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Cheltenham 2020 Tipping Competition - The Sixth Sense

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    #61
    Originally posted by Gimmeabreak
    format constrains me - max 100 per race type stuff. Your dictatorial control of how I spunk my $$ is responsible for my form figures.
    It's important to allow the quality to come to the front rather than the bink merchants
    "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

    Comment


      #62
      FESTIVAL CONFIRMED ON
      "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

      Comment


        #63
        Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
        you have shipping deets? no change from previous
        I'll need them, I cleared out the message boxes a while back.

        Comment


          #64
          I shipped today RD but the market for not going ahead is shortening by the hour after the latest news on the outbreak in the UK. Was around 11/8 on Sunday, went out to near 5/1 after the govt announcement on Monday that everything was fine. Trading at 12/5 now with 2.68m matched.

          Less than 2k matched on Aintree but odds on not to go ahead at the minute.

          If there's another spike in confirmed cases tomorrow Boris's hand might be forced.

          Comment


            #65
            5 days out and the field looks like this:

            Former Dual Champignon Sitch
            El Shambola
            GAB (Guaranteed Annual Blowup)
            Strewel
            Switcheroo
            Dice
            RDIII
            Murdrum
            Charlie Sheen
            Pat Custard
            Nicnic
            No River Required
            Hitch
            Norweigan Blue
            Shraaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaap
            Shanboghted
            Defending Champignon rounders123
            Solksjaer
            Silver Tiger
            Aintree specialist Eoghan104
            Alocon
            Kerry National winner Lplate

            1,100 in the pot....
            "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

            Comment


              #66
              Originally posted by Lplate View Post
              I shipped today RD but the market for not going ahead is shortening by the hour after the latest news on the outbreak in the UK. Was around 11/8 on Sunday, went out to near 5/1 after the govt announcement on Monday that everything was fine. Trading at 12/5 now with 2.68m matched.

              Less than 2k matched on Aintree but odds on not to go ahead at the minute.

              If there's another spike in confirmed cases tomorrow Boris's hand might be forced.
              My famed tipping skills at work.

              Yeah, we'll just wait and see. If called off, I assume everyone is cool for me to stick the lot on some nag of my choosing at Dundalk.
              "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

              Comment


                #67
                Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                My famed tipping skills at work.

                Yeah, we'll just wait and see. If called off, I assume everyone is cool for me to stick the lot on some nag of my choosing at Dundalk.
                I'd almost prefer that to this comp.

                Comment


                  #68
                  Originally posted by eoghan104 View Post
                  I'd almost prefer that to this comp.
                  GFYE104

                  (tipping Eoghan to win)
                  "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                  Comment


                    #69
                    My Timeform player ratings will be up Monday if not earlier.

                    Comment


                      #70
                      In as long as someone can help me out with tables Wednesday, will be over there and not capable.

                      Comment


                        #71
                        Originally posted by Jibzzzz View Post
                        In as long as someone can help me out with tables Wednesday, will be over there and not capable.
                        Dont worry we will make an exception for live Cheltenham wankers who will see nothing. Just post them legibly and someone will fix them up.

                        Comment


                          #72
                          4 Day Declarations are in

                          Racing off level weights (well some of us are) in this Group One contest, we have:

                          Former Dual Champignon Sitch
                          El Shambola
                          GAB (Guaranteed Annual Blowup)
                          Strewel
                          Switcheroo
                          Dice
                          RDIII
                          Murdrum
                          Charlie Sheen
                          Pat Custard
                          Nicnic
                          No River Required
                          Hitch
                          Norweigan Blue
                          Shraaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaap
                          Shanboghted
                          Defending Champignon rounders123
                          Solksjaer
                          Silver Tiger
                          Aintree specialist Eoghan104
                          Alocon
                          Kerry National winner Lplate
                          Arazi

                          1,150 in the pot....

                          Still time for supplemental entries, look out for the full rounders colour supplement over the weekend.
                          "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                          Comment


                            #73
                            ...Shipped money now, I have a record of losing to protect...

