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Old 18-03-11, 15:02   #1
BallymoreChris
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Boxing

Although I'm not a big fan of betting against Irish lads I'm being told Willie Casey has no chance in tomorrow night's fight and will be knocked out well inside the distance.

http://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/gu...hod-of-victory
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Old 18-03-11, 20:52   #2
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Casey definitley should not have a chance in this one on paper if he can get close early and lay a hand on him you never know cordoba had him down in his last fight and nearly sneaked it at the end mainly due to Rigondeaux taking his eye of the ball. First 2-3 rounds crucial. Casey's style suits the pro game and rigondeaux is only in his 8th fight as a pro.
I would not fancy Casey like yourself dont like backing against the Irish Lads either!
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Old 18-03-11, 21:43   #3
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if casey can overwhelm him early and upset him he might have a chance, if he could chin him an early round and with the home crowd behind him its all to play for.

i cant see this going the distance and if it does casey will not win. this is not a paul hyland type lad he is boxing, this guy is a propper boxer with a world title.

although both only have about 20 pro fights between them, Rig is a hundred miles ahead of casey in experience.

as for a betting opportunity, I would stay well clear.

as irish boxing goes this is our best chance of a world title in the near future, andy lee was lucky last week with a late knock out as he was behind, paul mccloskey has no chance in his title fight vs Khan(bar a catching him cold slap).
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Old 18-03-11, 21:55   #4
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Rigondeaux is patient and althogh hits hard with his counter punch his punch volume isnt high. I can see Rigondeaux on his bike in the early rounds especially if Casey comes at him like he did against Hyland.

Casey is honest to a fault and will be prepared to die trying and if doesnt expend to much energy and punch himself out i can see him getting to the end of 12rds for a brave points loss. Addy standing in against Rig at short notice and getting tothe end beaten on pts(8rd's) stands to this. Worse case scenario other thank getting KO'd or cut is if Casey starts spluttering, runs out of petrol and keeps to the same game plan Rigondeaux should take him out but if self preservation kicks in and he backs off and covers up to make it to the bell he should do it with a partisan crowd on his side.

I dont think we will see the best of Rigondeaux until hes out of Cork based manager Gary Hydes contract and under Freddie Roach.

Rigondeaux by pts/decision
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Old 18-03-11, 22:11   #5
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Just pulled the trigger there.
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Old 20-03-11, 02:44   #6
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wish all my tips would be like this
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Old 20-03-11, 03:37   #7
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Most 5 to 1 on shots are precisely like this.
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Old 20-03-11, 11:54   #8
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So much for a pts win. Bit of a Dunne/Kiko style anti climax.
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Old 20-03-11, 13:10   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hotspur View Post
Most 5 to 1 on shots are precisely like this.

10/11
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Old 20-03-11, 14:30   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BallymoreChris View Post
10/11
What was 10/11, Casey to get ko'ed? Groan if it was. Bet the straight win like a sucker
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Old 20-03-11, 14:47   #11
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Yeah it was 10/11 to finish inside the distance and 1/3 for Rig to win.
These prices were available on Boyle last night however there were much better prices available weeks ago.
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Old 20-03-11, 16:58   #12
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didnt know much about either boxer before the fight but when i saw casey step in to the ring and then the cuban i was struck by the sheer superiority of physique and strut between the two. i immediately feared the worst for casey and in fact i felt really sorry for him from start to finish. outrageous mismatch on every level.
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Old 20-03-11, 17:00   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hotspur View Post
Most 5 to 1 on shots are precisely like this.
in fairness 1/5 was huge value. if they were to box again 2moro i wouldnt back casey at 25/1
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Old 20-03-11, 17:18   #14
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Some of my mate got on at 6/5....
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Old 20-03-11, 17:27   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BallymoreChris View Post
Some of my mate got on at 6/5....
they're unlikely to have such a sweat free 6/5 bet again for a while. nice touch
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Old 21-05-11, 03:58   #16
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Cleverly Fight

...Was Looking through the betting in this and a little confused...
Nathan Cleverly to win is 1/25
Nathan Cleverly to win round one is 5/6
Nathan Cleverly to win round 1-3 is 5/1

How do they work out that its odds on to win in 1st round, but 5/1to win in first 3 rounds...
I think its incredible value, cannot see it lasting long at all...
any opinions?














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Old 21-05-11, 04:06   #17
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I'm not sure about this but just by glancing I think your picking them up wrong,

I'd be nearly certain its 5/1 for him to win rounds 1,2 & 3 not just one of those rounds

buth then again if you were back him @ 5/6 (1.83) each round for 3 rounds that adds to 6.12 rather than the 5/1 (6.0) their offering
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Old 21-05-11, 04:20   #18
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..Don't think I am, but would like to be sure before betting on it...its on Paddy Power,
Round Betting

Nathan Cleverly To Win in Round 1 5/6
Nathan Cleverly To Win in Round 2 13/1
Nathan Cleverly To Win in Round 3 12/1
Nathan Cleverly To Win in Round 4 12/1
Nathan Cleverly To Win in Round 5 9/1
Nathan Cleverly To Win in Round 6 9/1 \\

Group Round Betting
Nathan Cleverly Round 1-3 5/1
Nathan Cleverly Round 4-6 3/1
Nathan Cleverly Round 7-9 3/1
Nathan Cleverly Round 10-12 5/1

even the under 9.5 rounds is 1/2
im thinking maybe a mistype on the round 1 knockout, as everything else is sooo different...?
cheers for reply, (hope im not spamming with this shite)
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Old 21-05-11, 04:37   #19
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my bad you are correct just checked with live support, he need the KO in 1-3 so if it goes to the 4th its a losing bet

But definitly does look like great value!
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Old 21-05-11, 06:04   #20
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I think Rd1 is so low as lots of people are punting on a Rd1 KO
1-3 is prob about the right price, I think the fact that Rd 1 ia so low makes it look like better value

9 rounds or less is the value for me at 1/2
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