return from them,1 point e/w on both

                                        running bank 103
                                        Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                        Comment


                                          #80
                                          Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                          no joy with the above,with mossey joe falling at the last when having 2nd more or less wrapped up,but you know yourself shit happens!

                                          to day going for Liberty Love in the 2.50 wolves @ 4/1
                                          and God Of The Kop @ 6/1 in the punchestown bumper,reasons for both hopefully get a return from them,1 point e/w on both

                                          running bank 103
                                          liberty love won well in the end,going to keep a eye on this one,ended up going off at 5/1 so a return of 8 points,god of the kop didnt seem to last in the muck and ended up down the field,still a 4 point profit on the day!

                                          running bank 111 (ti 96)
                                          Last edited by amberleaf; 27-04-12, 08:43.
                                          Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                          Comment


                                            #81
                                            perth 3.45 Lord Redsgirth @ 5/2

                                            Gordon Elliott has two runners in perth today,this horse has a fair bit of form,2nd last time out over 2m6f in fairyhouse with a weight of 11-12,also won on the 26th dec over distance with a weight of 10-11 in a mh on heavy,first time the horse has raced outside ireland and has just 10-8 to carry,with the 2nd in a novice chase in the bag,would think the jumping will be alright,seems to tick a lot of boxes and worth a bet at the odds

                                            3 point bet @ 5/2


                                            running bank 108
                                            Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                            Comment


                                              #82
                                              115 sandown Ballesteros @ 7/2

                                              going to take on the fav here,the horse has some very good form on soft or worse,and has a win on yeilding,had a run 10 days ago and could go well here

                                              2 point win @ 7/2

                                              running bank 106
                                              Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                              Comment


                                                #83
                                                Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                perth 3.45 Lord Redsgirth @ 5/2

                                                Gordon Elliott has two runners in perth today,this horse has a fair bit of form,2nd last time out over 2m6f in fairyhouse with a weight of 11-12,also won on the 26th dec over distance with a weight of 10-11 in a mh on heavy,first time the horse has raced outside ireland and has just 10-8 to carry,with the 2nd in a novice chase in the bag,would think the jumping will be alright,seems to tick a lot of boxes and worth a bet at the odds

                                                3 point bet @ 5/2


                                                running bank 108
                                                Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                115 sandown Ballesteros @ 7/2

                                                going to take on the fav here,the horse has some very good form on soft or worse,and has a win on yeilding,had a run 10 days ago and could go well here

                                                2 point win @ 7/2

                                                running bank 106
                                                first double result of the log with both winning,Lord Redsgirth won well but there was a few non runners so the rule 4 kicked in,ended up getting 6/4ish on it,Ballesteros just about won with a total return of 16.5 points

                                                running bank 122.5
                                                Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                Comment


                                                  #84
                                                  going for a .5 e/w of a point 5.05 punchestown Flaming Pop @66/1

                                                  also sticking a point e/w on Immediate Response @ 7/1 in the 5.40,willie mullins trained and is in great form, has won its last three races on heavy ground,(up to 2m6f)this is much harder but looks to have a chance,

                                                  running bank 119.5
                                                  Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                  Comment


                                                    #85
                                                    Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                    going for a .5 e/w of a point 5.05 punchestown Flaming Pop @66/1

                                                    also sticking a point e/w on Immediate Response @ 7/1 in the 5.40,willie mullins trained and is in great form, has won its last three races on heavy ground,(up to 2m6f)this is much harder but looks to have a chance,

                                                    running bank 119.5
                                                    no joy today,going for Kanes Pass in the 255 navan @ 5/1,won on heavy last time,is now down 4 lbs, looks a nice e/w


                                                    1 point e/w @ 5/1

                                                    running bank 117.5
                                                    Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                    Comment


                                                      #86
                                                      535 navan Unaccompanied @ evens

                                                      not the biggest price in the world.but looks very hard to beat with all things considered

                                                      3 point win @ evens

                                                      114.5
                                                      Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                      Comment


