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IPB Hero Our Conor Memorial Thread - (Horses Betting Obv)

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    Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
    I see runs in that race too although he's done hiw winning for now imo.

    Quite like Pat Flynn's in tbat meself.
    was 14s when you posted that...
    People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
    Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
    https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

    Comment


      Can confirm it is pelting down in Kildare. On again
      Jayzus, Sheila! I forgot me feckin' trousers

      Comment


        Yup - added onto my morning bet just there too

        Comment


          Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
          I see runs in that race too although he's done hiw winning for now imo.

          Quite like Pat Flynn's in tbat meself.
          Absolutely hosed up.
          "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

          Comment


            Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
            Absolutely hosed up.
            Nice pick, always have a random punt on that race because its a memorial for a great guy who was a great friend to me when I was young. Could be the first time I found the winner
            Turning millions into thousands

            Comment


              Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
              Absolutely hosed up.
              Shout!
              Profit before people.

              Comment


                Originally posted by The Situation View Post
                Shout!
                Hope you got the 12\1. Well punted.
                "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                Comment


                  We go again with Count of Carabass.
                  "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                  Comment


                    Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                    We go again with Count of Carabass.
                    Bah, 5/26. A head off an e/w payout.
                    "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                    Comment


                      Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                      Bah, 5/26. A head off an e/w payout.
                      It came 4th I thought?

                      Comment


                        Originally posted by Mike View Post
                        It came 4th I thought?
                        /checks betting accounts, lols heartily/

                        /makes eye appointment!/

                        thanks
                        "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                        Comment


                          Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                          /checks betting accounts, lols heartily/

                          /makes eye appointment!/

                          thanks
                          Good shooting RDIII

                          Comment


                            Originally posted by NoRiverRequired View Post
                            Good shooting RDIII
                            Somebody else take up the baton so me and Pat Custard can retire in glory!
                            "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                            Comment


                              Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                              Somebody else take up the baton so me and Pat Custard can retire in glory!
                              and all the recent talk about false equivalences.
                              This may or may not be an original thought of my own.
                              All efforts were made to make this thought original but with the abundance of thoughts in the world the originality of this thought cannot be guaranteed.
                              The author is not liable for any issue arising from the platitudinous nature of this post.

                              Comment


                                Atlas goes again today at Killarney (not a tip)

                                Imagine it's like a bog down there after all the rain.
                                "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                Comment


                                  Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                                  Atlas goes again today at Killarney (not a tip)

                                  Imagine it's like a bog down there after all the rain.
                                  Is the weather that bad down there??
                                  Im in Tipp and the sun is out all day, ground is dry and no rain in last 24 hours.

                                  Comment


                                    That was a right good race. They kind of set it up to allow Ulysses make himself look something special but in fairness he probably is a bit.

                                    Three of the first four by Gallileo
                                    Turning millions into thousands

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                                      Originally posted by Hooch View Post
                                      Is the weather that bad down there??
                                      Im in Tipp and the sun is out all day, ground is dry and no rain in last 24 hours.
                                      No idea, just assumed all that rain would have hit the Kingdom too!
                                      "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                      Comment


                                        Atlas a piece of crap ffs etc etc

                                        SPOILER
                                        Maybe for you


                                        SPOILER


                                        Did it to beat Sorelle Delle Rose in the match!

                                        Comment


                                          Originally posted by rounders123 View Post
                                          Atlas a piece of crap ffs etc etc

                                          SPOILER
                                          Maybe for you


                                          SPOILER


                                          Did it to beat Sorelle Delle Rose in the match!
                                          Some man for those match bets. Never really a bet that I look at

                                          Comment


                                            Notice for Simcock planned to run Friday in Newmarket. Just told if she runs she wins.dropping in class...don't think they want too much rain.
                                            Jayzus, Sheila! I forgot me feckin' trousers

                                            Comment


                                              Originally posted by careca View Post
                                              Some man for those match bets. Never really a bet that I look at
                                              Love them my main mode. Hard enough to get a match bet up nevermind an outright!.
                                              Not sure why the embedded image didn't show.

