IPB Hero Our Conor Memorial Thread - (Horses Betting Obv)

[Aya14]

one of my horses to follow for the season, New Leyf, runs in Kemption tonight. I doubt the 3/1 will be available for long.

Had him in my horse tracker since u tipped him up way back. Today is his best chance in last 7 or so races.
11.5 on the machine.

[Guest]

Had him in my horse tracker since u tipped him up way back. Today is his best chance in last 7 or so races.
11.5 on the machine.

cheers got on at 9/1 with PP

[Thefonze]

Dont Tell Mary 4.25 Salisbury - Down to a very decent mark, decent horse on her day and should be fresh after a 2 month break having started the season early. Ran in Group races last season.

[BabyHawk]

Looking at Leopardstown today, anyone got some pointers here.

[Wesley Harms]

Looking at Leopardstown today, anyone got some pointers here.

I think the Dermot Weld horse in the 2.40 is overpriced.

3 out of 3 this year including the Irish 1000 Guineas. Will love the ground and holds a few of these on that Curragh run.

[NewApproach]

Famous Name is a good price in the big one imo. Will be doing well to beat the favourite but I give him a good ew chance.

[Aya14]

I think the Dermot Weld horse in the 2.40 is overpriced.

3 out of 3 this year including the Irish 1000 Guineas. Will love the ground and holds a few of these on that Curragh run.

I'll be backing Spacious in this. From a trading point of view he should get a soft lead with question marks over Lilly Langtry and Music Show she may pinch it from the front.
I'll be backing to lay, if Fallon kicks on she will trade at around evens imo.

[JackBurton]

Twice Over at evens in PP w/o Rip.

I don't think Famous Name is a true Group 1 horse so it end s up being a match bet to beat Cape Blanco, who won a poor Irish Derby in which the form has been let down by the hoses who finished closest to him, and then he was absolutely murdered by Harbinger at Ascot.

Where as Twice Over has developed into an ultra consistent Group 1 performer who runs his race every time.

I think it looks quite a good even money shot.

Edit: Take it all back after seeing how much the rain has got into the ground, still might happen but i wouldn't be near as confident, all his wins on good or faster

[Aya14]

I'll be backing Spacious in this. From a trading point of view he should get a soft lead with question marks over Lilly Langtry and Music Show she may pinch it from the front.
I'll be backing to lay, if Fallon kicks on she will trade at around evens imo.

Traded as low as 1.35

[liz:)]

i think a word apart is a good bet today,eagle canyon seems to be his biggest danger but i think he has his mark,just a thought

[Aya14]

i think a word apart is a good bet today,eagle canyon seems to be his biggest danger but i think he has his mark,just a thought

Good selection wd.

[The Situation]

I love betting on Chester racing. It always amazes me despite the very obvious draw bias figures in 5-7 furlong races how bookmakers haven't adjusted enough to make backing low draws unprofitable and ditto to laying high draws. I'll be geting involved in all five 7 furlong races today, Great Charm would probably be my NAP in the 4.15!

[kincsem]

Joshua Tree in the St Leger.
Had the 2nd in the national stakes at 22s, Casamento. (beaten a head, 5 lengths to 3rd)

[kincsem]

I've backed the National Stakes second, Casamento, for next year's English 2000 Guineas, €33 at 36s on Betfair.
His sire is Shamardal, winner of 4 x G1, 1 x G2, incl two French Classics.

[kincsem]

Ayr Gold Cup - Saturday 15:20

I seldom bet in handicaps.

27 runners: top weight carries 9-10; bottom weight 9-1

My bets:
Win: Barney McGrew 100 €25.71 €2,545.29
Place: Barney McGrew 15.1 €10.00 €140.95

He ran in this race last year and was beaten a head.
Horses often do well in this race a few times.
Last year he carried 9-5, this year 9-5 I think (9-10 less 5lbs apprentice).
In his last race he was hammered 11th of 13, but that was a group 1.
Before that he was 14th of 15. Drawn 1, winner was drawn 15th; second 16th.
He has some terrible form this year, but "sprint handicap form" is an oxymoron imo.

[The Situation]

@ Kincsam, there's no draw bias at York over 5f in the race that he finished 14th so it was a mere coincidence that the two highest draws came 1st and 2nd. He's still prob worth a bet at 100/1 though based on last years form in this!

I like Tallahasse in the fillies race at 2.45. Very impressed with her first two wins both on varying ground. Won her maiden despite a slow start and looking pretty green but overcame this to win comfortably going away. Won her second race making all and led from the front the entire way. Clear signs that she's open to improvement in both races. Step up in class today but definitely worth an EW shot at 10/1 IMO.