                                                        #87
                                                        Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                        no joy today,going for Kanes Pass in the 255 navan @ 5/1,won on heavy last time,is now down 4 lbs, looks a nice e/w


                                                        1 point e/w @ 5/1

                                                        running bank 117.5
                                                        Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                        535 navan Unaccompanied @ evens

                                                        not the biggest price in the world.but looks very hard to beat with all things considered

                                                        3 point win @ evens

                                                        114.5
                                                        Kanes Pass finished 5th just out side the e/w,Unaccompanied won handy enough for a profit of one point on the day

                                                        running bank 120.5
                                                        Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                        Comment


                                                          #88
                                                          end of the month review + a few days review kinda thing,a total of 110 points invested with a profit of 20.5 points ,not bad for a novice at this game tbh,with sunset beautys win in cork and Sea Saffron the high-light so far(dont know why i didnt put Glens Melody on the log)with just one that i consider unusual for want of a better word.going to put some work into the horse tracker list over the next month,also going to stick with win only bets and not each way,so its win or lose,with very few break even days ahead,see where this takes me!
                                                          Last edited by amberleaf; 30-04-12, 00:19. Reason: i'm half drunk!
                                                          Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                          Comment


                                                            #89
                                                            2.45 kempton Mutafaakir @ 7/4

                                                            have this on the tracker and backed it e/w last time out @ 10/1,this is just the 3rd run from the horse and seems to be getting the hang of things,doing its best work towards the end over 7 furlongs,today its over a mile so that should suit the horse,but has never run at this track/surface.is race fit with just one other horse in the race already having a run this year,so looks to have a good chance of taking this,also no market moves as yet for any horse running in this race today,worth a little bet imo

                                                            2 point win @ 7/4

                                                            running bank 118.5
                                                            Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                            Comment


                                                              #90
                                                              8.25 Wolverhampton Blodwen Abbey@ 16/1

                                                              this horse seems to love this track,has raced 9 times,5 of these were here on the surface with two 1st,two 2nd,one 3rd and one 5th,has had a pipe opener this year and a little money already this morning,distance might be a little short(over 5 furlongs to day,has won over 6f and 7f,but has come 2nd over 5f)weight looks fine as well,worth just a little pop at the odds

                                                              1 point win at 16/1

                                                              running bank 117.5
                                                              Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                              Comment


                                                                #91
                                                                Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                8.25 Wolverhampton Blodwen Abbey@ 16/1

                                                                this horse seems to love this track,has raced 9 times,5 of these were here on the surface with two 1st,two 2nd,one 3rd and one 5th,has had a pipe opener this year and a little money already this morning,distance might be a little short(over 5 furlongs to day,has won over 6f and 7f,but has come 2nd over 5f)weight looks fine as well,worth just a little pop at the odds

                                                                1 point win at 16/1

                                                                running bank 117.5
                                                                Surely this has an EW bet all over it, cant see the logic of betting it to win only

                                                                Comment


                                                                  #92
                                                                  ya very true,or better again,split the stake between a win and a place on two Separate bets maybe,just going to stick with win bets for this month,that way i can have more bets while keeping to the brm,which is 5% of total bankroll on any given day,the idea being the more bets i have the more i'll learn about the game,just see how it goes for this month,but ya an e/w best way to go on this one alright!
                                                                  Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                  Comment


                                                                    #93
                                                                    Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                    2.45 kempton Mutafaakir @ 7/4

                                                                    have this on the tracker and backed it e/w last time out @ 10/1,this is just the 3rd run from the horse and seems to be getting the hang of things,doing its best work towards the end over 7 furlongs,today its over a mile so that should suit the horse,but has never run at this track/surface.is race fit with just one other horse in the race already having a run this year,so looks to have a good chance of taking this,also no market moves as yet for any horse running in this race today,worth a little bet imo

                                                                    2 point win @ 7/4

                                                                    running bank 118.5
                                                                    Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                    8.25 Wolverhampton Blodwen Abbey@ 16/1

