A few days to go to the annual jaunt to leafy Lingfield. My initial thoughts :
Marathon - Godolphin have the top two in the market who both won qualifiers and the fav gets a nice allowance and might be hard to beat . I backed Winterlude and First Mohican before the last qualifier @ 20/1. The race didn't pan out for Winterlude and I think a better performance will be seen on Friday with a truly run race guaranteed. My initial reaction was first mohican got the run of the race but having watched again since I liked the way he pulled out a bit more when challenged by the Johnston Horse. He was travelling as well as the winner to the last bend in last years renewal and got no run up the straight. I will have a few quid more on at around 14/1.
Fillies and Mares -- I backed Realtra after winning the Qualifier in France . She has since been well beaten twice on turf in Dubai by fav for this race Mufri ha , clinging to the hope that the return to the sand might see a turn around in fortunes. Kevin Ryan has been bullish about Ashadihan and its hard to see the winner not coming from these three group race winners. At bigger odds Volunteer point who won at the meeting last year might be worth a place punt on the day.
Sprint-- I asked for a price on Encor d'or in my local PP when he came from miles back to win going away at Chelmsford on seas debut over 5f, They were going 33/1 bar at the time and the manager told me that when he said I was a regular that the odds compiler said best not to give me a price as he wouldn't be running in it. looked like good advice when he flopped on his next few starts but he then went and won a decent race at Lingfield despite clearly not handling the track. He is 14/1 now and it would be very painful if he won.
I have backed pretend at 4/1, he hasn't been at his best on his last two runs but granted a good draw and a bit more luck in running I fancy him to win. Lancelot du lac was only worn down late by two time champion Alben Star last year and has been running well all year but he always seems to find one too good in this. Kinberella was impressive on his first start for Fahey and rates a big Danger. At the bigger prices Boom the groom at 20/1 looks a bit of value.
Do the other 3 tomorrow.
Marathon - Godolphin have the top two in the market who both won qualifiers and the fav gets a nice allowance and might be hard to beat . I backed Winterlude and First Mohican before the last qualifier @ 20/1. The race didn't pan out for Winterlude and I think a better performance will be seen on Friday with a truly run race guaranteed. My initial reaction was first mohican got the run of the race but having watched again since I liked the way he pulled out a bit more when challenged by the Johnston Horse. He was travelling as well as the winner to the last bend in last years renewal and got no run up the straight. I will have a few quid more on at around 14/1.
Fillies and Mares -- I backed Realtra after winning the Qualifier in France . She has since been well beaten twice on turf in Dubai by fav for this race Mufri ha , clinging to the hope that the return to the sand might see a turn around in fortunes. Kevin Ryan has been bullish about Ashadihan and its hard to see the winner not coming from these three group race winners. At bigger odds Volunteer point who won at the meeting last year might be worth a place punt on the day.
Sprint-- I asked for a price on Encor d'or in my local PP when he came from miles back to win going away at Chelmsford on seas debut over 5f, They were going 33/1 bar at the time and the manager told me that when he said I was a regular that the odds compiler said best not to give me a price as he wouldn't be running in it. looked like good advice when he flopped on his next few starts but he then went and won a decent race at Lingfield despite clearly not handling the track. He is 14/1 now and it would be very painful if he won.
I have backed pretend at 4/1, he hasn't been at his best on his last two runs but granted a good draw and a bit more luck in running I fancy him to win. Lancelot du lac was only worn down late by two time champion Alben Star last year and has been running well all year but he always seems to find one too good in this. Kinberella was impressive on his first start for Fahey and rates a big Danger. At the bigger prices Boom the groom at 20/1 looks a bit of value.
Do the other 3 tomorrow.
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