[Dice75]

I seldom bet in handicaps.

27 runners: top weight carries 9-10; bottom weight 9-1

My bets:
Win: Barney McGrew 100 €25.71 €2,545.29
Place: Barney McGrew 15.1 €10.00 €140.95

He ran in this race last year and was beaten a head.
Horses often do well in this race a few times.
Last year he carried 9-5, this year 9-5 I think (9-10 less 5lbs apprentice).
In his last race he was hammered 11th of 13, but that was a group 1.
Before that he was 14th of 15. Drawn 1, winner was drawn 15th; second 16th.
He has some terrible form this year, but "sprint handicap form" is an oxymoron imo.

Sold

[liz:)]

just looking at listowel, mr.clyde and little arrows although little arrows is just about to run.
hes off a lower mark today and blinkers should help the cause. just an idea

[kincsem]

Barney McGrew now trading at 55s. Word must be out that I tipped him.

[nicnicnic]

<3 Charles Byrnes

[Aya14]

<3 Charles Byrnes

He's got Pittoni in the last too. 3.8 on the machine last I checked.

[The Situation]

Getting on Cape Blanco at 11's ew and on the nose in the Arc this afternoon. I've backed him in every race so far, basically because for some reason he's been under-rated and overpriced all year.

I'm aware that 10f is probably his ideal distance so going 12f in testing conditions is a negative but it still doesn't justify the double figure price IMO. Has beaten the very convincing Derby winner Workforce twice this year at 10f and 12f, has two group 1's in his bag beating very stern rivals in very quick times. He also has form on soft so the groud isn't ideal but it will affect others more than him. I think Murtagh has made the wrong choice but the jockey booking is impressive!

[The Situation]

Q for the jump racing experts here. Is Get me out of here not very big at 2's in the 4.10 at Ascot or is he vunerable to less exposed types at his current mark?

[Wesley Harms]

Q for the jump racing experts here. Is Get me out of here not very big at 2's in the 4.10 at Ascot or is he vunerable to less exposed types at his current mark?

I think he's a ridic big price. Potentially he should pick that lot up and carry them around.

If he is to be a champion hurdle horse he will have to be nearly 2 stone better than he is rated

Edit, 2 stone might be a bit of an exaggeration but you get my point

[NewApproach]

Q for the jump racing experts here. Is Get me out of here not very big at 2's in the 4.10 at Ascot or is he vunerable to less exposed types at his current mark?

Personally I think he is a bit too short. Certainly I wouldn't be backing him today, they are not going to give him a very hard race anyway, when obviously he has bigger targets later in the season.

[Wesley Harms]

Personally I think he is a bit too short. Certainly I wouldn't be backing him today, they are not going to give him a very hard race anyway, when obviously he has bigger targets later in the season.

What targets. If he doesn't win today he is going chasing.

[The Situation]

Noel, wanna come out of hibernation for an opinion?

[Wesley Harms]

What targets. If he doesn't win today he is going chasing.

If he can't win this off his current mark he has no business going the 2m hurdle route and also connections have the Champion Hurdler.

[NewApproach]

What targets. If he doesn't win today he is going chasing.

Basically everything else he runs in this season. They aren't gonna have him fully tuned up for a £20k handicap hurdle in October, when there is a potentially lucrative season ahead of him.

[Wesley Harms]

Basically everything else he runs in this season. They aren't gonna have him fully tuned up for a £20k handicap hurdle in October, when there is a potentially lucrative season ahead of him.

But if a horse is well in, like this one should be, then he will win.

Denman in the hennessy the first year of 161 comes to mind. If you were backing him on looks that day you would have stayed well away

[NewApproach]

But if a horse is well in, like this one should be, then he will win.

Easy game so.

[Wesley Harms]

Easy game so.

Hope so. I'm smashing in

[NewApproach]

Hope so. I'm smashing in

Well I'm not having a bet in the race so good luck, but if there was one 2/1 shot I was 'smashing into' today, it would definitely be Duc Du Regniege.

[The Situation]

He's been drifting on BF, taking a bit a current price, but a little wary he hasn't been hammered in the market.

[Wesley Harms]

He's been drifting on BF, taking a bit a current price, but a little wary he hasn't been hammered in the market.

Arkle Chase here I come imo

[The Situation]

Arkle Chase here I come imo

I layed off what I had on him due to some 11th hour devine inspiration.

[bohsman]

One time. The most Ive ever had on a horse and I dont think Im done yet.

[ame]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ud_XPH6Eix4[/ame]

[The Situation]

making the trip up to fairyhouse today, any tips? Sizing Mexico- yay or nay?

[bohsman]

One time. The most Ive ever had on a horse and I dont think Im done yet.