                                                                    this horse seems to love this track,has raced 9 times,5 of these were here on the surface with two 1st,two 2nd,one 3rd and one 5th,has had a pipe opener this year and a little money already this morning,distance might be a little short(over 5 furlongs to day,has won over 6f and 7f,but has come 2nd over 5f)weight looks fine as well,worth just a little pop at the odds

                                                                    1 point win at 16/1

                                                                    running bank 117.5
                                                                    no good today,Mutafaakir was backed into 5/4 but was well beaten,Blodwen Abbey went out to 40/1 Obviously got that one wrong!
                                                                    Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                    Comment


                                                                      #94
                                                                      3.40 yarmouthRigolleto@ 6/1

                                                                      highly tried horse and seems to like the soft ground,its soft/heavy today,is off just 8-8 today,could go well

                                                                      1 point win @ 6/1

                                                                      running bank 116.5
                                                                      Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                      Comment


                                                                        #95
                                                                        Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                        3.40 yarmouthRigolleto@ 6/1

                                                                        highly tried horse and seems to like the soft ground,its soft/heavy today,is off just 8-8 today,could go well

                                                                        1 point win @ 6/1

                                                                        running bank 116.5
                                                                        finished 2nd,so no joy there,also missed the email from the horse tracker about Sea Saffron running in Exeter yesterday,won @ 7/2 which was a pity,i had a look at the emails the night before but that one landed in the inbox yesterday morning,my own fault but lesson learned
                                                                        Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                        Comment


                                                                          #96
                                                                          going for two tonight in dundalk in the 6.45 Caprella@ 10/1,this horse has had just two runs,won 1st time out over c & d and just a neck 2nd to piri wango(who is also in the same race tonight @ 11/4) just three weeks ago over a mile,back to 7 furlongs to night and with all things considered the 10/1 on offer looks like a little value

                                                                          in the 7.45 going for Gaiety Theatre a close up 3rd on its first run this year,is up just 1 lb for that and could run well here tonight @ 7/1

                                                                          1 point win on both
                                                                          running bank 114.5
                                                                          Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                          Comment


                                                                            #97
                                                                            Pontefract 2.20 Hillbilly Boy@ 4/1

                                                                            the form here is 42 from two races,the last in bev over 5 furlongs on soft,today the going soft/heavy in places,the breeding as well(Haafhd (GB) - Erreur (IRE)) points to soft ground,with haafhd winning a pot of £215,000 on soft, back in 2004,worth a little bet at 4/1(out from 7/2)

                                                                            1 point win @ 4/1

                                                                            running bank 113.5
                                                                            Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                            Comment


                                                                              #98
                                                                              Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                              going for two tonight in dundalk in the 6.45 Caprella@ 10/1,this horse has had just two runs,won 1st time out over c & d and just a neck 2nd to piri wango(who is also in the same race tonight @ 11/4) just three weeks ago over a mile,back to 7 furlongs to night and with all things considered the 10/1 on offer looks like a little value

                                                                              in the 7.45 going for Gaiety Theatre a close up 3rd on its first run this year,is up just 1 lb for that and could run well here tonight @ 7/1

                                                                              1 point win on both
                                                                              running bank 114.5
                                                                              Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                              Pontefract 2.20 Hillbilly Boy@ 4/1

                                                                              the form here is 42 from two races,the last in bev over 5 furlongs on soft,today the going soft/heavy in places,the breeding as well(Haafhd (GB) - Erreur (IRE)) points to soft ground,with haafhd winning a pot of £215,000 on soft, back in 2004,worth a little bet at 4/1(out from 7/2)

                                                                              1 point win @ 4/1

                                                                              running bank 113.5
                                                                              drew a blank again today with both irish runners finishing last and the other finishing 4th to a 100/1 shot
                                                                              Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                              Comment


                                                                                #99
                                                                                2.40 lingfield Big Wave@ 7/4

                                                                                like this horse a lot tbh,won its last race very well,it first handicap and think it has a great chance,also my one and only bet for tomorrow,so going to have my first max bet of the log which is 5% of total br