                                              Comment


                                                Hopeful that Lucca and Remember Nerja can both run well at Navan today.
                                                small ew double
                                                Turning millions into thousands

                                                Comment


                                                  If you text PPRacing to 50100 they are giving free Leopardstown tickets for this Saturday if anyone's interested.

                                                  Comment


                                                    Originally posted by NoRiverRequired View Post
                                                    If you text PPRacing to 50100 they are giving free Leopardstown tickets for this Saturday if anyone's interested.
                                                    May have pulled a master stroke of.going to the craft beer festival Friday and 'treating' the missus to the ladies elegance day on Saturday.
                                                    Knife edge here whether she buys this
                                                    People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                                                    Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                                                    https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

                                                    Comment


                                                      Lucky Pat 555 Kilbeggan. Good name, comes from a good source what could go wrong
                                                      Jayzus, Sheila! I forgot me feckin' trousers

                                                      Comment


                                                        I wonder what backing the APOB 4th\5th strings has returned in G1s over the last few years?
                                                        "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                        Comment


                                                          Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                                                          I wonder what backing the APOB 4th\5th strings has returned in G1s over the last few years?
                                                          Have to be in profit this year in anycase. Jockey booking doesnt seem to help in solving the puzzle either.

                                                          Hedging might a solution

                                                          Comment


                                                            Hi guys,Long time no see,just ran the numbers on APOB trained horses that ran in group 1 races since 2010 that went off at industry starting price of 20/1 or bigger on horseracebase

                                                            A simple 100 euro bet at betfair starting price in both win and place markets over that time frame would have you in the green by about 23k,not too shabby at all

                                                            Same as above but with his group 1,2, and 3 runners.

                                                            Last edited by amberleaf; 10-09-17, 11:05.
                                                            Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                            Comment


                                                              Seventh Heaven at 5's is curiously big today, almost put off by it, but not enough to not back. Surely too much weight being placed on Moore's choice in this race and not enough on actual form.
                                                              Profit before people.

                                                              Comment


                                                                Originally posted by amberleaf View Post
                                                                Hi guys,Long time no see,just ran the numbers on APOB trained horses that ran in group 1 races since 2010 that went off at industry starting price of 20/1 or bigger on horseracebase

                                                                A simple 100 euro bet at betfair starting price in both win and place markets over that time frame would have you in the green by about 23k,not too shabby at all

                                                                Same as above but with his group 1,2, and 3 runners.
                                                                Thanks dude! Yes, that seemed intuitively correct to me.

                                                                Could improve that again if you ruled out the blatantly obvious pacemakers.
                                                                "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                Comment


                                                                  Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                                                                  Thanks dude! Yes, that seemed intuitively correct to me.

                                                                  Could improve that again if you ruled out the blatantly obvious pacemakers.
                                                                  No worries,with something like this there's massive down side as most of the profits come from outliner bets,which are bets that win at massive odds.

                                                                  just to go over the numbers again,trained by APOB,G1,all odds

                                                                  Add in the starting price of 20/1 and we're left with just 7 wins over the last 7 years,of which just 2 bets make up more than 50% of the profits,and lost badly 3 of the last 7 years


                                                                  A much better "system" imo would be

                                                                  TRAINED BY APOB
                                                                  GROUP 1,2 & 3 ONLY
                                                                  IRELAND/UK ONLY
                                                                  RACE AGE RESTRICTION 2YO & 3YO ONLY
                                                                  BACK AT BETFAIR STARTING PRICE IN THE WIN AND PLACE MARKETS ANY PRICE

                                                                  You would have lost in 2010 but would have won a nice few quid each and every year since with little drawdown compared to out siders version.
                                                                  Mattie McGrath wanna-be

                                                                  Comment


                                                                    A small e/w double today on Michael Mulvaney's two at Listowel.

