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Highly Exploitable spot in Sat.

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    Highly Exploitable spot in Sat.

    Right this is a €20 sat spot Round 1 qualifier on Pokerstars.fr. The prizes are €100 round 2 ticket. Find these are very beatable but there are some excellent french regs(I know I was shocked too) play them because if they live in France there aren't many great tournies running. Basically, only the SB is a fish who is a nitty 8/8 with fold versus steal attempt 100%. Everyone else left is pretty good with the BB running pretty aggro stats of 21/17 fold versus still 57% from BB. He has 500k is cashes on .fr alone which is certainly not to be sniffed at. Anyway there are four "Round 2" prizes which is all I need too get too. I would be very pretty competent i'd assume running 20/16 with a 46% steal.

    Now onto the hand itself. My thoughts and I'm very open for correction here.

    Poker Stars No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 200/400 Blinds (6 handed) - Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Hero (Button) (t8564)
    SB (t6775)
    BB (t8814)
    UTG (t8821)
    MP (t7612)
    CO (t10414)

    Hero's M: 14.27

    Preflop: Hero is Button with K, Q
    3 folds Herrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrroooooooooooo???????


    1) Raise/Call- Seems disgustingly high variance line and super thin. I don't know if there are any worse hands he'll actually jam on me. I guess he does jam KJ given my image and expects me to fold a hell of alot which he would.

    2) Raise/Fold- In game it's probably my preferred option. It does seems quite weak though but is it the best in a sat.

    3) Fold-Seems uber nitty but considering I never really expect to be flatted in this spot I should be just raising ATC and therefore having KQ shouldn't even matter, right?

    4)-Shove. Euugh there are too stacks shorter than me and I was probably gonna use this option rather than R/C if i'm being honest because I reckon hands like 22-66, A10 etc probably fold when I do shove but i'm normally in pretty bad shape when called.

    Any opinions on the hand or comments in general on my thinking?

    #2
    R/F seems right. If you don't think he'll jam any worse hands except KJ then where's the decision? Even if he jams 25% you're only flipping against that range and with bubble factor and all that r/c seems woeful. Your thoughts look fairly spot-on to me

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      #3
      Looks like a pretty standard raise fold spot to me wit over 20 bbs

      There is an argument for open jamming but I don't like it this deep, unless u open jam ur whole range AA KK etc...

      Yeah I definitely open and fold to a shove

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