                                                                                5.5 points win @ 7/4 (p.g)

                                                                                running bank 108.5
                                                                                Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                Comment


                                                                                  6.00 Tipperary Maya Bay @ 12/1(p.g.)
                                                                                  just going to break the brm rules,just talked myself into this little bet

                                                                                  1 point win @ 12/1

                                                                                  running bank 107.5
                                                                                  Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                    Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                                    2.40 lingfield Big Wave@ 7/4

                                                                                    like this horse a lot tbh,won its last race very well,it first handicap and think it has a great chance,also my one and only bet for tomorrow,so going to have my first max bet of the log which is 5% of total br

                                                                                    5.5 points win @ 7/4 (p.g)

                                                                                    running bank 108.5
                                                                                    Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                                    6.00 Tipperary Maya Bay @ 12/1(p.g.)
                                                                                    just going to break the brm rules,just talked myself into this little bet

                                                                                    1 point win @ 12/1

                                                                                    running bank 107.5
                                                                                    another blank today,maya bay went out to 33/1 and finished 7th,big wave came 2nd,a little disappointing,didnt seem to have the gears tbh,going the keep her in the horse tracker see what happens!

                                                                                    running bank 107.5 (ti 123.5)
                                                                                    Last edited by amberleaf; 03-05-12, 22:17.
                                                                                    Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                      635 dundalk Phebes Wish@ 4/1

                                                                                      form not the best in ireland last year but ended up in wolves for its first run this year in a 6 furlong hcp and won off 8-7,is now off 8-8 with 4 lb ex,should be in with a shout if the horse comes on from that run,and worth a little bet imo
                                                                                      note,also see mark johnson has sent over marshland with a top jockey booking in the first,no price as yet but has to be worth a look when the race is priced up!
                                                                                      1 point win @ 4/1

                                                                                      running bank 106.5
                                                                                      Last edited by amberleaf; 04-05-12, 00:18.
                                                                                      Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                      Comment


                                                                                        Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                                        635 dundalk Phebes Wish@ 4/1

                                                                                        form not the best in ireland last year but ended up in wolves for its first run this year in a 6 furlong hcp and won off 8-7,is now off 8-8 with 4 lb ex,should be in with a shout if the horse comes on from that run,and worth a little bet imo
                                                                                        note,also see mark johnson has sent over marshland with a top jockey booking in the first,no price as yet but has to be worth a look when the race is priced up!
                                                                                        1 point win @ 4/1

                                                                                        running bank 106.5
                                                                                        ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
                                                                                        Last edited by jazzyfish; 04-05-12, 00:50.

                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                          Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                                          635 dundalk Phebes Wish@ 4/1

                                                                                          form not the best in ireland last year but ended up in wolves for its first run this year in a 6 furlong hcp and won off 8-7,is now off 8-8 with 4 lb ex,should be in with a shout if the horse comes on from that run,and worth a little bet imo
                                                                                          note,also see mark johnson has sent over marshland with a top jockey booking in the first,no price as yet but has to be worth a look when the race is priced up!
                                                                                          1 point win @ 4/1

                                                                                          running bank 106.5
                                                                                          Originally posted by jazzyfish View Post
                                                                                          ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
                                                                                          obviously the reverse forecast numbers 12 & 2 is the way to play this one,i had a look at the market last night,looks like there was a little shrewd money for phebes wish so had a look at the history for the horse,and story makes a little sense,could go e/w (first three,1/4 the odds)but this being a Apprentice Handicap,Probably as well off sticking it on the nose

                                                                                          in dundalk 605 Marshland@11/4 as explained above,would think johnson is hardly sending the horse over to get a sun-tan and with fran berry on board as well as a pipe opener in nottingham on the april 21st,could run a decent race here,worth a little nibble on that alone

                                                                                          2 point win @ 11/4

                                                                                          104.5
                                                                                          Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                          Comment