                            Comment


                              #74
                              Updated Day 1 Card

                              Racing off level weights (well some of us are) in this Group One contest, we have:

                              Former Dual Champignon Sitch
                              El Shambola
                              GAB (Guaranteed Annual Blowup)
                              Strewel
                              Switcheroo
                              Dice
                              RDIII
                              Murdrum
                              Charlie Sheen
                              Pat Custard
                              Nicnic
                              No River Required
                              Hitch
                              Norweigan Blue
                              Shraaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaap
                              Shanboghted
                              Defending Champignon rounders123
                              Solksjaer
                              Silver Tiger
                              Aintree specialist Eoghan104
                              Alocon
                              Kerry National winner Lplate
                              Arazi
                              Jibzzz
                              ...................

                              1,250 in the pot....

                              Still time for supplemental entries....
                              "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                              Comment


                                #75
                                Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                                GFYE104

                                (tipping Eoghan to win)
                                I'd like to point out I've done zero prep for this to the point I might not have anymore bets aside from the ones I had before xmas

                                No, previews watched or read, haven't read the cards yet, haven't looked at the proposed ground ahead of meeting or how it would effect horses

                                Nada

                                Never been more confident

                                Comment


                                  #76
                                  Cheltenham Preview

                                  Sitch: Dual winner of the Rlue-ribband, yet to show sparkle this campaign and flopped last year in this finishing a stone last. Nothing untoward showed up after that effort but arrives fresh and connections are bullish.

                                  El Shambola: Returning from a break when registering a surprise victory in a Grade 2 last time. More to find in deeper company and suspicions he prefers to go right handed and ground is questionable.

                                  GAB: Rather disappointing in this race after a crack novice season. Debuting for new connections once again when finishing an encouraging 3rd here at the November meeting. Strangely hasn't been sighted since has but had his wind tweaked recently and vibes are good from a yard in form, but comes with risks.

                                  Strewel: Has been kept relatively sound during a light campaign this term but hasn't yet showed us anything to get particularly excited about. However connections have persevered with him and goes well fresh.

                                  Switcheroo: Little known about this Pat Kelly charge from the Wheeesssst but we have witnessed shades of encouragement albeit against questionable opposition on top of the ground and encounters soft for the first time.

                                  Dice: Stalwart of the game however more letters than figures to his form recently. Showed up well for a time in this last term before coming to grief and seems to reserve his best for the big occasion. Ground not a worry but tends to hit flat spots and others make more appeal.

                                  RDIII: Lacked the necessary aptitude at Doncaster last month (3m, good-to-soft) unruly at the start then jumped alarmingly to his right throughout. Not quite a forlorn hope and market support would be notable on his first start since wind surgery.

                                  Murdrum: Victorious over an extended 2m7f in November and ran well when a never nearer third in a Grade 1 at last time subsequently. Struggled upped to 3m2f at Kempton last month so questions if he stays and is probably best watched.

                                  Charlie Sheen: Has reserved his best form for summer ground at Killarney and Galway and he looked out of sorts at Navan last time out. Will have to improve dramatically on that showing to figure here. First time headgear.

                                  Pat Custard: 4th in this last year and having a busy season so far without getting his head in front, was rather unlucky the last twice and noticeable jockey booking is interesting. Each way claims.

                                  Nicnic: Evergreen former winner from the Gaelic territory of the Déise. Weakened in the closing stages of the King George which tempers enthusiasm somewhat but had excuses and it would no surprise to see him in the mix for a stable that knows how to ready one.

                                  No River Required: Strong 3rd place showing in this last year and carried that form forward this term before coming unstuck last time with some sketchy leaps and hanging in the closing stages. If the trainer has these quirks ironed out has every chance of showing up well.

                                  Hitch: French export whos a late comer to the game, last year endured a torrid passage and was found to scope dirty afterwards. Hard to make a cogent case for victory even drawing a line through that effort and wears first time headgear in a bid to eek out some improvement.

                                  Norweigan Blue: Made the frame in a 3m1f soft-ground Chase here in November but pair of wide-margin defeats at big prices since and is seemingly facing another thankless task now.

                                  Shrapnell: Not since The Fellow has a French trained won this race and with well documented leg injuries it would be something of a surprise if he could be the first to emulate that winner. Nevertheless despite surrender monkeying in his seasonal bow fitness wasnt an issue in the Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris. Interesting runner and has a chance here if his legs can stand up to the attrition on softening ground.