                                                                    The fact that the rider of the second has never gone over a jump in public concerns me not at all.
                                                                    "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                    Comment


                                                                      Originally posted by Raoul Duke III View Post
                                                                      A small e/w double today on Michael Mulvaney's two at Listowel.

                                                                      The fact that the rider of the second has never gone over a jump in public concerns me not at all.
                                                                      any reason at all for these?
                                                                      I can't really see it
                                                                      People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                                                                      Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                                                                      https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

                                                                      Comment


                                                                        Originally posted by DeadParrot View Post
                                                                        any reason at all for these?
                                                                        I can't really see it
                                                                        clearly not
                                                                        "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                        Comment


                                                                          Originally posted by DeadParrot View Post
                                                                          any reason at all for these?
                                                                          I can't really see it
                                                                          One of two is acceptable

                                                                          Main reason was 'ground' tbf. Young lad did well on top. Backed both indvidually so acceptable day.
                                                                          "We are not Europeans. Those people on the continent are freaks."

                                                                          Comment


                                                                            At sandown today

                                                                            Load them up!

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                                                                              Originally posted by Elshambles View Post
                                                                              At sandown today

                                                                              Load them up!
                                                                              Thought Sea Shack had a chance at a nice price in the 415...
                                                                              Jayzus, Sheila! I forgot me feckin' trousers

                                                                              Comment


                                                                                Tough but honest list 250

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                                                                                  One from the tracker...not a tip...Creeping Ivy 220 Navan..must have an each way chance
                                                                                  Jayzus, Sheila! I forgot me feckin' trousers

                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                    Originally posted by Pat Mustard View Post
                                                                                    One from the tracker...not a tip...Creeping Ivy 220 Navan..must have an each way chance
                                                                                    decent 3rd @16s
                                                                                    People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                                                                                    Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                                                                                    https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                      Would you believe 330 Naas
                                                                                      Jayzus, Sheila! I forgot me feckin' trousers

                                                                                      Comment


                                                                                        Sean Flanagan is an excellent jockey. Knows when he's in danger and how much horse he has under him (Cooper never knew this so well imo)and doesn't mind looking the fool to shrug along his charge to keep position and not masking difficulty like Walsh and Geraghty are masters at at this stage. Watch the 4pm Galway, several fences out he fired his charge into the fence as the other 2 were hard held. Had he have been passed he'd of downed tools.
                                                                                        Meade has his horses plenty forward. Playing it with a straight bat more than ever, I'll put it down to having a lot of O'Leary's these days.
                                                                                        Last edited by rounders123; 10-10-17, 17:21. Reason: Sean

                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                          Originally posted by rounders123 View Post
                                                                                          Sean Flanagan is an excellent jockey. Knows when he's in danger and how much horse he has under him (Cooper never knew this so well imo)and doesn't mind looking the fool to shrug along his charge to keep position and not masking difficulty like Walsh and Geraghty are masters at at this stage. Watch the 4pm Galway, several fences out he fired his charge into the fence as the other 2 were hard held. Had he have been passed he'd of downed tools.
                                                                                          Meade has his horses plenty forward. Playing it with a straight bat more than ever, I'll put it down to having a lot of O'Leary's these days.
                                                                                          Was thinking of this post while watching Davy Russell on the last two at Thurles (2.35 & 3.10). If you get a chance watch the finishes on ATR.

                                                                                          Both times he comes through on the bridle between last two hurdles but doesn't really release the horse until after the last when he has let them back at his hind quarters without the momentum. Now maybe he knows both wont see the trip out well but I often think if they try release a bit and get the 3 to 4l advantage it would help?

                                                                                          I had no money on either, just observing.