                                                                                            5.55 kilbeggan Moyas Charm @ 14/1

                                                                                            think this horse is worth a little pop at the odds,has being point to pointing for the last few years,but did come a 5 lenght 3rd to some half decent horses first time under rules in a few years over 2m4f last time out,now being tried over 2m3f,the breedings not too bad(Carroll House - Donna's Tarquin (IRE))carroll house winning a few in his time,i think perhaps if this horse was with one of the bigger stables it would be a lot shorter price than 14s,could be a little value

                                                                                            1 point win at 14/1

                                                                                            running bank 103.5
                                                                                            Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                            Comment


                                                                                              Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                                              obviously the reverse forecast numbers 12 & 2 is the way to play this one,i had a look at the market last night,looks like there was a little shrewd money for phebes wish so had a look at the history for the horse,and story makes a little sense,could go e/w (first three,1/4 the odds)but this being a Apprentice Handicap,Probably as well off sticking it on the nose

                                                                                              in dundalk 605 Marshland@11/4 as explained above,would think johnson is hardly sending the horse over to get a sun-tan and with fran berry on board as well as a pipe opener in nottingham on the april 21st,could run a decent race here,worth a little nibble on that alone

                                                                                              2 point win @ 11/4

                                                                                              104.5
                                                                                              have a look at vandani in the 8.05 with the other one i put up yesterday

                                                                                              Comment


                                                                                                Originally posted by jazzyfish View Post
                                                                                                have a look at vandani in the 8.05 with the other one i put up yesterday
                                                                                                some breeding there,on one side you have this

                                                                                                05Oct03 Lon 12S 3y+ F(593K) 8-11[9/4] 1st of 13 Mubtaker (USA) C Soumillon
                                                                                                29Jun03 Cur 12G 3y F(1300K) 9-0[4/7f] 2nd of 9 ½L behind Alamshar (IRE) C Soumillon
                                                                                                02Nov02 Sai 8H 2y F(152K) 9-0[4/5] 1st of 5 nk to Chevalier (IRE)

                                                                                                on the other you have a descendant of sadler's wells,unfortunately i have just one point to spend today due to brm,and it has to be used trying to poke out a little value( self-imposed rules,dont fucking ask)still learning the game and will be for good bit yet,cheers for the tip tho!
                                                                                                Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                                Comment


                                                                                                  fontwell 6.45 King Jack@7/1

                                                                                                  pulled up last time out when hitting the 9th,but its form before that looks fairly good,has won before with 11-12,is today off 11-2,hopefully none the worse for the mishap last time out(doesnt have a history of poor jumping)a few quid for it this morning think just about backable at the price

                                                                                                  1 point @ 7/1 and that concludes todays degeneracy

                                                                                                  running bank 102.5
                                                                                                  Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                                    Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                                                    obviously the reverse forecast numbers 12 & 2 is the way to play this one,i had a look at the market last night,looks like there was a little shrewd money for phebes wish so had a look at the history for the horse,and story makes a little sense,could go e/w (first three,1/4 the odds)but this being a Apprentice Handicap,Probably as well off sticking it on the nose

                                                                                                    in dundalk 605 Marshland@11/4 as explained above,would think johnson is hardly sending the horse over to get a sun-tan and with fran berry on board as well as a pipe opener in nottingham on the april 21st,could run a decent race here,worth a little nibble on that alone

                                                                                                    2 point win @ 11/4

                                                                                                    104.5
                                                                                                    sweet lads, had €5 rfc, fair play, lovely returns....