One time. 1st American to retire undefeated since Rocky Marciano. Sick I didnt get more on at 7/2. Wish it was over already.

[The Situation]

One time. 1st American to retire undefeated since Rocky Marciano. Sick I didnt get more on at 7/2. Wish it was over already.

Did he actually open at 7/2?? Don't think I'll be getting on now though. Espoir city at 25/1 could be a nice EW bet.

Uncle Mo is the banker of the festival in the juvenile on saturday at 2/1.

[Aya14]

Zenyatta's last run makes her a lay at that price lads.

[The Situation]

Zenyatta's last run makes her a lay at that price lads.

I think it's about right. Wont be laying or backing unless it shortens a bit more. The surface is obv the big doubt as he's pretty improven on dirt. He's won twice on dirt but against vastly inferior opponants, but will have to be every bit as good on this surface as he is on synthetics to win.

[bohsman]

Did he actually open at 7/2?? Don't think I'll be getting on now though. Espoir city at 25/1 could be a nice EW bet.

Uncle Mo is the banker of the festival in the juvenile on saturday at 2/1.

Yea, I've a small fortune on between 7/2 and 3/1.

[Aya14]

I think it's about right. Wont be laying or backing unless it shortens a bit more. The surface is obv the big doubt as he's pretty improven on dirt. He's won twice on dirt but against vastly inferior opponants, but will have to be every bit as good on this surface as he is on synthetics to win.

I'd be laying 5/2 and shorter tbh.
I've a bit ew on Blame at 7's. Still 6/1 with VC Bet but omly 4's with Ladbrokes.

Any idea why the market is suspended on the machine and WBX?

[bohsman]

Any idea why the market is suspended on the machine and WBX?

Its not in antepost anymore, look in the US racing section.

[westlife]

I've backed the National Stakes second, Casamento, for next year's English 2000 Guineas, €33 at 36s on Betfair.
His sire is Shamardal, winner of 4 x G1, 1 x G2, incl two French Classics.

horse racing thread... LOVELY!

looks more of a stayer in his style of running but the biggest problem is that he is going to Godolphin for the winter. It used to be believed that if the horses wintered in Dubai they would have an advantage over the others when they came back as the good weather would put them more forward.........but its been the exact opposite for years with the horses taking weeks to come back to themselves.

[NewApproach]

I think it's about right. Wont be laying or backing unless it shortens a bit more. The surface is obv the big doubt as he's pretty improven on dirt. He's won twice on dirt but against vastly inferior opponants, but will have to be every bit as good on this surface as he is on synthetics to win.

SHE!!!!!

I don't know why this tilts me so much!!

[The Situation]

SHE!!!!!

I don't know why this tilts me so much!!

I do that a lot even if it's an all fillies race. Actually this extends to all animals.

[Aya14]

Midday back into 2.18 after wobbling to 2.42 earlier in the F+M turf.
Its on in an hour or so come on T.Queally bring it home.

[The Situation]

GL Aya, only bet tonight is Harmonious in that race in the betting W/O fav market at 7/2.

[Reaps]

red desire looks a good e/w bet to nothing

[TJ Cloutier]

Races worth that money run on a fuckin dog track is embarrassing for racing

[The C Kid]

Did he actually open at 7/2?? Don't think I'll be getting on now though. Espoir city at 25/1 could be a nice EW bet.

Uncle Mo is the banker of the festival in the juvenile on saturday at 2/1.

Slightly impressive.

[The Situation]

Slightly impressive.

Pretty special alright, 8/1 available in ladbrookes for the Kentucky Derby.

[Aya14]

Still trying to work out if I was blessed with my lay of Zenyatta

[bohsman]

Still trying to work out if I was blessed with my lay of Zenyatta

I think so, she had an even worse start than usual. Definitely gets theres otherwise.

Am definitely getting on Uncle Mo for the Derby, sensational runs from him and Goldikova.

[Pat Mustard]

whats a billion in the 1st in naas 10/10/10 generally 8/1

[Rattled77]

got word for MISSGILONEY in the 12.55 at limerick

[Iago]

got word for MISSGILONEY in the 12.55 at limerick

came online at 12.45, saw there was an update post and decided to read the BBV first.

Check this at 12.56

FML

[Reaps]

got word for MISSGILONEY in the 12.55 at limerick

Spotted this before I went out to grab a roll for lunch. Called to the bookies enroute. Had €40 on me for the day. Had a look at the race and was very confident he'd place at least so stuck on €20 e/w @ 9/2. If he'd finished unplaced I'd be going hungry, instead I've lunch paid for, lotto quickpick done and an extra ton in my wallet.

Ty ty