                                  Shanboghted: Only second start for this yard and not seen out for best part of 16 months after finishing Third at Chepstow; handles most ground and trip fine, but after such an absence, is best watched unless there's market support. Others preferred.

                                  rounders123: Last years winner who made every yard, cant quibble with this seasons form, clouts the odd one and wont be able to get away with many errors and wouldnt want the ground getting much softer. Evry chance to follow up if last years exertions haven't left their mark.

                                  Solksjaer: Never the same since Ronnie Drew died. Never really looked happy at Donohues on reappearance and but much better effort next time out. Needs tender handling so jockey booking is eye-catching.

                                  Arazi: Generally been consistent but questions persist after Towcester gamble went awry which needs forgiving. Superstitious and occasionally fractious so it will be encouraging if he handles the preliminaries. Goes on most ground.

                                  Silver Tiger: Has enough form at the track to make him worth a second look, but isn't the best of jumpers and plugged on only at one pace for a distant second at Clonmel last time.

                                  Eoghan104: Has excuses but suspicions are he doesn't get on well at Cheltenham which is in contrast with his stellar Aintree form. Can get quite excitable when taken on so if these issues are ironed out he could enter calculations.

                                  Alocon: Refused to start at Fairyhouse in January but second since at Navan, likely to give solid account assuming jumping holds up and temperament issues have been addressed.

                                  LPlate: Quite a doughty stayer around the 5 lakes, former pony and trap wars winner. Gave it a good crack last year in this when finishing an encouraging 5th. Looked like he might get his head in front at Leopardstown last time out until saddle slipped on the run to the last(dodgy Killarney tourist pony tack used) after looking the winner. More required here to get his head in front.

                                  Jibzzz: Progressive chaser, posted a career-best when scoring for the second time over fences Sandown, These are a much deeper waters but leading contender if stamina holds out.

                                  Comment


                                    #77
                                    Seems like quite a few of the old crowd favourites have been put out to grass - famous names like bohsman, ionapaul, Lao Lao and KevIRL amongst those enjoying a well-deserved retirement.

                                    Or are they?
                                    "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                    Comment


                                      #78
                                      No fillies or mares taking advantage of the sex allowance yet either.

                                      SatNav usually a consistent contender in these things.
                                      "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                      Comment


                                        #79
                                        The table talk

                                        So, as we should all know, I need you guys to post your daily picks as a TABLE.

                                        Here's how:

                                        Step 1: identify the winners of every race you're going to bet in (this is the easy bit).
                                        Laugh to yourself thinking of the loots you will win and imagine the various goods and services you will purchase with your stack of freshly-minted fiddies.
                                        Make sure when making these awesome selections that you adhere to Rules 3
                                        (yes there are two Rule 3s, no I don't know why, now fuck off and refer to Rule 6)

                                        Let's say we're going to back:

                                        Race 1 - Dog Food Delight 100 Win
                                        Race 2 - Never Started - 50 Each Way
                                        Race 5 - Three Legged Tortoise - 50 Win
                                        Race 5 - Donkey Derby - 50 Win
                                        Race 7 - Reverse Gear - 25 Each Way

                                        Step 2: open your favourite Spreadsheet application and create a list with 4 columns like the below:



                                        Column A = Race number. Enter in the format 'R1', R2' etc
                                        Column B = Horse Name. Spell it right, as per the official racecard you dyslexic scum.
                                        Column C = stake
                                        Column D = type of bet. Either W (win) or EW (each way). These are the only two allowable values in this data domain.

                                        Save this spreadsheet so you can re-use it on subsequent days on your inevitable charge to glory.

                                        Step 3: post your selection as a table in this thread:

                                        simply copy your selections from Excel and paste into this thread. Then wrap [TABLE] tags around it like so.



                                        Step 4: Submit your post and admire your handiwork as below



                                        Step 5: ????Profit

                                        If you fuck up this extremely simple task, I reserve the right to be a prick. See Rule 6.
                                        "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                        Comment


                                          #80
                                          Is payment via Revolut an option? Not sure there's enough time now for a KBC-AIB transfer.