                                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                                      Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                                                      obviously the reverse forecast numbers 12 & 2 is the way to play this one,i had a look at the market last night,looks like there was a little shrewd money for phebes wish so had a look at the history for the horse,and story makes a little sense,could go e/w (first three,1/4 the odds)but this being a Apprentice Handicap,Probably as well off sticking it on the nose

                                                                                                      in dundalk 605 Marshland@11/4 as explained above,would think johnson is hardly sending the horse over to get a sun-tan and with fran berry on board as well as a pipe opener in nottingham on the april 21st,could run a decent race here,worth a little nibble on that alone

                                                                                                      2 point win @ 11/4

                                                                                                      104.5
                                                                                                      Originally posted by alocon View Post
                                                                                                      sweet lads, had €5 rfc, fair play, lovely returns....
                                                                                                      lol,nice paid 62/1 i think,broke even on the day with phebes wish the only winner

                                                                                                      running bank 107.5
                                                                                                      Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                                      Comment


                                                                                                        5.20 Uttoxeter Bennys Mist @ 11/10

                                                                                                        very short price,but cant see anything beating it in the race today,so having a max bet on this

                                                                                                        5 point win @ 11/10

                                                                                                        running bank 102.5
                                                                                                        Last edited by amberleaf; 05-05-12, 09:10.
                                                                                                        Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                                          Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                                                          5.20 Uttoxeter Bennys Mist @ 11/10

                                                                                                          very short price,but cant see anything beating it in the race today,so having a max bet on this

                                                                                                          5 point win @ 11/10

                                                                                                          running bank 102.5
                                                                                                          won well in the end,roll now up to 113

                                                                                                          3.50 newmarket Maarek @ 11/1

                                                                                                          think this one has a real chance of taking this,form is working out well,is this irish trainers only horse running in england,acts well on the ground...in other words ticks a lot of boxes,looks a value at the price,worth a small pop

                                                                                                          1 point @ 11/1

                                                                                                          running bank 112
                                                                                                          Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                                          Comment


                                                                                                            405 Gowran Park Katiola @ 8/1

                                                                                                            going to take on the fav in this race with the above,trained by john oxx whos horses are in great form at the mo,and also has a good record in this race,in the last 6 runnings has won this 3 times,katiola has never raced in public before but the breeding looks fine given the going (soft/heavy),little bit of money for it as well,into 6s with some firms but plenty of 8s still around,worth a little pop imo

                                                                                                            1 point win @ 8/1

                                                                                                            running bank 111
                                                                                                            Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                                            Comment


                                                                                                              Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                                                              won well in the end,roll now up to 113

                                                                                                              3.50 newmarket Maarek @ 11/1

                                                                                                              think this one has a real chance of taking this,form is working out well,is this irish trainers only horse running in england,acts well on the ground...in other words ticks a lot of boxes,looks a value at the price,worth a small pop

                                                                                                              1 point @ 11/1

                                                                                                              running bank 112
                                                                                                              Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                                                              405 Gowran Park Katiola @ 8/1

                                                                                                              going to take on the fav in this race with the above,trained by john oxx whos horses are in great form at the mo,and also has a good record in this race,in the last 6 runnings has won this 3 times,katiola has never raced in public before but the breeding looks fine given the going (soft/heavy),little bit of money for it as well,into 6s with some firms but plenty of 8s still around,worth a little pop imo

                                                                                                              1 point win @ 8/1

                                                                                                              running bank 111
                                                                                                              no joy with katiola,in a race won by cuponata(well done again jazzy)Maarek got up where it matters with a price of 12/1 so total returns of 13 points

                                                                                                              going to rob one jazzys 2nd tip at gowran park 4.40 Gunner Lindley @ 9/4

                                                                                                              2 point win @ 9/4
                                                                                                              Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                                              Comment


                                                                                                                Gunner Lindley finished just 3/4 of a lenght 2nd,still a good profit on the day

                                                                                                                running bank 122
                                                                                                                Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                                                Comment


                                                                                                                  going for Twice Returned in the bumper in Gowran Park 5.45,came 5th first time out in what looks like a harder race than this,bit of a coin flip,but getting odds of 13/8 which makes it a bet for me anyways

                                                                                                                  2 point win @ 13/8

                                                                                                                  running bank 120
                                                                                                                  Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                                                    Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                                                                    going for Twice Returned in the bumper in Gowran Park 5.45,came 5th first time out in what looks like a harder race than this,bit of a coin flip,but getting odds of 13/8 which makes it a bet for me anyways