                                                                                          Comment


                                                                                            The owner of Sir Vincent in the 3.25 fancies its chances im told. I am sure most owners normally feel the same. Looking at a 14yo nag with no form doesnt inspire much confidence in me. Of course i still have to throw a couple of schekels ew on it at 50s

                                                                                            Comment


                                                                                              Originally posted by Dice75 View Post
                                                                                              The owner of Sir Vincent in the 3.25 fancies its chances im told. I am sure most owners normally feel the same. Looking at a 14yo nag with no form doesnt inspire much confidence in me. Of course i still have to throw a couple of schekels ew on it at 50s
                                                                                              Got a tip sankari Royale 13.50 Newmarket 16/1
                                                                                              Her sky-ness
                                                                                              © 5starpool

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                                                                                                $10m race down the road tomorrow. was going to go for a look. but they've be pumping it hard in the media so figure it'll be bedlam.
                                                                                                Prom for the best, i'll be more sensible from the sofa

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                                                                                                  Was told by someone talking to seamie Heffernan that Threeandfourpence is way too big at 33/1 for the Dewhurst and has a decent ew chance
                                                                                                  https://twitter.com/#!/TedCullinane1

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                                                                                                    Originally posted by shanboghted View Post
                                                                                                    Was told by someone talking to seamie Heffernan that Threeandfourpence is way too big at 33/1 for the Dewhurst and has a decent ew chance
                                                                                                    50s on 365 at the moment. 7s to place.

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                                                                                                      Atlas 20/1 into 10/1 wins at Dundalk, BCB will be back at the cash table tonight lol

                                                                                                      Comment


                                                                                                        Brendan Bracken
                                                                                                        Jayzus, Sheila! I forgot me feckin' trousers

                                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                                          got a tip for Show Stealer 20.45 kempton
                                                                                                          am on @9/2
                                                                                                          People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                                                                                                          Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                                                                                                          https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

                                                                                                          Comment


                                                                                                            Originally posted by DeadParrot View Post
                                                                                                            got a tip for Show Stealer 20.45 kempton
                                                                                                            am on @9/2
                                                                                                            Race abandoned (Medical incident?)

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                                                                                                              Thankful I have a daughter called mia, and thankful there is a storm brewing
                                                                                                              Her sky-ness
                                                                                                              © 5starpool

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                                                                                                                Smiling Elisa 600 Dundalk chance yard going well. Plum draw lots of positives from people in the know.

                                                                                                                Thunder Crash 900 big chance if breaks well according to someone in the yard.

                                                                                                                Barman 250 Wincanton..no info but a horse I was following. The horse that beat him last time ran again and won again. Don't know how strong the race was. 5/1 not overpriced though
                                                                                                                Jayzus, Sheila! I forgot me feckin' trousers

                                                                                                                Comment


                                                                                                                  War of the Rocks backed from 20's to 11/2 in first was told he'll have a lot in hand
                                                                                                                  https://twitter.com/#!/TedCullinane1

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                                                                                                                    Originally posted by shanboghted View Post
                                                                                                                    War of the Rocks backed from 20's to 11/2 in first was told he'll have a lot in hand
                                                                                                                    7/2 now
                                                                                                                    People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                                                                                                                    Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                                                                                                                    https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

                                                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                                                      3rd never in contention
                                                                                                                      https://twitter.com/#!/TedCullinane1

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                                                                                                                        Ribchester, harry angel cracks man treble.
                                                                                                                        Ew on torcedor in the first
                                                                                                                        People say I should be more humble I hope they understand, they don't listen when you mumble
                                                                                                                        Get a shiny metal Revolut card! And a free tenner!
                                                                                                                        https://revolut.com/referral/jamesb8!G10D21

                                                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                                                          Off to Leopardstown later. Any tips would be greatly appreciated
                                                                                                                          His rival it seems, had broken his dreams,By stealing the girl of his fancy.Her name was Magill, and she called herself Lil,But everyone knew her as Nancy.

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