                                          Comment


                                            #81
                                            ...
                                            "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                            Comment


                                              #82
                                              Originally posted by ionapaul View Post
                                              Is payment via Revolut an option? Not sure there's enough time now for a KBC-AIB transfer.
                                              I don't have Revolut. Ship via your bank and we know you're good for it.

                                              You're one who is due in this too.
                                              "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                              Comment


                                                #83
                                                Shipped via KBC Still can't believe the festival isn't being cancelled...


                                                Comment


                                                  #84
                                                  Final Declarations

                                                  We have:

                                                  Former Dual Champignon Sitch
                                                  El Shambola
                                                  GAB (Guaranteed Annual Blowup)
                                                  Strewel
                                                  Switcheroo
                                                  Dice
                                                  RDIII
                                                  Murdrum
                                                  Charlie Sheen
                                                  Pat Custard
                                                  Nicnic
                                                  No River Required
                                                  Hitch
                                                  Norweigan Blue
                                                  Shraaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaap
                                                  Shanboghted
                                                  Defending Champignon rounders123
                                                  Solksjaer
                                                  Silver Tiger
                                                  Aintree specialist Eoghan104
                                                  Alocon
                                                  Kerry National winner Lplate
                                                  Arazi
                                                  Jibzzz
                                                  ...................
                                                  Late entry from the West, ionapaul

                                                  1,300 in the pot....

                                                  Still just about time for supplemental entries....
                                                  "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                  Comment


                                                    #85
                                                    Newbie GMoran1 has a vouch incoming from a reg and will join the party shortly.

                                                    €1,350 in the prize pool....
                                                    "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                    Comment


                                                      #86
                                                      Phone table attempt 1.

                                                      Comment


                                                        #87
                                                        €50 sent if not too late?

                                                        Comment


                                                          #88
                                                          Thought long and hard before supplementing an entry. Concluded it is best to skip as form is just not up to scratch

                                                          Obviously connections are disappointed but agree to best aim for antree instead
                                                          No beast so fierce but knows some touch of pity, but I know none, therefore am no beast.

                                                          Comment


                                                            #89
                                                            ...
                                                            "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                            Comment


                                                              #90
                                                              Day 1

                                                              Last edited by rounders123; 10-03-20, 06:31.

                                                              Comment


                                                                #91
                                                                Originally posted by Frossach View Post
                                                                €50 sent if not too late?
                                                                S'all good man.
                                                                "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                Comment


                                                                  #92
                                                                  Horse boxes full

                                                                  We have:

                                                                  Former Dual Champignon Sitch
                                                                  El Shambola
                                                                  GAB (Guaranteed Annual Blowup)
                                                                  Strewel
                                                                  Switcheroo
                                                                  Dice
                                                                  RDIII
                                                                  Murdrum
                                                                  Charlie Sheen
                                                                  Pat Custard
                                                                  Nicnic
                                                                  No River Required
                                                                  Hitch
                                                                  Norweigan Blue
                                                                  Shraaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaap
                                                                  Shanboghted
                                                                  Defending Champignon rounders123
                                                                  Solksjaer
                                                                  Silver Tiger
                                                                  Aintree specialist Eoghan104
                                                                  Alocon
                                                                  Kerry National winner Lplate
                                                                  Arazi
                                                                  Jibzzz
                                                                  ...................
                                                                  Late entry from the West, ionapaul
                                                                  Frossach
                                                                  GMoran1

                                                                  1,400 in the pot. No maximum field size.

                                                                  Still just about time for supplemental entries....
                                                                  "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                  Comment


                                                                    #93
                                                                    Originally posted by Jibzzzz View Post
                                                                    Phone table attempt 1.
                                                                    Worked out nicely. WP.

                                                                    Even managed to spell that yoke in R2 corrrctly.
                                                                    "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                    Comment


                                                                      #94
                                                                      I am tipping Pat Custard to win this with an each way saver on luckforsome.

                                                                      Pat has proven course form and I expect a big run.
                                                                      "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                      Comment


                                                                        #95
                                                                        Last edited by Frossach; 10-03-20, 11:28.

                                                                        Comment


                                                                          #96
                                                                          Last edited by DeadParrot; 09-03-20, 15:00.
                                                                          People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                                                                          Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                                                                          https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

                                                                          Comment


                                                                            #97

                                                                            Comment


                                                                              #98
                                                                              Spelling fail.
                                                                              "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                              Comment


                                                                                #99
                                                                                https://twitter.com/#!/TedCullinane1

                                                                                Comment


                                                                                  Profit before people.