                                                                                                                    2 point win @ 13/8

                                                                                                                    running bank 120
                                                                                                                    uuughh that was a poor run,going to have another look at this at some point,see if i can learn something,

                                                                                                                    running bank 120
                                                                                                                    Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                                                      Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                                                                      going for Twice Returned in the bumper in Gowran Park 5.45,came 5th first time out in what looks like a harder race than this,bit of a coin flip,but getting odds of 13/8 which makes it a bet for me anyways

                                                                                                                      2 point win @ 13/8

                                                                                                                      running bank 120
                                                                                                                      Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                                                                      uuughh that was a poor run,going to have another look at this at some point,see if i can learn something,

                                                                                                                      running bank 120
                                                                                                                      this one is pissing me off a little.was watching atr and the lads in the ring were talking about the above a little too much,and tbh thay more or less made my mind up,fact is i had a good look at this race this morning,and was thinking that Melanjo who won at 20/1 had a bit of a chance here,just looking at the breeding,given the going,for fuck sake,Flemensfirth (look below)as well as the connections

                                                                                                                      03Apr97 Nad 10 4y+ F(2500K) 9-0 10th of 12 9.25L behind Singspiel (IRE) G Hind
                                                                                                                      05Oct96 Lon 10S 3y+ F(38K) 9-0[2/1] 1st of 11 2L to Percutant (GB) L Dettori
                                                                                                                      30Sep95 Lon 10S 3y+ F(68K) 9-2[3/5] 1st of 7 ½L to Volochine (IRE) L Dettori
                                                                                                                      20Jun95 Asc 8G 3y F(150K) 9-0[12/1] 6th of 9 0 behind Bahri (USA) L Dettori
                                                                                                                      04Jun95 Cha 12G 3y F(320K) 9-2[5/1] 5th of 11 0 behind Celtic Swing (GB) L Dettori
                                                                                                                      14May95 Lon 10S 3y F(96K) 9-2[9/5] 1st of 6 1L to Solar One (FR) L Dettori
                                                                                                                      20Apr95 New 9G 3y F(18K) 8-11[3/1] 2nd of 7 2 ½L behind Munwar (GB) L Dettori
                                                                                                                      19Sep94 Not 8S 2y Mdn(5K) 8-11[13/2] 1st of 13 3L to Mufarej (USA)

                                                                                                                      think that there was great value to be got in maidens/bumpers,in this type of ground along with other factors,must bring this into my thinking when punting on the ponys,learned a little here i think!
                                                                                                                      Last edited by amberleaf; 06-05-12, 23:50.
                                                                                                                      Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                                                      Comment


                                                                                                                        Exeter 6.55 Sea Saffron @ 11/2

                                                                                                                        the horse is in the form of its life and i've backed this one three times,it won @8/1 and 9/1,and came 2nd,worth a bet today with just 10-2 to lump around 2m7f on ground it seems to handle well
                                                                                                                        edit,is also 5lbs ex and jockey has won on him before,another plus i would think
                                                                                                                        2 point win @ 11/2

                                                                                                                        running bank 118
                                                                                                                        Last edited by amberleaf; 08-05-12, 08:35.
                                                                                                                        Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                                                          7.50 Punchestown Knockaderry@ 12/1 (2m1f flat)

                                                                                                                          the fav here is the willie mullins trained Well Read Man,and lets face it will most probably be in the mix where it matters,but at 6/4 not the best value imo,i've gone for the above as what i think could be value at the price,the trainer has a decent enough record in these bumper races,has a decent jockey on board with robbie McNamara,and the breeding is interesting(br g Alderbrook-Complainingbut (Dr Massini))with alderbrook the eyecatcher,worth a little pop imo

                                                                                                                          1 point win @ 12/1

                                                                                                                          running bank 117
                                                                                                                          Last edited by amberleaf; 08-05-12, 10:08.
                                                                                                                          Mattie McGrath wanna-be

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