                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                      Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                                                                                      Spelling fail.
                                                                                      keeping you on your toes
                                                                                      People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                                                                                      Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                                                                                      https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

                                                                                      Comment


                                                                                        Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                                                                                        Newbie GMoran1 has a vouch incoming from a reg and will join the party shortly.

                                                                                        €1,350 in the prize pool....
                                                                                        That’s ok. Understand not wanting to give your details to a stranger. Will sit quietly on the sides to see what would have been. Enjoy everyone. Give the bookies a bashing.

                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                          Originally posted by Gimmeabreak
                                                                                          Might do some betting on this for the laugh...

                                                                                          Who is Norwegian Blue in that list? Dont see him posting here at all or maybe I am missing something.

                                                                                          Also - is Dead Parrot not entered?
                                                                                          "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                                          Comment


                                                                                            e25 win on Silver Tiger @ 20's. Cash on Friday.

                                                                                            Comment


                                                                                              25ew on Custard please. He's the Supasundae of these things, prolific placer.

                                                                                              AIB transfer work?
                                                                                              Profit before people.

                                                                                              Comment


                                                                                                25 win on Banagher boy at 12s.

                                                                                                Bank deets?

                                                                                                No fancy revolut around these parts .

                                                                                                Comment


                                                                                                  25 win rounders
                                                                                                  25 win nicnicnic

                                                                                                  50 sent via Revo.

                                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                                    Originally posted by Gimmeabreak
                                                                                                    Betting is available with some Ts&Cs
                                                                                                    • Max stake per selection per person is €25 Win or €25 Each Way, Each Way terms are 1/4 Odds 1,2,3,4.
                                                                                                    • The winner is that person declared as such by RDIII
                                                                                                    • All stakes and winnings are on an honour system. Preferred method of payment will be Revolut.
                                                                                                    • Betting will be suspended at the off of the first race and will reopen at the end of Day 1 until the off of day 2.
                                                                                                    • 12 = 12/1 and so on.

                                                                                                    ...Odds on Luckforsome, I'm assuming at least 24/1?...

                                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                                      Pony on Frossach please, will ship in person.
                                                                                                      "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                                                      Comment


                                                                                                        Mark up too high on me anyway, probably a 50/1 shot.

                                                                                                        25e on the nose for RD3 and Norwegian Blue.

                                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                                          ...
                                                                                                          "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                                                                          Comment


                                                                                                            ...
                                                                                                            "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                                                                            Comment


                                                                                                              ...
                                                                                                              "We're not f*cking Burundi" - Big Phil

                                                                                                              Comment


                                                                                                                25 E/W on Pat Custard please

                                                                                                                Comment


                                                                                                                  Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post
                                                                                                                  @ shraap and solks - lemme know if you need coaching...
                                                                                                                  sharpened my lucky pin. you're grand

                                                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                                                    Originally posted by Hitchhiker's Guide To... View Post
                                                                                                                    @ shraap and solks - lemme know if you need coaching...
                                                                                                                    A shrewd bet. I'm gonna win this for you. I'm on a long hot streak at the moment . Pity my horse knowledge interest stopped when Dessie O and Dawnie R died .

                                                                                                                    I still have a soft spot for Wayward Lad. Sniff . Great days .

                                                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                                                      ... I no longer have a name, Just several .....

                                                                                                                      ...€25 e/w on myself at 18/1 so...
                                                                                                                      Last edited by luckforsome; 09-03-20, 16:28. Reason: ...Edit to add E/W...

                                                                                                                      Comment


                                                                                                                        Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                                                                                                                        Pony on Frossach please, will ship in person.
                                                                                                                        Actually just shipped to you as I was in the account.

                                                                                                                        ALL LOOTS RECEIVED
                                                                                                                        "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                                                          Great idea!

                                                                                                                          25w on Nicnicnic
                                                                                                                          25w on Arazi

                                                                                                                          Can ship on revolut but I won't need to.
                                                                                                                          Redbet at the Dublin Poker Invasion FTW

                                                                                                                          Comment

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